Matches / Upcoming / 100 Thieves vs Nuclear TigeRES
Prediction
Our model gives 100 Thieves a 56% chance to beat Nuclear TigeRES at StarLadder StarSeries Fall 2026 Europe Closed Qualifier. Bookmakers price 100 Thieves at 1.56 and Nuclear TigeRES at 2.3 (implied 60% vs 40%).
FormatBO3Tier★Form36-18 · 52-31Likely mapsInferno · Ancient · Dust2
Model read: track record · HLTV rank · firepower · form, weighted by sample size. All figures respect the data-range filter.
Recent form
100 Thieves
Head-to-head
past meetings & common opponents◂ 100 fared bettervs 8 shared opponentsNUC fared better ▸
magic#201-22-3
100 Thieves vs magic
Mar 31LInferno13-8Mirage8-13Ancient9-13
Nemesis#331-26-1
100 Thieves vs Nemesis
May 30LInferno6-13Ancient16-14Mirage4-13Nuclear TigeRES vs Nemesis
Jun 17WNuke10-13Dust213-9Ancient13-7Feb 14WAncient13-7Inferno13-9Feb 2WMirage13-11Inferno13-5
K27#381-45-3
Acend#422-12-1
100 Thieves vs Acend
May 11WMirage13-11Inferno10-13Ancient13-9Nuclear TigeRES vs Acend
Apr 20WInferno7-13Ancient13-6Dust213-4
TDK#482-22-0
Nuclear TigeRES vs TDK
May 10WAncient13-5Dust213-7EX-ex-RUBY#492-02-3
100 Thieves vs ex-RUBY
Jun 6WAncient13-9Dust213-6
AM#800-22-0
100 Thieves vs AM
Mar 9LDust26-13Anubis17-19Nuclear TigeRES vs AM
Jun 6WMirage13-4Ancient13-8
CYBERSHOKE#822-02-0
100 Thieves vs CYBERSHOKE
Feb 27WAncient13-8Dust213-11Nuclear TigeRES vs CYBERSHOKE
Jun 8WDust213-8Anubis13-4100 Thieves 11-13combined map recordNuclear TigeRES 23-11edge · Nuclear TigeRES
Firepower
roster ratings100 Thieves · avg 1.1 · top +0.11
| Player | Mp | K-D | ADR | KAST | HS | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| poiii | 119 | 1.11 | 80.9 | 74.8% | 61% | 1.21 |
| device | 119 | 1.28 | 77.2 | 74.2% | 36% | 1.18 |
| sirah | 119 | 1.08 | 74.2 | 74.5% | 57% | 1.14 |
| rain | 119 | 0.96 | 72.2 | 74.4% | 59% | 1.07 |
| Gizmy | 6 | 0.73 | 66.1 | 65.4% | 64% | 0.92 |
Nuclear TigeRES · avg 1.12 · top +0.07
| Player | Mp | K-D | ADR | KAST | HS | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| flouzer | 193 | 1.08 | 82.2 | 73.6% | 51% | 1.19 |
| ayuki | 192 | 1.05 | 72.6 | 75.4% | 52% | 1.13 |
| m1QUSE | 189 | 1.03 | 74.7 | 75% | 47% | 1.13 |
| z1k4 | 193 | 1.18 | 74.3 | 73.6% | 34% | 1.13 |
| senka | 193 | 0.84 | 68.6 | 70.6% | 48% | 1.01 |
Projected veto
likely picks & bansVeto read
Nuclear TigeRES habitually bans Overpass, 100 Thieves's strongest maps (Inferno, Dust2, Ancient, Overpass all ≥60%).
That's a standing habit (Overpass 75/83), not an opponent read, so expect 100 Thieves to fight the veto for Inferno.
