Ninjas in Pyjamas vs 100 Thieves Prediction & Odds · CS2 Match Preview

Matches / Upcoming / Ninjas in Pyjamas vs 100 Thieves

Ninjas in Pyjamas

★

2026-07-22 13:00 UTC

StarLadder StarSeries Fall 2026 Europe Closed Qualifier

100 Thieves

Prediction

Our model gives Ninjas in Pyjamas a 54% chance to beat 100 Thieves at StarLadder StarSeries Fall 2026 Europe Closed Qualifier. Bookmakers price Ninjas in Pyjamas at 1.96 and 100 Thieves at 1.76 (implied 47% vs 53%).

Ninjas in Pyjamas

1.96odds

100 Thieves

1.76odds

Our read54%

46%

Market47%

53%

median decimal odds · 3 books

FormatBO3Tier★Form25-24 · 35-17Pistols100 57%Likely mapsNuke · Ancient · Overpass

Model read: track record · HLTV rank · firepower · form, weighted by sample size. All figures respect the data-range filter.

Recent form

Head-to-head

past meetings & common opponents

CCT Global Finals 2026 5mo ago

Roman Imperium Cup V 5mo ago

Ninjas in Pyjamas13 : 2

◂ NIN fared bettervs 5 shared opponents100 fared better ▸

magic#202-31-2

Ninjas in Pyjamas vs magic

May 30WAnubis13-11Ancient6-13Mirage13-11 May 29LAncient9-13Mirage2-13

100 Thieves vs magic

Mar 31LInferno13-8Mirage8-13Ancient9-13

BIG#213-31-2

Ninjas in Pyjamas vs BIG

Jul 4LAnubis11-13Inferno13-9Ancient6-13 Apr 25WAncient13-5Mirage11-13Anubis13-5

100 Thieves vs BIG

Apr 23LMirage9-13Ancient13-3Dust213-16

HEROIC#283-41-2

Ninjas in Pyjamas vs HEROIC

Jul 17LInferno11-13Nuke13-9Mirage9-13 May 27WNuke13-7Mirage13-9 Apr 3LNuke14-16Mirage7-13

100 Thieves vs HEROIC

Feb 28LInferno13-10Nuke10-13Ancient9-13

Sharks#294-00-2

Ninjas in Pyjamas vs Sharks

May 28WAncient13-7Nuke13-5 Apr 23WAncient13-7Nuke13-7

100 Thieves vs Sharks

May 3LInferno7-13Nuke4-13

K27#383-21-4

Ninjas in Pyjamas vs K27

Jul 18LMirage17-19Nuke13-4Cache9-13 Jul 15WAncient13-8Nuke13-8

100 Thieves vs K27

Jun 16LDust29-13 Apr 3LOverpass13-10Nuke11-13Dust26-13

Ninjas in Pyjamas 15-12combined map record100 Thieves 4-12edge · Ninjas in Pyjamas

Firepower

roster ratings

Ninjas in Pyjamas · avg 1.1 · top +0.08

Player	Mp	K-D	ADR	KAST	HS	Rating
xKacpersky	114	1.07	82.7	73.2%	54%	1.18
stavn	51	1.27	77	73.4%	33%	1.17
n0te	23	1.04	74.9	72.7%	57%	1.13
sjuush	114	0.98	69.8	70.9%	55%	1.07
Snappi	114	0.81	63.8	68%	56%	0.93

100 Thieves · avg 1.15 · top +0.07

Player	Mp	K-D	ADR	KAST	HS	Rating
poiii	113	1.12	81.6	75%	61%	1.22
device	113	1.29	77.2	74.5%	36%	1.19
sirah	113	1.09	74.7	74.4%	57%	1.15
Ag1l	113	1.06	72.1	74%	55%	1.1
rain	113	0.96	72	74.6%	59%	1.07

Projected veto

likely picks & bans

Veto read

Neither side's habitual bans cleanly remove the other's best maps. The veto is live.

