Matches / Upcoming / SPARTA vs ex-Young Ninjas
Prediction
Our model gives SPARTA a 52% chance to beat ex-Young Ninjas at CCT 2026 Europe Series 6. Bookmakers price SPARTA at 1.61 and ex-Young Ninjas at 2.14 (implied 57% vs 43%).
FormatBO3Form35-40 · 2-1PistolsSPA 54%Likely mapsDust2 · Nuke · Overpass
Model read: track record · HLTV rank · firepower · form, weighted by sample size. All figures respect the data-range filter.
Recent form
SPARTA
ex-Young Ninjas
Head-to-head
past meetings & common opponents◂ SPA fared bettervs 2 shared opponentsEX- fared better ▸
JUSJust Players#1201-41-2
ex-Young Ninjas vs Just Players
Jul 27LMirage4-13Nuke13-4Dust29-13
ex-RUSTEC2-02-0
SPARTA vs ex-RUSTEC
Aug 1WDust213-8Cache13-11ex-Young Ninjas vs ex-RUSTEC
Jul 29WDust213-9Nuke13-5SPARTA 3-4combined map recordex-Young Ninjas 3-2edge · ex-Young Ninjas
Firepower
roster ratingsSPARTA · avg 1.08 · top +0.07
| Player | Mp | K-D | ADR | KAST | HS | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| El1an | 155 | 1.23 | 78.3 | 71.8% | 28% | 1.15 |
| TRAVIS | 155 | 1.08 | 74 | 73.3% | 58% | 1.15 |
| Djon8 | 104 | 1.06 | 79.7 | 70% | 61% | 1.14 |
| k4nfuz | 104 | 0.92 | 64.2 | 72.6% | 62% | 1.01 |
| NickelBack | 155 | 0.82 | 67.4 | 69.4% | 49% | 0.95 |
ex-Young Ninjas · avg 1.24 · top +0.52
| Player | Mp | K-D | ADR | KAST | HS | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| yxngstxr | 3 | 2.03 | 99.1 | 89.3% | 53% | 1.76 |
| Dr3nquu | 8 | 1.1 | 73.4 | 70.6% | 70% | 1.19 |
| joeski | 8 | 1.01 | 82.7 | 73.9% | 54% | 1.18 |
| tein | 8 | 1.05 | 72.2 | 74.1% | 54% | 1.09 |
| mASKED | 8 | 0.84 | 67.5 | 71.6% | 50% | 1 |
Projected veto
likely picks & bansVeto read
Neither side's habitual bans cleanly remove the other's best maps. The veto is live.
Plays: Dust2 · Nuke · Overpass · Removed: Anubis · Inferno · Ancient · Mirage
every map shows both teams' win% (SPA / EX-)
1SPARTA BAN
Anubisproj. removed
SPA
40%
2-3EX-
n/a
0g
SPA
40%
2-3
EX-
n/a
0g
SPARTA on Anubis
L
Atreides
7–13
10d ago
L
Bushido Wildcats
9–13
22d ago
W
Atreides
13–11
22d ago
L
TDK
8–13
6mo ago
W
TNT
13–10
6mo agoex-Young Ninjas on Anubis
no recent maps
2EX-YOUNG NINJAS BAN
Infernoproj. removed
SPA
53%
8-7EX-
n/a
0g
SPA
53%
8-7
EX-
n/a
0g
SPARTA on Inferno
W
INFINITE
13–4
3d ago
W
G2 Ares
16–13
6d ago
L
Atreides
5–13
8d ago
L
SAW Youngsters
9–13
12d ago
L
Walczaki
7–13
18d ago
W
G2 Ares
13–3
2mo ago
W
Atreides
13–9
2mo ago
L
Oxuji
5–13
2mo agoex-Young Ninjas on Inferno
no recent maps
3SPARTA PICK
Dust2
SPA
63%
32-19EX-
67%
2-1
SPA
63%
32-19
EX-
67%
2-1
SPARTA on Dust2
W
ex-RUSTEC
13–8
2d ago
L
Rune Eaters
9–13
2d ago
W
INFINITE
16–13
3d ago
W
NEW VISION
13–9
4d ago
W
Just Players
13–10
4d ago
W
G2 Ares
13–2
6d ago
W
GenOne
13–6
7d agoex-Young Ninjas on Dust2
W
Inner Circle Academy
13–9
3d ago
W
ex-RUSTEC
13–9
5d ago
L
Just Players
9–13
7d ago
4EX-YOUNG NINJAS PICK
Nuke
SPA
46%
11-13EX-
100%
2-0
SPA
46%
11-13
EX-
