Matches / Upcoming / OG vs Spirit
PredictionHigh confidence
Our model gives Spirit a 80% chance to beat OG at BLAST Bounty 2026 Season 2. Bookmakers price OG at 8.25 and Spirit at 1.05 (implied 11% vs 89%).
FormatBO3Tier★Form16-15 · 29-8PistolsOG 61%Likely mapsOverpass · Dust2 · Nuke
Model read: track record · HLTV rank · firepower · form, weighted by sample size. All figures respect the data-range filter.
Recent form
OG
Head-to-head
past meetings & common opponents◂ OG fared bettervs 3 shared opponentsSPI fared better ▸
Liquid#312-14-0
OG vs Liquid
Mar 15WInferno13-6Dust223-25Ancient13-8
Inner Circle#321-32-0
Spirit vs Inner Circle
Jan 18WAncient13-8Dust213-5
SINNERS#430-12-0
OG vs SINNERS
Mar 29LOverpass6-13Spirit vs SINNERS
Jan 16WMirage13-11Nuke13-5OG 3-5combined map recordSpirit 8-0edge · Spirit
Firepower
roster ratingsOG · avg 1.06 · top +0.17
| Player | Mp | K-D | ADR | KAST | HS | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| adamb | 58 | 1.13 | 78.5 | 74.6% | 53% | 1.23 |
| spooke | 58 | 1.07 | 78.5 | 72.4% | 60% | 1.14 |
| cadiaN | 58 | 1.1 | 69.7 | 70.8% | 30% | 1.03 |
| bodyy | 45 | 0.93 | 74 | 70.8% | 61% | 1.02 |
| pr1metapz | 20 | 0.79 | 57.3 | 71.1% | 54% | 0.9 |
Spirit · avg 1.19 · top +0.29
| Player | Mp | K-D | ADR | KAST | HS | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| donk | 85 | 1.35 | 96.5 | 78.1% | 61% | 1.48 |
| sh1ro | 85 | 1.46 | 77.2 | 78.2% | 32% | 1.23 |
| tN1R | 85 | 1.01 | 72.7 | 74.4% | 55% | 1.12 |
| magixx | 85 | 0.97 | 68.5 | 75.4% | 52% | 1.05 |
| zont1x | 84 | 0.97 | 68.3 | 76% | 41% | 1.05 |
Projected veto
likely picks & bansVeto read
Spirit habitually bans Inferno, OG's strongest maps (Inferno, Overpass all ≥60%).
That's a standing habit (Inferno 37/37), not an opponent read, so expect OG to fight the veto for Overpass.
Plays: Overpass · Dust2 · Nuke · Removed: Anubis · Inferno · Mirage · Ancient
every map shows both teams' win% (OG / SPI)
1OG BAN
Anubisproj. removed
OG
n/a
0gSPI
63%
5-3
OG
n/a
0g
SPI
63%
5-3
OG on Anubis
no recent maps
2SPIRIT BAN
Infernoproj. removed
OG
73%
8-3SPI
n/a
0g
OG
73%
8-3
SPI
n/a
0g
OG on Inferno
W
TDK
13–8
2mo ago
W
EAC
13–9
2mo ago
L
BESTIA
8–13
4mo ago
W
9INE
19–15
4mo ago
W
INFINITE Talent
13–4
4mo ago
W
Liquid
13–6
4mo ago
W
BC.Game
13–11
4mo ago
L
Alliance
5–13
5mo agoSpirit on Inferno
no recent maps
3OG PICK
Overpass
OG
60%
9-6SPI
56%
5-4
OG
60%
9-6
SPI
56%
5-4
4SPIRIT PICK
Dust2
OG
33%
3-6SPI
77%
20-6
OG
33%
3-6
SPI
77%
20-6
5OG BAN
Mirageproj. removed
OG
25%
1-3SPI
71%
15-6
OG
25%
1-3
SPI
71%
15-6
6SPIRIT BAN
Ancientproj. removed
OG
40%
4-6SPI
75%
9-3
OG
40%
4-6
SPI
75%
9-3
7DECIDER
Nukeleft over
OG
44%
4-5SPI
67%
6-3
OG
44%
4-5
SPI
67%
6-3
Projected from each team's veto habits (BO3), assuming OG vetoes first.
Usual first ban: OG Anubis · Spirit Inferno.
Map lab
pick the 3 maps · per-map H2H + predictionlayout
Pick 3 maps ✓
Best-case draws · each side’s strongest realistic Bo3 · tap to load
The veto swings it: OG 52% on their maps vs Spirit 88% on theirs. Whoever shapes the pool is favoured. Inferno (50%) is the closest to a toss-up.
Spirit74%to win the seriesclear pickiMap edgesOverpass: OG 54% toss-up · Dust2: Spirit 84% clear · Nuke: Spirit 68% clearWhySpirit hold the edge across the maps (2 of 3 lean their way).OutcomesOG 26%: 2-1 17%, 2-0 9% · Spirit 74%: 2-0 38%, 2-1 36%
series odds add up every way a team can win, not just one scoreline
series odds add up every way a team can win, not just one scoreline
OG 26%74% Spirit
Spirit are the clearer side here: the most likely result is Spirit 2-0.
