Matches / Upcoming / Fluxo vs paiN Academy
Fluxo
2026-07-23 16:00 UTC
CCT 2026 South America Series 4
paiN Academy
PredictionHigh confidence
Our model gives Fluxo a 80% chance to beat paiN Academy at CCT 2026 South America Series 4.
Our read80%
20%
FormatBO3Form25-25 · 25-34PistolsPAI 53%Likely mapsDust2 · Mirage · Anubis
Model read: track record · HLTV rank · firepower · form, weighted by sample size. All figures respect the data-range filter.

Recent form

Head-to-head

past meetings & common opponents
FLU fared bettervs 8 shared opponentsPAI fared better ▸
Galorys#560-40-4
ShindeN#724-40-2
Keyd Stars#1124-21-8
GameHunters#1303-21-4
UNO MILLE#1401-22-9
MIBR Academy#1603-20-3
ODDIK#1695-30-2
Fake do Biru#1740-34-6
Fluxo 20-22combined map recordpaiN Academy 8-38edge · Fluxo

Firepower

roster ratings

Fluxo · avg 1.11 · top +0.05

PlayerMpK-DADRKASTHSRating
dav1deuS351.0382.873.9%59%1.16
exit1121.0972.976.3%52%1.12
Ltz350.9770.471.7%58%1.09
kye1041.0273.873.4%59%1.09
zevy1121.1469.772.6%36%1.08

paiN Academy · avg 1.11 · top +0.16

PlayerMpK-DADRKASTHSRating
Misfit261.2583.573.8%40%1.27
Rkzinho671.1376.172.6%61%1.15
Tatu1410.9976.671.3%63%1.12
k9izer920.9472.570.8%53%1.05
tsug1410.7964.368.5%56%0.95

Projected veto

likely picks & bans
Veto read
Neither side's habitual bans cleanly remove the other's best maps. The veto is live.
Plays: Dust2 · Mirage · Anubis  ·  Removed: Overpass · Ancient · Inferno · Nuke every map shows both teams' win% (FLU / PAI)
1FLUXO BAN Overpassproj. removed
FLU n/a 0g
PAI 25% 2-6
2PAIN ACADEMY BAN Ancientproj. removed
FLU 18% 2-9
PAI 0% 0-3
3FLUXO PICK Dust2
FLU 63% 15-9
PAI 35% 15-28
4PAIN ACADEMY PICK Mirage
FLU 53% 8-7
PAI 44% 15-19
5FLUXO BAN Infernoproj. removed
FLU 50% 7-7
PAI 59% 10-7
6PAIN ACADEMY BAN Nukeproj. removed
FLU 47% 15-17
PAI 33% 5-10
7DECIDER Anubisleft over
FLU 57% 8-6
PAI 63% 12-7
Projected from each team's veto habits (BO3), assuming Fluxo vetoes first. Usual first ban: Fluxo Overpass · paiN Academy Ancient.

Map lab

pick the 3 maps · per-map H2H + prediction
layout
Pick 3 maps
Best-case draws · each side’s strongest realistic Bo3 · tap to load
The veto swings it: Fluxo 72% on their maps vs paiN Academy 57% on theirs. Whoever shapes the pool is favoured. Overpass (50%) is the closest to a toss-up.
Fluxo64%to win the seriesclear pickiMap edgesDust2: Fluxo 74% clear · Mirage: Fluxo 58% · Anubis: paiN Academy 56% toss-upWhyFluxo hold the edge across the maps (2 of 3 lean their way).OutcomesFluxo 64%: 2-0 43%, 2-1 20%  ·  paiN Academy 36%: 2-1 26%, 2-0 11%
series odds add up every way a team can win, not just one scoreline
Fluxo 64%36% paiN Academy
Fluxo are the clearer side here: the most likely result is Fluxo 2-0.
Dust2FLU v PAI
74%
26%
15-9record15-28
63%win35%
52%CT win48%
56%T win44%
42%pistol52%
95%convert80%
MirageFLU v PAI
58%
42%
8-7record15-19
53%win44%
56%CT win56%
42%T win42%
33%pistol54%
89%convert78%
AnubisFLU v PAI
44%
56%
8-6record12-7
57%win63%
47%CT win50%
52%T win61%
32%pistol53%
89%convert90%

