Matches / Upcoming / EAC vs Black Phoenix
Prediction
Our model gives EAC a 50% chance to beat Black Phoenix at CCT 2026 Europe Series 5. Limited data on this matchup, so the read stays close to the market.
Our read thin50%50%
FormatBO3Form7-13 · 1-0PistolsEAC 54%Likely mapsOverpass · Inferno · Nuke
Model read: track record · HLTV rank · firepower · form, weighted by sample size. All figures respect the data-range filter.
Recent form
EAC
Black Phoenix
Head-to-head
past meetings & common opponents◂ EAC fared bettervs 1 shared opponentBLA fared better ▸
Rune Eaters#950-22-1
EAC vs Rune Eaters
May 23LMirage8-13Ancient12-16Black Phoenix vs Rune Eaters
Jul 22WDust213-7Mirage6-13Inferno13-7EAC 0-2combined map recordBlack Phoenix 2-1edge · Black Phoenix
Firepower
roster ratingsEAC · avg 1.12 · top +0.23
| Player | Mp | K-D | ADR | KAST | HS | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fessor | 6 | 1.26 | 96.8 | 81% | 61% | 1.35 |
| n1Xen | 49 | 1.06 | 75.5 | 72.2% | 53% | 1.1 |
| bekker | 49 | 1.07 | 69.4 | 71.6% | 34% | 1.08 |
| anber | 46 | 0.88 | 76.4 | 70.1% | 64% | 1.06 |
| sSen | 49 | 0.92 | 68 | 72.4% | 55% | 1.03 |
Black Phoenix · avg 1.06 · top +0.2
| Player | Mp | K-D | ADR | KAST | HS | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sa1nTy | 3 | 1.29 | 82.3 | 76% | 60% | 1.26 |
| topo | 3 | 1.17 | 68.2 | 65.6% | 37% | 1.08 |
| karnez | 3 | 1.06 | 66.3 | 67.8% | 74% | 1.04 |
| Salazar | 3 | 0.84 | 66.5 | 72.6% | 52% | 1.01 |
| 4X1s | 3 | 0.82 | 59.3 | 76% | 52% | 0.89 |
Projected veto
likely picks & bansVeto read
Neither side's habitual bans cleanly remove the other's best maps. The veto is live.
Plays: Overpass · Inferno · Nuke · Removed: Dust2 · Ancient · Anubis · Mirage
every map shows both teams' win% (EAC / BLA)
1EAC BAN
Dust2proj. removed
EAC
0%
0-1BLA
100%
1-0
EAC
0%
0-1
BLA
100%
1-0
EAC on Dust2
L
Betclic
8–13
28d agoBlack Phoenix on Dust2
W
Rune Eaters
13–7
1d ago
2BLACK PHOENIX BAN
Ancientproj. removed
EAC
36%
4-7BLA
n/a
0g
EAC
36%
4-7
BLA
n/a
0g
EAC on Ancient
W
Entropy
13–9
2d ago
L
magic
7–13
14d ago
L
Betclic
14–16
28d ago
L
Walczaki
11–13
29d ago
W
Gatorian
13–11
1mo ago
W
Noir Verse
13–10
1mo ago
W
Hashiras
13–5
2mo ago
L
Atreides
9–13
2mo agoBlack Phoenix on Ancient
no recent maps
3EAC PICK
Overpass
EAC
56%
5-4BLA
n/a
0g
EAC
56%
5-4
BLA
n/a
0g
EAC on Overpass
L
Metizport
7–13
1mo ago
L
OG
6–13
2mo ago
W
Hashiras
13–9
2mo ago
L
GenOne
7–13
2mo ago
W
Atreides
13–6
2mo ago
W
Hashiras
16–12
2mo ago
W
megoshort
13–6
2mo agoBlack Phoenix on Overpass
no recent maps
4BLACK PHOENIX PICK
Inferno
EAC
0%
0-3BLA
100%
1-0
EAC
0%
0-3
BLA
100%
1-0
Black Phoenix on Inferno
W
Rune Eaters
13–7
1d ago
5EAC BAN
Anubisproj. removed
EAC
0%
0-1BLA
n/a
0g
EAC
0%
0-1
BLA
n/a
0g
EAC on Anubis
L
Walczaki
8–13
