Matches / Upcoming / Sashi vs Phantom
Prediction
Our model gives Phantom a 54% chance to beat Sashi at NODWIN Clutch Series 10. Bookmakers price Sashi at 1.99 and Phantom at 1.71 (implied 46% vs 54%).
FormatBO3Form35-27 · 46-44PistolsPHA 53%Likely mapsNuke · Ancient · Overpass
Model read: track record · HLTV rank · firepower · form, weighted by sample size. All figures respect the data-range filter.
Recent form
Sashi
Head-to-head
past meetings & common opponents◂ SAS fared bettervs 8 shared opponentsPHA fared better ▸
GamerLegion#190-20-1
Sashi vs GamerLegion
Feb 23LOverpass1-13Mirage10-13Phantom vs GamerLegion
Feb 22LAncient13-16
100 Thieves#370-10-2
Sashi vs 100 Thieves
Mar 8LAncient4-13Phantom vs 100 Thieves
Jun 5LAncient7-13Dust29-13
K27#400-20-2
Sashi vs K27
Mar 9LNuke5-13Mirage9-13Phantom vs K27
Jul 17LNuke9-13Ancient6-13
Acend#450-23-3
Sashi vs Acend
Jun 24LDust211-13Ancient11-13
SINNERS#474-21-0
Phantom vs SINNERS
Feb 22WOverpass13-8
Walczaki#510-22-0
Sashi vs Walczaki
May 23LAnubis16-19Inferno11-13Phantom vs Walczaki
Jun 20WAnubis13-11Dust213-9EX-ex-RUBY#530-21-4
Sashi vs ex-RUBY
May 10LDust23-13Nuke9-13
fnatic#633-10-2
Phantom vs fnatic
Apr 30LAncient5-13Anubis13-16Sashi 7-14combined map recordPhantom 7-14even
Firepower
roster ratingsSashi · avg 1.1 · top +0.06
| Player | Mp | K-D | ADR | KAST | HS | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zyphon | 78 | 1.03 | 77.7 | 74.5% | 57% | 1.16 |
| acoR | 123 | 1.15 | 73.5 | 72.3% | 35% | 1.1 |
| Cabbi | 123 | 0.97 | 74.6 | 70.8% | 58% | 1.09 |
| MistR | 123 | 0.98 | 71.9 | 74.1% | 54% | 1.09 |
| Anlelele | 10 | 1.04 | 68 | 73.9% | 56% | 1.04 |
Phantom · avg 1.11 · top +0.08
| Player | Mp | K-D | ADR | KAST | HS | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| nicoodoz | 17 | 1.21 | 78.7 | 74.6% | 52% | 1.19 |
| Kylar | 199 | 1.09 | 73.6 | 73.4% | 60% | 1.18 |
| KEi | 194 | 1.02 | 77.1 | 72.9% | 49% | 1.11 |
| TMB | 58 | 0.89 | 73.6 | 69.5% | 54% | 1.07 |
| cej0t | 9 | 1.01 | 65.9 | 74.7% | 45% | 0.99 |
Projected veto
likely picks & bansVeto read
Phantom habitually bans Inferno, Sashi's strongest maps (Inferno, Cache all ≥60%).
That's a standing habit (Inferno 79/90), not an opponent read, so expect Sashi to fight the veto for Nuke.
