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Matches / Upcoming / Lavked vs ex-RUSTEC
Lavked
2026-07-23 11:00 UTC
NODWIN Clutch Series 10
ex-RUSTEC
Prediction
Our model gives Lavked a 65% chance to beat ex-RUSTEC at NODWIN Clutch Series 10. Bookmakers price Lavked at 1.72 and ex-RUSTEC at 1.97 (implied 53% vs 47%).
Lavked
1.72odds
ex-RUSTEC
1.97odds
Our read65%
35%
Market53%
47%
median decimal odds · 3 booksBookmakerLAVEX-GGBet1.721.97Sweatbet 1.721.97slotoro1.721.97
FormatBO3Form43-27 · 1-1PistolsLAV 47%Likely mapsMirage · Dust2 · Anubis
Model read: track record · HLTV rank · firepower · form, weighted by sample size. All figures respect the data-range filter.

Recent form

Lavked

Just Players8d ago0-2AcendPistols5/61mo ago1-2MisaPistols4/41mo ago2-0MANAComeback7Overtime2mo ago2-11win2mo ago1-2ASTRAL2mo ago2-0KOLESIEOvertime2mo ago0-2HEROIC Academy2mo ago2-1NemesisStomp2-132mo ago0-2Rune EatersPistols3/4Comeback72mo ago2-0Phantom2mo ago1-2fnaticPistols5/62mo ago2-1HEROIC AcademyStomp1-132mo ago2-1ex-Zero TenacityBlew lead6Overtime2mo ago2-1Oramond2mo ago0-2

ex-RUSTEC

Just PlayersUpset2d ago2-0GenOneOvertime10d ago0-2

Head-to-head

past meetings & common opponents
◂ LAV fared bettervs 2 shared opponentsEX- fared better ▸
GenOne#634-10-2
Lavked vs GenOne
May 11WDust213-8Nuke13-8May 3WDust27-13Nuke13-10Ancient13-10
ex-RUSTEC vs GenOne
Jul 13LDust214-16Inferno8-13
Just Players#910-32-0
Lavked vs Just Players
Jul 15LMirage9-13Ancient11-13Jul 6Lseries0-1
ex-RUSTEC vs Just Players
Jul 21WMirage13-10Dust213-10
Lavked 4-4combined map recordex-RUSTEC 2-2even

Firepower

roster ratings

Lavked · avg 1.01 · top +0.11

PlayerMpK-DADRKASTHSRating
xm1nd1421.1771.572.1%37%1.12
1NVISIBLEE1660.8979.768.6%58%1.06
sol1670.9367.771.6%51%1.02
KENSI50.9371.664.9%62%1.01
L1nkero150.6957.665.5%60%0.82

ex-RUSTEC · avg 1.1 · top +0.22

PlayerMpK-DADRKASTHSRating
Patsi41.1984.174%58%1.32
yiksrezo41.2685.471.7%72%1.28
youka31.167270.9%47%1.17
jakekeS40.786570.2%60%0.87
Brilliance40.6958.768.8%67%0.85

