Gentle Mates vs paiN Prediction & Odds · CS2 Match Preview

Matches / Upcoming / Gentle Mates vs paiN

Gentle Mates

★

2026-07-23 15:00 UTC

BLAST Bounty 2026 Season 2

paiN

Prediction

Our model gives Gentle Mates a 55% chance to beat paiN at BLAST Bounty 2026 Season 2. Bookmakers price Gentle Mates at 2.21 and paiN at 1.63 (implied 42% vs 58%).

Gentle Mates

2.21odds

paiN

1.63odds

Our read55%

45%

Market42%

58%

median decimal odds · 3 books

FormatBO3Tier★Form32-20 · 23-21Likely mapsInferno · Nuke · Mirage

Model read: track record · HLTV rank · firepower · form, weighted by sample size. All figures respect the data-range filter.

Recent form

Head-to-head

past meetings & common opponents

◂ GEN fared bettervs 8 shared opponentsPAI fared better ▸

FURIA#31-20-2

Gentle Mates vs FURIA

May 12LNuke11-13Overpass13-10Inferno6-13

paiN vs FURIA

Mar 9LInferno6-13Dust28-13

G2#81-22-2

Gentle Mates vs G2

Apr 13LInferno13-8Mirage8-13Overpass3-13

paiN vs G2

Mar 4WInferno16-14Mirage16-12 Feb 16LInferno10-13Mirage9-13

BetBoom#94-23-2

Gentle Mates vs BetBoom

Feb 22WNuke10-13Mirage13-10Overpass13-10 Jan 23WNuke13-5Mirage6-13Overpass16-13

paiN vs BetBoom

May 13LDust211-13Nuke13-6Anubis5-13 Jan 16WMirage13-8Nuke13-4

MOUZ#111-20-2

Gentle Mates vs MOUZ

May 9LNuke12-16Mirage13-4Ancient5-13

paiN vs MOUZ

May 22LNuke4-13Overpass7-13

BIG#210-20-1

Gentle Mates vs BIG

Mar 25LAncient10-13Inferno8-13

paiN vs BIG

Jun 6LOverpass9-13

M80#262-00-1

Gentle Mates vs M80

Jan 15WMirage13-2Inferno13-8

paiN vs M80

May 20LMirage8-13

HEROIC#282-00-2

Gentle Mates vs HEROIC

May 11WInferno13-4Mirage13-6

paiN vs HEROIC

Jan 17LNuke6-13Mirage14-16

3DMAX#342-32-3

Gentle Mates vs 3DMAX

Jul 21WInferno8-13Cache13-4Nuke13-7 Jul 17LAncient2-13Cache7-13

paiN vs 3DMAX

Jul 16LCache10-13Inferno4-13 Mar 1WNuke13-8Dust27-13Inferno16-14

Gentle Mates 13-13combined map recordpaiN 7-15edge · Gentle Mates

Firepower

roster ratings

Gentle Mates · avg 1.09 · top +0.05

Player	Mp	K-D	ADR	KAST	HS	Rating
mopoz	127	1	75.7	71.7%	56%	1.14
sausol	127	1.05	75.3	73.7%	52%	1.11
alex	127	1.01	73.9	73.1%	48%	1.09
CRUC1AL	11	1.12	72.2	73.7%	35%	1.08
dav1g	127	0.94	70.6	72.1%	48%	1.03

paiN · avg 1.05 · top +0.06

Player	Mp	K-D	ADR	KAST	HS	Rating
piriajr	103	1.05	75.1	70.8%	57%	1.11
snow	103	1.02	73.5	71.7%	51%	1.09
vsm	103	0.98	70.9	70.4%	60%	1.05
saffee	39	1.05	67.2	69.3%	33%	1.02
biguzera	103	0.89	68.7	69.9%	55%	1

Projected veto

likely picks & bans

Veto read

paiN habitually bans Ancient, Gentle Mates's strongest maps (Ancient, Inferno, Anubis all ≥60%). That's a standing habit (Ancient 40/44), not an opponent read, so expect Gentle Mates to fight the veto for Nuke.

