Matches / Upcoming / Walczaki vs ex-RUSTEC
Prediction
Our model gives ex-RUSTEC a 60% chance to beat Walczaki at NODWIN Clutch Series 10. Bookmakers price Walczaki at 1.6 and ex-RUSTEC at 2.11 (implied 57% vs 43%).
FormatBO3Form35-18 · 11-8Likely mapsNuke · Dust2 · Anubis
Model read: track record · HLTV rank · firepower · form, weighted by sample size. All figures respect the data-range filter.
Recent form
Walczaki
Head-to-head
past meetings & common opponents◂ WAL fared bettervs 7 shared opponentsEX- fared better ▸
EX-ex-RUBY#532-10-2
Walczaki vs ex-RUBY
May 8WMirage13-4Nuke9-13Ancient13-8ex-RUSTEC vs ex-RUBY
Jul 27LCache9-13Nuke12-16
INOX Division#624-20-2
ex-RUSTEC vs INOX Division
Jul 24LNuke13-16Dust25-13
SPARTA#754-20-2
ex-RUSTEC vs SPARTA
Aug 1LDust28-13Cache11-13
G2 Ares#872-02-0
Walczaki vs G2 Ares
Jun 15WAnubis13-6Inferno13-8ex-RUSTEC vs G2 Ares
Jul 29WInferno13-2Dust213-11
Atreides#1071-02-1
Walczaki vs Atreides
Apr 25Wseries1-0ex-RUSTEC vs Atreides
Jul 28WInferno4-13Nuke13-11Anubis13-7LAVLavked#1172-01-2
Walczaki vs Lavked
May 5WMirage13-11Nuke16-12ex-RUSTEC vs Lavked
Jul 23LDust213-5Mirage9-13Anubis7-13JUSJust Players#1200-24-0
Walczaki vs Just Players
Jul 20LNuke11-13Mirage10-13Walczaki 15-7combined map recordex-RUSTEC 9-9edge · Walczaki
Firepower
roster ratingsWalczaki · avg 1.11 · top +0.05
| Player | Mp | K-D | ADR | KAST | HS | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| olimp | 128 | 1 | 82 | 70.9% | 52% | 1.16 |
| SaMey | 128 | 1.17 | 68.4 | 74.1% | 38% | 1.11 |
| reiko | 81 | 1 | 82.2 | 71.9% | 46% | 1.1 |
| bajmi | 128 | 1.01 | 73 | 73% | 50% | 1.09 |
| moonwalk | 128 | 0.98 | 74 | 70.7% | 63% | 1.08 |
ex-RUSTEC · avg 1.11 · top +0.12
| Player | Mp | K-D | ADR | KAST | HS | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| youka | 42 | 1.29 | 76.3 | 73.7% | 35% | 1.23 |
| shalfey | 5 | 1.13 | 74.6 | 79.5% | 70% | 1.16 |
| Patsi | 43 | 1.04 | 76.6 | 72.6% | 50% | 1.15 |
| jakekeS | 43 | 0.95 | 71.7 | 75.4% | 58% | 1.05 |
| Brilliance | 43 | 0.84 | 68.4 | 69.5% | 54% | 0.96 |
Projected veto
likely picks & bansVeto read
ex-RUSTEC habitually bans Ancient, Walczaki's strongest maps (Anubis, Ancient, Mirage all ≥60%).
That's a standing habit (Ancient 19/19), not an opponent read, so expect Walczaki to fight the veto for Nuke.
