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Matches / Upcoming / megoshort vs Privateer
megoshort
2026-07-23 14:00 UTC
CCT 2026 Europe Series 6 Closed Qualifier
Privateer
Prediction
Our model gives Privateer a 61% chance to beat megoshort at CCT 2026 Europe Series 6 Closed Qualifier.
megoshort
Privateer
Our read39%
61%
FormatBO3Form20-27 · 2-2PistolsPRI 50%Likely mapsAncient · Mirage · Overpass
Model read: track record · HLTV rank · firepower · form, weighted by sample size. All figures respect the data-range filter.

Recent form

megoshort

G2 Ares2d ago0-2SAW Youngsters6d ago0-2Julie&CiePistols4/46d ago2-0Honvéd7d ago0-2GenOneStomp2-132mo ago0-2fnatic2mo ago0-2EACOvertime2mo ago2-1AMBlew lead72mo ago1-2CYBERSHOKEPistols4/43mo ago0-2TNCComeback83mo ago2-0SPARTAStomp1-133mo ago0-2LavkedPistols3/43mo ago0-2TNCPistols3/44mo ago2-0ASTRALOvertime4mo ago1-2UrsaPistols3/4Overtime4mo ago0-2

Privateer

The Last Resort2d ago0-2Glitchtech UK2d ago2-0The Last Resort3d ago0-2VoracityOvertime3d ago2-1

Head-to-head

past meetings & common opponents
No prior meetings or shared opponents in the sampled window.

Firepower

roster ratings

megoshort · avg 0.96 · top +0.22

PlayerMpK-DADRKASTHSRating
jayzaR81.1579.170.4%31%1.18
Twinkey1060.8368.367.9%61%0.96
zen240.9667.964.7%46%0.96
robiin1000.7965.868.2%52%0.9
qvick80.5650.967.8%58%0.78

Privateer · avg 1.09 · top +0.24

PlayerMpK-DADRKASTHSRating
Prime101.383.672.9%58%1.33
dobbo101.0482.573.1%54%1.16
JAUSTERE100.9471.171.9%49%1.05
Frazehh100.970.770.8%37%0.98
M1n1maL100.8464.272.5%61%0.93

Projected veto

likely picks & bans
Veto read
Neither side's habitual bans cleanly remove the other's best maps. The veto is live.
Plays: Ancient · Mirage · Overpass  ·  Removed: Nuke · Anubis · Dust2 · Inferno every map shows both teams' win% (MEG / PRI)
1MEGOSHORT BAN Nukeproj. removed
MEG n/a 0g
PRI 50% 2-2
megoshort on Nuke
no recent maps
Privateer on Nuke
L The Last Resort 10–13 2d ago W Glitchtech UK 13–8 2d ago L The Last Resort 10–13 3d ago W Voracity 13–7 3d ago
2PRIVATEER BAN Anubisproj. removed
MEG 50% 2-2
PRI n/a 0g
megoshort on Anubis
W TNC 13–11 3mo ago L MINLATE 8–13 4mo ago W MOUZ NXT 13–9 4mo ago L ex-GANK 16–19 4mo ago
Privateer on Anubis
no recent maps
3MEGOSHORT PICK Ancient
MEG 52% 13-12
PRI 50% 1-1
megoshort on Ancient
L G2 Ares 8–13 2d ago W Julie&Cie 13–6 6d ago L GenOne 10–13 2mo ago W EAC 16–14 2mo ago L Lavked 3–13 3mo ago W TNC 13–11 4mo ago L ASTRAL 5–13 4mo ago W OlyBet 19–16 4mo ago
Privateer on Ancient
W The Last Resort 13–7 3d ago L Voracity 14–16 3d ago
4PRIVATEER PICK Mirage
MEG 41% 11-16
PRI 100% 1-0
megoshort on Mirage
L G2 Ares 11–13 2d ago L SAW Youngsters 7–13 6d ago L Honvéd 7–13 7d ago L fnatic 3–13 2mo ago W EAC 13–10 2mo ago L AM 6–13 2mo ago L CYBERSHOKE 9–13 3mo ago W TNC 13–11 3mo ago
Privateer on Mirage
W Glitchtech UK 13–7 2d ago
5MEGOSHORT BAN Dust2proj. removed
MEG 22% 5-18
PRI 50% 1-1
megoshort on Dust2
W Julie&Cie 13–6 6d ago L Honvéd 10–13 7d ago L GenOne 2–13 2mo ago L fnatic 8–13 2mo ago W AM 13–7 2mo ago L CYBERSHOKE 7–13 3mo ago L SPARTA 10–13 3mo ago L ASTRAL 19–22 4mo ago
Privateer on Dust2
L The Last Resort 3–13 2d ago W Voracity 13–8 3d ago
6PRIVATEER BAN Infernoproj. removed
MEG 47% 7-8
PRI n/a 0g
megoshort on Inferno
L SAW Youngsters 5–13 6d ago L Ursa 13–16 4mo ago L Leo 3–13 4mo ago W OlyBet 13–10 4mo ago W CSDIILIT 13–10 4mo ago W WW 13–10 4mo ago W ex-GANK 16–12 4mo ago L Lilmix 7–13 5mo ago
Privateer on Inferno
no recent maps
7DECIDER Overpassleft over
MEG 44% 4-5
PRI n/a 0g
megoshort on Overpass
L EAC 6–13 2mo ago L AM 9–13 2mo ago L Ursa 4–13 4mo ago W WW 13–9 4mo ago W MINLATE 13–10 4mo ago W ALGO 13–9 4mo ago L Aurora Young Blud 14–16 5mo ago L Tricked 10–13 6mo ago
Privateer on Overpass
no recent maps
Projected from each team's veto habits (BO3), assuming megoshort vetoes first. Usual first ban: megoshort Nuke · Privateer Anubis.