Pistol, eco & sides

win% · convert if won · eco if lost · CT/T per map
ct / t side win% (Nuke skews CT, Dust2 T)pistol won the opening pistolconv then won round 2eco lost pistol, won round 2
Map
FLUct
FLUt
PAIct
PAIt
FLUpistol
FLUconv
FLUeco
PAIpistol
PAIconv
PAIeco
Dust2pool
52%127/245
56%146/263
48%183/385
44%186/424
42%20/48
95%19/20
21%6/28
52%45/86
80%36/45
7%3/41
Miragepool
56%88/156
42%49/117
56%183/325
42%158/378
33%10/30
89%8/9
15%3/20
54%37/68
78%29/37
13%4/31
Anubispool
47%66/139
52%76/145
50%104/208
61%109/180
32%9/28
89%8/9
5%1/19
53%20/38
90%18/20
17%3/18
Overpassban
n/a
n/a
52%46/89
41%29/70
n/a
n/a
n/a
56%9/16
88%7/8
0%0/7
Ancientban
52%61/117
38%45/120
40%10/25
8%2/26
45%10/22
80%8/10
0%0/12
17%1/6
0%0/1
0%0/4
Infernoban
53%68/128
49%68/140
52%107/204
48%72/149
46%13/28
92%12/13
20%3/15
56%19/34
68%13/19
20%3/15
Nukeban
56%189/339
47%153/323
44%80/180
35%45/127
55%35/64
77%27/35
14%4/29
40%12/30
75%9/12
17%3/18
colour = vs league averagebelowavgabove
Pistols
paiN Academy wins more pistol rounds: 53% vs 37%. Winning a pistol usually wins you the next few rounds too, so this is a small head start.
After pistol
Win the pistol → Fluxo usually win the next round too (92% vs 81%). Lose the pistol → Fluxo fight back to win the next round more often (15% vs 11%).

Mentality & map flow

comebacks, blown leads
Margins
Fluxo average a 5.7-round margin (15 blown, biggest 12); paiN Academy average 6 (21 blown, 10 OTs). Hover any ⓘ for the matches behind it.

Fluxo

Comebacks (won from 3+ down)i15/56 (27%)Comebacks (won from 3+ down)Of the 56 maps they won, 15 (27%) were won after trailing by 3+ rounds. So 27% of their wins were comebacks, not 27% of all games.vs paiN AcademyNukefrom 6 downvs MarsborneAncientfrom 5 downvs ODDIKDust2from 5 downvs Keyd StarsMiragefrom 5 downvs MIBR AcademyNukefrom 4 down
Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)i15/56 (27%)Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)Of the 56 maps they lost, 15 (27%) were lost after leading by 3+ rounds: leads they threw away.vs paiN AcademyAnubisled 12 · lost 1-13vs LPInfernoled 7 · lost 11-13vs SharksNukeled 6 · lost 10-13vs GameHuntersMirageled 5 · lost 10-13vs GalorysDust2led 5 · lost 19-22
Biggest comebackifrom 6 downBiggest comebackLargest deficit erased to win a map.vs paiN AcademyNukefrom 6 down · won 13-7
Biggest lead blowni12 roundsBiggest lead blownLargest lead held and still lost.vs paiN AcademyAnubisled 12 · lost 1-13
Avg map margini5.7 roundsAvg map marginAverage round difference across maps.
Close maps (≤3) · OTi27% · 12Close maps (≤3) · OT27% of their maps were decided by ≤3 rounds (nailbiters); 12 went to overtime.vs ShindeNAncient14-16vs ODDIKAncient18-22vs ODDIKDust222-18vs SAWAnubis22-20vs Keyd StarsNuke13-16

paiN Academy

Comebacks (won from 3+ down)i17/60 (28%)Comebacks (won from 3+ down)Of the 60 maps they won, 17 (28%) were won after trailing by 3+ rounds. So 28% of their wins were comebacks, not 28% of all games.vs FluxoAnubisfrom 12 downvs FURIA feMiragefrom 8 downvs Fake do BiruAnubisfrom 6 downvs Red FeetInfernofrom 6 downvs HereWeGoAgainDust2from 5 down
Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)i21/81 (26%)Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)Of the 81 maps they lost, 21 (26%) were lost after leading by 3+ rounds: leads they threw away.vs R2Nukeled 6 · lost 11-13vs VascoDust2led 6 · lost 10-13vs FluxoNukeled 6 · lost 7-13vs ALKAInfernoled 5 · lost 8-13vs ProcyonDust2led 5 · lost 8-13
Biggest comebackifrom 12 downBiggest comebackLargest deficit erased to win a map.vs FluxoAnubisfrom 12 down · won 13-1
Biggest lead blowni6 roundsBiggest lead blownLargest lead held and still lost.vs R2Nukeled 6 · lost 11-13
Avg map margini6 roundsAvg map marginAverage round difference across maps.
Close maps (≤3) · OTi26% · 10Close maps (≤3) · OT26% of their maps were decided by ≤3 rounds (nailbiters); 10 went to overtime.vs CharradosInferno13-16vs Bad LuckNuke16-12vs ex-KRÜDust216-13vs UNO MILLEMirage17-19vs UNO MILLEMirage14-16

Fluxo vs paiN Academy FAQ

Who is favored to win Fluxo vs paiN Academy?

Fluxo are favored with a 80% model win probability.

What are the betting odds for Fluxo vs paiN Academy?

Match odds for Fluxo vs paiN Academy aren't available yet. Check back closer to the match.

When do Fluxo and paiN Academy play?

Fluxo vs paiN Academy is scheduled for 2026-07-23 16:00 UTC at CCT 2026 South America Series 4.