Matches / Upcoming / Fake do Biru vs BORRACHEIROS
Fake do Biru
2026-07-24 13:00 UTC
CCT 2026 South America Series 4
BORRACHEIROS
Prediction
Our model gives Fake do Biru a 64% chance to beat BORRACHEIROS at CCT 2026 South America Series 4. Limited data on this matchup, so the read stays close to the market. Bookmakers price Fake do Biru at 1.28 and BORRACHEIROS at 3.3 (implied 72% vs 28%).
Our read thin64%
36%
Market72%
28%
median decimal odds · 4 booksBookmakerFAKBOR1red1.283.3Epicbet1.283.3Stake1.283.3n1bet1.283.3
FormatBO3Form35-29 · 1-1PistolsFAK 54%Likely mapsDust2 · Mirage · Overpass
Model read: track record · HLTV rank · firepower · form, weighted by sample size. All figures respect the data-range filter.

Recent form

Head-to-head

past meetings & common opponents
FAK fared bettervs 2 shared opponentsBOR fared better ▸
BESTIA Academy#1372-12-0
Fake do Biru vs BESTIA Academy
Feb 4WDust213-5Mirage13-11
BORRACHEIROS vs BESTIA Academy
Jul 21WDust213-7Mirage13-11
METANOIA Wolves#2061-01-0
Fake do Biru vs METANOIA Wolves
May 11Wseries1-0
BORRACHEIROS vs METANOIA Wolves
Jul 19Wseries1-0
Fake do Biru 3-1combined map recordBORRACHEIROS 3-0edge · BORRACHEIROS

Firepower

roster ratings

Fake do Biru · avg 1.05 · top +0.11

PlayerMpK-DADRKASTHSRating
detr0ittJ1451.1973.874%34%1.16
b4rtiN141.0568.872.5%58%1.11
hardzao1451.017470.8%52%1.06
pesadelo600.8872.767.5%46%1
PKL1430.8467.969.7%52%0.94

BORRACHEIROS · avg 1.11 · top +0.19

PlayerMpK-DADRKASTHSRating
zock951.5382.677.3%26%1.3
rainny51.187176.6%59%1.17
Lacerda51.1270.477%60%1.09
nolkz50.8670.371.8%64%1.01
neozix50.8260.573.4%60%0.96

Projected veto

likely picks & bans
Veto read
Neither side's habitual bans cleanly remove the other's best maps. The veto is live.
Plays: Dust2 · Mirage · Overpass  ·  Removed: Ancient · Inferno · Anubis · Nuke every map shows both teams' win% (FAK / BOR)
1FAKE DO BIRU BAN Ancientproj. removed
FAK n/a 0g
BOR 100% 1-0
Fake do Biru on Ancient
no recent maps
BORRACHEIROS on Ancient
W ALKA 132 7d ago
2BORRACHEIROS BAN Infernoproj. removed
FAK 41% 9-13
BOR 0% 0-1
3FAKE DO BIRU PICK Dust2
FAK 63% 29-17
BOR 100% 1-0
4BORRACHEIROS PICK Mirage
FAK 52% 14-13
BOR 100% 1-0
5FAKE DO BIRU BAN Anubisproj. removed
FAK 25% 3-9
BOR n/a 0g
6BORRACHEIROS BAN Nukeproj. removed
FAK 50% 12-12
BOR 0% 0-1
7DECIDER Overpassleft over
FAK 58% 7-5
BOR n/a 0g
Projected from each team's veto habits (BO3), assuming Fake do Biru vetoes first. Usual first ban: Fake do Biru Ancient · BORRACHEIROS Cache.

Map lab

pick the 3 maps · per-map H2H + prediction
layout
Pick 3 maps
Best-case draws · each side’s strongest realistic Bo3 · tap to load
The veto swings it: Fake do Biru 52% on their maps vs BORRACHEIROS 52% on theirs. Whoever shapes the pool is favoured. Anubis (50%) is the closest to a toss-up.
BORRACHEIROS52%to win the seriescoin-flipiMap edgesDust2: BORRACHEIROS 51% toss-up · Mirage: BORRACHEIROS 53% toss-up · Overpass: BORRACHEIROS 50% toss-upWhyBORRACHEIROS hold the edge across the maps (3 of 3 lean their way).OutcomesFake do Biru 48%: 2-1 25%, 2-0 23%  ·  BORRACHEIROS 52%: 2-0 27%, 2-1 25%
series odds add up every way a team can win, not just one scoreline
Fake do Biru 48%52% BORRACHEIROS
It’s nearly a coin-flip. BORRACHEIROS only lead because their pick is strong enough that nicking just one of the close maps wins the series.
Dust2FAK v BOR
49%
51%
29-17record1-0
63%win100%
56%CT win67%
55%T win63%
57%pistol50%
83%convert100%
MirageFAK v BOR
47%
53%
14-13record1-0
52%win100%
54%CT win42%
46%T win67%
59%pistol0%
88%convert
OverpassFAK v BOR
50%
50%
thin sample, read with caution
7-5record0-0
58%win
55%CT win
45%T win
33%pistol
75%convert