Plays: Inferno · Ancient · Dust2 · Removed: Anubis · Overpass · Mirage · Nuke
every map shows both teams' win% (100 / NUC)
1100 THIEVES BAN
Anubisproj. removed
100
38%
3-5NUC
76%
25-8
100
38%
3-5
NUC
76%
25-8
2NUCLEAR TIGERES BAN
Overpassproj. removed
100
67%
2-1NUC
n/a
0g
100
67%
2-1
NUC
n/a
0g
100 Thieves on Overpass
W
BASEMENT BOYS
13–6
2mo ago
W
K27
13–10
4mo ago
L
Johnny Speeds
9–13
5mo agoNuclear TigeRES on Overpass
no recent maps
3100 THIEVES PICK
Inferno
100
70%
14-6NUC
59%
10-7
100
70%
14-6
NUC
59%
10-7
4NUCLEAR TIGERES PICK
Ancient
100
66%
19-10NUC
70%
35-15
100
66%
19-10
NUC
70%
35-15
5100 THIEVES BAN
Mirageproj. removed
100
50%
6-6NUC
48%
11-12
100
50%
6-6
NUC
48%
11-12
6NUCLEAR TIGERES BAN
Nukeproj. removed
100
57%
13-10NUC
39%
13-20
100
57%
13-10
NUC
39%
13-20
7DECIDER
Dust2left over
100
71%
17-7NUC
51%
19-18
100
71%
17-7
NUC
51%
19-18
Projected from each team's veto habits (BO3), assuming 100 Thieves vetoes first.
Usual first ban: 100 Thieves Mirage · Nuclear TigeRES Overpass.
Map lab
pick the 3 maps · per-map H2H + predictionlayout
Pick 3 maps ✓
Best-case draws · each side’s strongest realistic Bo3 · tap to load
The veto swings it: 100 Thieves 72% on their maps vs Nuclear TigeRES 68% on theirs. Whoever shapes the pool is favoured. Overpass (50%) is the closest to a toss-up.
100 Thieves62%to win the seriesclear pickiMap edgesInferno: 100 Thieves 61% · Ancient: Nuclear TigeRES 55% toss-up · Dust2: 100 Thieves 68% clearWhy100 Thieves hold the edge across the maps (2 of 3 lean their way).Outcomes100 Thieves 62%: 2-1 35%, 2-0 27% · Nuclear TigeRES 38%: 2-0 22%, 2-1 16%
series odds add up every way a team can win, not just one scoreline
series odds add up every way a team can win, not just one scoreline
100 Thieves 62%38% Nuclear TigeRES
100 Thieves are the clearer side here: the most likely result is 100 Thieves 2-1.
Inferno100 v NUC
61%39%
14-6record10-7
70%win59%
62%CT win54%
53%T win52%
60%pistol59%
83%convert90%
Ancient100 v NUC
45%55%
19-10record35-15
66%win70%
56%CT win57%
53%T win54%
57%pistol49%
94%convert82%
Dust2100 v NUC
68%32%
17-7record19-18
71%win51%
60%CT win48%
48%T win53%
46%pistol59%
77%convert91%
Pistol, eco & sides
win% · convert if won · eco if lost · CT/T per mapct / t side win% (Nuke skews CT, Dust2 T)pistol won the opening pistolconv then won round 2eco lost pistol, won round 2
Map
100ct
100t
NUCct
NUCt
100pistol
100conv
100eco
NUCpistol
NUCconv
NUCeco
Infernopool
62%108/175
53%126/240
54%87/160
52%103/197
60%24/40
83%20/24
19%3/16
59%20/34
90%18/20
7%1/14
Ancientpool
56%167/300
53%165/311
57%265/466
54%313/578
57%33/58
94%31/33
16%4/25
49%49/100
82%40/49
16%8/51
Dust2pool
60%159/263
48%112/233
48%180/375
53%207/387
46%22/48
77%17/22
12%3/26
59%44/74
91%40/44
13%4/30
Anubisban
47%40/86
55%52/95
55%178/322
62%206/330
50%8/16
63%5/8
25%2/8
45%30/66
93%28/30
14%5/36
Overpassban
61%19/31
48%16/33
n/a
n/a
50%3/6
100%3/3
0%0/3
n/a
n/a
n/a
Mirageban
64%82/128
41%50/121
60%162/270
41%90/218
54%13/24
75%9/12
18%2/11
59%27/46
96%26/27
16%3/19
Nukeban
56%117/208
47%106/227
55%208/379
39%130/331
52%24/46
96%23/24
32%7/22
47%31/66
65%20/31
14%5/35
colour = vs league averagebelowavgabove
Pistols
Pistol rounds are a tie. Both win about the same (100 Thieves 54%, Nuclear TigeRES 54%). Nobody has an edge.
