Matches / Upcoming / Keyd Stars vs Yawara
BO3Form 38-34 · 23-23🔫 Pistols KEY 49%🗺 Likely Dust2 · Mirage · Ancient
Recent-form read · all figures respect the data-range filter.
Recent form
Head-to-head
past meetings & common opponents4mo ago
Yawara2 : 1
Keyd Stars!4mo ago Keyd Stars1 : 2 Yawara!
Yawara2 : 1 Keyd Stars!⚠ Different lineup
Keyd Stars
outTuurtle, t9rnay
inxureba, zede
Yawara
outcard, revoltz
inedv, r3kt
Keyd Stars1 : 2 Yawara!⚠ Different lineup
Keyd Stars
outdanoco, t9rnay
inxureba, zede
Yawara
outcard, revoltz
inedv, r3kt
◂ KEY fared bettervs 8 shared opponentsYAW fared better ▸
Legacy#120-21-2
Keyd Stars vs Legacy
Apr 24LAncient1-13Mirage7-13Yawara vs Legacy
Mar 27LMirage10-13Dust213-10Ancient3-13LPLP#570-22-4
Keyd Stars vs LP
May 24LDust22-13Nuke4-13
Bounty Hunters#733-102-9
Keyd Stars vs Bounty Hunters
May 24LNuke7-13Dust25-13May 8LAncient16-14Dust214-16Nuke6-13Apr 29LDust213-16Mirage8-13+3 earlier meetings
Yawara vs Bounty Hunters
May 24LAncient10-13Dust212-16May 17LDust213-3Ancient1-13Mirage6-13Apr 28LDust211-13Ancient11-13+2 earlier meetings
Imperial#782-14-11
Keyd Stars vs Imperial
Feb 26WDust213-11Nuke11-13Mirage13-7Yawara vs Imperial
May 10LMirage13-10Inferno2-13Dust27-13Apr 27LAnubis5-13Inferno9-13Apr 26WDust213-11Inferno10-13Anubis13-6+3 earlier meetings
UNOUNO MILLE#1086-66-1
Keyd Stars vs UNO MILLE
May 3LNuke10-13Overpass8-13Apr 8WMirage13-11Dust213-10Mar 25LDust28-13Mirage9-13+2 earlier meetings
Isurus#1224-12-0
Yawara vs Isurus
May 1WInferno13-8Mirage13-6
Fluxo#1252-22-1
Yawara vs Fluxo
Jan 23WMirage13-4Nuke6-13Ancient13-8FAKFake do Biru#1473-103-2
Keyd Stars vs Fake do Biru
May 14LMirage6-13Dust210-13Apr 24WMirage13-8Apr 9LNuke13-9Dust28-13Mirage7-13+3 earlier meetings
Keyd Stars 20-34combined map recordYawara 22-30even
Firepower
roster ratingsKeyd Stars · avg 1.08 · top +0.1
| Player | Mp | K-D | ADR | KAST | HS | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| zede | 76 | 1.07 | 76.1 | 72% | 62% | 1.18 |
| lash | 143 | 1.18 | 74 | 73.3% | 35% | 1.14 |
| matios | 132 | 0.97 | 73.6 | 70.7% | 55% | 1.08 |
| xureba | 110 | 0.93 | 71.5 | 71.4% | 55% | 1.06 |
| CutzMeretz | 138 | 0.81 | 67 | 68.2% | 49% | 0.94 |
Yawara · avg 1.09 · top +0.08
| Player | Mp | K-D | ADR | KAST | HS | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| r3kt | 46 | 1.21 | 74.6 | 75.5% | 55% | 1.17 |
| tele | 97 | 0.97 | 79 | 70.8% | 55% | 1.12 |
| deemO | 97 | 0.99 | 70.2 | 72% | 55% | 1.08 |
| edv | 46 | 1.11 | 64.4 | 72.9% | 36% | 1.05 |
| j0w | 97 | 0.92 | 72.8 | 68.3% | 54% | 1.04 |
Projected veto
likely picks & bans🧭
Neither side's habitual bans cleanly remove the other's best maps — the veto is live.