Plays: Inferno · Nuke · Mirage · Removed: Dust2 · Ancient · Anubis · Overpass every map shows both teams' win% (GEN / PAI)

1GENTLE MATES BAN Dust2proj. removed

GEN n/a 0g

PAI 40% 8-12

Gentle Mates on Dust2

no recent maps

paiN on Dust2

Phantom 13–8 6d ago L LP 6–13 11d ago W

METANOIA Wolves 13–4 12d ago L

Monte 11–13 1mo ago W

BC.Game 13–8 2mo ago L

BetBoom 11–13 2mo ago W

FUT 13–11 2mo ago W

FaZe 13–6 2mo ago

2PAIN BAN Ancientproj. removed

GEN 64% 16-9

PAI n/a 0g

Gentle Mates on Ancient

3DMAX 2–13 4d ago L

Ninjas in Pyjamas 9–13 5d ago W ex-RUBY 25–21 1mo ago W

KOLESIE 16–14 1mo ago L

Acend 9–13 1mo ago W

Eternal Fire 34–32 2mo ago W

GenOne 13–7 2mo ago W

ALGO 13–10 2mo ago

paiN on Ancient

no recent maps

3GENTLE MATES PICK Inferno

GEN 75% 18-6

PAI 54% 7-6

Gentle Mates on Inferno

3DMAX 8–13 today W

Wildcard 13–10 6d ago W

Acend 13–9 1mo ago L

Nemesis 8–13 2mo ago W

WW 13–9 2mo ago W

GenOne 13–4 2mo ago W

GenOne 13–0 2mo ago L

magic 13–16 2mo ago

paiN on Inferno

3DMAX 4–13 5d ago W LP 13–2 11d ago W

METANOIA Wolves 13–4 12d ago L

GamerLegion 8–13 2mo ago L

ShindeN 4–13 4mo ago W

Gaimin Gladiators 13–6 4mo ago L

9z 9–13 4mo ago W

DASH 13–11 4mo ago

4PAIN PICK Nuke

GEN 55% 17-14

PAI 68% 19-9

Gentle Mates on Nuke

3DMAX 13–7 today L

Ninjas in Pyjamas 6–13 5d ago W

Wildcard 13–9 6d ago L ex-RUBY 6–13 1mo ago W

KOLESIE 13–9 1mo ago L

Nuclear TigeRES 11–13 1mo ago L

Nemesis 6–13 2mo ago W

GenOne 13–7 2mo ago

paiN on Nuke

Phantom 5–13 6d ago L

Sharks 7–13 9d ago W LP 13–9 11d ago L

Monte 5–13 1mo ago W

Astralis 13–11 1mo ago W

FlyQuest 13–7 1mo ago L

MOUZ 4–13 2mo ago L

TYLOO 8–13 2mo ago

5GENTLE MATES BAN Anubisproj. removed

GEN 64% 7-4

PAI 63% 5-3

Gentle Mates on Anubis

Nuclear TigeRES 11–13 1mo ago W

Eternal Fire 13–9 2mo ago L

GenOne 10–13 2mo ago W

ALGO 13–8 2mo ago W

9INE 13–9 4mo ago W

HYPERSPIRIT 13–6 4mo ago L

HOTU 3–13 5mo ago W

Bushido Wildcats 13–10 5mo ago

paiN on Anubis

Phantom 5–13 6d ago W

FlyQuest 13–10 1mo ago W

BC.Game 13–4 2mo ago L

BetBoom 5–13 2mo ago W

FaZe 13–8 2mo ago W

Gaimin Gladiators 13–4 4mo ago W

ALKA 13–7 4mo ago L

Aurora 7–13 5mo ago

6PAIN BAN Overpassproj. removed

GEN 46% 6-7

PAI 31% 4-9

Gentle Mates on Overpass

Eternal Fire 19–16 2mo ago W

FURIA 13–10 2mo ago L

K27 9–13 2mo ago L

RED Canids 10–13 3mo ago L

G2 3–13 3mo ago L

9INE 9–13 4mo ago L

Ninjas in Pyjamas 11–13 4mo ago L

HOTU 6–13 5mo ago

paiN on Overpass

Astralis 13–4 1mo ago L

BIG 9–13 2mo ago L

MOUZ 7–13 2mo ago W

TYLOO 13–6 2mo ago W

GamerLegion 13–6 2mo ago L

FUT 10–13 2mo ago L

Gaimin Gladiators 11–13 4mo ago L

Galorys 6–13 4mo ago

7DECIDER Mirageleft over

GEN 45% 9-11

PAI 53% 10-9

Gentle Mates on Mirage