100%
2-0
5SPARTA BAN
Ancientproj. removed
SPA
35%
11-20EX-
100%
1-0
SPA
35%
11-20
EX-
100%
1-0
6EX-YOUNG NINJAS BAN
Mirageproj. removed
SPA
48%
16-17EX-
0%
0-2
SPA
48%
16-17
EX-
0%
0-2
7DECIDER
Overpassleft over
SPA
61%
11-7EX-
n/a
0g
SPA
61%
11-7
EX-
n/a
0g
SPARTA on Overpass
L
INOX Division
7–13
2mo ago
L
AM
2–13
2mo ago
W
Athlon
13–7
2mo ago
W
GenOne
13–11
3mo ago
L
Just Players
20–22
3mo ago
W
ex-RUBY
13–8
3mo ago
W
GenOne
13–11
3mo ago
W
ex-Young Ninjas on Overpass
no recent maps
Projected from each team's veto habits (BO3), assuming SPARTA vetoes first.
Usual first ban: SPARTA Anubis · ex-Young Ninjas Ancient.
Map lab
pick the 3 maps · per-map H2H + predictionlayout
Pick 3 maps ✓
Best-case draws · each side’s strongest realistic Bo3 · tap to load
The veto swings it: SPARTA 55% on their maps vs ex-Young Ninjas 57% on theirs. Whoever shapes the pool is favoured. Inferno (50%) is the closest to a toss-up.
ex-Young Ninjas54%to win the seriescoin-flipiMap edgesDust2: SPARTA 51% toss-up · Nuke: ex-Young Ninjas 59% · Overpass: ex-Young Ninjas 50% toss-upWhyex-Young Ninjas hold the edge across the maps (2 of 3 lean their way).OutcomesSPARTA 46%: 2-1 25%, 2-0 21% · ex-Young Ninjas 54%: 2-0 29%, 2-1 25%
series odds add up every way a team can win, not just one scoreline
series odds add up every way a team can win, not just one scoreline
SPARTA 46%54% ex-Young Ninjas
It’s nearly a coin-flip. ex-Young Ninjas only lead because their Nuke is strong enough that nicking just one of the close maps wins the series.
Dust2SPA v EX-
51%49%
32-19record2-1
63%win67%
56%CT win47%
54%T win59%
54%pistol50%
84%convert100%
NukeSPA v EX-
41%59%
11-13record2-0
46%win100%
58%CT win82%
37%T win71%
54%pistol50%
81%convert100%
OverpassSPA v EX-
50%50%
thin sample, read with caution
11-7record0-0
61%win–
64%CT win–
44%T win–
53%pistol–
89%convert–
Pistol, eco & sides
win% · convert if won · eco if lost · CT/T per mapct / t side win% (Nuke skews CT, Dust2 T)pistol won the opening pistolconv then won round 2eco lost pistol, won round 2
Map
SPAct
SPAt
EX-ct
EX-t
SPApistol
SPAconv
SPAeco
EX-pistol
EX-conv
EX-eco
Dust2pool
56%269/484
54%304/558
47%15/32
59%20/34
54%55/102
84%46/55
36%17/47
50%3/6
100%3/3
0%0/3
Nukepool
58%145/250
37%97/264
82%9/11
71%17/24
54%26/48
81%21/26
23%5/22
50%2/4
100%2/2
100%2/2
Overpasspool
64%112/175
44%84/192
n/a
n/a
53%19/36
89%17/19
18%3/17
n/a
n/a
n/a
Anubisban
56%28/50
37%22/60
n/a
n/a
50%5/10
60%3/5
40%2/5
n/a
n/a
n/a
Infernoban
54%91/169
46%64/138
n/a
n/a
63%19/30
63%12/19
18%2/11
n/a
n/a
n/a
Ancientban
44%144/331
42%112/264
67%8/12
56%5/9
42%26/62
73%19/26
14%5/35
100%2/2
50%1/2
n/a
Mirageban
57%206/359
41%132/321
32%7/22
35%6/17
38%25/66
80%20/25
24%10/41
50%2/4
100%2/2
0%0/2
colour = vs league averagebelowavgabove
Pistols
SPARTA wins more pistol rounds: 54% vs 50%. Winning a pistol usually wins you the next few rounds too, so this is a small head start.
