Procyon vs ALKA Prediction & Odds · CS2 Match Preview

Matches / Upcoming / Procyon vs ALKA

TBD

CCT 2026 South America Series 4

Prediction

Our model gives ALKA a 56% chance to beat Procyon at CCT 2026 South America Series 4. Bookmakers price Procyon at 2.02 and ALKA at 1.72 (implied 46% vs 54%).

Procyon

2.02odds

ALKA

1.72odds

Our read44%

56%

Market46%

54%

median decimal odds · 4 books

FormatBO3Form17-31 · 10-13PistolsPRO 51%Likely mapsDust2 · Overpass · Nuke

Model read: track record · HLTV rank · firepower · form, weighted by sample size. All figures respect the data-range filter.

Recent form

Head-to-head

past meetings & common opponents

◂ PRO fared bettervs 8 shared opponentsALK fared better ▸

Marsborne#850-40-2

Procyon vs Marsborne

Jan 31LMirage11-13Inferno3-13 Jan 30LOverpass7-13Inferno6-13

ALKA vs Marsborne

Apr 1LAnubis4-13Nuke11-13

GameHunters#1300-22-4

Procyon vs GameHunters

Mar 22LNuke11-13Mirage11-13

ALKA vs GameHunters

Jul 17LDust213-7Cache13-16Nuke7-13 Jul 2LDust210-13Inferno13-8Mirage9-13

BESTIA Academy#1371-72-0

Procyon vs BESTIA Academy

Jun 27Lseries0-1 May 17LNuke5-13Mirage4-13 Apr 5LNuke7-13Inferno11-13

+1 earlier meeting

ALKA vs BESTIA Academy

Apr 2WNuke13-4Ancient13-5

UNOUNO MILLE#1402-80-6

Procyon vs UNO MILLE

Apr 19LDust213-1Nuke7-13Inferno5-13 Mar 23LOverpass13-9Nuke14-16Dust211-13 Mar 10LDust217-19Inferno13-16

+1 earlier meeting

ALKA vs UNO MILLE

May 22LAnubis6-13Nuke6-13 Apr 18LDust25-13Anubis2-13 Apr 6LNuke9-13Dust28-13

MIBR Academy#1603-32-0

Procyon vs MIBR Academy

Jun 30LAncient10-13Dust213-9Nuke11-13 May 20WMirage6-13Dust213-9Overpass13-9

ALKA vs MIBR Academy

May 17WNuke13-6Ancient13-11

Red Feet#1912-11-2

Procyon vs Red Feet

Jul 15WDust28-13Mirage13-7Ancient16-13

ALKA vs Red Feet

Jun 30LInferno7-13Dust213-11Mirage7-13

paiN Academy#1946-14-0

Procyon vs paiN Academy

Jul 18WDust213-8Mirage13-7 Apr 17WMirage9-13Nuke13-7Dust213-8 Mar 7WMirage13-10Dust213-2

ALKA vs paiN Academy

Jun 27WMirage13-3Inferno13-8 May 15WMirage13-11Nuke13-4

METANOIA Wolves#2061-20-2

Procyon vs METANOIA Wolves

Mar 22LInferno6-13Nuke13-9Dust24-13

ALKA vs METANOIA Wolves

Apr 23LNuke9-13Dust27-13

Procyon 15-28combined map recordALKA 11-16even

Firepower

roster ratings

Procyon · avg 1.1 · top +0.08

Player	Mp	K-D	ADR	KAST	HS	Rating
laser	7	1.15	73.2	75.9%	31%	1.18
lenci	109	1.08	77.6	73.7%	48%	1.15
MaxOff	109	0.97	70.4	73.2%	60%	1.06
pavv	109	0.93	73.4	73.3%	54%	1.06
next	109	0.96	67.5	72.1%	65%	1.04

ALKA · avg 1.08 · top +0.18

Player	Mp	K-D	ADR	KAST	HS	Rating
bnc	31	1.14	84	74.2%	52%	1.26
proSHOW	52	1.14	73.9	72.5%	34%	1.14
cerolzin	52	0.99	71.5	71%	47%	1.09
vinaabEAST	52	0.99	74.6	69%	58%	1.06
puni	52	0.74	61.1	67.7%	57%	0.85

Projected veto

likely picks & bans

Veto read

Neither side's habitual bans cleanly remove the other's best maps. The veto is live.

