Matches / Upcoming / Mai Tai vs Honvéd
Prediction
Our model gives Honvéd a 56% chance to beat Mai Tai at CCT 2026 Europe Series 6 Closed Qualifier.
FormatBO3Form3-3 · 14-9PistolsHON 74%Likely mapsMirage · Anubis · Ancient
Model read: track record · HLTV rank · firepower · form, weighted by sample size. All figures respect the data-range filter.
Recent form
Head-to-head
past meetings & common opponents◂ MAI fared bettervs 3 shared opponentsHON fared better ▸
Entropy#1350-22-6
Mai Tai vs Entropy
Jun 29LCache6-13Mirage4-13
megoshort1-12-0
Honvéd vs megoshort
Jul 14WMirage13-7Dust213-10JULJulie&Cie0-12-0
Mai Tai vs Julie&Cie
Jul 14Lseries0-1Honvéd vs Julie&Cie
Jul 21Wseries2-0Mai Tai 1-4combined map recordHonvéd 6-6edge · Honvéd
Firepower
roster ratingsMai Tai · avg 1.02 · top +0.2
| Player | Mp | K-D | ADR | KAST | HS | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pelle | 9 | 1.16 | 84.3 | 76.4% | 54% | 1.22 |
| Nami | 11 | 1.1 | 74.7 | 71.6% | 55% | 1.16 |
| Melavi | 11 | 1.05 | 69.7 | 67.1% | 37% | 1 |
| chudy | 11 | 0.68 | 66.7 | 62.7% | 68% | 0.87 |
| darchevile | 9 | 0.68 | 69 | 71.1% | 46% | 0.85 |
Honvéd · avg 1.06 · top +0.2
| Player | Mp | K-D | ADR | KAST | HS | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1NSERT2 | 53 | 1.18 | 82.9 | 73% | 59% | 1.26 |
| esor | 45 | 1.18 | 74.8 | 74.9% | 39% | 1.13 |
| iBALLY | 53 | 0.97 | 74.8 | 69.5% | 46% | 1 |
| noleN | 53 | 0.91 | 68 | 70.8% | 63% | 1 |
| excien | 7 | 0.8 | 55.9 | 67.5% | 58% | 0.91 |
Projected veto
likely picks & bansVeto read
Neither side's habitual bans cleanly remove the other's best maps. The veto is live.
Plays: Mirage · Anubis · Ancient · Removed: Inferno · Nuke · Dust2 · Overpass
every map shows both teams' win% (MAI / HON)
1MAI TAI BAN
Infernoproj. removed
MAI
n/a
0gHON
0%
0-3
MAI
n/a
0g
HON
0%
0-3
Mai Tai on Inferno
no recent maps
2HONVÉD BAN
Nukeproj. removed
MAI
100%
1-0HON
67%
2-1
MAI
100%
1-0
HON
67%
2-1
Mai Tai on Nuke
W
ROUNDS
13–10
2d ago
3MAI TAI PICK
Mirage
MAI
40%
2-3HON
50%
8-8
MAI
40%
2-3
HON
50%
8-8
4HONVÉD PICK
Anubis
MAI
n/a
0gHON
100%
3-0
MAI
n/a
0g
HON
100%
3-0
Mai Tai on Anubis
no recent maps
5MAI TAI BAN
Dust2proj. removed
MAI
100%
1-0HON
73%
11-4
MAI
100%
1-0
HON
73%
11-4
6HONVÉD BAN
Overpassproj. removed
MAI
n/a
0gHON
0%
0-3
MAI
n/a
0g
HON
0%
0-3
Mai Tai on Overpass
no recent maps
7DECIDER
Ancientleft over
MAI
50%
1-1HON
63%
5-3
MAI
50%
1-1
HON
63%
5-3
Projected from each team's veto habits (BO3), assuming Mai Tai vetoes first.
Usual first ban: Mai Tai Inferno · Honvéd Cache.
Map lab
pick the 3 maps · per-map H2H + predictionlayout
Pick 3 maps ✓
Best-case draws · each side’s strongest realistic Bo3 · tap to load
The veto swings it: Mai Tai 51% on their maps vs Honvéd 55% on theirs. Whoever shapes the pool is favoured. Inferno (50%) is the closest to a toss-up.
Honvéd55%to win the seriescoin-flipiMap edgesMirage: Honvéd 56% toss-up · Anubis: Honvéd 50% toss-up · Ancient: Honvéd 53% toss-upWhyHonvéd hold the edge across the maps (3 of 3 lean their way).OutcomesMai Tai 45%: 2-1 23%, 2-0 22% · Honvéd 55%: 2-0 28%, 2-1 27%
series odds add up every way a team can win, not just one scoreline
series odds add up every way a team can win, not just one scoreline
Mai Tai 45%55% Honvéd
It’s nearly a coin-flip. Honvéd only lead because their pick is strong enough that nicking just one of the close maps wins the series.