29d agoBlack Phoenix on Anubis
no recent maps
6BLACK PHOENIX BAN
Mirageproj. removed
EAC
40%
4-6BLA
0%
0-1
EAC
40%
4-6
BLA
0%
0-1
7DECIDER
Nukeleft over
EAC
33%
4-8BLA
n/a
0g
EAC
33%
4-8
BLA
n/a
0g
EAC on Nuke
W
INFINITE
13–5
1mo ago
L
KOLESIE
9–13
1mo ago
L
Alliance
5–13
1mo ago
L
Metizport
26–28
1mo ago
L
Noir Verse
6–13
1mo ago
W
OG
13–6
2mo ago
L
Hashiras
8–13
2mo ago
L
GenOne
5–13
2mo agoBlack Phoenix on Nuke
no recent maps
Projected from each team's veto habits (BO3), assuming EAC vetoes first.
Usual first ban: EAC Dust2 · Black Phoenix Ancient.
Map lab
pick the 3 maps · per-map H2H + predictionlayout
Pick 3 maps ✓
Best-case draws · each side’s strongest realistic Bo3 · tap to load
The veto swings it: EAC 51% on their maps vs Black Phoenix 56% on theirs. Whoever shapes the pool is favoured. Nuke (50%) is the closest to a toss-up.
Black Phoenix53%to win the seriescoin-flipiMap edgesOverpass: Black Phoenix 50% toss-up · Inferno: Black Phoenix 56% · Nuke: Black Phoenix 50% toss-upWhyBlack Phoenix hold the edge across the maps (3 of 3 lean their way).OutcomesEAC 47%: 2-1 25%, 2-0 22% · Black Phoenix 53%: 2-0 28%, 2-1 25%
series odds add up every way a team can win, not just one scoreline
series odds add up every way a team can win, not just one scoreline
EAC 47%53% Black Phoenix
It’s nearly a coin-flip. Black Phoenix only lead because their pick is strong enough that nicking just one of the close maps wins the series.
OverpassEAC v BLA
50%50%
thin sample, read with caution
5-4record0-0
56%win–
66%CT win–
41%T win–
61%pistol–
91%convert–
InfernoEAC v BLA
44%56%
0-3record1-0
0%win100%
42%CT win88%
34%T win50%
33%pistol50%
50%convert100%
NukeEAC v BLA
50%50%
thin sample, read with caution
4-8record0-0
33%win–
46%CT win–
50%T win–
54%pistol–
85%convert–
Pistol, eco & sides
win% · convert if won · eco if lost · CT/T per mapct / t side win% (Nuke skews CT, Dust2 T)pistol won the opening pistolconv then won round 2eco lost pistol, won round 2
Map
EACct
EACt
BLAct
BLAt
EACpistol
EACconv
EACeco
BLApistol
BLAconv
BLAeco
Overpasspool
66%50/76
41%44/108
n/a
n/a
61%11/18
91%10/11
0%0/7
n/a
n/a
n/a
Infernopool
42%13/31
34%11/32
88%7/8
50%6/12
33%2/6
50%1/2
0%0/4
50%1/2
100%1/1
0%0/1
Nukepool
46%58/127
50%55/110
n/a
n/a
54%13/24
85%11/13
18%2/11
n/a
n/a
n/a
Dust2ban
50%6/12
22%2/9
75%6/8
58%7/12
50%1/2
100%1/1
100%1/1
50%1/2
100%1/1
0%0/1
Ancientban
49%65/132
52%61/117
n/a
n/a
45%10/22
90%9/10
8%1/12
n/a
n/a
n/a
Anubisban
11%1/9
58%7/12
n/a
n/a
0%0/2
n/a
0%0/2
n/a
n/a
n/a
Mirageban
41%44/108
46%49/107
8%1/12
71%5/7
60%12/20
67%8/12
13%1/8
50%1/2
100%1/1
0%0/1
colour = vs league averagebelowavgabove
Pistols
EAC wins more pistol rounds: 54% vs 50%. Winning a pistol usually wins you the next few rounds too, so this is a small head start.
