Matches / Upcoming / Rune Eaters vs NOVAQ
BO3Form 28-38 · 13-14🗺 Likely Dust2 · Ancient · Inferno
Recent-form read · all figures respect the data-range filter.
Recent form
Head-to-head
past meetings & common opponents◂ RUN fared bettervs 7 shared opponentsNOV fared better ▸
HOTU#412-61-2
Acend#591-20-2
Rune Eaters vs Acend
Mar 9LInferno9-13Dust213-11Ancient10-13NOVAQ vs Acend
Mar 2LDust26-13Inferno10-13
Nemiga#630-22-1
Rune Eaters vs Nemiga
Mar 13LDust28-13Overpass4-13NOVAQ vs Nemiga
Feb 22WOverpass7-13Mirage13-6Ancient13-10
Omega#915-63-5
Rune Eaters vs Omega
May 31WDust28-13Ancient13-7Mirage13-8May 30WDust212-16Ancient13-7Mirage13-1Apr 26LMirage1-13Nuke5-13+1 earlier meeting
HASHashiras#1993-32-0
Rune Eaters vs Hashiras
Mar 22LOverpass4-13Dust213-10Ancient14-16Mar 10WAncient7-13Dust219-17Nuke13-8NOVAQ vs Hashiras
Mar 10WNuke13-8Ancient13-10
ENCE Academy0-22-1
Rune Eaters vs ENCE Academy
Apr 4LNuke6-13Ancient5-13NOVAQ vs ENCE Academy
Mar 6WNuke7-13Ancient13-9Mirage13-7
HEROIC Academy2-02-0
Rune Eaters vs HEROIC Academy
May 25WMirage13-11Ancient13-7NOVAQ vs HEROIC Academy
Mar 2WAncient13-5Mirage13-9Rune Eaters 13-21combined map recordNOVAQ 12-11edge · NOVAQ
Firepower
roster ratingsRune Eaters · avg 1.1 · top +0.13
| Player | Mp | K-D | ADR | KAST | HS | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| demente | 63 | 1.19 | 81.7 | 75.4% | 53% | 1.23 |
| her1tage | 144 | 1 | 75.3 | 71.6% | 58% | 1.12 |
| noni | 128 | 1.09 | 70.4 | 70% | 37% | 1.08 |
| forkyz | 141 | 0.91 | 75 | 70.2% | 53% | 1.05 |
| kumao | 135 | 0.95 | 71.8 | 71.4% | 57% | 1.03 |
NOVAQ · avg 1.02 · top +0.22
| Player | Mp | K-D | ADR | KAST | HS | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ICY | 49 | 1.4 | 77.6 | 74.9% | 29% | 1.24 |
| tasman | 60 | 0.98 | 73.8 | 70.6% | 58% | 1.08 |
| def1zer | 61 | 0.92 | 70.4 | 72% | 62% | 1.05 |
| Pump | 61 | 0.97 | 70.8 | 69.9% | 61% | 1.05 |
| neaLaN | 61 | 0.82 | 66.6 | 67.6% | 58% | 0.89 |
| k4zmo | 12 | 0.75 | 56.6 | 59.4% | 41% | 0.79 |
Projected veto
likely picks & bans🧭
Neither side's habitual bans cleanly remove the other's best maps — the veto is live.
Plays: Dust2 · Ancient · Inferno · Removed: Overpass · Anubis · Nuke · Mirage
every map shows both teams' win% (RUN / NOV)
1RUNE EATERS BAN
Overpassproj. removed
RUN
14%
1-6
NOV
50%
3-3
2NOVAQ BAN
Anubisproj. removed
RUN
57%
4-3
NOV
n/a
0g
3RUNE EATERS PICK
Dust2
RUN
56%
19-15
NOV
40%
6-9
4NOVAQ PICK
Ancient
RUN
33%
11-22
NOV
73%
11-4
5RUNE EATERS BAN
Nukeproj. removed
RUN
33%
5-10
NOV
25%
2-6
6NOVAQ BAN
Mirageproj. removed
RUN
58%
21-15
NOV
42%
5-7
7DECIDER
Infernoleft over
RUN
50%
6-6
NOV
50%
2-2
Projected from each team's veto habits (BO3), assuming Rune Eaters vetoes first.
Usual first ban — Rune Eaters Anubis · NOVAQ Anubis.
Map lab
pick the 3 maps · per-map H2H + predictionlayout
Pick 3 maps ✓
Best-case draws · each side's strongest realistic Bo3 — tap to load
The veto swings it — Rune Eaters 67% on their maps vs NOVAQ 80% on theirs. Whoever shapes the pool is favoured. Inferno (50%) is the closest to a toss-up.
NOVAQ59%to win the seriescoin-flipiMap edgesDust2: Rune Eaters 64% · Ancient: NOVAQ 82% clear · Inferno: NOVAQ 50% toss-upWhyNOVAQ hold the edge across the maps (2 of 3 lean their way).OutcomesRune Eaters 41% — 2-1 30%, 2-0 11% · NOVAQ 59% — 2-1 30%, 2-0 29%
series odds add up every way a team can win, not just one scoreline
series odds add up every way a team can win, not just one scoreline
Rune Eaters 41%59% NOVAQ
It’s nearly a coin-flip. NOVAQ only lead because their Ancient is strong enough that nicking just one of the close maps wins the series.