magic 4–13 today L ex-RUBY 8–13 1mo ago W

Acend 13–6 1mo ago W

WW 13–6 2mo ago W

Eternal Fire 13–8 2mo ago L

magic 5–13 2mo ago W

HEROIC 13–6 2mo ago W

paiN on Mirage

ShindeN 13–8 4mo ago W

Galorys 13–5 4mo ago W

ShindeN 13–11 4mo ago L

Bounty Hunters 11–13 4mo ago

Projected from each team's veto habits (BO3), assuming Gentle Mates vetoes first. Usual first ban: Gentle Mates Dust2 · paiN Ancient.

Map lab

pick the 3 maps · per-map H2H + prediction

layout

Pick 3 maps ✓

Best-case draws · each side’s strongest realistic Bo3 · tap to load

The veto swings it: Gentle Mates 68% on their maps vs paiN 60% on theirs. Whoever shapes the pool is favoured. Dust2 (50%) is the closest to a toss-up.

Gentle Mates50%to win the seriescoin-flipiMap edgesInferno: Gentle Mates 70% clear · Nuke: paiN 62% · Mirage: paiN 57%WhypaiN are favoured on 2 of 3 maps, but only barely: the other maps are near 50/50 (Nuke & Mirage), so Gentle Mates just need to steal one (~64% to grab at least one).OutcomesGentle Mates 50%: 2-0 26%, 2-1 24% · paiN 50%: 2-1 31%, 2-0 19%
series odds add up every way a team can win, not just one scoreline

Gentle Mates 50%50% paiN

It’s nearly a coin-flip. Gentle Mates only lead because their Inferno is strong enough that nicking just one of the close maps wins the series.

InfernoGEN v PAI

70%

30%

18-6record7-6

75%win54%

64%CT win52%

52%T win47%

46%pistol54%

71%convert79%

NukeGEN v PAI

38%

62%

17-14record19-9

55%win68%

61%CT win56%

46%T win54%

52%pistol45%

71%convert76%

MirageGEN v PAI

43%

57%

9-11record10-9

45%win53%

53%CT win56%

46%T win46%

48%pistol53%

79%convert85%

Pistol, eco & sides

win% · convert if won · eco if lost · CT/T per map

ct / t side win% (Nuke skews CT, Dust2 T)pistol won the opening pistolconv then won round 2eco lost pistol, won round 2

Map

GENct

GENt

PAIct

PAIt

GENpistol

GENconv

GENeco

PAIpistol

PAIconv

PAIeco

Infernopool

64%147/230

52%138/263

52%70/134

47%60/128

46%22/48

71%15/21

31%8/26

54%14/26

79%11/14

25%3/12

Nukepool

61%183/298

46%153/334

56%129/231

54%177/330

52%32/62

71%22/31

20%6/30

45%25/56

76%19/25

16%5/31

Miragepool

53%127/240

46%76/165

56%124/221

46%83/179

48%19/40

79%15/19

19%4/21

53%20/38

85%17/20

33%6/18

Dust2ban

n/a

50%103/208

46%97/211

n/a

43%17/40

88%15/17

22%5/23

Ancientban

59%155/264

42%114/270

n/a

48%24/50

71%17/24

15%4/26

n/a

Anubisban

45%49/108

61%78/127

48%42/88

61%40/66

55%12/22

58%7/12

10%1/10

44%7/16

86%6/7

11%1/9

Overpassban

56%87/155

35%47/134

43%61/142

49%49/101

54%14/26

86%12/14

33%4/12

62%16/26

88%14/16

30%3/10

colour = vs league averagebelowavgabove

Pistols

Pistol rounds are a tie. Both win about the same (Gentle Mates 49%, paiN 49%). Nobody has an edge.

