Matches / Upcoming / ex-RUSTEC vs Entropy
Prediction
Our model gives ex-RUSTEC a 51% chance to beat Entropy at Thunderpick World Championship 2026 Europe Series 2. Bookmakers price ex-RUSTEC at 1.45 and Entropy at 2.52 (implied 63% vs 37%).
FormatBO3Form1-1 · 19-18PistolsENT 43%Likely mapsDust2 · Mirage · Anubis
Model read: track record · HLTV rank · firepower · form, weighted by sample size. All figures respect the data-range filter.
Recent form
ex-RUSTEC
Head-to-head
past meetings & common opponents◂ EX- fared bettervs 2 shared opponentsENT fared better ▸
GenOne#630-20-2
ex-RUSTEC vs GenOne
Jul 13LDust214-16Inferno8-13Entropy vs GenOne
Jul 12LCache6-13Dust22-13JUSJust Players#912-02-0
ex-RUSTEC vs Just Players
Jul 21WMirage13-10Dust213-10Entropy vs Just Players
Jul 13WCache13-4Mirage16-14ex-RUSTEC 2-2combined map recordEntropy 2-2even
Firepower
roster ratingsex-RUSTEC · avg 1.1 · top +0.22
| Player | Mp | K-D | ADR | KAST | HS | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Patsi | 4 | 1.19 | 84.1 | 74% | 58% | 1.32 |
| yiksrezo | 4 | 1.26 | 85.4 | 71.7% | 72% | 1.28 |
| youka | 3 | 1.16 | 72 | 70.9% | 47% | 1.17 |
| jakekeS | 4 | 0.78 | 65 | 70.2% | 60% | 0.87 |
| Brilliance | 4 | 0.69 | 58.7 | 68.8% | 67% | 0.85 |
Entropy · avg 1.17 · top +0.16
| Player | Mp | K-D | ADR | KAST | HS | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| delle | 10 | 1.2 | 89.2 | 76.7% | 58% | 1.33 |
| Tamefear | 24 | 1.21 | 83.5 | 76.2% | 56% | 1.3 |
| dottie | 84 | 1.03 | 85.2 | 70.3% | 65% | 1.22 |
| rafftu | 24 | 1.08 | 77.5 | 74.4% | 47% | 1.13 |
| flaw | 85 | 0.91 | 73.4 | 68.1% | 53% | 1.04 |
| tevsii | 89 | 0.96 | 67.6 | 68.8% | 45% | 1.01 |
Projected veto
likely picks & bansVeto read
Neither side's habitual bans cleanly remove the other's best maps. The veto is live.
Plays: Dust2 · Mirage · Anubis · Removed: Ancient · Nuke · Inferno · Overpass
every map shows both teams' win% (EX- / ENT)
1EX-RUSTEC BAN
Ancientproj. removed
EX-
n/a
0gENT
56%
9-7
EX-
n/a
0g
ENT
56%
9-7
ex-RUSTEC on Ancient
no recent maps
2ENTROPY BAN
Nukeproj. removed
EX-
n/a
0gENT
0%
0-1
EX-
n/a
0g
ENT
0%
0-1
ex-RUSTEC on Nuke
no recent maps
Entropy on Nuke
L
SAW
7–13
20d ago
3EX-RUSTEC PICK
Dust2
EX-
50%
1-1ENT
36%
4-7
EX-
50%
1-1
ENT
36%
4-7
4ENTROPY PICK
Mirage
EX-
100%
1-0ENT
43%
10-13
EX-
100%
1-0
ENT
43%
10-13
5EX-RUSTEC BAN
Infernoproj. removed
EX-
0%
0-1ENT
50%
4-4
EX-
0%
0-1
ENT
50%
4-4
6ENTROPY BAN
Overpassproj. removed
EX-
n/a
0gENT
33%
2-4
EX-
n/a
0g
ENT
33%
2-4
ex-RUSTEC on Overpass
no recent maps
7DECIDER
Anubisleft over
EX-
n/a
0gENT
54%
7-6
EX-
n/a
0g
ENT
54%
7-6
ex-RUSTEC on Anubis
no recent maps
Projected from each team's veto habits (BO3), assuming ex-RUSTEC vetoes first.
Usual first ban: ex-RUSTEC Ancient · Entropy Nuke.
Map lab
pick the 3 maps · per-map H2H + predictionlayout
Pick 3 maps ✓
Best-case draws · each side’s strongest realistic Bo3 · tap to load
The veto swings it: ex-RUSTEC 54% on their maps vs Entropy 51% on theirs. Whoever shapes the pool is favoured. Nuke (50%) is the closest to a toss-up.
ex-RUSTEC54%to win the seriescoin-flipiMap edgesDust2: ex-RUSTEC 54% toss-up · Mirage: ex-RUSTEC 54% toss-up · Anubis: ex-RUSTEC 50% toss-upWhyex-RUSTEC hold the edge across the maps (3 of 3 lean their way).Outcomesex-RUSTEC 54%: 2-0 29%, 2-1 25% · Entropy 46%: 2-1 25%, 2-0 21%
series odds add up every way a team can win, not just one scoreline
series odds add up every way a team can win, not just one scoreline
ex-RUSTEC 54%46% Entropy
It’s nearly a coin-flip. ex-RUSTEC only lead because their pick is strong enough that nicking just one of the close maps wins the series.