Dust2RUN v NOV
64%36%
19-15record6-9
56%win40%
54%CT win44%
51%T win45%
53%pistol53%
83%convert81%
AncientRUN v NOV
18%82%
11-22record11-4
33%win73%
47%CT win52%
49%T win56%
52%pistol47%
91%convert64%
InfernoRUN v NOV
50%50%
6-6record2-2
50%win50%
53%CT win48%
52%T win49%
54%pistol63%
77%convert60%
Pistol, eco & sides
win% · convert if won · eco if lost · CT/T per mapct / t side win% (Nuke skews CT, Dust2 T)pistol won the opening pistolconv then won round 2eco lost pistol, won round 2
Map
RUNct
RUNt
NOVct
NOVt
RUNpistol
RUNconv
RUNeco
NOVpistol
NOVconv
NOVeco
Dust2pool
54%184/343
51%193/375
44%58/132
45%71/158
53%36/68
83%30/36
16%5/32
53%16/30
81%13/16
31%4/13
Ancientpool
47%171/361
49%162/330
52%83/161
56%89/159
52%34/66
91%30/33
16%5/32
47%14/30
64%9/14
31%5/16
Infernopool
53%73/139
52%57/110
48%23/48
49%21/43
54%13/24
77%10/13
18%2/11
63%5/8
60%3/5
33%1/3
Overpassban
47%37/78
28%19/67
46%31/67
48%30/63
64%9/14
89%8/9
0%0/5
67%8/12
88%7/8
0%0/4
Anubisban
40%27/68
55%46/84
n/a
n/a
29%4/14
50%2/4
10%1/10
n/a
n/a
n/a
Nukeban
47%84/177
44%59/134
47%44/94
38%26/69
57%17/30
65%11/17
15%2/13
31%5/16
40%2/5
18%2/11
Mirageban
58%210/361
48%176/367
51%62/121
46%54/117
51%37/72
84%31/37
17%6/35
46%11/24
91%10/11
23%3/13
colour = vs league averagebelowavgabove
🔫Pistol rounds are a tie. Both win about the same (Rune Eaters 53%, NOVAQ 51%). Nobody has an edge.
🔄Win the pistol → Rune Eaters usually win the next round too (85% vs 71%). Lose the pistol → NOVAQ fight back to win the next round more often (31% vs 16%).
Mentality & map flow
comebacks, blown leads🧠
Rune Eaters average a 5.3-round margin (25 blown, biggest 8); NOVAQ average 5.6 (7 blown, 6 OTs). Hover any ⓘ for the matches behind it.
Rune Eaters
Comebacks (won from 3+ down)i19/67 (28%)Comebacks (won from 3+ down)Of the 67 maps they won, 19 (28%) were won after trailing by 3+ rounds. So 28% of their wins were comebacks — not 28% of all games.vs AcendDust2from 6 downvs HashirasDust2from 5 downvs STATEMiragefrom 5 downvs ex-RUBYMiragefrom 5 downvs HashirasNukefrom 4 down
Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)i25/77 (32%)Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)Of the 77 maps they lost, 25 (32%) were lost after leading by 3+ rounds — leads they threw away.vs BebopMirageled 8 · lost 14-16vs MASONICDust2led 8 · lost 12-16vs BRUTEOverpassled 7 · lost 11-13vs LavkedAncientled 7 · lost 11-13vs The Last ResortAncientled 6 · lost 11-13
Biggest comebackifrom 6 downBiggest comebackLargest deficit erased to win a map.vs AcendDust2from 6 down · won 13-11
Biggest lead blowni8 roundsBiggest lead blownLargest lead held and still lost.vs BebopMirageled 8 · lost 14-16
Avg map margini5.3 roundsAvg map marginAverage round difference across maps.
Close maps (≤3) · OTi31% · 22Close maps (≤3) · OT31% of their maps were decided by ≤3 rounds (nailbiters); 22 went to overtime.vs HashirasDust219-17vs zajezdzaczeInferno16-13vs Eternal FireOverpass13-16vs ex-Fingers CrossedNuke16-14vs The Last ResortAnubis16-14
NOVAQ
Comebacks (won from 3+ down)i12/30 (40%)Comebacks (won from 3+ down)Of the 30 maps they won, 12 (40%) were won after trailing by 3+ rounds. So 40% of their wins were comebacks — not 40% of all games.vs HOTUOverpassfrom 6 downvs OmegaAncientfrom 6 downvs WATERMELONAncientfrom 5 downvs ALTAYInfernofrom 4 downvs WATERMELONOverpassfrom 4 down
Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)i7/31 (23%)Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)Of the 31 maps they lost, 7 (23%) were lost after leading by 3+ rounds — leads they threw away.vs illwillDust2led 5 · lost 9-13vs mix52Dust2led 4 · lost 11-13vs mix52Ancientled 3 · lost 10-13vs MetizportInfernoled 3 · lost 9-13vs ex-Zero TenacityNukeled 3 · lost 14-16
Biggest comebackifrom 6 downBiggest comebackLargest deficit erased to win a map.vs HOTUOverpassfrom 6 down · won 16-13
Biggest lead blowni5 roundsBiggest lead blownLargest lead held and still lost.vs illwillDust2led 5 · lost 9-13
Avg map margini5.6 roundsAvg map marginAverage round difference across maps.
Close maps (≤3) · OTi28% · 6Close maps (≤3) · OT28% of their maps were decided by ≤3 rounds (nailbiters); 6 went to overtime.vs HOTUOverpass16-13vs ALTAYInferno19-17vs OmegaMirage16-19vs Lazer CatsDust216-12vs ex-Zero TenacityNuke14-16
Win conditions
how they win rounds🎯
How they win rounds. Elimination = out-fragging; bomb = T execution; defuse = CT retakes; time = CT holds.
RUN
NOV
EliminationBombDefuseTime / hold