OverpassOG v SPI
54%46%
9-6record5-4
60%win56%
54%CT win64%
53%T win51%
53%pistol44%
88%convert88%
Dust2OG v SPI
16%84%
3-6record20-6
33%win77%
58%CT win53%
41%T win54%
56%pistol46%
60%convert92%
NukeOG v SPI
32%68%
4-5record6-3
44%win67%
47%CT win62%
45%T win57%
78%pistol61%
64%convert100%
Pistol, eco & sides
win% · convert if won · eco if lost · CT/T per mapct / t side win% (Nuke skews CT, Dust2 T)pistol won the opening pistolconv then won round 2eco lost pistol, won round 2
Map
OGct
OGt
SPIct
SPIt
OGpistol
OGconv
OGeco
SPIpistol
SPIconv
SPIeco
Overpasspool
54%76/141
53%91/171
64%59/92
51%47/92
53%16/30
88%14/16
29%4/14
44%8/18
88%7/8
50%5/10
Dust2pool
58%62/107
41%35/86
53%128/241
54%159/294
56%10/18
60%6/10
0%0/8
46%24/52
92%22/24
18%5/28
Nukepool
47%44/93
45%43/96
62%62/100
57%44/77
78%14/18
64%9/14
0%0/4
61%11/18
100%11/11
29%2/7
Anubisban
n/a
n/a
52%45/86
53%39/73
n/a
n/a
n/a
38%6/16
100%6/6
20%2/10
Infernoban
60%56/94
53%66/124
n/a
n/a
50%11/22
70%7/10
36%4/11
n/a
n/a
n/a
Mirageban
63%27/43
29%14/48
59%135/229
50%94/187
13%1/8
0%0/1
57%4/7
57%24/42
79%19/24
22%4/18
Ancientban
56%66/117
44%41/93
61%85/140
48%54/112
45%9/20
100%9/9
36%4/11
50%12/24
92%11/12
17%2/12
colour = vs league averagebelowavgabove
Pistols
OG wins more pistol rounds: 61% vs 49%. Winning a pistol usually wins you the next few rounds too, so this is a small head start.
After pistol
Win the pistol → Spirit usually win the next round too (93% vs 73%). Lose the pistol → Spirit fight back to win the next round more often (27% vs 15%).
Mentality & map flow
comebacks, blown leadsMargins
OG average a 5.2-round margin (13 blown, biggest 8); Spirit average 5.7 (6 blown, 15 OTs). Hover any ⓘ for the matches behind it.
OG
Comebacks (won from 3+ down)i4/29 (14%)Comebacks (won from 3+ down)Of the 29 maps they won, 4 (14%) were won after trailing by 3+ rounds. So 14% of their wins were comebacks, not 14% of all games.vs LiquidAncientfrom 7 downvs 9INEInfernofrom 6 downvs PhantomNukefrom 5 downvs BIGOverpassfrom 3 down
Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)i13/29 (45%)Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)Of the 29 maps they lost, 13 (45%) were lost after leading by 3+ rounds: leads they threw away.vs NemesisAncientled 8 · lost 20-22vs FUTMirageled 4 · lost 11-13vs 9INENukeled 4 · lost 11-13vs BetclicAncientled 4 · lost 7-13vs Inner CircleDust2led 4 · lost 10-13
Biggest comebackifrom 7 downBiggest comebackLargest deficit erased to win a map.vs LiquidAncientfrom 7 down · won 13-8
Biggest lead blowni8 roundsBiggest lead blownLargest lead held and still lost.vs NemesisAncientled 8 · lost 20-22
Avg map margini5.2 roundsAvg map marginAverage round difference across maps.
Close maps (≤3) · OTi34% · 8Close maps (≤3) · OT34% of their maps were decided by ≤3 rounds (nailbiters); 8 went to overtime.vs NemesisAncient20-22vs NemesisNuke19-17vs LiquidDust223-25vs ALGOOverpass17-19vs 9INEInferno19-15
Spirit
Comebacks (won from 3+ down)i18/60 (30%)Comebacks (won from 3+ down)Of the 60 maps they won, 18 (30%) were won after trailing by 3+ rounds. So 30% of their wins were comebacks, not 30% of all games.vs 9zMiragefrom 7 downvs FURIAMiragefrom 6 downvs SINNERSMiragefrom 5 downvs 9zDust2from 5 downvs AstralisOverpassfrom 4 down
Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)i6/25 (24%)Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)Of the 25 maps they lost, 6 (24%) were lost after leading by 3+ rounds: leads they threw away.vs 9zOverpassled 6 · lost 12-16vs PARIVISIONAncientled 4 · lost 8-13vs VitalityMirageled 4 · lost 13-16vs VitalityNukeled 4 · lost 10-13vs PARIVISIONAncientled 3 · lost 8-13
Biggest comebackifrom 7 downBiggest comebackLargest deficit erased to win a map.vs 9zMiragefrom 7 down · won 16-13
Biggest lead blowni6 roundsBiggest lead blownLargest lead held and still lost.vs 9zOverpassled 6 · lost 12-16
Avg map margini5.7 roundsAvg map marginAverage round difference across maps.
Close maps (≤3) · OTi28% · 15Close maps (≤3) · OT28% of their maps were decided by ≤3 rounds (nailbiters); 15 went to overtime.vs AstralisDust216-13vs Natus VincereMirage16-14vs G2Dust216-13vs FURIAMirage13-16vs VitalityMirage13-16
OG vs Spirit FAQ
Who is favored to win OG vs Spirit?
Spirit are favored with a 80% model win probability, and are the bookmakers' favorite too.
What are the betting odds for OG vs Spirit?
Bookmakers price OG at 8.25 and Spirit at 1.05 (implied 11% vs 89%).
When do OG and Spirit play?
OG vs Spirit is scheduled for 2026-07-23 17:30 UTC at BLAST Bounty 2026 Season 2.