Matches / Upcoming / Gentle Mates vs Walczaki
Prediction
Our model gives Gentle Mates a 50% chance to beat Walczaki at StarLadder StarSeries Fall 2026 Europe Closed Qualifier. Bookmakers price Gentle Mates at 1.53 and Walczaki at 2.35 (implied 61% vs 39%).
FormatBO3Tier★Form32-21 · 34-15PistolsWAL 52%Likely mapsInferno · Nuke · Ancient
Model read: track record · HLTV rank · firepower · form, weighted by sample size. All figures respect the data-range filter.
Recent form
Gentle Mates
Head-to-head
past meetings & common opponents◂ GEN fared bettervs 8 shared opponentsWAL fared better ▸
magic#202-60-2
Gentle Mates vs magic
Jul 21LMirage4-13Cache17-19May 13LMirage5-13Inferno13-16May 3LMirage16-19Inferno19-22+1 earlier meeting
Walczaki vs magic
Jul 21LAncient10-13Anubis3-13
Nemesis#332-22-1
Walczaki vs Nemesis
May 18WNuke10-13Inferno13-4Mirage13-10
3DMAX#342-32-1
Walczaki vs 3DMAX
Jul 23WNuke13-8Cache7-13Inferno13-6
EYEBALLERS#362-10-2
Gentle Mates vs EYEBALLERS
Feb 19WMirage5-13Inferno16-13Ancient16-14Walczaki vs EYEBALLERS
Apr 23LAnubis10-13Mirage10-13
K27#382-11-2
Gentle Mates vs K27
May 10WNuke13-9Overpass9-13Ancient13-10
Nuclear TigeRES#442-34-0
HOTU#453-52-1
Gentle Mates vs HOTU
Feb 22LMirage9-13Nuke13-0Overpass6-13Feb 14WAnubis3-13Nuke13-2Overpass13-10Jan 21LAnubis12-16Ancient11-13Walczaki vs HOTU
May 14WDust213-10Nuke8-13Ancient13-6EX-ex-RUBY#491-22-1
Gentle Mates vs ex-RUBY
Jun 20LAncient25-21Mirage8-13Nuke6-13Walczaki vs ex-RUBY
May 8WMirage13-4Nuke9-13Ancient13-8Gentle Mates 16-23combined map recordWalczaki 13-10edge · Walczaki
Firepower
roster ratingsGentle Mates · avg 1.09 · top +0.05
| Player | Mp | K-D | ADR | KAST | HS | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| mopoz | 129 | 1 | 75.9 | 71.6% | 56% | 1.14 |
| sausol | 129 | 1.05 | 75.2 | 73.7% | 52% | 1.11 |
| alex | 129 | 1 | 73.9 | 73% | 48% | 1.09 |
| CRUC1AL | 13 | 1.12 | 72.8 | 73.8% | 36% | 1.08 |
| dav1g | 129 | 0.94 | 70.2 | 72.2% | 48% | 1.02 |
Walczaki · avg 1.11 · top +0.07
| Player | Mp | K-D | ADR | KAST | HS | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| olimp | 120 | 1.02 | 82.9 | 71.5% | 52% | 1.18 |
| SaMey | 120 | 1.19 | 68.6 | 74.9% | 38% | 1.12 |
| bajmi | 120 | 1.01 | 73.1 | 73.4% | 50% | 1.09 |
| moonwalk | 120 | 0.99 | 74.9 | 71.3% | 63% | 1.09 |
| sk1tt | 45 | 0.94 | 70.6 | 71.7% | 49% | 1.06 |
Projected veto
likely picks & bansVeto read
Neither side's habitual bans cleanly remove the other's best maps. The veto is live.