Plays: Dust2 · Mirage · Ancient · Removed: Inferno · Nuke · Overpass · Anubis
every map shows both teams' win% (KEY / YAW)
1KEYD STARS BAN
Infernoproj. removed
KEY
n/a
0g
YAW
50%
4-4
2YAWARA BAN
Nukeproj. removed
KEY
43%
12-16
YAW
20%
2-8
3KEYD STARS PICK
Dust2
KEY
53%
25-22
YAW
64%
16-9
4YAWARA PICK
Mirage
KEY
55%
18-15
YAW
57%
13-10
5KEYD STARS BAN
Overpassproj. removed
KEY
33%
4-8
YAW
38%
3-5
6YAWARA BAN
Anubisproj. removed
KEY
50%
4-4
YAW
38%
3-5
7DECIDER
Ancientleft over
KEY
60%
9-6
YAW
40%
6-9
Projected from each team's veto habits (BO3), assuming Keyd Stars vetoes first.
Usual first ban — Keyd Stars Inferno · Yawara Inferno.
Map lab
pick the 3 maps · per-map H2H + predictionlayout
Pick 3 maps ✓
Best-case draws · each side's strongest realistic Bo3 — tap to load
The veto swings it — Keyd Stars 73% on their maps vs Yawara 58% on theirs. Whoever shapes the pool is favoured. Inferno (50%) is the closest to a toss-up.
Keyd Stars53%to win the seriescoin-flipiMap edgesDust2: Yawara 60% · Mirage: Yawara 52% toss-up · Ancient: Keyd Stars 67% clearWhyYawara are favoured on 2 of 3 maps, but only barely — the other maps are near 50/50 (Dust2 & Mirage), so Keyd Stars just need to steal one (~69% to grab at least one).OutcomesKeyd Stars 53% — 2-1 33%, 2-0 19% · Yawara 47% — 2-0 31%, 2-1 16%
series odds add up every way a team can win, not just one scoreline
series odds add up every way a team can win, not just one scoreline
Keyd Stars 53%47% Yawara
It’s nearly a coin-flip. Keyd Stars only lead because their Ancient is strong enough that nicking just one of the close maps wins the series.
Dust2KEY v YAW
40%60%
25-22record16-9
53%win64%
51%CT win55%
51%T win51%
51%pistol38%
81%convert89%
MirageKEY v YAW
48%52%
18-15record13-10
55%win57%
54%CT win53%
47%T win47%
50%pistol43%
85%convert70%
AncientKEY v YAW
67%33%
9-6record6-9
60%win40%
55%CT win54%
49%T win44%
40%pistol53%
75%convert88%
Pistol, eco & sides
win% · convert if won · eco if lost · CT/T per mapct / t side win% (Nuke skews CT, Dust2 T)pistol won the opening pistolconv then won round 2eco lost pistol, won round 2
Map
KEYct
KEYt
YAWct
YAWt
KEYpistol
KEYconv
KEYeco
YAWpistol
YAWconv
YAWeco
Dust2pool
51%234/457
51%261/511
55%139/251
51%132/261
51%48/94
81%39/48
22%10/46
38%19/50
89%17/19
16%5/31
Miragepool
54%170/314
47%162/342
53%101/191
47%116/247
50%33/66
85%28/33
19%6/32
43%20/46
70%14/20
4%1/26
Ancientpool
55%86/157
49%56/115
54%81/149
44%68/154
40%12/30
75%9/12
28%5/18
53%16/30
88%14/16
14%2/14
Infernoban
n/a
n/a
59%57/96
38%24/63
n/a
n/a
n/a
44%7/16
71%5/7
11%1/9
Nukeban
44%121/274
46%138/303
47%50/107
39%35/90
39%22/56
91%20/22
3%1/34
50%10/20
90%9/10
0%0/10
Overpassban
57%81/142
29%27/92
49%39/80
42%27/65
46%11/24
73%8/11
0%0/13
44%7/16
86%6/7
22%2/9
Anubisban
58%52/90
42%37/88
39%27/69
47%42/90
50%8/16
88%7/8
25%2/8
44%7/16
86%6/7
11%1/9
colour = vs league averagebelowavgabove
🔫Keyd Stars wins more pistol rounds — 49% vs 44%. Winning a pistol usually wins you the next few rounds too, so this is a small head start.