Map lab

pick the 3 maps · per-map H2H + prediction
layout
Pick 3 maps ✓
Best-case draws · each side’s strongest realistic Bo3 · tap to load
The veto swings it: megoshort 50% on their maps vs Privateer 56% on theirs. Whoever shapes the pool is favoured. Inferno (50%) is the closest to a toss-up.
Privateer52%to win the seriescoin-flipiMap edgesAncient: megoshort 51% toss-up · Mirage: Privateer 54% toss-up · Overpass: Privateer 50% toss-upWhyPrivateer hold the edge across the maps (2 of 3 lean their way).Outcomesmegoshort 48%: 2-1 25%, 2-0 23%  ·  Privateer 52%: 2-0 27%, 2-1 25%
series odds add up every way a team can win, not just one scoreline
megoshort 48%52% Privateer
It’s nearly a coin-flip. Privateer only lead because their pick is strong enough that nicking just one of the close maps wins the series.
AncientMEG v PRI
51%
49%
13-12record1-1
52%win50%
53%CT win63%
50%T win50%
54%pistol50%
89%convert50%
MirageMEG v PRI
46%
54%
11-16record1-0
41%win100%
54%CT win67%
38%T win63%
39%pistol50%
81%convert100%
OverpassMEG v PRI
50%
50%
thin sample, read with caution
4-5record0-0
44%win–
58%CT win–
38%T win–
39%pistol–
71%convert–