Plays: Nuke · Ancient · Overpass · Removed: Inferno · Anubis · Dust2 · Mirage every map shows both teams' win% (NIN / 100)

1NINJAS IN PYJAMAS BAN Infernoproj. removed

NIN 75% 3-1

100 68% 13-6

Ninjas in Pyjamas on Inferno

M80 13–10 today L

HEROIC 11–13 4d ago W

BIG 13–9 17d ago W

Luminosity 13–10 18d ago

100 Thieves on Inferno

TDK 14–16 1mo ago W

GenOne 13–6 1mo ago W

Ursa 13–11 2mo ago L

Nemesis 6–13 2mo ago W

STATE 13–6 2mo ago W Eternal 21 13–5 2mo ago L

Acend 10–13 2mo ago W

BASEMENT BOYS 13–2 2mo ago

2100 THIEVES BAN Anubisproj. removed

NIN 46% 6-7

100 33% 2-4

Ninjas in Pyjamas on Anubis

BIG 11–13 17d ago L

3DMAX 14–16 20d ago W

magic 13–11 2mo ago L

Monte 2–13 3mo ago W

BIG 13–5 3mo ago W

100 Thieves 13–11 3mo ago L

Monte 14–16 3mo ago W

SAW 13–10 4mo ago

100 Thieves on Anubis

TDK 13–16 1mo ago W

TDK 13–8 3mo ago L

Ninjas in Pyjamas 11–13 3mo ago L

AM 17–19 4mo ago W

FlyQuest 13–7 5mo ago L

ENCE 8–13 5mo ago

3NINJAS IN PYJAMAS PICK Nuke

NIN 74% 23-8

100 62% 13-8

Ninjas in Pyjamas on Nuke

K27 13–4 3d ago W

HEROIC 13–9 4d ago W

Gentle Mates 13–6 5d ago W

K27 13–8 6d ago L

Virtus.pro 15–19 12d ago L

Luminosity 7–13 18d ago W

FaZe 13–10 2mo ago W

Sharks 13–5 2mo ago

100 Thieves on Nuke

Leo 5–13 1mo ago W

Betclic 16–12 1mo ago W

Sashi Academy 13–2 2mo ago W Eternal 21 13–2 2mo ago L

Nuclear TigeRES 10–13 2mo ago L Lavked 6–13 2mo ago W

BASEMENT BOYS 13–3 2mo ago L

Sharks 4–13 3mo ago

4100 THIEVES PICK Ancient

NIN 46% 12-14

100 66% 19-10

Ninjas in Pyjamas on Ancient

M80 13–8 today W

Gentle Mates 13–9 5d ago W

K27 13–8 6d ago L

Virtus.pro 11–13 12d ago L

BIG 6–13 17d ago L

Alliance 3–13 19d ago L

magic 6–13 2mo ago W

FaZe 13–11 2mo ago

100 Thieves on Ancient

TDK 13–16 1mo ago W

Leo 16–12 1mo ago L

Johnny Speeds 8–13 2mo ago W ex-RUBY 13–9 2mo ago W

Phantom 13–7 2mo ago W

Nemesis 16–14 2mo ago W

Oramond 13–11 2mo ago L

STATE 11–13 2mo ago

5NINJAS IN PYJAMAS BAN Dust2proj. removed

NIN 40% 6-9

100 70% 16-7

Ninjas in Pyjamas on Dust2

Lynn Vision 8–13 2mo ago L

Monte 6–13 3mo ago L

Monte 7–13 3mo ago L

PARIVISION 8–13 4mo ago W

OG 13–10 4mo ago W

Gaimin Gladiators 13–9 4mo ago W

Voca 13–5 4mo ago L

G2 13–16 5mo ago

100 Thieves on Dust2

GenOne 13–7 1mo ago W

Leo 13–10 1mo ago L

K27 9–13 1mo ago W

Betclic 13–8 1mo ago W

Johnny Speeds 13–3 2mo ago W ex-RUBY 13–6 2mo ago W

Phantom 13–9 2mo ago W

Ursa 13–11 2mo ago

6100 THIEVES BAN Mirageproj. removed

NIN 42% 8-11

100 50% 6-6

Ninjas in Pyjamas on Mirage

K27 17–19 3d ago L

HEROIC 9–13 4d ago W

Virtus.pro 13–3 12d ago W

Luminosity 13–7 18d ago W

magic 13–11 2mo ago L

magic 2–13 2mo ago W

HEROIC 13–9 2mo ago L

BIG 11–13 3mo ago

100 Thieves on Mirage

Johnny Speeds 13–10 2mo ago L

Nemesis 4–13 2mo ago L

STATE 9–13 2mo ago W

Sashi Academy 13–0 2mo ago L

Nuclear TigeRES 17–19 2mo ago W

Acend 13–11 2mo ago W

A Great Chaos 13–7 2mo ago W

illwill 13–7 3mo ago

