Matches / Upcoming / 5star vs NEXVOID
Prediction
Our model gives NEXVOID a 52% chance to beat 5star at MESA Pro Series Summer 2026. Bookmakers price 5star at 2.3 and NEXVOID at 1.54 (implied 40% vs 60%).
FormatBO3Form15-10 · 20-14Likely mapsNuke · Overpass · Inferno
Model read: track record · HLTV rank · firepower · form, weighted by sample size. All figures respect the data-range filter.
Recent form
5star
Head-to-head
past meetings & common opponents4mo ago
5star0 : 2
NEXVOID!4mo ago 5star2 : 1 NEXVOID!4mo ago 5star2 : 1 NEXVOID!4mo ago NEXVOID0 : 2 5star!4mo ago NEXVOID2 : 1 5star!
5star0 : 2 NEXVOID!⚠ Different lineup
NEXVOID
outOCEANA
insergelen19k
5star2 : 1 NEXVOID!⚠ Different lineup
NEXVOID
outOCEANA
insergelen19k
5star2 : 1 NEXVOID!⚠ Different lineup
NEXVOID
outOCEANA
insergelen19k
NEXVOID0 : 2 5star!⚠ Different lineup
NEXVOID
outOCEANA
insergelen19k
NEXVOID2 : 1 5star!⚠ Different lineup
NEXVOID
outOCEANA
insergelen19k
◂ 5ST fared bettervs 8 shared opponentsNEX fared better ▸
TYLOO#190-42-2
FlyQuest#302-10-2
5star vs FlyQuest
May 13WDust27-13Ancient16-13Inferno13-9NEXVOID vs FlyQuest
May 12LAnubis7-13Dust24-13
Lynn Vision#350-20-2
5star vs Lynn Vision
Jul 11LInferno2-13Ancient10-13NEXVOID vs Lynn Vision
Mar 10LInferno4-13Dust22-13
The Huns#532-111-7
5star vs The Huns
Mar 19WInferno7-13Nuke13-8Ancient13-6NEXVOID vs The Huns
Apr 29WDust213-7Nuke13-4Apr 1LDust213-7Nuke11-13Ancient6-13Mar 31WNuke13-9Overpass4-13Inferno13-9+4 earlier meetings
Chinggis Warriors5-46-9
5star vs Chinggis Warriors
May 13WNuke13-7Inferno13-10Apr 2LMirage13-6Nuke9-13Inferno5-13Mar 17LNuke11-13+1 earlier meeting
NEXVOID vs Chinggis Warriors
May 11LOverpass16-13Nuke15-19May 1WDust213-8Overpass13-10Apr 8LNuke19-16Inferno8-13Dust217-19+3 earlier meetings
BMZ2-04-4
5star vs BMZ
Mar 18WNuke13-9Ancient25-22NEXVOID vs BMZ
Apr 7Wseries2-0Mar 21LAnubis2-13Ancient17-19Feb 26LAnubis9-13Ancient4-13+1 earlier meeting
The QUBE2-12-1
NEXVOID vs The QUBE
Mar 19WInferno5-13Dust213-7Nuke13-4
Sensation1-21-0
5star vs Sensation
Mar 18LInferno13-8Ancient6-13Nuke11-13NEXVOID vs Sensation
Mar 17WInferno13-115star 14-15combined map recordNEXVOID 26-27even
Firepower
roster ratings5star · avg 1.09 · top +0.05
| Player | Mp | K-D | ADR | KAST | HS | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| hoolig4n | 62 | 1.11 | 73.6 | 69.4% | 42% | 1.14 |
| NEUZ | 62 | 1.02 | 81.1 | 68.4% | 65% | 1.13 |
| clouden | 62 | 0.93 | 72.9 | 70.1% | 51% | 1.07 |
| rate | 55 | 0.97 | 72.3 | 71.4% | 51% | 1.07 |
| ariucle | 62 | 0.94 | 69.3 | 70.9% | 67% | 1.04 |
NEXVOID · avg 1.13 · top +0.06
| Player | Mp | K-D | ADR | KAST | HS | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MiQ | 67 | 1.14 | 83.8 | 69.7% | 40% | 1.19 |
| Zesta | 76 | 1.1 | 78.6 | 71.5% | 60% | 1.19 |
| sergelen19k | 16 | 1.05 | 73.2 | 72.8% | 69% | 1.13 |
| erkaSt | 78 | 1.01 | 77.5 | 70.6% | 50% | 1.09 |
| AccuracyTG | 78 | 0.95 | 69.2 | 69.4% | 50% | 1.03 |
Projected veto
likely picks & bansVeto read
NEXVOID habitually bans Mirage, 5star's strongest maps (Nuke, Inferno, Mirage all ≥60%).