Plays: Nuke · Ancient · Overpass · Removed: Dust2 · Inferno · Mirage · Anubis
every map shows both teams' win% (SAS / PHA)
1SASHI BAN
Dust2proj. removed
SAS
33%
6-12PHA
45%
19-23
SAS
33%
6-12
PHA
45%
19-23
2PHANTOM BAN
Infernoproj. removed
SAS
73%
11-4PHA
100%
1-0
SAS
73%
11-4
PHA
100%
1-0
3SASHI PICK
Nuke
SAS
55%
16-13PHA
57%
30-23
SAS
55%
16-13
PHA
57%
30-23
4PHANTOM PICK
Ancient
SAS
52%
11-10PHA
44%
19-24
SAS
52%
11-10
PHA
44%
19-24
5SASHI BAN
Mirageproj. removed
SAS
31%
4-9PHA
48%
14-15
SAS
31%
4-9
PHA
48%
14-15
6PHANTOM BAN
Anubisproj. removed
SAS
50%
3-3PHA
50%
5-5
SAS
50%
3-3
PHA
50%
5-5
7DECIDER
Overpassleft over
SAS
56%
9-7PHA
52%
11-10
SAS
56%
9-7
PHA
52%
11-10
Projected from each team's veto habits (BO3), assuming Sashi vetoes first.
Usual first ban: Sashi Dust2 · Phantom Inferno.
Map lab
pick the 3 maps · per-map H2H + predictionlayout
Pick 3 maps ✓
Best-case draws · each side’s strongest realistic Bo3 · tap to load
The veto swings it: Sashi 56% on their maps vs Phantom 64% on theirs. Whoever shapes the pool is favoured. Anubis (50%) is the closest to a toss-up.
Sashi55%to win the seriescoin-flipiMap edgesNuke: Phantom 52% toss-up · Ancient: Sashi 58% · Overpass: Sashi 53% toss-upWhySashi hold the edge across the maps (2 of 3 lean their way).OutcomesSashi 55%: 2-0 28%, 2-1 27% · Phantom 45%: 2-1 23%, 2-0 22%
series odds add up every way a team can win, not just one scoreline
series odds add up every way a team can win, not just one scoreline
Sashi 55%45% Phantom
It’s nearly a coin-flip. Sashi only lead because their pick is strong enough that nicking just one of the close maps wins the series.
NukeSAS v PHA
48%52%
16-13record30-23
55%win57%
62%CT win56%
44%T win47%
52%pistol50%
70%convert81%
AncientSAS v PHA
58%42%
11-10record19-24
52%win44%
55%CT win51%
49%T win47%
50%pistol53%
86%convert74%
OverpassSAS v PHA
53%47%
9-7record11-10
56%win52%
50%CT win58%
43%T win43%
25%pistol60%
75%convert76%
Pistol, eco & sides
win% · convert if won · eco if lost · CT/T per mapct / t side win% (Nuke skews CT, Dust2 T)pistol won the opening pistolconv then won round 2eco lost pistol, won round 2
Map
SASct
SASt
PHAct
PHAt
SASpistol
SASconv
SASeco
PHApistol
PHAconv
PHAeco
Nukepool
62%191/307
44%136/307
56%298/533
47%282/604
52%30/58
70%21/30
25%7/28
50%53/106
81%43/53
15%8/53
Ancientpool
55%125/229
49%104/214
51%240/474
47%202/431
50%21/42
86%18/21
24%5/21
53%46/86
74%34/46
20%8/40
Overpasspool
50%76/151
43%72/168
58%139/238
43%103/238
25%8/32
75%6/8
35%8/23
60%25/42
76%19/25
6%1/17
Dust2ban
45%95/209
46%71/154
52%222/429
46%199/430
39%14/36
64%9/14
18%4/22
48%40/84
80%32/40
18%8/44
Infernoban
57%69/122
63%101/161
75%9/12
100%4/4
70%21/30
85%17/20
22%2/9
100%2/2
100%2/2
n/a
Mirageban
51%72/142
38%50/132
54%178/331
45%126/283
54%14/26
64%9/14
25%3/12
67%39/58
85%33/39
16%3/19
Anubisban
43%30/70
62%39/63
52%50/96
53%63/119
33%4/12
100%4/4
25%2/8
45%9/20
89%8/9
9%1/11
colour = vs league averagebelowavgabove
Pistols
Phantom wins more pistol rounds: 53% vs 45%. Winning a pistol usually wins you the next few rounds too, so this is a small head start.