7DECIDER Overpassleft over

NIN 33% 2-4

100 67% 2-1

Ninjas in Pyjamas on Overpass

Gentle Mates 13–11 4mo ago L

OG 7–13 4mo ago W

Alliance 13–6 4mo ago L

Legacy 9–13 5mo ago L M1X KS 13–16 5mo ago L

Passion UA 8–13 6mo ago

100 Thieves on Overpass

BASEMENT BOYS 13–6 2mo ago W

K27 13–10 4mo ago L

Johnny Speeds 9–13 4mo ago

Projected from each team's veto habits (BO3), assuming Ninjas in Pyjamas vetoes first. Usual first ban: Ninjas in Pyjamas Inferno · 100 Thieves Mirage.

Map lab

pick the 3 maps · per-map H2H + prediction

layout

Pick 3 maps ✓

Best-case draws · each side’s strongest realistic Bo3 · tap to load

The veto swings it: Ninjas in Pyjamas 61% on their maps vs 100 Thieves 76% on theirs. Whoever shapes the pool is favoured. Inferno (50%) is the closest to a toss-up.

100 Thieves58%to win the seriescoin-flipiMap edgesNuke: Ninjas in Pyjamas 63% · Ancient: 100 Thieves 68% clear · Overpass: 100 Thieves 61%Why100 Thieves hold the edge across the maps (2 of 3 lean their way).OutcomesNinjas in Pyjamas 42%: 2-1 21%, 2-0 20% · 100 Thieves 58%: 2-1 33%, 2-0 25%
series odds add up every way a team can win, not just one scoreline

Ninjas in Pyjamas 42%58% 100 Thieves

It’s nearly a coin-flip. 100 Thieves only lead because their Ancient & Overpass is strong enough that nicking just one of the close maps wins the series.

NukeNIN v 100

63%

37%

23-8record13-8

74%win62%

62%CT win57%

55%T win49%

44%pistol57%

89%convert96%

AncientNIN v 100

32%

68%

12-14record19-10

46%win66%

52%CT win56%

49%T win53%

56%pistol57%

83%convert94%

OverpassNIN v 100

39%

61%

2-4record2-1

33%win67%

66%CT win61%

27%T win48%

50%pistol50%

67%convert100%

Pistol, eco & sides

win% · convert if won · eco if lost · CT/T per map

ct / t side win% (Nuke skews CT, Dust2 T)pistol won the opening pistolconv then won round 2eco lost pistol, won round 2

Map

NINct

NINt

100ct

100t

NINpistol

NINconv

NINeco

100pistol

100conv

100eco

Nukepool

62%166/268

55%201/363

57%109/191

49%101/205

44%27/62

89%24/27

49%17/35

57%24/42

96%23/24

28%5/18

Ancientpool

52%142/275

49%135/274

56%167/300

53%165/311

56%29/52

83%24/29

17%4/23

57%33/58

94%31/33

16%4/25

Overpasspool

66%46/70

27%16/60

61%19/31

48%16/33

50%6/12

67%4/6

17%1/6

50%3/6

100%3/3

0%0/3

Infernoban

52%25/48

57%25/44

63%103/164

52%118/228

63%5/8

40%2/5

0%0/3

58%22/38

86%19/22

19%3/16

Anubisban

46%65/141

50%71/143

52%32/62

51%37/72

46%12/26

83%10/12

21%3/14

50%6/12

67%4/6

33%2/6

Dust2ban

46%79/170

42%61/145

60%151/251

48%107/225

57%17/30

82%14/17

8%1/13

48%22/46

77%17/22

13%3/24

Mirageban

56%114/205

44%85/194

64%82/128

41%50/121

63%24/38

79%19/24

14%2/14

54%13/24

75%9/12

18%2/11

colour = vs league averagebelowavgabove

Pistols

100 Thieves wins more pistol rounds: 57% vs 49%. Winning a pistol usually wins you the next few rounds too, so this is a small head start.

