Matches / Upcoming / HEROIC vs The MongolZ
Prediction
Our model gives HEROIC a 54% chance to beat The MongolZ at BLAST Bounty 2026 Season 2. Bookmakers price HEROIC at 1.97 and The MongolZ at 1.8 (implied 48% vs 52%).
FormatBO3Tier★Form25-25 · 22-19Likely mapsNuke · Mirage · Inferno
Model read: track record · HLTV rank · firepower · form, weighted by sample size. All figures respect the data-range filter.
Recent form
HEROIC
Head-to-head
past meetings & common opponents◂ HER fared bettervs 8 shared opponentsTHE fared better ▸
FURIA#32-63-3
9z#61-20-2
HEROIC vs 9z
May 28LInferno14-16Overpass16-12Dust211-13The MongolZ vs 9z
Jun 15LInferno8-13Overpass8-13
Aurora#72-02-4
HEROIC vs Aurora
May 9WNuke13-8Dust213-11
G2#80-22-2
HEROIC vs G2
Feb 17LMirage6-13Ancient9-13
BetBoom#92-41-2
The MongolZ vs BetBoom
Jun 11LDust213-11Mirage6-13Ancient11-13
MOUZ#111-22-4
HEROIC vs MOUZ
Mar 6LDust213-9Mirage8-13Inferno3-13
FUT#121-20-2
HEROIC vs FUT
Mar 7LNuke3-13Ancient13-5Mirage3-13The MongolZ vs FUT
Apr 10LNuke10-13Mirage14-16
B8#130-25-3
HEROIC 9-20combined map recordThe MongolZ 15-22edge · The MongolZ
Firepower
roster ratingsHEROIC · avg 1.07 · top +0.12
| Player | Mp | K-D | ADR | KAST | HS | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| nilo | 113 | 1.19 | 76.9 | 74% | 58% | 1.19 |
| MartinezSa | 15 | 1.29 | 69.5 | 76.4% | 36% | 1.11 |
| susp | 112 | 0.9 | 68.2 | 72.6% | 55% | 1.04 |
| Brollan | 15 | 0.94 | 69.3 | 72.9% | 61% | 1.03 |
| Chr1zN | 112 | 0.88 | 67.9 | 69.9% | 57% | 1 |
The MongolZ · avg 1.06 · top +0.1
| Player | Mp | K-D | ADR | KAST | HS | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 910 | 96 | 1.18 | 74.2 | 71.7% | 37% | 1.16 |
| mzinho | 96 | 0.97 | 72.4 | 69.5% | 67% | 1.09 |
| cobrazera | 96 | 0.98 | 73.5 | 69.9% | 57% | 1.07 |
| bLitz | 96 | 0.88 | 74.5 | 69.3% | 49% | 0.99 |
| Techno | 96 | 0.88 | 65.9 | 69.7% | 58% | 0.98 |
Projected veto
likely picks & bansVeto read
Neither side's habitual bans cleanly remove the other's best maps. The veto is live.
Plays: Nuke · Mirage · Inferno · Removed: Anubis · Overpass · Ancient · Dust2
every map shows both teams' win% (HER / THE)
1HEROIC BAN
Anubisproj. removed
HER
n/a
0gTHE
n/a
0g
HER
n/a
0g
THE
n/a
0g
HEROIC on Anubis
no recent maps
The MongolZ on Anubis
no recent maps
2THE MONGOLZ BAN
Overpassproj. removed
HER
44%
4-5THE
33%
2-4
HER
44%
4-5
THE
33%
2-4
3HEROIC PICK
Nuke
HER
56%
15-12THE
63%
10-6
HER
56%
15-12
THE
63%
10-6
4THE MONGOLZ PICK
Mirage
HER
55%
11-9THE
50%
14-14
HER
55%
11-9
THE
50%
14-14
5HEROIC BAN
Ancientproj. removed
HER
50%
5-5THE
44%
7-9
HER
50%
5-5
THE
44%
7-9
6THE MONGOLZ BAN
Dust2proj. removed
HER
56%
14-11THE
56%
9-7
HER
56%
14-11
THE
56%
9-7
7DECIDER
Infernoleft over
HER
47%
9-10THE
57%
8-6
HER
47%
9-10
THE
57%
8-6
Projected from each team's veto habits (BO3), assuming HEROIC vetoes first.
Usual first ban: HEROIC Anubis · The MongolZ Anubis.
Map lab
pick the 3 maps · per-map H2H + predictionlayout
Pick 3 maps ✓
Best-case draws · each side’s strongest realistic Bo3 · tap to load
The veto swings it: HEROIC 59% on their maps vs The MongolZ 57% on theirs. Whoever shapes the pool is favoured. Anubis (50%) is the closest to a toss-up.
The MongolZ55%to win the seriescoin-flipiMap edgesNuke: The MongolZ 56% · Mirage: HEROIC 55% toss-up · Inferno: The MongolZ 59%WhyThe MongolZ hold the edge across the maps (2 of 3 lean their way).OutcomesHEROIC 45%: 2-0 24%, 2-1 21% · The MongolZ 55%: 2-1 30%, 2-0 25%
series odds add up every way a team can win, not just one scoreline
series odds add up every way a team can win, not just one scoreline
HEROIC 45%55% The MongolZ
It’s nearly a coin-flip. The MongolZ only lead because their Inferno is strong enough that nicking just one of the close maps wins the series.
