Matches / Upcoming / Privateer vs Misa
Prediction
Our model gives Privateer a 58% chance to beat Misa at CCT 2026 Europe Series 6 Closed Qualifier. Bookmakers price Privateer at 1.93 and Misa at 1.82 (implied 49% vs 51%).
FormatBO3Form3-2 · 20-29PistolsMIS 53%Likely mapsNuke · Dust2 · Overpass
Model read: track record · HLTV rank · firepower · form, weighted by sample size. All figures respect the data-range filter.
Recent form
Head-to-head
past meetings & common opponentsNo prior meetings or shared opponents in the sampled window.
Firepower
roster ratingsPrivateer · avg 1.09 · top +0.19
| Player | Mp | K-D | ADR | KAST | HS | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Prime | 13 | 1.21 | 81.1 | 73.7% | 62% | 1.28 |
| dobbo | 13 | 1.11 | 83.2 | 73.4% | 56% | 1.22 |
| Frazehh | 13 | 0.96 | 71.4 | 69.9% | 36% | 1.02 |
| Ariant0 | 3 | 0.83 | 76.1 | 75.6% | 52% | 1 |
| M1n1maL | 13 | 0.87 | 64.8 | 70.9% | 63% | 0.94 |
Misa · avg 1.08 · top +0.14
| Player | Mp | K-D | ADR | KAST | HS | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| h0kz | 15 | 1.26 | 76.4 | 71.1% | 49% | 1.22 |
| EMSTAR | 36 | 0.89 | 80.8 | 69.4% | 58% | 1.08 |
| Ckanic | 115 | 1.04 | 71.9 | 72% | 60% | 1.07 |
| Zuedsta | 115 | 0.96 | 69.3 | 70.8% | 57% | 1.05 |
| souv | 103 | 0.91 | 67.8 | 71.9% | 55% | 1 |
Projected veto
likely picks & bansVeto read
Misa habitually bans Ancient, Privateer's strongest maps (Ancient all ≥60%).
That's a standing habit (Ancient 49/50), not an opponent read, so expect Privateer to fight the veto for Nuke.
Plays: Nuke · Dust2 · Overpass · Removed: Anubis · Ancient · Mirage · Inferno
every map shows both teams' win% (PRI / MIS)
1PRIVATEER BAN
Anubisproj. removed
PRI
n/a
0gMIS
50%
9-9
PRI
n/a
0g
MIS
50%
9-9
Privateer on Anubis
no recent maps
2MISA BAN
Ancientproj. removed
PRI
67%
2-1MIS
n/a
0g
PRI
67%
2-1
MIS
n/a
0g
Misa on Ancient
no recent maps
3PRIVATEER PICK
Nuke
PRI
50%
2-2MIS
39%
7-11
PRI
50%
2-2
MIS
39%
7-11
4MISA PICK
Dust2
PRI
50%
1-1MIS
55%
18-15
PRI
50%
1-1
MIS
55%
18-15
5PRIVATEER BAN
Mirageproj. removed
PRI
50%
1-1MIS
43%
9-12
PRI
50%
1-1
MIS
43%
9-12
6MISA BAN
Infernoproj. removed
PRI
100%
1-0MIS
46%
6-7
PRI
100%
1-0
MIS
46%
6-7
7DECIDER
Overpassleft over
PRI
n/a
0gMIS
29%
2-5
PRI
n/a
0g
MIS
29%
2-5
Privateer on Overpass
no recent maps
Projected from each team's veto habits (BO3), assuming Privateer vetoes first.
Usual first ban: Privateer Anubis · Misa Ancient.
Map lab
pick the 3 maps · per-map H2H + predictionlayout
Pick 3 maps ✓
Best-case draws · each side’s strongest realistic Bo3 · tap to load
The veto swings it: Privateer 56% on their maps vs Misa 51% on theirs. Whoever shapes the pool is favoured. Anubis (50%) is the closest to a toss-up.
Privateer53%to win the seriescoin-flipiMap edgesNuke: Privateer 57% · Dust2: Misa 51% toss-up · Overpass: Privateer 50% toss-upWhyPrivateer hold the edge across the maps (2 of 3 lean their way).OutcomesPrivateer 53%: 2-0 28%, 2-1 25% · Misa 47%: 2-1 25%, 2-0 22%
series odds add up every way a team can win, not just one scoreline
series odds add up every way a team can win, not just one scoreline
Privateer 53%47% Misa
It’s nearly a coin-flip. Privateer only lead because their pick is strong enough that nicking just one of the close maps wins the series.