After pistol

Win the pistol → 100 Thieves usually win the next round too (95% vs 84%). Lose the pistol → Ninjas in Pyjamas fight back to win the next round more often (34% vs 20%).

Mentality & map flow

comebacks, blown leads

Margins

Ninjas in Pyjamas average a 5-round margin (21 blown, biggest 6); 100 Thieves average 5.5 (19 blown, 16 OTs). Hover any ⓘ for the matches behind it.

Ninjas in Pyjamas

Comebacks (won from 3+ down)i17/60 (28%)Comebacks (won from 3+ down)Of the 60 maps they won, 17 (28%) were won after trailing by 3+ rounds. So 28% of their wins were comebacks, not 28% of all games.vs M1X KSDust2from 6 down vs MonteNukefrom 6 down vs Gentle MatesNukefrom 5 down vs magicMiragefrom 5 down vs K27Nukefrom 5 down

Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)i21/55 (38%)Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)Of the 55 maps they lost, 21 (38%) were lost after leading by 3+ rounds: leads they threw away.vs MonteAnubisled 6 · lost 14-16 vs LegacyAncientled 5 · lost 13-16 vs BIGMirageled 5 · lost 11-13 vs BC.GameDust2led 4 · lost 7-13 vs GamerLegionMirageled 4 · lost 12-16

Biggest comebackifrom 6 downBiggest comebackLargest deficit erased to win a map.vs M1X KSDust2from 6 down · won 13-8

Biggest lead blowni6 roundsBiggest lead blownLargest lead held and still lost.vs MonteAnubisled 6 · lost 14-16

Avg map margini5 roundsAvg map marginAverage round difference across maps.

Close maps (≤3) · OTi35% · 17Close maps (≤3) · OT35% of their maps were decided by ≤3 rounds (nailbiters); 17 went to overtime.vs LiquidAncient13-16 vs BC.GameDust214-16 vs M1X KSOverpass13-16 vs GamerLegionMirage12-16 vs 100 ThievesAncient12-16

100 Thieves

Comebacks (won from 3+ down)i19/71 (27%)Comebacks (won from 3+ down)Of the 71 maps they won, 19 (27%) were won after trailing by 3+ rounds. So 27% of their wins were comebacks, not 27% of all games.vs Nuclear TigeRESAncientfrom 7 down vs NemesisAncientfrom 6 down vs UrsaInfernofrom 6 down vs PhantomAncientfrom 5 down vs aimclubInfernofrom 4 down

Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)i19/42 (45%)Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)Of the 42 maps they lost, 19 (45%) were lost after leading by 3+ rounds: leads they threw away.vs TDKAncientled 8 · lost 13-16 vs FOKUSInfernoled 6 · lost 14-16 vs HOTUDust2led 6 · lost 11-13 vs ENCEAnubisled 5 · lost 8-13 vs STATEAncientled 5 · lost 11-13

Biggest comebackifrom 7 downBiggest comebackLargest deficit erased to win a map.vs Nuclear TigeRESAncientfrom 7 down · won 13-11

Biggest lead blowni8 roundsBiggest lead blownLargest lead held and still lost.vs TDKAncientled 8 · lost 13-16

Avg map margini5.5 roundsAvg map marginAverage round difference across maps.

Close maps (≤3) · OTi30% · 16Close maps (≤3) · OT30% of their maps were decided by ≤3 rounds (nailbiters); 16 went to overtime.vs Ninjas in PyjamasAncient16-12 vs BetBoomNuke16-12 vs FlyQuestNuke16-14 vs FOKUSInferno14-16 vs Johnny SpeedsInferno19-15

Ninjas in Pyjamas vs 100 Thieves FAQ

Who is favored to win Ninjas in Pyjamas vs 100 Thieves?

Ninjas in Pyjamas are favored with a 54% model win probability, and are the bookmakers' favorite too.

What are the betting odds for Ninjas in Pyjamas vs 100 Thieves?

Bookmakers price Ninjas in Pyjamas at 1.96 and 100 Thieves at 1.76 (implied 47% vs 53%).

When do Ninjas in Pyjamas and 100 Thieves play?

Ninjas in Pyjamas vs 100 Thieves is scheduled for 2026-07-22 13:00 UTC at StarLadder StarSeries Fall 2026 Europe Closed Qualifier.