Projected veto

likely picks & bans
Veto read
ex-RUSTEC habitually bans Ancient, Lavked's strongest maps (Ancient, Mirage, Nuke all ≥60%). That's a standing habit (Ancient 2/2), not an opponent read, so expect Lavked to fight the veto for Mirage.
Plays: Mirage · Dust2 · Anubis  ·  Removed: Inferno · Ancient · Overpass · Nuke every map shows both teams' win% (LAV / EX-)
1LAVKED BAN Infernoproj. removed
LAV 20% 2-8
EX- 0% 0-1
Lavked on Inferno
L Nuclear TigeRES 1–13 2mo ago L SPARTA 12–16 2mo ago L Sashi 2–13 3mo ago L Alliance 7–13 3mo ago L The Last Resort 3–13 3mo ago L UNiTY 7–13 3mo ago L fnatic 4–13 3mo ago W Hashiras 13–9 3mo ago
ex-RUSTEC on Inferno
L GenOne 8–13 10d ago
2EX-RUSTEC BAN Ancientproj. removed
LAV 81% 17-4
EX- n/a 0g
Lavked on Ancient
L Just Players 11–13 8d ago W HEROIC Academy 13–8 2mo ago W Rune Eaters 13–11 2mo ago W TNC 13–9 2mo ago W 100 Thieves 19–17 2mo ago W SPARTA 13–9 2mo ago W MOUZ NXT 13–7 3mo ago L TNC 8–13 3mo ago
ex-RUSTEC on Ancient
no recent maps
3LAVKED PICK Mirage
LAV 65% 33-18
EX- 100% 1-0
Lavked on Mirage
L Just Players 9–13 8d ago L Acend 7–13 1mo ago W Misa 13–10 1mo ago W MANA 19–17 2mo ago W 1win 13–8 2mo ago W ASTRAL 13–6 2mo ago L KOLESIE 14–16 2mo ago L HEROIC Academy 9–13 2mo ago
ex-RUSTEC on Mirage
W Just Players 13–10 2d ago
4EX-RUSTEC PICK Dust2
LAV 46% 13-15
EX- 50% 1-1
Lavked on Dust2
L Acend 11–13 1mo ago W Misa 13–5 1mo ago L MANA 8–13 2mo ago L Phantom 7–13 2mo ago W fnatic 13–6 2mo ago W HEROIC Academy 13–10 2mo ago L ex-Zero Tenacity 15–19 2mo ago L Oramond 9–13 2mo ago
ex-RUSTEC on Dust2
W Just Players 13–10 2d ago L GenOne 14–16 10d ago
5LAVKED BAN Overpassproj. removed
LAV 38% 3-5
EX- n/a 0g
Lavked on Overpass
W Acend 13–9 1mo ago L 1win 8–13 2mo ago L TDK 7–13 2mo ago W Rebels 13–9 3mo ago W Hashiras 13–9 4mo ago L G2 Ares 13–16 4mo ago L QUAZAR 3–13 4mo ago L Atreides 9–13 4mo ago
ex-RUSTEC on Overpass
no recent maps
6EX-RUSTEC BAN Nukeproj. removed
LAV 62% 23-14
EX- n/a 0g
Lavked on Nuke
L KOLESIE 4–13 2mo ago L Nemesis 2–13 2mo ago L Phantom 7–13 2mo ago W ex-Zero Tenacity 13–8 2mo ago L TNC 4–13 2mo ago W 100 Thieves 13–6 2mo ago W MOUZ NXT 13–11 2mo ago W GenOne 13–8 2mo ago
ex-RUSTEC on Nuke
no recent maps
7DECIDER Anubisleft over
LAV 42% 5-7
EX- n/a 0g
Lavked on Anubis
W MANA 13–11 2mo ago L 1win 8–13 2mo ago W ASTRAL 13–7 2mo ago W HEROIC Academy 13–9 2mo ago W fnatic 13–8 2mo ago L HEROIC Academy 1–13 2mo ago L Nemiga 6–13 2mo ago W fnatic 13–7 2mo ago
ex-RUSTEC on Anubis
no recent maps
Projected from each team's veto habits (BO3), assuming Lavked vetoes first. Usual first ban: Lavked Inferno · ex-RUSTEC Ancient.

Map lab

pick the 3 maps · per-map H2H + prediction
layout
Pick 3 maps ✓
Best-case draws · each side’s strongest realistic Bo3 · tap to load
The veto swings it: Lavked 50% on their maps vs ex-RUSTEC 52% on theirs. Whoever shapes the pool is favoured. Nuke (50%) is the closest to a toss-up.
ex-RUSTEC51%to win the seriescoin-flipiMap edgesMirage: ex-RUSTEC 50% toss-up · Dust2: ex-RUSTEC 51% toss-up · Anubis: ex-RUSTEC 50% toss-upWhyex-RUSTEC hold the edge across the maps (3 of 3 lean their way).OutcomesLavked 49%: 2-1 25%, 2-0 24%  ·  ex-RUSTEC 51%: 2-0 26%, 2-1 25%
series odds add up every way a team can win, not just one scoreline
Lavked 49%51% ex-RUSTEC
It’s nearly a coin-flip. ex-RUSTEC only lead because their pick is strong enough that nicking just one of the close maps wins the series.
MirageLAV v EX-
50%
50%
33-18record1-0
65%win100%
57%CT win58%
49%T win55%
48%pistol50%
76%convert100%
Dust2LAV v EX-
49%
51%
13-15record1-1
46%win50%
50%CT win57%
51%T win50%
46%pistol25%
77%convert100%
AnubisLAV v EX-
50%
50%
thin sample, read with caution
5-7record0-0
42%win–
41%CT win–
52%T win–
46%pistol–
82%convert–