That's a standing habit (Mirage 34/35), not an opponent read, so expect 5star to fight the veto for Nuke.
Plays: Nuke · Overpass · Inferno · Removed: Dust2 · Mirage · Ancient · Anubis
every map shows both teams' win% (5ST / NEX)
15STAR BAN
Dust2proj. removed
5ST
40%
2-3NEX
69%
9-4
5ST
40%
2-3
NEX
69%
9-4
2NEXVOID BAN
Mirageproj. removed
5ST
100%
3-0NEX
n/a
0g
5ST
100%
3-0
NEX
n/a
0g
NEXVOID on Mirage
no recent maps
35STAR PICK
Nuke
5ST
61%
11-7NEX
56%
10-8
5ST
61%
11-7
NEX
56%
10-8
4NEXVOID PICK
Overpass
5ST
40%
2-3NEX
54%
7-6
5ST
40%
2-3
NEX
54%
7-6
55STAR BAN
Ancientproj. removed
5ST
36%
4-7NEX
44%
4-5
5ST
36%
4-7
NEX
44%
4-5
6NEXVOID BAN
Anubisproj. removed
5ST
50%
4-4NEX
29%
2-5
5ST
50%
4-4
NEX
29%
2-5
7DECIDER
Infernoleft over
5ST
67%
8-4NEX
59%
10-7
5ST
67%
8-4
NEX
59%
10-7
Projected from each team's veto habits (BO3), assuming 5star vetoes first.
Usual first ban: 5star Dust2 · NEXVOID Mirage.
Map lab
pick the 3 maps · per-map H2H + predictionlayout
Pick 3 maps ✓
Best-case draws · each side’s strongest realistic Bo3 · tap to load
The veto swings it: 5star 64% on their maps vs NEXVOID 67% on theirs. Whoever shapes the pool is favoured. Mirage (50%) is the closest to a toss-up.
5star52%to win the seriescoin-flipiMap edgesNuke: 5star 55% toss-up · Overpass: NEXVOID 59% · Inferno: 5star 57%Why5star hold the edge across the maps (2 of 3 lean their way).Outcomes5star 52%: 2-1 29%, 2-0 23% · NEXVOID 48%: 2-0 26%, 2-1 22%
series odds add up every way a team can win, not just one scoreline
series odds add up every way a team can win, not just one scoreline
5star 52%48% NEXVOID
It’s nearly a coin-flip. 5star only lead because their pick is strong enough that nicking just one of the close maps wins the series.
Nuke5ST v NEX
55%45%
11-7record10-8
61%win56%
58%CT win55%
55%T win50%
61%pistol58%
91%convert86%
Overpass5ST v NEX
41%59%
2-3record7-6
40%win54%
48%CT win54%
46%T win42%
50%pistol54%
100%convert86%
Inferno5ST v NEX
57%43%
8-4record10-7
67%win59%
60%CT win44%
38%T win53%
50%pistol53%
92%convert72%
Pistol, eco & sides
win% · convert if won · eco if lost · CT/T per mapct / t side win% (Nuke skews CT, Dust2 T)pistol won the opening pistolconv then won round 2eco lost pistol, won round 2
Map
5STct
5STt
NEXct
NEXt
5STpistol
5STconv
5STeco
NEXpistol
NEXconv
NEXeco
Nukepool
58%114/196
55%101/182
55%115/208
50%87/175
61%22/36
91%20/22
0%0/14
58%21/36
86%18/21
27%4/15
Overpasspool
48%25/52
46%25/54
54%69/128
42%64/153
50%5/10
100%5/5
0%0/5
54%14/26
86%12/14
17%2/12
Infernopool
60%78/129
38%45/119
44%80/181
53%103/193
50%12/24
92%11/12
0%0/12
53%18/34
72%13/18
25%4/16
Dust2ban
45%24/53
47%23/49
55%74/134
52%68/132
60%6/10
67%4/6
0%0/4
46%12/26
92%11/12
14%2/14
Mirageban
56%14/25
69%25/36
n/a
n/a
67%4/6
75%3/4
0%0/2
n/a
n/a
n/a
Ancientban
50%54/108
36%42/117
54%49/91
40%31/78
45%10/22
70%7/10
9%1/11
56%10/18
78%7/9
0%0/8
Anubisban
44%39/88
51%39/76
30%21/70
51%37/72
50%8/16
63%5/8
13%1/8
36%5/14
80%4/5
22%2/9
colour = vs league averagebelowavgabove
Pistols
Pistol rounds are a tie. Both win about the same (5star 56%, NEXVOID 55%). Nobody has an edge.