After pistol
Win the pistol → both win the next round about the same (76% vs 77%). Lose the pistol → Sashi fight back to win the next round more often (28% vs 15%).
Mentality & map flow
comebacks, blown leadsMargins
Sashi average a 5.5-round margin (13 blown, biggest 9); Phantom average 4.9 (36 blown, 32 OTs). Hover any ⓘ for the matches behind it.
Sashi
Comebacks (won from 3+ down)i20/63 (32%)Comebacks (won from 3+ down)Of the 63 maps they won, 20 (32%) were won after trailing by 3+ rounds. So 32% of their wins were comebacks, not 32% of all games.vs LiquidNukefrom 6 downvs KOLESIEAncientfrom 6 downvs ECSTATICNukefrom 5 downvs OmegaAncientfrom 5 downvs fnaticInfernofrom 5 down
Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)i13/59 (22%)Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)Of the 59 maps they lost, 13 (22%) were lost after leading by 3+ rounds: leads they threw away.vs AMAncientled 9 · lost 14-16vs WalczakiInfernoled 6 · lost 11-13vs OmegaMirageled 5 · lost 8-13vs PhantomMirageled 5 · lost 11-13vs WalczakiAnubisled 5 · lost 16-19
Biggest comebackifrom 6 downBiggest comebackLargest deficit erased to win a map.vs LiquidNukefrom 6 down · won 13-10
Biggest lead blowni9 roundsBiggest lead blownLargest lead held and still lost.vs AMAncientled 9 · lost 14-16
Avg map margini5.5 roundsAvg map marginAverage round difference across maps.
Close maps (≤3) · OTi32% · 13Close maps (≤3) · OT32% of their maps were decided by ≤3 rounds (nailbiters); 13 went to overtime.vs MASONICNuke16-12vs ECSTATICMirage13-16vs OmegaAncient19-16vs Lazer CatsNuke13-16vs fnaticAncient14-16
Phantom
Comebacks (won from 3+ down)i28/99 (28%)Comebacks (won from 3+ down)Of the 99 maps they won, 28 (28%) were won after trailing by 3+ rounds. So 28% of their wins were comebacks, not 28% of all games.vs aAaDust2from 7 downvs HEROICNukefrom 7 downvs RUSTECMiragefrom 6 downvs Bushido WildcatsNukefrom 6 downvs WashingtonNukefrom 5 down
Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)i36/100 (36%)Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)Of the 100 maps they lost, 36 (36%) were lost after leading by 3+ rounds: leads they threw away.vs FAVBETAncientled 9 · lost 14-16vs MASONICOverpassled 7 · lost 14-16vs CYBERSHOKEDust2led 7 · lost 26-28vs WashingtonOverpassled 6 · lost 11-13vs B8Mirageled 6 · lost 11-13
Biggest comebackifrom 7 downBiggest comebackLargest deficit erased to win a map.vs aAaDust2from 7 down · won 13-10
Biggest lead blowni9 roundsBiggest lead blownLargest lead held and still lost.vs FAVBETAncientled 9 · lost 14-16
Avg map margini4.9 roundsAvg map marginAverage round difference across maps.
Close maps (≤3) · OTi44% · 32Close maps (≤3) · OT44% of their maps were decided by ≤3 rounds (nailbiters); 32 went to overtime.vs HYPERSPIRITDust212-16vs FAVBETAnubis13-16vs MASONICOverpass14-16vs MASONICNuke14-16vs STATEOverpass13-16
Sashi vs Phantom FAQ
Who is favored to win Sashi vs Phantom?
Phantom are favored with a 54% model win probability, and are the bookmakers' favorite too.
What are the betting odds for Sashi vs Phantom?
Bookmakers price Sashi at 1.99 and Phantom at 1.71 (implied 46% vs 54%).
When do Sashi and Phantom play?
Sashi vs Phantom is scheduled for 2026-08-04 11:00 UTC at NODWIN Clutch Series 10.