Plays: Nuke · Dust2 · Anubis · Removed: Overpass · Ancient · Mirage · Inferno
every map shows both teams' win% (WAL / EX-)
1WALCZAKI BAN
Overpassproj. removed
WAL
0%
0-2EX-
n/a
0g
WAL
0%
0-2
EX-
n/a
0g
ex-RUSTEC on Overpass
no recent maps
2EX-RUSTEC BAN
Ancientproj. removed
WAL
71%
15-6EX-
n/a
0g
WAL
71%
15-6
EX-
n/a
0g
Walczaki on Ancient
L
magic
10–13
13d ago
W
SPARTA
13–9
18d ago
W
EAC
13–11
1mo ago
W
KOLESIE
16–12
1mo ago
W
ARCRED
13–10
2mo ago
L
TDK
7–13
2mo ago
L
KOLESIE
13–16
2mo ago
W
Tricked
13–8
3mo agoex-RUSTEC on Ancient
no recent maps
3WALCZAKI PICK
Nuke
WAL
59%
19-13EX-
38%
3-5
WAL
59%
19-13
EX-
38%
3-5
4EX-RUSTEC PICK
Dust2
WAL
39%
7-11EX-
57%
8-6
WAL
39%
7-11
EX-
57%
8-6
5WALCZAKI BAN
Mirageproj. removed
WAL
69%
9-4EX-
83%
5-1
WAL
69%
9-4
EX-
83%
5-1
6EX-RUSTEC BAN
Infernoproj. removed
WAL
59%
10-7EX-
40%
2-3
WAL
59%
10-7
EX-
40%
2-3
7DECIDER
Anubisleft over
WAL
68%
15-7EX-
50%
3-3
WAL
68%
15-7
EX-
50%
3-3
Projected from each team's veto habits (BO3), assuming Walczaki vetoes first.
Usual first ban: Walczaki Overpass · ex-RUSTEC Ancient.
Map lab
pick the 3 maps · per-map H2H + predictionlayout
Pick 3 maps ✓
Best-case draws · each side’s strongest realistic Bo3 · tap to load
The veto swings it: Walczaki 73% on their maps vs ex-RUSTEC 63% on theirs. Whoever shapes the pool is favoured. Ancient (50%) is the closest to a toss-up.
Walczaki60%to win the seriesclear pickiMap edgesNuke: Walczaki 68% clear · Dust2: ex-RUSTEC 66% clear · Anubis: Walczaki 67% clearWhyWalczaki hold the edge across the maps (2 of 3 lean their way).OutcomesWalczaki 60%: 2-1 37%, 2-0 23% · ex-RUSTEC 40%: 2-0 21%, 2-1 19%
series odds add up every way a team can win, not just one scoreline
series odds add up every way a team can win, not just one scoreline
Walczaki 60%40% ex-RUSTEC
Walczaki are the clearer side here: the most likely result is Walczaki 2-1.
NukeWAL v EX-
68%32%
19-13record3-5
59%win38%
56%CT win51%
51%T win44%
50%pistol50%
88%convert88%
Dust2WAL v EX-
34%66%
7-11record8-6
39%win57%
52%CT win57%
42%T win50%
53%pistol43%
79%convert83%
AnubisWAL v EX-
67%33%
15-7record3-3
68%win50%
49%CT win60%
60%T win47%
43%pistol58%
95%convert100%
Pistol, eco & sides
win% · convert if won · eco if lost · CT/T per mapct / t side win% (Nuke skews CT, Dust2 T)pistol won the opening pistolconv then won round 2eco lost pistol, won round 2
Map
WALct
WALt
EX-ct
EX-t
WALpistol
WALconv
WALeco
EX-pistol
EX-conv
EX-eco
Nukepool
56%161/290
51%188/370
51%43/84
44%40/90
50%32/64
88%28/32
22%7/32
50%8/16
88%7/8
0%0/8
Dust2pool
52%113/216
42%71/168
57%81/143
50%74/148
53%19/36
79%15/19
18%3/17
43%12/28
83%10/12
19%3/16
Anubispool
49%124/251
60%130/217
60%41/68
47%20/43
43%19/44
95%18/19
32%8/25
58%7/12
100%7/7
20%1/5
Overpassban
58%14/24
24%5/21
n/a
n/a
25%1/4
100%1/1
0%0/3
n/a
n/a
n/a
Ancientban
60%129/216
50%117/233
n/a
n/a
50%21/42
86%18/21
43%9/21
n/a
n/a
n/a
Mirageban
65%95/146
51%63/123
61%44/72
46%29/63
69%18/26
83%15/18
13%1/8
50%6/12
83%5/6
50%3/6
Infernoban
53%91/171
56%91/163
53%30/57
40%16/40
53%18/34
83%15/18
19%3/16
60%6/10
33%2/6
50%2/4
colour = vs league averagebelowavgabove
Pistols
Pistol rounds are a tie. Both win about the same (Walczaki 49%, ex-RUSTEC 48%). Nobody has an edge.
