Matches / Upcoming / SPARTA vs Atreides
Prediction
Our model gives SPARTA a 61% chance to beat Atreides at CCT 2026 Europe Series 5.
FormatBO3Form28-34 · 29-23PistolsATR 56%Likely mapsOverpass · Mirage · Nuke
Model read: track record · HLTV rank · firepower · form, weighted by sample size. All figures respect the data-range filter.
Recent form
SPARTA
Head-to-head
past meetings & common opponents11d ago
Atreides2 : 1
SPARTA◆ same lineup1mo ago SPARTA2 : 0 Atreides!
Atreides2 : 1 SPARTA◆ same lineup1mo ago SPARTA2 : 0 Atreides!⚠ Different lineup
Atreides
outDementor, dan1
inNivera, Python
◂ SPA fared bettervs 8 shared opponentsATR fared better ▸
Nuclear TigeRES#441-22-0
SPARTA vs Nuclear TigeRES
May 25LDust216-12Ancient5-13Nuke6-13Atreides vs Nuclear TigeRES
Jul 18WMirage13-11Ancient13-10
TDK#482-51-4
Walczaki#542-40-1
Atreides vs Walczaki
Apr 25Lseries0-1
KOLESIE#640-22-0
SPARTA vs KOLESIE
Jun 11LNuke9-13Dust29-13Atreides vs KOLESIE
Jun 5WMirage13-4Overpass13-10
CYBERSHOKE Prospects#702-20-2
Atreides vs CYBERSHOKE Prospects
May 30LDust28-13Mirage9-13JUSJust Players#910-21-2
SPARTA vs Just Players
May 18LMirage3-13Overpass20-22
G2 Ares#942-02-1
SPARTA vs G2 Ares
Jun 15WDust216-14Inferno13-3Atreides vs G2 Ares
May 31WOverpass12-16Ancient16-14Inferno13-2
SAW Youngsters#1162-11-2
SPARTA vs SAW Youngsters
Jul 22WDust213-6Inferno9-13Mirage13-11Atreides vs SAW Youngsters
Jul 5LMirage13-8Inferno11-13Ancient8-13SPARTA 11-18combined map recordAtreides 9-12even
Firepower
roster ratingsSPARTA · avg 1.08 · top +0.08
| Player | Mp | K-D | ADR | KAST | HS | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TRAVIS | 124 | 1.1 | 75 | 72.9% | 57% | 1.16 |
| El1an | 124 | 1.21 | 77.8 | 72.1% | 28% | 1.14 |
| Djon8 | 73 | 1.05 | 79.9 | 70.5% | 62% | 1.13 |
| k4nfuz | 73 | 0.92 | 64.5 | 72.8% | 62% | 1.01 |
| NickelBack | 124 | 0.82 | 67.7 | 69.6% | 48% | 0.96 |
Atreides · avg 1.15 · top +0.14
| Player | Mp | K-D | ADR | KAST | HS | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Python | 24 | 1.28 | 84.1 | 75.6% | 50% | 1.29 |
| DEPRESHN | 125 | 1.24 | 73.7 | 74.3% | 39% | 1.19 |
| Goody | 118 | 1.03 | 79.7 | 73.3% | 50% | 1.13 |
| Nivera | 22 | 1.06 | 74.8 | 74.8% | 61% | 1.12 |
| Chill | 118 | 0.89 | 73.5 | 69.2% | 54% | 1.03 |
Projected veto
likely picks & bansVeto read
Neither side's habitual bans cleanly remove the other's best maps. The veto is live.