After pistol
Win the pistol → Black Phoenix usually win the next round too (100% vs 85%). Lose the pistol → EAC fight back to win the next round more often (9% vs 0%).
Mentality & map flow
comebacks, blown leadsMargins
EAC average a 5-round margin (13 blown, biggest 8); Black Phoenix average 6.3 (0 blown, 0 OTs). Hover any ⓘ for the matches behind it.
EAC
Comebacks (won from 3+ down)i7/19 (37%)Comebacks (won from 3+ down)Of the 19 maps they won, 7 (37%) were won after trailing by 3+ rounds. So 37% of their wins were comebacks, not 37% of all games.vs HashirasOverpassfrom 6 downvs Noir VerseMiragefrom 5 downvs GatorianAncientfrom 5 downvs magicCachefrom 5 downvs MetizportMiragefrom 4 down
Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)i13/30 (43%)Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)Of the 30 maps they lost, 13 (43%) were lost after leading by 3+ rounds: leads they threw away.vs magicAncientled 8 · lost 7-13vs ALGONukeled 5 · lost 9-13vs magicMirageled 5 · lost 6-13vs megoshortMirageled 4 · lost 10-13vs KOLESIENukeled 4 · lost 9-13
Biggest comebackifrom 6 downBiggest comebackLargest deficit erased to win a map.vs HashirasOverpassfrom 6 down · won 16-12
Biggest lead blowni8 roundsBiggest lead blownLargest lead held and still lost.vs magicAncientled 8 · lost 7-13
Avg map margini5 roundsAvg map marginAverage round difference across maps.
Close maps (≤3) · OTi29% · 9Close maps (≤3) · OT29% of their maps were decided by ≤3 rounds (nailbiters); 9 went to overtime.vs megoshortAncient14-16vs Rune EatersAncient12-16vs HashirasOverpass16-12vs Noir VerseMirage16-14vs MetizportNuke26-28
Black Phoenix
Comebacks (won from 3+ down)i1/2 (50%)Comebacks (won from 3+ down)Of the 2 maps they won, 1 (50%) were won after trailing by 3+ rounds. So 50% of their wins were comebacks, not 50% of all games.vs Rune EatersInfernofrom 3 down
Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)i0/1 (0%)Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)Of the 1 maps they lost, 0 (0%) were lost after leading by 3+ rounds: leads they threw away.none in the sample
Biggest comebackifrom 3 downBiggest comebackLargest deficit erased to win a map.vs Rune EatersInfernofrom 3 down · won 13-7
Biggest lead blowni0 roundsBiggest lead blownLargest lead held and still lost.none in the sample
Avg map margini6.3 roundsAvg map marginAverage round difference across maps.
Close maps (≤3) · OTi0% · 0Close maps (≤3) · OT0% of their maps were decided by ≤3 rounds (nailbiters); 0 went to overtime.none in the sample
EAC vs Black Phoenix FAQ
Who is favored to win EAC vs Black Phoenix?
EAC are favored with a 50% model win probability.
What are the betting odds for EAC vs Black Phoenix?
Match odds for EAC vs Black Phoenix aren't available yet. Check back closer to the match.
When do EAC and Black Phoenix play?
EAC vs Black Phoenix is scheduled for 2026-07-24 14:00 UTC at CCT 2026 Europe Series 5.