Pistol, eco & sides

win% · convert if won · eco if lost · CT/T per map
ct / t side win% (Nuke skews CT, Dust2 T)pistol won the opening pistolconv then won round 2eco lost pistol, won round 2
Map
FAKct
FAKt
BORct
BORt
FAKpistol
FAKconv
FAKeco
BORpistol
BORconv
BOReco
Dust2pool
56%207/367
55%283/515
67%8/12
63%5/8
57%52/92
83%43/52
43%17/40
50%1/2
100%1/1
100%1/1
Miragepool
54%168/309
46%110/241
42%5/12
67%8/12
59%32/54
88%28/32
27%6/22
0%0/2
n/a
50%1/2
Overpasspool
55%73/132
45%57/126
n/a
n/a
33%8/24
75%6/8
19%3/16
n/a
n/a
n/a
Ancientban
n/a
n/a
83%10/12
100%3/3
n/a
n/a
n/a
100%2/2
50%1/2
n/a
Infernoban
47%106/226
47%109/230
50%5/10
33%4/12
43%19/44
79%15/19
32%8/25
50%1/2
0%0/1
0%0/1
Anubisban
39%50/128
49%60/122
n/a
n/a
58%14/24
71%10/14
10%1/10
n/a
n/a
n/a
Nukeban
57%146/258
44%97/222
42%5/12
45%5/11
48%23/48
78%18/23
4%1/25
100%2/2
50%1/2
n/a
colour = vs league averagebelowavgabove
Pistols
Fake do Biru wins more pistol rounds: 54% vs 25%. Winning a pistol usually wins you the next few rounds too, so this is a small head start.
After pistol
Win the pistol → BORRACHEIROS usually win the next round too (100% vs 84%). Lose the pistol → BORRACHEIROS fight back to win the next round more often (67% vs 33%).

Mentality & map flow

comebacks, blown leads
Margins
Fake do Biru average a 5.7-round margin (19 blown, biggest 9); BORRACHEIROS average 5.2 (1 blown, 0 OTs). Hover any ⓘ for the matches behind it.

Fake do Biru

Comebacks (won from 3+ down)i16/75 (21%)Comebacks (won from 3+ down)Of the 75 maps they won, 16 (21%) were won after trailing by 3+ rounds. So 21% of their wins were comebacks, not 21% of all games.vs BESTIA AcademyMiragefrom 7 downvs BESTIAInfernofrom 6 downvs LPMiragefrom 6 downvs Keyd StarsDust2from 6 downvs UNO MILLENukefrom 6 down
Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)i19/69 (28%)Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)Of the 69 maps they lost, 19 (28%) were lost after leading by 3+ rounds: leads they threw away.vs 9zOverpassled 9 · lost 14-16vs LPNukeled 8 · lost 11-13vs ImperialMirageled 7 · lost 13-16vs ShindeNNukeled 6 · lost 11-13vs DASHDust2led 6 · lost 14-16
Biggest comebackifrom 7 downBiggest comebackLargest deficit erased to win a map.vs BESTIA AcademyMiragefrom 7 down · won 13-11
Biggest lead blowni9 roundsBiggest lead blownLargest lead held and still lost.vs 9zOverpassled 9 · lost 14-16
Avg map margini5.7 roundsAvg map marginAverage round difference across maps.
Close maps (≤3) · OTi31% · 13Close maps (≤3) · OT31% of their maps were decided by ≤3 rounds (nailbiters); 13 went to overtime.vs 9zOverpass14-16vs PlayersAnubis16-12vs MarsborneInferno17-19vs 9zOverpass16-14vs 9zInferno13-16

BORRACHEIROS

Comebacks (won from 3+ down)i0/3 (0%)Comebacks (won from 3+ down)Of the 3 maps they won, 0 (0%) were won after trailing by 3+ rounds. So 0% of their wins were comebacks, not 0% of all games.none in the sample
Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)i1/2 (50%)Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)Of the 2 maps they lost, 1 (50%) were lost after leading by 3+ rounds: leads they threw away.vs ALKANukeled 3 · lost 10-13
Biggest comebackifrom 1 downBiggest comebackLargest deficit erased to win a map.none in the sample
Biggest lead blowni3 roundsBiggest lead blownLargest lead held and still lost.vs ALKANukeled 3 · lost 10-13
Avg map margini5.2 roundsAvg map marginAverage round difference across maps.
Close maps (≤3) · OTi40% · 0Close maps (≤3) · OT40% of their maps were decided by ≤3 rounds (nailbiters); 0 went to overtime.none in the sample

Fake do Biru vs BORRACHEIROS FAQ

Who is favored to win Fake do Biru vs BORRACHEIROS?

Fake do Biru are favored with a 64% model win probability, and are the bookmakers' favorite too.

What are the betting odds for Fake do Biru vs BORRACHEIROS?

Bookmakers price Fake do Biru at 1.28 and BORRACHEIROS at 3.3 (implied 72% vs 28%).

When do Fake do Biru and BORRACHEIROS play?

Fake do Biru vs BORRACHEIROS is scheduled for 2026-07-24 13:00 UTC at CCT 2026 South America Series 4.

Fake do Biru vs BORRACHEIROS Prediction & Odds · CS2 Match Preview · CS2OBSERVER