Plays: Inferno · Nuke · Ancient · Removed: Dust2 · Overpass · Anubis · Mirage
every map shows both teams' win% (GEN / WAL)
1GENTLE MATES BAN
Dust2proj. removed
GEN
n/a
0gWAL
39%
7-11
GEN
n/a
0g
WAL
39%
7-11
Gentle Mates on Dust2
no recent maps
2WALCZAKI BAN
Overpassproj. removed
GEN
46%
6-7WAL
0%
0-2
GEN
46%
6-7
WAL
0%
0-2
3GENTLE MATES PICK
Inferno
GEN
72%
18-7WAL
71%
10-4
GEN
72%
18-7
WAL
71%
10-4
4WALCZAKI PICK
Nuke
GEN
53%
17-15WAL
63%
19-11
GEN
53%
17-15
WAL
63%
19-11
5GENTLE MATES BAN
Anubisproj. removed
GEN
64%
7-4WAL
67%
14-7
GEN
64%
7-4
WAL
67%
14-7
6WALCZAKI BAN
Mirageproj. removed
GEN
45%
9-11WAL
67%
8-4
GEN
45%
9-11
WAL
67%
8-4
7DECIDER
Ancientleft over
GEN
64%
16-9WAL
71%
15-6
GEN
64%
16-9
WAL
71%
15-6
Projected from each team's veto habits (BO3), assuming Gentle Mates vetoes first.
Usual first ban: Gentle Mates Dust2 · Walczaki Overpass.
Map lab
pick the 3 maps · per-map H2H + predictionlayout
Pick 3 maps ✓
Best-case draws · each side’s strongest realistic Bo3 · tap to load
The veto swings it: Gentle Mates 55% on their maps vs Walczaki 67% on theirs. Whoever shapes the pool is favoured. Dust2 (50%) is the closest to a toss-up.
Walczaki58%to win the seriescoin-flipiMap edgesInferno: Gentle Mates 52% toss-up · Nuke: Walczaki 60% · Ancient: Walczaki 57%WhyWalczaki hold the edge across the maps (2 of 3 lean their way).OutcomesGentle Mates 42%: 2-1 21%, 2-0 21% · Walczaki 58%: 2-1 29%, 2-0 29%
series odds add up every way a team can win, not just one scoreline
series odds add up every way a team can win, not just one scoreline
Gentle Mates 42%58% Walczaki
It’s nearly a coin-flip. Walczaki only lead because their Nuke is strong enough that nicking just one of the close maps wins the series.
InfernoGEN v WAL
52%48%
18-7record10-4
72%win71%
63%CT win60%
52%T win59%
46%pistol57%
73%convert94%
NukeGEN v WAL
40%60%
17-15record19-11
53%win63%
60%CT win57%
45%T win52%
52%pistol50%
69%convert87%
AncientGEN v WAL
43%57%
16-9record15-6
64%win71%
59%CT win60%
42%T win50%
48%pistol50%
71%convert86%
Pistol, eco & sides
win% · convert if won · eco if lost · CT/T per mapct / t side win% (Nuke skews CT, Dust2 T)pistol won the opening pistolconv then won round 2eco lost pistol, won round 2
Map
GENct
GENt
WALct
WALt
GENpistol
GENconv
GENeco
WALpistol
WALconv
WALeco
Infernopool
63%153/242
52%143/275
60%81/136
59%85/143
46%23/50
73%16/22
33%9/27
57%16/28
94%15/16
17%2/12
Nukepool
60%187/310
45%155/341
57%154/272
52%179/346
52%33/64
69%22/32
19%6/31
50%30/60
87%26/30
23%7/30
Ancientpool
59%155/264
42%114/270
60%129/216
50%117/233
48%24/50
71%17/24
15%4/26
50%21/42
86%18/21
43%9/21
Dust2ban
n/a
n/a
52%113/216
42%71/168
n/a
n/a
n/a
53%19/36
79%15/19
18%3/17
Overpassban
56%87/155
35%47/134
58%14/24
24%5/21
54%14/26
86%12/14
33%4/12
25%1/4
100%1/1
0%0/3
Anubisban
45%49/108
61%78/127
49%120/244
59%121/205
55%12/22
58%7/12
10%1/10
45%19/42
95%18/19
30%7/23
Mirageban
53%127/240
46%76/165
63%85/134
52%60/115
48%19/40
79%15/19
19%4/21
71%17/24
82%14/17
14%1/7
colour = vs league averagebelowavgabove
Pistols
Walczaki wins more pistol rounds: 52% vs 49%. Winning a pistol usually wins you the next few rounds too, so this is a small head start.