NukePRI v MIS
57%43%
2-2record7-11
50%win39%
59%CT win52%
48%T win41%
25%pistol53%
50%convert74%
Dust2PRI v MIS
49%51%
1-1record18-15
50%win55%
75%CT win50%
44%T win53%
50%pistol55%
50%convert83%
OverpassPRI v MIS
50%50%
thin sample, read with caution
0-0record2-5
–win29%
–CT win60%
–T win31%
–pistol43%
–convert100%
Pistol, eco & sides
win% · convert if won · eco if lost · CT/T per mapct / t side win% (Nuke skews CT, Dust2 T)pistol won the opening pistolconv then won round 2eco lost pistol, won round 2
Map
PRIct
PRIt
MISct
MISt
PRIpistol
PRIconv
PRIeco
MISpistol
MISconv
MISeco
Nukepool
59%23/39
48%23/48
52%101/193
41%70/169
25%2/8
50%1/2
33%2/6
53%19/36
74%14/19
18%3/17
Dust2pool
75%9/12
44%4/9
50%160/317
53%193/366
50%2/4
50%1/2
50%1/2
55%36/66
83%30/36
17%5/30
Overpasspool
n/a
n/a
60%43/72
31%23/75
n/a
n/a
n/a
43%6/14
100%6/6
0%0/8
Anubisban
n/a
n/a
47%88/186
48%94/197
n/a
n/a
n/a
39%14/36
100%14/14
5%1/22
Ancientban
69%25/36
45%13/29
n/a
n/a
50%3/6
67%2/3
0%0/3
n/a
n/a
n/a
Mirageban
67%16/24
45%9/20
51%123/239
45%91/203
75%3/4
33%1/3
100%1/1
52%22/42
82%18/22
0%0/20
Infernoban
50%6/12
70%7/10
46%72/156
51%71/138
50%1/2
100%1/1
0%0/1
38%10/26
80%8/10
19%3/16
colour = vs league averagebelowavgabove
Pistols
Misa wins more pistol rounds: 53% vs 33%. Winning a pistol usually wins you the next few rounds too, so this is a small head start.
After pistol
Win the pistol → Misa usually win the next round too (82% vs 50%). Lose the pistol → Privateer fight back to win the next round more often (38% vs 15%).
Mentality & map flow
comebacks, blown leadsMargins
Privateer average a 4.9-round margin (2 blown, biggest 5); Misa average 5.1 (18 blown, 15 OTs). Hover any ⓘ for the matches behind it.
Privateer
Comebacks (won from 3+ down)i1/7 (14%)Comebacks (won from 3+ down)Of the 7 maps they won, 1 (14%) were won after trailing by 3+ rounds. So 14% of their wins were comebacks, not 14% of all games.vs megoshortInfernofrom 3 down
Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)i2/6 (33%)Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)Of the 6 maps they lost, 2 (33%) were lost after leading by 3+ rounds: leads they threw away.vs megoshortMirageled 5 · lost 14-16vs The Last ResortCacheled 3 · lost 6-13
Biggest comebackifrom 3 downBiggest comebackLargest deficit erased to win a map.vs megoshortInfernofrom 3 down · won 13-9
Biggest lead blowni5 roundsBiggest lead blownLargest lead held and still lost.vs megoshortMirageled 5 · lost 14-16
Avg map margini4.9 roundsAvg map marginAverage round difference across maps.
Close maps (≤3) · OTi31% · 2Close maps (≤3) · OT31% of their maps were decided by ≤3 rounds (nailbiters); 2 went to overtime.vs VoracityAncient14-16vs megoshortMirage14-16
Misa
Comebacks (won from 3+ down)i19/53 (36%)Comebacks (won from 3+ down)Of the 53 maps they won, 19 (36%) were won after trailing by 3+ rounds. So 36% of their wins were comebacks, not 36% of all games.vs WBTAnubisfrom 10 downvs ex-MANAInfernofrom 7 downvs WBTAnubisfrom 6 downvs HonvédMiragefrom 6 downvs Young NinjasMiragefrom 5 down
Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)i18/62 (29%)Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)Of the 62 maps they lost, 18 (29%) were lost after leading by 3+ rounds: leads they threw away.vs EntropyCacheled 9 · lost 11-13vs EntropyCacheled 8 · lost 8-13vs ex-MANAMirageled 7 · lost 10-13vs Young NinjasNukeled 6 · lost 17-19vs eternal premiumInfernoled 6 · lost 11-13
Biggest comebackifrom 10 downBiggest comebackLargest deficit erased to win a map.vs WBTAnubisfrom 10 down · won 13-6
Biggest lead blowni9 roundsBiggest lead blownLargest lead held and still lost.vs EntropyCacheled 9 · lost 11-13
Avg map margini5.1 roundsAvg map marginAverage round difference across maps.
Close maps (≤3) · OTi37% · 15Close maps (≤3) · OT37% of their maps were decided by ≤3 rounds (nailbiters); 15 went to overtime.vs LPHInferno15-19vs LPHNuke13-16vs 9INEOverpass19-17vs Endless JourneyInferno19-15vs Young NinjasNuke17-19
Privateer vs Misa FAQ
Who is favored to win Privateer vs Misa?
Privateer are favored with a 58% model win probability, and are the bookmakers' favorite too.
What are the betting odds for Privateer vs Misa?
Bookmakers price Privateer at 1.93 and Misa at 1.82 (implied 49% vs 51%).
When do Privateer and Misa play?
Privateer vs Misa is scheduled for 2026-07-24 17:00 UTC at CCT 2026 Europe Series 6 Closed Qualifier.