MirageMAI v HON
44%56%
2-3record8-8
40%win50%
36%CT win57%
58%T win41%
40%pistol69%
75%convert82%
AnubisMAI v HON
50%50%
thin sample, read with caution
0-0record3-0
–win100%
–CT win75%
–T win64%
–pistol83%
–convert80%
AncientMAI v HON
47%53%
1-1record5-3
50%win63%
42%CT win68%
50%T win45%
25%pistol81%
100%convert85%
Pistol, eco & sides
win% · convert if won · eco if lost · CT/T per mapct / t side win% (Nuke skews CT, Dust2 T)pistol won the opening pistolconv then won round 2eco lost pistol, won round 2
Map
MAIct
MAIt
HONct
HONt
MAIpistol
MAIconv
MAIeco
HONpistol
HONconv
HONeco
Miragepool
36%16/44
58%35/60
57%85/150
41%69/169
40%4/10
75%3/4
0%0/6
69%22/32
82%18/22
0%0/10
Anubispool
n/a
n/a
75%15/20
64%23/36
n/a
n/a
n/a
83%5/6
80%4/5
100%1/1
Ancientpool
42%10/24
50%8/16
68%48/71
45%42/93
25%1/4
100%1/1
33%1/3
81%13/16
85%11/13
0%0/3
Infernoban
n/a
n/a
44%12/27
36%13/36
n/a
n/a
n/a
67%4/6
75%3/4
50%1/2
Nukeban
58%7/12
55%6/11
50%18/36
52%11/21
50%1/2
0%0/1
0%0/1
83%5/6
40%2/5
0%0/1
Dust2ban
58%7/12
50%6/12
51%84/165
54%94/173
0%0/2
n/a
0%0/2
53%16/30
100%16/16
14%2/14
Overpassban
n/a
n/a
47%17/36
29%8/28
n/a
n/a
n/a
33%2/6
100%2/2
25%1/4
colour = vs league averagebelowavgabove
Pistols
Honvéd wins more pistol rounds: 74% vs 36%. Winning a pistol usually wins you the next few rounds too, so this is a small head start.
After pistol
Win the pistol → both win the next round about the same (80% vs 83%). Lose the pistol → Mai Tai fight back to win the next round more often (11% vs 7%).
Mentality & map flow
comebacks, blown leadsMargins
Mai Tai average a 5.1-round margin (1 blown, biggest 5); Honvéd average 5.4 (10 blown, 9 OTs). Hover any ⓘ for the matches behind it.
Mai Tai
Comebacks (won from 3+ down)i3/5 (60%)Comebacks (won from 3+ down)Of the 5 maps they won, 3 (60%) were won after trailing by 3+ rounds. So 60% of their wins were comebacks, not 60% of all games.vs eternal premiumDust2from 5 downvs ROUNDSAncientfrom 3 downvs ROUNDSNukefrom 3 down
Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)i1/5 (20%)Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)Of the 5 maps they lost, 1 (20%) were lost after leading by 3+ rounds: leads they threw away.vs eternal premiumMirageled 5 · lost 13-16
Biggest comebackifrom 5 downBiggest comebackLargest deficit erased to win a map.vs eternal premiumDust2from 5 down · won 13-11
Biggest lead blowni5 roundsBiggest lead blownLargest lead held and still lost.vs eternal premiumMirageled 5 · lost 13-16
Avg map margini5.1 roundsAvg map marginAverage round difference across maps.
Close maps (≤3) · OTi30% · 1Close maps (≤3) · OT30% of their maps were decided by ≤3 rounds (nailbiters); 1 went to overtime.vs eternal premiumMirage13-16
Honvéd
Comebacks (won from 3+ down)i8/29 (28%)Comebacks (won from 3+ down)Of the 29 maps they won, 8 (28%) were won after trailing by 3+ rounds. So 28% of their wins were comebacks, not 28% of all games.vs RUSTECDust2from 10 downvs brazylijski luzMiragefrom 6 downvs Phantom AcademyAncientfrom 4 downvs megoshortDust2from 4 downvs MisaDust2from 4 down
Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)i10/22 (45%)Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)Of the 22 maps they lost, 10 (45%) were lost after leading by 3+ rounds: leads they threw away.vs EntropyMirageled 10 · lost 3-13vs ex-MANADust2led 6 · lost 8-13vs MisaMirageled 6 · lost 8-13vs TNCAncientled 5 · lost 15-19vs Young NinjasOverpassled 5 · lost 8-13
Biggest comebackifrom 10 downBiggest comebackLargest deficit erased to win a map.vs RUSTECDust2from 10 down · won 13-11
Biggest lead blowni10 roundsBiggest lead blownLargest lead held and still lost.vs EntropyMirageled 10 · lost 3-13
Avg map margini5.4 roundsAvg map marginAverage round difference across maps.
Close maps (≤3) · OTi35% · 9Close maps (≤3) · OT35% of their maps were decided by ≤3 rounds (nailbiters); 9 went to overtime.vs PUREDust216-14vs brazylijski luzAncient19-17vs TNCAncient15-19vs ex-MANAMirage13-16vs GenOneDust213-16
Mai Tai vs Honvéd FAQ
Who is favored to win Mai Tai vs Honvéd?
Honvéd are favored with a 56% model win probability.
What are the betting odds for Mai Tai vs Honvéd?
Match odds for Mai Tai vs Honvéd aren't available yet. Check back closer to the match.
When do Mai Tai and Honvéd play?
Mai Tai vs Honvéd is scheduled for 2026-07-22 14:00 UTC at CCT 2026 Europe Series 6 Closed Qualifier.