🔄Win the pistol → both win the next round about the same (82% vs 82%). Lose the pistol → Keyd Stars fight back to win the next round more often (22% vs 11%).
Mentality & map flow
comebacks, blown leads🧠
Keyd Stars average a 5.8-round margin (17 blown, biggest 6); Yawara average 6.1 (8 blown, 6 OTs). Hover any ⓘ for the matches behind it.
Keyd Stars
Comebacks (won from 3+ down)i19/72 (26%)Comebacks (won from 3+ down)Of the 72 maps they won, 19 (26%) were won after trailing by 3+ rounds. So 26% of their wins were comebacks — not 26% of all games.vs ex-KRÜNukefrom 7 downvs FOLHA AMARELANukefrom 5 downvs ODDIKNukefrom 5 downvs R2Dust2from 5 downvs METANOIA WolvesDust2from 5 down
Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)i17/71 (24%)Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)Of the 71 maps they lost, 17 (24%) were lost after leading by 3+ rounds — leads they threw away.vs YawaraDust2led 6 · lost 9-13vs MIBR AcademyMirageled 6 · lost 11-13vs Fake do BiruDust2led 6 · lost 10-13vs 9zDust2led 5 · lost 14-16vs FOLHA AMARELANukeled 5 · lost 9-13
Biggest comebackifrom 7 downBiggest comebackLargest deficit erased to win a map.vs ex-KRÜNukefrom 7 down · won 19-15
Biggest lead blowni6 roundsBiggest lead blownLargest lead held and still lost.vs YawaraDust2led 6 · lost 9-13
Avg map margini5.8 roundsAvg map marginAverage round difference across maps.
Close maps (≤3) · OTi30% · 11Close maps (≤3) · OT30% of their maps were decided by ≤3 rounds (nailbiters); 11 went to overtime.vs SharksMirage13-16vs 9zDust214-16vs ex-KRÜNuke19-15vs GalorysDust219-22vs MIBR AcademyMirage16-19
Yawara
Comebacks (won from 3+ down)i9/47 (19%)Comebacks (won from 3+ down)Of the 47 maps they won, 9 (19%) were won after trailing by 3+ rounds. So 19% of their wins were comebacks — not 19% of all games.vs Prison BreakersDust2from 6 downvs Keyd StarsDust2from 6 downvs UNO MILLEMiragefrom 6 downvs ImperialMiragefrom 5 downvs Bounty HuntersMiragefrom 4 down
Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)i8/50 (16%)Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)Of the 50 maps they lost, 8 (16%) were lost after leading by 3+ rounds — leads they threw away.vs Bounty HuntersNukeled 8 · lost 11-13vs ImperialDust2led 5 · lost 10-13vs LegacyMirageled 5 · lost 10-13vs Bounty HuntersAncientled 5 · lost 10-13vs Fake do BiruOverpassled 4 · lost 9-13
Biggest comebackifrom 6 downBiggest comebackLargest deficit erased to win a map.vs Prison BreakersDust2from 6 down · won 16-14
Biggest lead blowni8 roundsBiggest lead blownLargest lead held and still lost.vs Bounty HuntersNukeled 8 · lost 11-13
Avg map margini6.1 roundsAvg map marginAverage round difference across maps.
Close maps (≤3) · OTi28% · 6Close maps (≤3) · OT28% of their maps were decided by ≤3 rounds (nailbiters); 6 went to overtime.vs Prison BreakersDust216-14vs Bounty HuntersMirage16-14vs ImperialMirage14-16vs ImperialNuke17-19vs LPAncient14-16
Win conditions
how they win rounds🎯
How they win rounds. Elimination = out-fragging; bomb = T execution; defuse = CT retakes; time = CT holds.
KEY
YAW
EliminationBombDefuseTime / hold