After pistol
Win the pistol → both win the next round about the same (86% vs 87%). Lose the pistol → both fight back about the same (15% vs 14%).
Mentality & map flow
comebacks, blown leadsMargins
100 Thieves average a 5.4-round margin (20 blown, biggest 10); Nuclear TigeRES average 5.3 (37 blown, 22 OTs). Hover any ⓘ for the matches behind it.
100 Thieves
Comebacks (won from 3+ down)i21/74 (28%)Comebacks (won from 3+ down)Of the 74 maps they won, 21 (28%) were won after trailing by 3+ rounds. So 28% of their wins were comebacks, not 28% of all games.vs Nuclear TigeRESAncientfrom 7 downvs FalconsAnubisfrom 7 downvs NemesisAncientfrom 6 downvs UrsaInfernofrom 6 downvs PhantomAncientfrom 5 down
Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)i20/45 (44%)Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)Of the 45 maps they lost, 20 (44%) were lost after leading by 3+ rounds: leads they threw away.vs FalconsNukeled 10 · lost 4-13vs TDKAncientled 8 · lost 13-16vs FOKUSInfernoled 6 · lost 14-16vs HOTUDust2led 6 · lost 11-13vs ENCEAnubisled 5 · lost 8-13
Biggest comebackifrom 7 downBiggest comebackLargest deficit erased to win a map.vs Nuclear TigeRESAncientfrom 7 down · won 13-11
Biggest lead blowni10 roundsBiggest lead blownLargest lead held and still lost.vs FalconsNukeled 10 · lost 4-13
Avg map margini5.4 roundsAvg map marginAverage round difference across maps.
Close maps (≤3) · OTi31% · 16Close maps (≤3) · OT31% of their maps were decided by ≤3 rounds (nailbiters); 16 went to overtime.vs Ninjas in PyjamasAncient16-12vs BetBoomNuke16-12vs FlyQuestNuke16-14vs FOKUSInferno14-16vs Johnny SpeedsInferno19-15
Nuclear TigeRES
Comebacks (won from 3+ down)i29/113 (26%)Comebacks (won from 3+ down)Of the 113 maps they won, 29 (26%) were won after trailing by 3+ rounds. So 26% of their wins were comebacks, not 26% of all games.vs 1winAnubisfrom 6 downvs MOUZ NXTDust2from 5 downvs OxujiInfernofrom 5 downvs KOLESIENukefrom 5 downvs KOLESIEAncientfrom 4 down
Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)i37/80 (46%)Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)Of the 80 maps they lost, 37 (46%) were lost after leading by 3+ rounds: leads they threw away.vs ex-RUBYMirageled 10 · lost 16-19vs illwillInfernoled 8 · lost 11-13vs MOUZ NXTNukeled 8 · lost 15-19vs magicMirageled 7 · lost 15-19vs 100 ThievesAncientled 7 · lost 11-13
Biggest comebackifrom 6 downBiggest comebackLargest deficit erased to win a map.vs 1winAnubisfrom 6 down · won 13-10
Biggest lead blowni10 roundsBiggest lead blownLargest lead held and still lost.vs ex-RUBYMirageled 10 · lost 16-19
Avg map margini5.3 roundsAvg map marginAverage round difference across maps.
Close maps (≤3) · OTi33% · 22Close maps (≤3) · OT33% of their maps were decided by ≤3 rounds (nailbiters); 22 went to overtime.vs Gentle MatesInferno15-19vs KOLESIEAncient16-13vs OramondMirage16-14vs WHITEBIRDInferno19-17vs MOUZ NXTAncient16-13
100 Thieves vs Nuclear TigeRES FAQ
Who is favored to win 100 Thieves vs Nuclear TigeRES?
100 Thieves are favored with a 56% model win probability, and are the bookmakers' favorite too.
What are the betting odds for 100 Thieves vs Nuclear TigeRES?
Bookmakers price 100 Thieves at 1.56 and Nuclear TigeRES at 2.3 (implied 60% vs 40%).
When do 100 Thieves and Nuclear TigeRES play?
100 Thieves vs Nuclear TigeRES is scheduled for 2026-07-23 13:00 UTC at StarLadder StarSeries Fall 2026 Europe Closed Qualifier.