Plays: Dust2 · Overpass · Nuke · Removed: Ancient · Anubis · Mirage · Inferno every map shows both teams' win% (PRO / ALK)

1PROCYON BAN Ancientproj. removed

PRO 50% 1-1

ALK 71% 5-2

Procyon on Ancient

Red Feet 16–13 6d ago L

MIBR Academy 10–13 21d ago

ALKA on Ancient

Grêmio 13–11 2d ago L BORRACHEIROS 2–13 5d ago W

MAGICOS 13–4 15d ago W Blitzkrieg 13–2 17d ago W

MIBR Academy 13–11 2mo ago W

BESTIA Academy 13–5 4mo ago L

Crashers 6–13 4mo ago

2ALKA BAN Anubisproj. removed

PRO 50% 2-2

ALK 0% 0-6

Procyon on Anubis

ODDIK 11–13 4d ago W Pugdesonesto 13–6 5mo ago L FOLHA AMARELA 6–13 5mo ago W

Crashers 13–4 6mo ago

ALKA on Anubis

L UNO MILLE 6–13 2mo ago L UNO MILLE 2–13 3mo ago L Charrados 7–13 4mo ago L

Marsborne 4–13 4mo ago L

paiN 7–13 4mo ago L

Keyd Stars 11–13 4mo ago

3PROCYON PICK Dust2

PRO 44% 15-19

ALK 55% 6-5

Procyon on Dust2

paiN Academy 13–8 3d ago L

ODDIK 5–13 4d ago L

Red Feet 8–13 6d ago L

GUARA 8–13 18d ago W

MIBR Academy 13–9 21d ago L

Isurus 7–13 2mo ago W

MIBR Academy 13–9 2mo ago L

Yawara 5–13 3mo ago

ALKA on Dust2

Grêmio 13–5 2d ago W

GameHunters 13–7 4d ago W

MAGICOS 13–6 15d ago W Blitzkrieg 13–3 17d ago L

GameHunters 10–13 19d ago W

Red Feet 13–11 21d ago L

METANOIA Wolves 7–13 3mo ago L

9z 6–13 3mo ago

4ALKA PICK Overpass

PRO 25% 2-6

ALK 100% 1-0

Procyon on Overpass

MIBR Academy 13–9 2mo ago W UNO MILLE 13–9 4mo ago L UNO MILLE 1–13 5mo ago L

Galorys 9–13 5mo ago L LP 6–13 6mo ago L

Marsborne 7–13 6mo ago L

Vasco 8–13 6mo ago L

Galorys 9–13 6mo ago

ALKA on Overpass

W ex-KRÜ 13–9 2mo ago

5PROCYON BAN Mirageproj. removed

PRO 32% 6-13

ALK 50% 3-3

Procyon on Mirage

paiN Academy 13–7 3d ago W

Red Feet 13–7 6d ago L

Isurus 8–13 2mo ago L

MIBR Academy 6–13 2mo ago L

BESTIA Academy 4–13 2mo ago W

GUARA 13–9 2mo ago L

Yawara 6–13 3mo ago W

Bounty Hunters 13–3 3mo ago

ALKA on Mirage

Imperial 10–13 15d ago L

GameHunters 9–13 19d ago L

Red Feet 7–13 21d ago W

paiN Academy 13–3 24d ago W

paiN Academy 13–11 2mo ago W Charrados 13–5 4mo ago

6ALKA BAN Infernoproj. removed

PRO 48% 11-12

ALK 60% 3-2

Procyon on Inferno

GUARA 13–11 18d ago W

R2 13–8 2mo ago W

GUARA 13–6 2mo ago L

ShindeN 11–13 3mo ago L UNO MILLE 5–13 3mo ago W

Vasco 13–6 3mo ago L

BESTIA Academy 11–13 4mo ago L

Isurus 13–16 4mo ago

ALKA on Inferno

Grêmio 10–13 2d ago W BORRACHEIROS 13–9 5d ago W

GameHunters 13–8 19d ago L

Red Feet 7–13 21d ago W

paiN Academy 13–8 24d ago

7DECIDER Nukeleft over

PRO 37% 7-12

ALK 33% 5-10

Procyon on Nuke

GUARA 11–13 18d ago L

MIBR Academy 11–13 21d ago L

BESTIA Academy 5–13 2mo ago W

R2 13–3 2mo ago L

Bounty Hunters 9–13 3mo ago L

ShindeN 8–13 3mo ago L UNO MILLE 7–13 3mo ago W