Pistol, eco & sides

win% · convert if won · eco if lost · CT/T per map
ct / t side win% (Nuke skews CT, Dust2 T)pistol won the opening pistolconv then won round 2eco lost pistol, won round 2
Map
MEGct
MEGt
PRIct
PRIt
MEGpistol
MEGconv
MEGeco
PRIpistol
PRIconv
PRIeco
Ancientpool
53%123/231
50%142/284
63%15/24
50%10/20
54%27/50
89%24/27
4%1/23
50%2/4
50%1/2
0%0/2
Miragepool
54%142/261
38%110/288
67%8/12
63%5/8
39%21/54
81%17/21
15%5/33
50%1/2
100%1/1
100%1/1
Overpasspool
58%56/97
38%37/97
n/a
n/a
39%7/18
71%5/7
0%0/11
n/a
n/a
n/a
Nukeban
n/a
n/a
59%23/39
48%23/48
n/a
n/a
n/a
25%2/8
50%1/2
33%2/6
Anubisban
48%22/46
53%24/45
n/a
n/a
75%6/8
67%4/6
0%0/2
n/a
n/a
n/a
Dust2ban
45%120/269
43%92/214
75%9/12
44%4/9
59%27/46
78%21/27
0%0/18
50%2/4
50%1/2
50%1/2
Infernoban
43%70/162
48%72/149
n/a
n/a
40%12/30
75%9/12
17%3/18
n/a
n/a
n/a
colour = vs league averagebelowavgabove
Pistols
Privateer wins more pistol rounds: 50% vs 45%. Winning a pistol usually wins you the next few rounds too, so this is a small head start.
After pistol
Win the pistol → megoshort usually win the next round too (84% vs 67%). Lose the pistol → Privateer fight back to win the next round more often (33% vs 9%).

Mentality & map flow

comebacks, blown leads
Margins
megoshort average a 5.3-round margin (17 blown, biggest 7); Privateer average 5.3 (1 blown, 1 OTs). Hover any ⓘ for the matches behind it.

megoshort

Comebacks (won from 3+ down)i14/44 (32%)Comebacks (won from 3+ down)Of the 44 maps they won, 14 (32%) were won after trailing by 3+ rounds. So 32% of their wins were comebacks, not 32% of all games.vs TNCMiragefrom 8 downvs QWENTRYMiragefrom 6 downvs SemperFiAncientfrom 4 downvs OmegaMiragefrom 4 downvs WWOverpassfrom 4 down
Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)i17/61 (28%)Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)Of the 61 maps they lost, 17 (28%) were lost after leading by 3+ rounds: leads they threw away.vs AMOverpassled 7 · lost 9-13vs MOUZ NXTAncientled 4 · lost 8-13vs Aurora Young BludMirageled 4 · lost 9-13vs WaveDust2led 4 · lost 8-13vs ex-GANKAnubisled 4 · lost 16-19
Biggest comebackifrom 8 downBiggest comebackLargest deficit erased to win a map.vs TNCMiragefrom 8 down · won 13-11
Biggest lead blowni7 roundsBiggest lead blownLargest lead held and still lost.vs AMOverpassled 7 · lost 9-13
Avg map margini5.3 roundsAvg map marginAverage round difference across maps.
Close maps (≤3) · OTi36% · 16Close maps (≤3) · OT36% of their maps were decided by ≤3 rounds (nailbiters); 16 went to overtime.vs PrestigeInferno16-13vs TrickedAncient13-16vs STATETrain19-17vs Eternal FireMirage13-16vs Aurora Young BludOverpass14-16

Privateer

Comebacks (won from 3+ down)i0/5 (0%)Comebacks (won from 3+ down)Of the 5 maps they won, 0 (0%) were won after trailing by 3+ rounds. So 0% of their wins were comebacks, not 0% of all games.none in the sample
Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)i1/5 (20%)Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)Of the 5 maps they lost, 1 (20%) were lost after leading by 3+ rounds: leads they threw away.vs The Last ResortCacheled 3 · lost 6-13
Biggest comebackifrom 2 downBiggest comebackLargest deficit erased to win a map.none in the sample
Biggest lead blowni3 roundsBiggest lead blownLargest lead held and still lost.vs The Last ResortCacheled 3 · lost 6-13
Avg map margini5.3 roundsAvg map marginAverage round difference across maps.
Close maps (≤3) · OTi30% · 1Close maps (≤3) · OT30% of their maps were decided by ≤3 rounds (nailbiters); 1 went to overtime.vs VoracityAncient14-16

megoshort vs Privateer FAQ

Who is favored to win megoshort vs Privateer?

Privateer are favored with a 61% model win probability.

What are the betting odds for megoshort vs Privateer?

Match odds for megoshort vs Privateer aren't available yet. Check back closer to the match.

When do megoshort and Privateer play?

megoshort vs Privateer is scheduled for 2026-07-23 14:00 UTC at CCT 2026 Europe Series 6 Closed Qualifier.