After pistol
Win the pistol → both win the next round about the same (87% vs 89%). Lose the pistol → Walczaki fight back to win the next round more often (24% vs 14%).
Mentality & map flow
comebacks, blown leadsMargins
Walczaki average a 5.2-round margin (25 blown, biggest 6); ex-RUSTEC average 5.3 (8 blown, 5 OTs). Hover any ⓘ for the matches behind it.
Walczaki
Comebacks (won from 3+ down)i13/75 (17%)Comebacks (won from 3+ down)Of the 75 maps they won, 13 (17%) were won after trailing by 3+ rounds. So 17% of their wins were comebacks, not 17% of all games.vs KOLESIEAncientfrom 7 downvs ex-RUBYAncientfrom 7 downvs SashiInfernofrom 6 downvs SashiAnubisfrom 5 downvs KOLESIENukefrom 5 down
Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)i25/53 (47%)Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)Of the 53 maps they lost, 25 (47%) were lost after leading by 3+ rounds: leads they threw away.vs ASTRALMirageled 6 · lost 11-13vs KOLESIEAncientled 6 · lost 13-16vs NemigaAnubisled 5 · lost 13-16vs TrickedNukeled 5 · lost 11-13vs 9INEInfernoled 5 · lost 13-16
Biggest comebackifrom 7 downBiggest comebackLargest deficit erased to win a map.vs KOLESIEAncientfrom 7 down · won 16-14
Biggest lead blowni6 roundsBiggest lead blownLargest lead held and still lost.vs ASTRALMirageled 6 · lost 11-13
Avg map margini5.2 roundsAvg map marginAverage round difference across maps.
Close maps (≤3) · OTi33% · 18Close maps (≤3) · OT33% of their maps were decided by ≤3 rounds (nailbiters); 18 went to overtime.vs Nuclear TigeRESAnubis16-12vs NemigaAnubis13-16vs KOLESIEAnubis16-12vs KOLESIEAncient16-14vs SashiAnubis19-16
ex-RUSTEC
Comebacks (won from 3+ down)i4/23 (17%)Comebacks (won from 3+ down)Of the 23 maps they won, 4 (17%) were won after trailing by 3+ rounds. So 17% of their wins were comebacks, not 17% of all games.vs ex-MANANukefrom 5 downvs AtreidesNukefrom 4 downvs G2 AresDust2from 3 downvs ex-MANADust2from 3 down
Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)i8/20 (40%)Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)Of the 20 maps they lost, 8 (40%) were lost after leading by 3+ rounds: leads they threw away.vs SPARTACacheled 6 · lost 11-13vs LavkedMirageled 4 · lost 9-13vs INOX DivisionNukeled 4 · lost 13-16vs UNiTYInfernoled 4 · lost 8-13vs LavkedAnubisled 3 · lost 7-13
Biggest comebackifrom 5 downBiggest comebackLargest deficit erased to win a map.vs ex-MANANukefrom 5 down · won 13-11
Biggest lead blowni6 roundsBiggest lead blownLargest lead held and still lost.vs SPARTACacheled 6 · lost 11-13
Avg map margini5.3 roundsAvg map marginAverage round difference across maps.
Close maps (≤3) · OTi33% · 5Close maps (≤3) · OT33% of their maps were decided by ≤3 rounds (nailbiters); 5 went to overtime.vs GenOneDust214-16vs Just PlayersMirage16-14vs ex-RUBYNuke12-16vs INOX DivisionNuke13-16vs Inner Circle AcademyAnubis17-19
Walczaki vs ex-RUSTEC FAQ
Who is favored to win Walczaki vs ex-RUSTEC?
ex-RUSTEC are favored with a 60% model win probability, and are the bookmakers' favorite too.
What are the betting odds for Walczaki vs ex-RUSTEC?
Bookmakers price Walczaki at 1.6 and ex-RUSTEC at 2.11 (implied 57% vs 43%).
When do Walczaki and ex-RUSTEC play?
Walczaki vs ex-RUSTEC is scheduled for 2026-08-03 17:00 UTC at NODWIN Clutch Series 10.