After pistol
Win the pistol → ex-Young Ninjas usually win the next round too (100% vs 84%). Lose the pistol → ex-Young Ninjas fight back to win the next round more often (40% vs 29%).
Mentality & map flow
comebacks, blown leadsMargins
SPARTA average a 5.6-round margin (26 blown, biggest 9); ex-Young Ninjas average 5.9 (2 blown, 0 OTs). Hover any ⓘ for the matches behind it.
SPARTA
Comebacks (won from 3+ down)i34/94 (36%)Comebacks (won from 3+ down)Of the 94 maps they won, 34 (36%) were won after trailing by 3+ rounds. So 36% of their wins were comebacks, not 36% of all games.vs GenOneDust2from 7 downvs Bushido WildcatsAncientfrom 7 downvs LavkedInfernofrom 6 downvs ex-RUBYOverpassfrom 6 downvs GenOneOverpassfrom 6 down
Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)i26/90 (29%)Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)Of the 90 maps they lost, 26 (29%) were lost after leading by 3+ rounds: leads they threw away.vs Bushido WildcatsAnubisled 9 · lost 9-13vs INOX DivisionOverpassled 8 · lost 10-13vs TDKDust2led 6 · lost 13-16vs LavkedAncientled 6 · lost 9-13vs AMMirageled 5 · lost 11-13
Biggest comebackifrom 7 downBiggest comebackLargest deficit erased to win a map.vs GenOneDust2from 7 down · won 13-9
Biggest lead blowni9 roundsBiggest lead blownLargest lead held and still lost.vs Bushido WildcatsAnubisled 9 · lost 9-13
Avg map margini5.6 roundsAvg map marginAverage round difference across maps.
Close maps (≤3) · OTi26% · 19Close maps (≤3) · OT26% of their maps were decided by ≤3 rounds (nailbiters); 19 went to overtime.vs MOUZ NXTNuke19-17vs TDKDust217-19vs TDKOverpass16-14vs TDKDust213-16vs BIGAncient17-19
ex-Young Ninjas
Comebacks (won from 3+ down)i1/5 (20%)Comebacks (won from 3+ down)Of the 5 maps they won, 1 (20%) were won after trailing by 3+ rounds. So 20% of their wins were comebacks, not 20% of all games.vs ex-RUSTECNukefrom 3 down
Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)i2/3 (67%)Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)Of the 3 maps they lost, 2 (67%) were lost after leading by 3+ rounds: leads they threw away.vs Inner Circle AcademyMirageled 4 · lost 9-13vs Just PlayersDust2led 3 · lost 9-13
Biggest comebackifrom 3 downBiggest comebackLargest deficit erased to win a map.vs ex-RUSTECNukefrom 3 down · won 13-5
Biggest lead blowni4 roundsBiggest lead blownLargest lead held and still lost.vs Inner Circle AcademyMirageled 4 · lost 9-13
Avg map margini5.9 roundsAvg map marginAverage round difference across maps.
Close maps (≤3) · OTi0% · 0Close maps (≤3) · OT0% of their maps were decided by ≤3 rounds (nailbiters); 0 went to overtime.none in the sample
SPARTA vs ex-Young Ninjas FAQ
Who is favored to win SPARTA vs ex-Young Ninjas?
SPARTA are favored with a 52% model win probability, and are the bookmakers' favorite too.
What are the betting odds for SPARTA vs ex-Young Ninjas?
Bookmakers price SPARTA at 1.61 and ex-Young Ninjas at 2.14 (implied 57% vs 43%).
When do SPARTA and ex-Young Ninjas play?
SPARTA vs ex-Young Ninjas is scheduled for a date to be confirmed at CCT 2026 Europe Series 6.