Dust2EX- v ENT
54%46%
1-1record4-7
50%win36%
57%CT win46%
50%T win47%
25%pistol41%
100%convert78%
MirageEX- v ENT
54%46%
1-0record10-13
100%win43%
58%CT win56%
55%T win39%
50%pistol46%
100%convert86%
AnubisEX- v ENT
50%50%
thin sample, read with caution
0-0record7-6
–win54%
–CT win56%
–T win43%
–pistol38%
–convert80%
Pistol, eco & sides
win% · convert if won · eco if lost · CT/T per mapct / t side win% (Nuke skews CT, Dust2 T)pistol won the opening pistolconv then won round 2eco lost pistol, won round 2
Map
EX-ct
EX-t
ENTct
ENTt
EX-pistol
EX-conv
EX-eco
ENTpistol
ENTconv
ENTeco
Dust2pool
57%13/23
50%12/24
46%54/118
47%49/104
25%1/4
100%1/1
33%1/3
41%9/22
78%7/9
8%1/13
Miragepool
58%7/12
55%6/11
56%129/229
39%96/248
50%1/2
100%1/1
0%0/1
46%21/46
86%18/21
16%4/25
Anubispool
n/a
n/a
56%71/127
43%57/132
n/a
n/a
n/a
38%10/26
80%8/10
44%7/16
Ancientban
n/a
n/a
56%93/167
49%83/170
n/a
n/a
n/a
31%10/32
70%7/10
32%7/22
Nukeban
n/a
n/a
42%5/12
25%2/8
n/a
n/a
n/a
50%1/2
0%0/1
0%0/1
Infernoban
44%4/9
33%4/12
45%43/96
51%45/88
50%1/2
0%0/1
100%1/1
44%7/16
86%6/7
22%2/9
Overpassban
n/a
n/a
65%47/72
29%14/49
n/a
n/a
n/a
50%6/12
83%5/6
17%1/6
colour = vs league averagebelowavgabove
Pistols
Entropy wins more pistol rounds: 43% vs 33%. Winning a pistol usually wins you the next few rounds too, so this is a small head start.
After pistol
Win the pistol → ex-RUSTEC usually win the next round too (100% vs 83%). Lose the pistol → both fight back about the same (25% vs 22%).
Mentality & map flow
comebacks, blown leadsMargins
ex-RUSTEC average a 3.2-round margin (0 blown, biggest 1); Entropy average 5.3 (15 blown, 12 OTs). Hover any ⓘ for the matches behind it.
ex-RUSTEC
Comebacks (won from 3+ down)i0/2 (0%)Comebacks (won from 3+ down)Of the 2 maps they won, 0 (0%) were won after trailing by 3+ rounds. So 0% of their wins were comebacks, not 0% of all games.none in the sample
Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)i0/2 (0%)Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)Of the 2 maps they lost, 0 (0%) were lost after leading by 3+ rounds: leads they threw away.none in the sample
Biggest comebackifrom 1 downBiggest comebackLargest deficit erased to win a map.none in the sample
Biggest lead blowni1 roundsBiggest lead blownLargest lead held and still lost.none in the sample
Avg map margini3.2 roundsAvg map marginAverage round difference across maps.
Close maps (≤3) · OTi75% · 1Close maps (≤3) · OT75% of their maps were decided by ≤3 rounds (nailbiters); 1 went to overtime.vs GenOneDust214-16
Entropy
Comebacks (won from 3+ down)i17/43 (40%)Comebacks (won from 3+ down)Of the 43 maps they won, 17 (40%) were won after trailing by 3+ rounds. So 40% of their wins were comebacks, not 40% of all games.vs HonvédMiragefrom 10 downvs MisaCachefrom 9 downvs MisaCachefrom 8 downvs WAZABIAncientfrom 6 downvs Endless JourneyInfernofrom 6 down
Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)i15/45 (33%)Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)Of the 45 maps they lost, 15 (33%) were lost after leading by 3+ rounds: leads they threw away.vs ENCEAncientled 7 · lost 14-16vs HOTUDust2led 7 · lost 13-16vs Sashi AcademyAncientled 6 · lost 8-13vs OramondMirageled 6 · lost 9-13vs Project 91Mirageled 5 · lost 11-13
Biggest comebackifrom 10 downBiggest comebackLargest deficit erased to win a map.vs HonvédMiragefrom 10 down · won 13-3
Biggest lead blowni7 roundsBiggest lead blownLargest lead held and still lost.vs ENCEAncientled 7 · lost 14-16
Avg map margini5.3 roundsAvg map marginAverage round difference across maps.
Close maps (≤3) · OTi32% · 12Close maps (≤3) · OT32% of their maps were decided by ≤3 rounds (nailbiters); 12 went to overtime.vs Sashi AcademyInferno16-14vs WAZABIAncient16-14vs ENCEInferno13-16vs ENCEMirage16-12vs ENCEAncient14-16
ex-RUSTEC vs Entropy FAQ
Who is favored to win ex-RUSTEC vs Entropy?
ex-RUSTEC are favored with a 51% model win probability, and are the bookmakers' favorite too.
What are the betting odds for ex-RUSTEC vs Entropy?
Bookmakers price ex-RUSTEC at 1.45 and Entropy at 2.52 (implied 63% vs 37%).
When do ex-RUSTEC and Entropy play?
ex-RUSTEC vs Entropy is scheduled for 2026-07-27 08:00 UTC at Thunderpick World Championship 2026 Europe Series 2.