NukeHER v THE
44%56%
15-12record10-6
56%win63%
63%CT win54%
42%T win44%
59%pistol59%
84%convert84%
MirageHER v THE
55%45%
11-9record14-14
55%win50%
55%CT win61%
45%T win39%
58%pistol59%
87%convert85%
InfernoHER v THE
41%59%
9-10record8-6
47%win57%
49%CT win50%
54%T win55%
50%pistol54%
89%convert80%
Pistol, eco & sides
win% · convert if won · eco if lost · CT/T per mapct / t side win% (Nuke skews CT, Dust2 T)pistol won the opening pistolconv then won round 2eco lost pistol, won round 2
Map
HERct
HERt
THEct
THEt
HERpistol
HERconv
HEReco
THEpistol
THEconv
THEeco
Nukepool
63%160/256
42%124/294
54%90/167
44%80/180
59%32/54
84%27/32
24%5/21
59%19/32
84%16/19
8%1/13
Miragepool
55%104/188
45%100/220
61%162/264
39%130/333
58%23/40
87%20/23
29%5/17
59%33/56
85%28/33
35%8/23
Infernopool
49%92/187
54%105/195
50%71/141
55%82/148
50%19/38
89%17/19
37%7/19
54%15/28
80%12/15
38%5/13
Anubisban
n/a
n/a
n/a
n/a
n/a
n/a
n/a
n/a
n/a
n/a
Overpassban
60%61/102
37%30/81
58%37/64
48%31/65
50%9/18
44%4/9
22%2/9
58%7/12
57%4/7
0%0/5
Ancientban
48%58/120
49%45/92
56%88/158
40%71/178
40%8/20
88%7/8
25%3/12
53%17/32
100%17/17
27%4/15
Dust2ban
61%162/266
44%122/276
52%100/192
50%61/123
42%21/50
86%18/21
14%4/29
63%20/32
80%16/20
17%2/12
colour = vs league averagebelowavgabove
Pistols
Pistol rounds are a tie. Both win about the same (HEROIC 56%, The MongolZ 58%). Nobody has an edge.
After pistol
Win the pistol → both win the next round about the same (86% vs 84%). Lose the pistol → both fight back about the same (30% vs 29%).
Mentality & map flow
comebacks, blown leadsMargins
HEROIC average a 5.4-round margin (14 blown, biggest 7); The MongolZ average 5.1 (19 blown, 13 OTs). Hover any ⓘ for the matches behind it.
HEROIC
Comebacks (won from 3+ down)i21/58 (36%)Comebacks (won from 3+ down)Of the 58 maps they won, 21 (36%) were won after trailing by 3+ rounds. So 36% of their wins were comebacks, not 36% of all games.vs BIGDust2from 9 downvs Friendly CampersMiragefrom 4 downvs 3DMAXInfernofrom 4 downvs FlyQuestNukefrom 4 downvs PARIVISIONDust2from 4 down
Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)i14/54 (26%)Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)Of the 54 maps they lost, 14 (26%) were lost after leading by 3+ rounds: leads they threw away.vs PhantomNukeled 7 · lost 14-16vs AcendInfernoled 6 · lost 14-16vs MonteDust2led 5 · lost 9-13vs Lynn VisionDust2led 5 · lost 11-13vs Ninjas in PyjamasNukeled 4 · lost 9-13
Biggest comebackifrom 9 downBiggest comebackLargest deficit erased to win a map.vs BIGDust2from 9 down · won 13-9
Biggest lead blowni7 roundsBiggest lead blownLargest lead held and still lost.vs PhantomNukeled 7 · lost 14-16
Avg map margini5.4 roundsAvg map marginAverage round difference across maps.
Close maps (≤3) · OTi29% · 11Close maps (≤3) · OT29% of their maps were decided by ≤3 rounds (nailbiters); 11 went to overtime.vs paiNMirage16-14vs CYBERSHOKEDust216-13vs AstralisDust213-16vs MonteDust213-16vs MonteNuke20-22
The MongolZ
Comebacks (won from 3+ down)i13/50 (26%)Comebacks (won from 3+ down)Of the 50 maps they won, 13 (26%) were won after trailing by 3+ rounds. So 26% of their wins were comebacks, not 26% of all games.vs magicMiragefrom 7 downvs PARIVISIONMiragefrom 7 downvs PARIVISIONAncientfrom 6 downvs FURIAMiragefrom 5 downvs Natus VincereMiragefrom 5 down
Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)i19/46 (41%)Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)Of the 46 maps they lost, 19 (41%) were lost after leading by 3+ rounds: leads they threw away.vs FURIADust2led 7 · lost 10-13vs FalconsMirageled 7 · lost 12-16vs AstralisAncientled 6 · lost 9-13vs LiquidMirageled 6 · lost 11-13vs LegacyInfernoled 6 · lost 11-13
Biggest comebackifrom 7 downBiggest comebackLargest deficit erased to win a map.vs magicMiragefrom 7 down · won 25-23
Biggest lead blowni7 roundsBiggest lead blownLargest lead held and still lost.vs FURIADust2led 7 · lost 10-13
Avg map margini5.1 roundsAvg map marginAverage round difference across maps.
Close maps (≤3) · OTi44% · 13Close maps (≤3) · OT44% of their maps were decided by ≤3 rounds (nailbiters); 13 went to overtime.vs FURIAInferno12-16vs B8Nuke19-17vs VitalityMirage13-16vs paiNNuke19-17vs VitalityOverpass13-16
HEROIC vs The MongolZ FAQ
Who is favored to win HEROIC vs The MongolZ?
HEROIC are favored with a 54% model win probability, and are the bookmakers' favorite too.
What are the betting odds for HEROIC vs The MongolZ?
Bookmakers price HEROIC at 1.97 and The MongolZ at 1.8 (implied 48% vs 52%).
When do HEROIC and The MongolZ play?
HEROIC vs The MongolZ is scheduled for 2026-07-24 11:30 UTC at BLAST Bounty 2026 Season 2.