After pistol
Win the pistol → Walczaki usually win the next round too (88% vs 71%). Lose the pistol → Walczaki fight back to win the next round more often (29% vs 23%).
Mentality & map flow
comebacks, blown leadsMargins
Gentle Mates average a 5.3-round margin (11 blown, biggest 9); Walczaki average 5.2 (24 blown, 18 OTs). Hover any ⓘ for the matches behind it.
Gentle Mates
Comebacks (won from 3+ down)i22/74 (30%)Comebacks (won from 3+ down)Of the 74 maps they won, 22 (30%) were won after trailing by 3+ rounds. So 30% of their wins were comebacks, not 30% of all games.vs SINNERSInfernofrom 8 downvs EYEBALLERSInfernofrom 7 downvs FOKUSNukefrom 6 downvs 9INENukefrom 5 downvs ALGOAnubisfrom 5 down
Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)i11/55 (20%)Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)Of the 55 maps they lost, 11 (20%) were lost after leading by 3+ rounds: leads they threw away.vs magicMirageled 9 · lost 4-13vs HOTUAnubisled 8 · lost 12-16vs BIGAncientled 6 · lost 10-13vs Ninjas in PyjamasNukeled 5 · lost 11-13vs SINNERSMirageled 5 · lost 11-13
Biggest comebackifrom 8 downBiggest comebackLargest deficit erased to win a map.vs SINNERSInfernofrom 8 down · won 19-17
Biggest lead blowni9 roundsBiggest lead blownLargest lead held and still lost.vs magicMirageled 9 · lost 4-13
Avg map margini5.3 roundsAvg map marginAverage round difference across maps.
Close maps (≤3) · OTi33% · 18Close maps (≤3) · OT33% of their maps were decided by ≤3 rounds (nailbiters); 18 went to overtime.vs Nuclear TigeRESInferno19-15vs HOTUAnubis12-16vs 9INEAncient16-14vs BetBoomOverpass16-13vs EYEBALLERSInferno16-13
Walczaki
Comebacks (won from 3+ down)i13/73 (18%)Comebacks (won from 3+ down)Of the 73 maps they won, 13 (18%) were won after trailing by 3+ rounds. So 18% of their wins were comebacks, not 18% of all games.vs KOLESIEAncientfrom 7 downvs ex-RUBYAncientfrom 7 downvs SashiInfernofrom 6 downvs SashiAnubisfrom 5 downvs KOLESIENukefrom 5 down
Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)i24/47 (51%)Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)Of the 47 maps they lost, 24 (51%) were lost after leading by 3+ rounds: leads they threw away.vs ASTRALMirageled 6 · lost 11-13vs KOLESIEAncientled 6 · lost 13-16vs NemigaAnubisled 5 · lost 13-16vs TrickedNukeled 5 · lost 11-13vs 9INEInfernoled 5 · lost 13-16
Biggest comebackifrom 7 downBiggest comebackLargest deficit erased to win a map.vs KOLESIEAncientfrom 7 down · won 16-14
Biggest lead blowni6 roundsBiggest lead blownLargest lead held and still lost.vs ASTRALMirageled 6 · lost 11-13
Avg map margini5.2 roundsAvg map marginAverage round difference across maps.
Close maps (≤3) · OTi33% · 18Close maps (≤3) · OT33% of their maps were decided by ≤3 rounds (nailbiters); 18 went to overtime.vs Nuclear TigeRESAnubis16-12vs NemigaAnubis13-16vs KOLESIEAnubis16-12vs KOLESIEAncient16-14vs SashiAnubis19-16
Gentle Mates vs Walczaki FAQ
Who is favored to win Gentle Mates vs Walczaki?
Gentle Mates are favored with a 50% model win probability, and are the bookmakers' favorite too.
What are the betting odds for Gentle Mates vs Walczaki?
Bookmakers price Gentle Mates at 1.53 and Walczaki at 2.35 (implied 61% vs 39%).
When do Gentle Mates and Walczaki play?
Gentle Mates vs Walczaki is scheduled for a date to be confirmed at StarLadder StarSeries Fall 2026 Europe Closed Qualifier.


