paiN Academy 13–7 3mo ago

ALKA on Nuke

GameHunters 7–13 4d ago W BORRACHEIROS 13–10 5d ago L

Imperial 11–13 15d ago L UNO MILLE 6–13 2mo ago W

MIBR Academy 13–6 2mo ago W

paiN Academy 13–4 2mo ago W ex-KRÜ 13–6 2mo ago L

METANOIA Wolves 9–13 3mo ago

Projected from each team's veto habits (BO3), assuming Procyon vetoes first. Usual first ban: Procyon Ancient · ALKA Inferno.

Map lab

pick the 3 maps · per-map H2H + prediction

layout

Pick 3 maps ✓

Best-case draws · each side’s strongest realistic Bo3 · tap to load

The veto swings it: Procyon 61% on their maps vs ALKA 67% on theirs. Whoever shapes the pool is favoured. Nuke (53%) is the closest to a toss-up.

ALKA56%to win the seriescoin-flipiMap edgesDust2: ALKA 59% · Overpass: ALKA 55% toss-up · Nuke: Procyon 53% toss-upWhyALKA hold the edge across the maps (2 of 3 lean their way).OutcomesProcyon 44%: 2-1 26%, 2-0 18% · ALKA 56%: 2-0 33%, 2-1 23%
series odds add up every way a team can win, not just one scoreline

Procyon 44%56% ALKA

It’s nearly a coin-flip. ALKA only lead because their Dust2 is strong enough that nicking just one of the close maps wins the series.

Dust2PRO v ALK

41%

59%

15-19record6-5

44%win55%

52%CT win52%

48%T win51%

53%pistol41%

81%convert89%

OverpassPRO v ALK

45%

55%

2-6record1-0

25%win100%

37%CT win60%

45%T win58%

38%pistol100%

83%convert50%

NukePRO v ALK

53%

47%

7-12record5-10

37%win33%

49%CT win46%

47%T win48%

53%pistol33%

90%convert100%

Pistol, eco & sides

win% · convert if won · eco if lost · CT/T per map

ct / t side win% (Nuke skews CT, Dust2 T)pistol won the opening pistolconv then won round 2eco lost pistol, won round 2

Map

PROct

PROt

ALKct

ALKt

PROpistol

PROconv

PROeco

ALKpistol

ALKconv

ALKeco

Dust2pool

52%159/306

48%171/360

52%60/115

51%54/106

53%36/68

81%29/36

19%6/32

41%9/22

89%8/9

15%2/13

Overpasspool

37%31/84

45%35/78

60%6/10

58%7/12

38%6/16

83%5/6

10%1/10

100%2/2

50%1/2

n/a

Nukepool

49%103/210

47%89/190

46%71/153

48%72/150

53%20/38

90%18/20

11%2/18

33%10/30

100%10/10

20%4/20

Ancientban

67%16/24

26%6/23

47%31/66

64%42/66

50%2/4

100%2/2

0%0/2

64%9/14

89%8/9

20%1/5

Anubisban

54%22/41

55%21/38

38%21/56

27%16/59

75%6/8

83%5/6

100%2/2

75%9/12

33%3/9

0%0/3

Mirageban

48%91/191

45%89/197

56%37/66

49%28/57

50%19/38

74%14/19

16%3/19

50%6/12

100%6/6

17%1/6

Infernoban

47%119/255

52%112/214

61%33/54

43%23/53

52%24/46

67%16/24

23%5/22

40%4/10

75%3/4

50%3/6

colour = vs league averagebelowavgabove

Pistols

Procyon wins more pistol rounds: 51% vs 39%. Winning a pistol usually wins you the next few rounds too, so this is a small head start.