After pistol
Win the pistol → 5star usually win the next round too (92% vs 81%). Lose the pistol → NEXVOID fight back to win the next round more often (23% vs 0%).
Mentality & map flow
comebacks, blown leadsMargins
5star average a 5.4-round margin (6 blown, biggest 6); NEXVOID average 5 (15 blown, 13 OTs). Hover any ⓘ for the matches behind it.
5star
Comebacks (won from 3+ down)i8/34 (24%)Comebacks (won from 3+ down)Of the 34 maps they won, 8 (24%) were won after trailing by 3+ rounds. So 24% of their wins were comebacks, not 24% of all games.vs Alter EgoMiragefrom 6 downvs NEXVOIDNukefrom 5 downvs Rare AtomDust2from 5 downvs Chinggis WarriorsInfernofrom 4 downvs BMZAncientfrom 3 down
Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)i6/28 (21%)Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)Of the 28 maps they lost, 6 (21%) were lost after leading by 3+ rounds: leads they threw away.vs NEXVOIDNukeled 6 · lost 13-16vs FlyQuestDust2led 5 · lost 7-13vs Chinggis WarriorsNukeled 4 · lost 11-13vs NEXVOIDAnubisled 4 · lost 11-13vs TYLOOOverpassled 4 · lost 11-13
Biggest comebackifrom 6 downBiggest comebackLargest deficit erased to win a map.vs Alter EgoMiragefrom 6 down · won 13-11
Biggest lead blowni6 roundsBiggest lead blownLargest lead held and still lost.vs NEXVOIDNukeled 6 · lost 13-16
Avg map margini5.4 roundsAvg map marginAverage round difference across maps.
Close maps (≤3) · OTi34% · 5Close maps (≤3) · OT34% of their maps were decided by ≤3 rounds (nailbiters); 5 went to overtime.vs BMZAncient25-22vs NEXVOIDNuke13-16vs Rare AtomInferno16-13vs FlyQuestAncient16-13vs Alter EgoAnubis16-14
NEXVOID
Comebacks (won from 3+ down)i14/42 (33%)Comebacks (won from 3+ down)Of the 42 maps they won, 14 (33%) were won after trailing by 3+ rounds. So 33% of their wins were comebacks, not 33% of all games.vs The HunsDust2from 8 downvs Chinggis WarriorsOverpassfrom 7 downvs 5starNukefrom 6 downvs The HunsAncientfrom 5 downvs SensationInfernofrom 5 down
Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)i15/35 (43%)Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)Of the 35 maps they lost, 15 (43%) were lost after leading by 3+ rounds: leads they threw away.vs Chinggis WarriorsNukeled 8 · lost 14-16vs The HunsNukeled 7 · lost 11-13vs BMZAnubisled 5 · lost 9-13vs 5starNukeled 5 · lost 10-13vs The HunsAncientled 4 · lost 11-13
Biggest comebackifrom 8 downBiggest comebackLargest deficit erased to win a map.vs The HunsDust2from 8 down · won 16-12
Biggest lead blowni8 roundsBiggest lead blownLargest lead held and still lost.vs Chinggis WarriorsNukeled 8 · lost 14-16
Avg map margini5 roundsAvg map marginAverage round difference across maps.
Close maps (≤3) · OTi35% · 13Close maps (≤3) · OT35% of their maps were decided by ≤3 rounds (nailbiters); 13 went to overtime.vs The HunsAncient16-13vs The HunsInferno16-14vs fullwInferno16-12vs The HunsDust216-12vs BMZAncient17-19
5star vs NEXVOID FAQ
Who is favored to win 5star vs NEXVOID?
NEXVOID are favored with a 52% model win probability, and are the bookmakers' favorite too.
What are the betting odds for 5star vs NEXVOID?
Bookmakers price 5star at 2.3 and NEXVOID at 1.54 (implied 40% vs 60%).
When do 5star and NEXVOID play?
5star vs NEXVOID is scheduled for 2026-07-23 06:00 UTC at MESA Pro Series Summer 2026.