Pistol, eco & sides

win% · convert if won · eco if lost · CT/T per map
ct / t side win% (Nuke skews CT, Dust2 T)pistol won the opening pistolconv then won round 2eco lost pistol, won round 2
Map
LAVct
LAVt
EX-ct
EX-t
LAVpistol
LAVconv
LAVeco
EX-pistol
EX-conv
EX-eco
Miragepool
57%297/521
49%294/602
58%7/12
55%6/11
48%49/102
76%37/49
15%8/53
50%1/2
100%1/1
0%0/1
Dust2pool
50%150/299
51%143/283
57%13/23
50%12/24
46%26/56
77%20/26
23%7/30
25%1/4
100%1/1
33%1/3
Anubispool
41%54/132
52%59/113
n/a
n/a
46%11/24
82%9/11
15%2/13
n/a
n/a
n/a
Infernoban
41%46/112
36%28/78
44%4/9
33%4/12
40%8/20
75%6/8
17%2/12
50%1/2
0%0/1
100%1/1
Ancientban
57%119/210
62%136/218
n/a
n/a
64%27/42
85%23/27
33%5/15
n/a
n/a
n/a
Overpassban
53%51/96
37%27/73
n/a
n/a
69%11/16
91%10/11
0%0/5
n/a
n/a
n/a
Nukeban
59%203/346
48%185/385
n/a
n/a
50%37/74
84%31/37
19%7/37
n/a
n/a
n/a
colour = vs league averagebelowavgabove
Pistols
Lavked wins more pistol rounds: 47% vs 33%. Winning a pistol usually wins you the next few rounds too, so this is a small head start.
After pistol
Win the pistol → ex-RUSTEC usually win the next round too (100% vs 77%). Lose the pistol → ex-RUSTEC fight back to win the next round more often (25% vs 18%).

Mentality & map flow

comebacks, blown leads
Margins
Lavked average a 5.3-round margin (20 blown, biggest 10); ex-RUSTEC average 3.2 (0 blown, 1 OTs). Hover any ⓘ for the matches behind it.

Lavked

Comebacks (won from 3+ down)i32/96 (33%)Comebacks (won from 3+ down)Of the 96 maps they won, 32 (33%) were won after trailing by 3+ rounds. So 33% of their wins were comebacks, not 33% of all games.vs ASTRALDust2from 8 downvs ex-RUBYNukefrom 7 downvs OLDBOYS PLMiragefrom 7 downvs UNiTYMiragefrom 7 downvs Rune EatersAncientfrom 7 down
Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)i20/71 (28%)Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)Of the 71 maps they lost, 20 (28%) were lost after leading by 3+ rounds: leads they threw away.vs G2 AresOverpassled 10 · lost 13-16vs ARCREDMirageled 8 · lost 10-13vs SPARTAInfernoled 6 · lost 12-16vs fnaticMirageled 6 · lost 10-13vs ex-Zero TenacityDust2led 6 · lost 15-19
Biggest comebackifrom 8 downBiggest comebackLargest deficit erased to win a map.vs ASTRALDust2from 8 down · won 19-15
Biggest lead blowni10 roundsBiggest lead blownLargest lead held and still lost.vs G2 AresOverpassled 10 · lost 13-16
Avg map margini5.3 roundsAvg map marginAverage round difference across maps.
Close maps (≤3) · OTi34% · 20Close maps (≤3) · OT34% of their maps were decided by ≤3 rounds (nailbiters); 20 went to overtime.vs ex-RUBYAncient16-14vs ESCAncient13-16vs PhantomMirage16-14vs K27Dust212-16vs QUAZARNuke12-16

ex-RUSTEC

Comebacks (won from 3+ down)i0/2 (0%)Comebacks (won from 3+ down)Of the 2 maps they won, 0 (0%) were won after trailing by 3+ rounds. So 0% of their wins were comebacks, not 0% of all games.none in the sample
Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)i0/2 (0%)Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)Of the 2 maps they lost, 0 (0%) were lost after leading by 3+ rounds: leads they threw away.none in the sample
Biggest comebackifrom 1 downBiggest comebackLargest deficit erased to win a map.none in the sample
Biggest lead blowni1 roundsBiggest lead blownLargest lead held and still lost.none in the sample
Avg map margini3.2 roundsAvg map marginAverage round difference across maps.
Close maps (≤3) · OTi75% · 1Close maps (≤3) · OT75% of their maps were decided by ≤3 rounds (nailbiters); 1 went to overtime.vs GenOneDust214-16

Lavked vs ex-RUSTEC FAQ

Who is favored to win Lavked vs ex-RUSTEC?

Lavked are favored with a 65% model win probability, and are the bookmakers' favorite too.

What are the betting odds for Lavked vs ex-RUSTEC?

Bookmakers price Lavked at 1.72 and ex-RUSTEC at 1.97 (implied 53% vs 47%).

When do Lavked and ex-RUSTEC play?

Lavked vs ex-RUSTEC is scheduled for 2026-07-23 11:00 UTC at NODWIN Clutch Series 10.

Lavked vs ex-RUSTEC Prediction & Odds · CS2 Match Preview · CS2OBSERVER