After pistol

Win the pistol → paiN usually win the next round too (80% vs 73%). Lose the pistol → both fight back about the same (23% vs 23%).

Mentality & map flow

comebacks, blown leads

Margins

Gentle Mates average a 5.3-round margin (11 blown, biggest 9); paiN average 5.7 (17 blown, 11 OTs). Hover any ⓘ for the matches behind it.

Gentle Mates

Comebacks (won from 3+ down)i22/74 (30%)Comebacks (won from 3+ down)Of the 74 maps they won, 22 (30%) were won after trailing by 3+ rounds. So 30% of their wins were comebacks, not 30% of all games.vs SINNERSInfernofrom 8 down vs EYEBALLERSInfernofrom 7 down vs FOKUSNukefrom 6 down vs 9INENukefrom 5 down vs ALGOAnubisfrom 5 down

Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)i11/53 (21%)Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)Of the 53 maps they lost, 11 (21%) were lost after leading by 3+ rounds: leads they threw away.vs magicMirageled 9 · lost 4-13 vs HOTUAnubisled 8 · lost 12-16 vs BIGAncientled 6 · lost 10-13 vs Ninjas in PyjamasNukeled 5 · lost 11-13 vs SINNERSMirageled 5 · lost 11-13

Biggest comebackifrom 8 downBiggest comebackLargest deficit erased to win a map.vs SINNERSInfernofrom 8 down · won 19-17

Biggest lead blowni9 roundsBiggest lead blownLargest lead held and still lost.vs magicMirageled 9 · lost 4-13

Avg map margini5.3 roundsAvg map marginAverage round difference across maps.

Close maps (≤3) · OTi33% · 18Close maps (≤3) · OT33% of their maps were decided by ≤3 rounds (nailbiters); 18 went to overtime.vs Nuclear TigeRESInferno19-15 vs HOTUAnubis12-16 vs 9INEAncient16-14 vs BetBoomOverpass16-13 vs EYEBALLERSInferno16-13

paiN

Comebacks (won from 3+ down)i10/53 (19%)Comebacks (won from 3+ down)Of the 53 maps they won, 10 (19%) were won after trailing by 3+ rounds. So 19% of their wins were comebacks, not 19% of all games.vs ShindeNMiragefrom 8 down vs G2Miragefrom 4 down vs DASHInfernofrom 4 down vs DASHNukefrom 4 down vs GalorysNukefrom 4 down

Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)i17/50 (34%)Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)Of the 50 maps they lost, 17 (34%) were lost after leading by 3+ rounds: leads they threw away.vs FaZeDust2led 6 · lost 13-16 vs Bounty HuntersMirageled 5 · lost 11-13 vs Gaimin GladiatorsOverpassled 5 · lost 11-13 vs AuroraOverpassled 4 · lost 6-13 vs PARIVISIONMirageled 4 · lost 15-19

Biggest comebackifrom 8 downBiggest comebackLargest deficit erased to win a map.vs ShindeNMiragefrom 8 down · won 13-11

Biggest lead blowni6 roundsBiggest lead blownLargest lead held and still lost.vs FaZeDust2led 6 · lost 13-16

Avg map margini5.7 roundsAvg map marginAverage round difference across maps.

Close maps (≤3) · OTi24% · 11Close maps (≤3) · OT24% of their maps were decided by ≤3 rounds (nailbiters); 11 went to overtime.vs HEROICMirage14-16 vs B8Dust216-12 vs 3DMAXInferno16-14 vs PARIVISIONMirage15-19 vs G2Inferno16-14

Gentle Mates vs paiN FAQ

Who is favored to win Gentle Mates vs paiN?

Gentle Mates are favored with a 55% model win probability, and are the bookmakers' favorite too.

What are the betting odds for Gentle Mates vs paiN?

Bookmakers price Gentle Mates at 2.21 and paiN at 1.63 (implied 42% vs 58%).

When do Gentle Mates and paiN play?

Gentle Mates vs paiN is scheduled for 2026-07-23 15:00 UTC at BLAST Bounty 2026 Season 2.