Keyd Stars53%to win the seriescoin-flipiMap edgesDust2: Yawara 60% · Mirage: Yawara 52% toss-up · Ancient: Keyd Stars 67% clearWhyYawara are favoured on 2 of 3 maps, but only barely — the other maps are near 50/50 (Dust2 & Mirage), so Keyd Stars just need to steal one (~69% to grab at least one).OutcomesKeyd Stars 53% — 2-1 33%, 2-0 19% · Yawara 47% — 2-0 31%, 2-1 16%
series odds add up every way a team can win, not just one scoreline
Keyd Stars 53%47% Yawara
It’s nearly a coin-flip. Keyd Stars only lead because their Ancient is strong enough that nicking just one of the close maps wins the series.