After pistol

Win the pistol → ALKA usually win the next round too (90% vs 84%). Lose the pistol → both fight back about the same (15% vs 18%).

Mentality & map flow

comebacks, blown leads

Margins

Procyon average a 5.8-round margin (17 blown, biggest 6); ALKA average 5.9 (5 blown, 1 OTs). Hover any ⓘ for the matches behind it.

Procyon

Comebacks (won from 3+ down)i10/44 (23%)Comebacks (won from 3+ down)Of the 44 maps they won, 10 (23%) were won after trailing by 3+ rounds. So 23% of their wins were comebacks, not 23% of all games.vs Red FeetAncientfrom 8 down vs LUNADust2from 6 down vs UNO MILLEOverpassfrom 6 down vs ShindeNDust2from 5 down vs GUARAMiragefrom 5 down

Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)i17/65 (26%)Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)Of the 65 maps they lost, 17 (26%) were lost after leading by 3+ rounds: leads they threw away.vs FOLHA AMARELADust2led 6 · lost 8-13 vs IsurusInfernoled 6 · lost 13-16 vs GameHuntersNukeled 5 · lost 11-13 vs VascoMirageled 4 · lost 11-13 vs FOLHA AMARELAMirageled 4 · lost 9-13

Biggest comebackifrom 8 downBiggest comebackLargest deficit erased to win a map.vs Red FeetAncientfrom 8 down · won 16-13

Biggest lead blowni6 roundsBiggest lead blownLargest lead held and still lost.vs FOLHA AMARELADust2led 6 · lost 8-13

Avg map margini5.8 roundsAvg map marginAverage round difference across maps.

Close maps (≤3) · OTi23% · 8Close maps (≤3) · OT23% of their maps were decided by ≤3 rounds (nailbiters); 8 went to overtime.vs BESTIA AcademyDust212-16 vs ex-KRÜNuke19-15 vs ShindeNDust214-16 vs UNO MILLEDust217-19 vs UNO MILLEInferno13-16

ALKA

Comebacks (won from 3+ down)i9/23 (39%)Comebacks (won from 3+ down)Of the 23 maps they won, 9 (39%) were won after trailing by 3+ rounds. So 39% of their wins were comebacks, not 39% of all games.vs Red FeetDust2from 6 down vs paiN AcademyInfernofrom 5 down vs GrêmioAncientfrom 5 down vs ex-KRÜNukefrom 4 down vs CharradosDust2from 3 down

Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)i5/29 (17%)Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)Of the 29 maps they lost, 5 (17%) were lost after leading by 3+ rounds: leads they threw away.vs CrashersNukeled 4 · lost 8-13 vs Keyd StarsAnubisled 4 · lost 11-13 vs 9zDust2led 4 · lost 6-13 vs MarsborneNukeled 3 · lost 11-13 vs GameHuntersMirageled 3 · lost 9-13

Biggest comebackifrom 6 downBiggest comebackLargest deficit erased to win a map.vs Red FeetDust2from 6 down · won 13-11

Biggest lead blowni4 roundsBiggest lead blownLargest lead held and still lost.vs CrashersNukeled 4 · lost 8-13

Avg map margini5.9 roundsAvg map marginAverage round difference across maps.

Close maps (≤3) · OTi25% · 1Close maps (≤3) · OT25% of their maps were decided by ≤3 rounds (nailbiters); 1 went to overtime.vs GameHuntersCache13-16

Procyon vs ALKA FAQ

Who is favored to win Procyon vs ALKA?

ALKA are favored with a 56% model win probability, and are the bookmakers' favorite too.

What are the betting odds for Procyon vs ALKA?

Bookmakers price Procyon at 2.02 and ALKA at 1.72 (implied 46% vs 54%).

When do Procyon and ALKA play?

Procyon vs ALKA is scheduled for a date to be confirmed at CCT 2026 South America Series 4.