Plays: Overpass · Mirage · Nuke · Removed: Anubis · Dust2 · Ancient · Inferno
every map shows both teams' win% (SPA / ATR)
1SPARTA BAN
Anubisproj. removed
SPA
50%
2-2ATR
50%
1-1
SPA
50%
2-2
ATR
50%
1-1
2ATREIDES BAN
Dust2proj. removed
SPA
56%
23-18ATR
43%
6-8
SPA
56%
23-18
ATR
43%
6-8
3SPARTA PICK
Overpass
SPA
61%
11-7ATR
35%
6-11
SPA
61%
11-7
ATR
35%
6-11
4ATREIDES PICK
Mirage
SPA
52%
14-13ATR
70%
23-10
SPA
52%
14-13
ATR
70%
23-10
5SPARTA BAN
Ancientproj. removed
SPA
31%
8-18ATR
67%
12-6
SPA
31%
8-18
ATR
67%
12-6
6ATREIDES BAN
Infernoproj. removed
SPA
50%
6-6ATR
60%
12-8
SPA
50%
6-6
ATR
60%
12-8
7DECIDER
Nukeleft over
SPA
48%
10-11ATR
44%
7-9
SPA
48%
10-11
ATR
44%
7-9
Projected from each team's veto habits (BO3), assuming SPARTA vetoes first.
Usual first ban: SPARTA Anubis · Atreides Anubis.
Map lab
pick the 3 maps · per-map H2H + predictionlayout
Pick 3 maps ✓
Best-case draws · each side’s strongest realistic Bo3 · tap to load
The veto swings it: SPARTA 68% on their maps vs Atreides 77% on theirs. Whoever shapes the pool is favoured. Anubis (50%) is the closest to a toss-up.
SPARTA54%to win the seriescoin-flipiMap edgesOverpass: SPARTA 72% clear · Mirage: Atreides 67% clear · Nuke: SPARTA 53% toss-upWhySPARTA hold the edge across the maps (2 of 3 lean their way).OutcomesSPARTA 54%: 2-1 31%, 2-0 24% · Atreides 46%: 2-1 27%, 2-0 19%
series odds add up every way a team can win, not just one scoreline
series odds add up every way a team can win, not just one scoreline
SPARTA 54%46% Atreides
It’s nearly a coin-flip. SPARTA only lead because their Overpass is strong enough that nicking just one of the close maps wins the series.
OverpassSPA v ATR
72%28%
11-7record6-11
61%win35%
64%CT win49%
44%T win45%
53%pistol47%
89%convert88%
MirageSPA v ATR
33%67%
14-13record23-10
52%win70%
60%CT win60%
40%T win52%
41%pistol59%
82%convert82%
NukeSPA v ATR
53%47%
10-11record7-9
48%win44%
56%CT win49%
38%T win48%
52%pistol59%
82%convert84%
Pistol, eco & sides
win% · convert if won · eco if lost · CT/T per mapct / t side win% (Nuke skews CT, Dust2 T)pistol won the opening pistolconv then won round 2eco lost pistol, won round 2
Map
SPAct
SPAt
ATRct
ATRt
SPApistol
SPAconv
SPAeco
ATRpistol
ATRconv
ATReco
Overpasspool
64%112/175
44%84/192
49%97/196
45%76/169
53%19/36
89%17/19
18%3/17
47%16/34
88%14/16
11%2/18
Miragepool
60%173/290
40%106/263
60%172/285
52%198/384
41%22/54
82%18/22
22%7/32
59%39/66
82%31/38
11%3/27
Nukepool
56%125/222
38%87/228
49%83/169
48%72/149
52%22/42
82%18/22
25%5/20
59%19/32
84%16/19
31%4/13
Anubisban
62%26/42
35%17/48
71%17/24
35%7/20
63%5/8
60%3/5
33%1/3
50%2/4
50%1/2
50%1/2
Dust2ban
54%214/393
53%234/443
48%77/161
55%75/136
54%44/82
82%36/44
34%13/38
39%11/28
100%11/11
18%3/17
Ancientban
42%119/282
42%91/218
58%105/182
51%89/173
38%20/52
70%14/20
16%5/32
61%22/36
82%18/22
21%3/14
Infernoban
52%69/133
49%56/115
58%122/211
49%105/213
58%14/24
64%9/14
20%2/10
53%21/40
76%16/21
21%4/19
colour = vs league averagebelowavgabove
Pistols
Atreides wins more pistol rounds: 56% vs 48%. Winning a pistol usually wins you the next few rounds too, so this is a small head start.
After pistol
Win the pistol → both win the next round about the same (84% vs 84%). Lose the pistol → SPARTA fight back to win the next round more often (22% vs 16%).
Mentality & map flow
comebacks, blown leadsMargins
SPARTA average a 5.6-round margin (22 blown, biggest 9); Atreides average 5.4 (18 blown, 14 OTs). Hover any ⓘ for the matches behind it.
SPARTA
Comebacks (won from 3+ down)i28/76 (37%)Comebacks (won from 3+ down)Of the 76 maps they won, 28 (37%) were won after trailing by 3+ rounds. So 37% of their wins were comebacks, not 37% of all games.vs GenOneDust2from 7 downvs Bushido WildcatsAncientfrom 7 downvs LavkedInfernofrom 6 downvs ex-RUBYOverpassfrom 6 downvs GenOneOverpassfrom 6 down
Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)i22/77 (29%)Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)Of the 77 maps they lost, 22 (29%) were lost after leading by 3+ rounds: leads they threw away.vs Bushido WildcatsAnubisled 9 · lost 9-13vs INOX DivisionOverpassled 8 · lost 10-13vs TDKDust2led 6 · lost 13-16vs LavkedAncientled 6 · lost 9-13vs AMMirageled 5 · lost 11-13
Biggest comebackifrom 7 downBiggest comebackLargest deficit erased to win a map.vs GenOneDust2from 7 down · won 13-9
Biggest lead blowni9 roundsBiggest lead blownLargest lead held and still lost.vs Bushido WildcatsAnubisled 9 · lost 9-13
Avg map margini5.6 roundsAvg map marginAverage round difference across maps.
Close maps (≤3) · OTi25% · 16Close maps (≤3) · OT25% of their maps were decided by ≤3 rounds (nailbiters); 16 went to overtime.vs MOUZ NXTNuke19-17vs TDKDust217-19vs TDKOverpass16-14vs TDKDust213-16vs BIGAncient17-19
Atreides
Comebacks (won from 3+ down)i23/69 (33%)Comebacks (won from 3+ down)Of the 69 maps they won, 23 (33%) were won after trailing by 3+ rounds. So 33% of their wins were comebacks, not 33% of all games.vs BRUTEMiragefrom 10 downvs Nuclear TigeRESMiragefrom 7 downvs JiJieHaoMiragefrom 6 downvs Endless JourneyMiragefrom 6 downvs eternal premiumInfernofrom 6 down
Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)i18/55 (33%)Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)Of the 55 maps they lost, 18 (33%) were lost after leading by 3+ rounds: leads they threw away.vs BRUTEOverpassled 6 · lost 13-16vs SPARTAAnubisled 6 · lost 11-13vs BRUTEInfernoled 5 · lost 14-16vs brazylijski luzNukeled 4 · lost 9-13vs QWENTRYOverpassled 4 · lost 14-16
Biggest comebackifrom 10 downBiggest comebackLargest deficit erased to win a map.vs BRUTEMiragefrom 10 down · won 16-13
Biggest lead blowni6 roundsBiggest lead blownLargest lead held and still lost.vs BRUTEOverpassled 6 · lost 13-16
Avg map margini5.4 roundsAvg map marginAverage round difference across maps.
Close maps (≤3) · OTi31% · 14Close maps (≤3) · OT31% of their maps were decided by ≤3 rounds (nailbiters); 14 went to overtime.vs brazylijski luzInferno16-12vs QWENTRYOverpass14-16vs QUAZAROverpass13-16vs BRUTEOverpass13-16vs BASEMENT BOYSNuke19-16
SPARTA vs Atreides FAQ
Who is favored to win SPARTA vs Atreides?
SPARTA are favored with a 61% model win probability.
What are the betting odds for SPARTA vs Atreides?
Match odds for SPARTA vs Atreides aren't available yet. Check back closer to the match.
When do SPARTA and Atreides play?
SPARTA vs Atreides is scheduled for 2026-07-24 11:00 UTC at CCT 2026 Europe Series 5.