Matches / Upcoming / UNiTY vs Mai Tai
UNiTY
2026-07-27 11:00 UTC
Thunderpick World Championship 2026 Europe Series 2
Mai Tai
Prediction
Our model gives UNiTY a 60% chance to beat Mai Tai at Thunderpick World Championship 2026 Europe Series 2.
Our read60%
40%
FormatBO3Form27-34 · 3-4PistolsUNI 51%Likely mapsAncient · Mirage · Dust2
Model read: track record · HLTV rank · firepower · form, weighted by sample size. All figures respect the data-range filter.

Recent form

Head-to-head

past meetings & common opponents
No prior meetings or shared opponents in the sampled window.

Firepower

roster ratings

UNiTY · avg 1.09 · top +0.04

PlayerMpK-DADRKASTHSRating
2high561.0575.175.5%45%1.13
M1key1361.0876.874.3%44%1.11
KWERTZZ541.0375.473.2%73%1.1
woozzzi1301.1271.472.4%39%1.08
NEOFRAG1360.9977.573.4%56%1.05

Mai Tai · avg 1 · top +0.17

PlayerMpK-DADRKASTHSRating
Pelle111.0881.675%56%1.17
Nami131.0875.271.5%53%1.15
Melavi131.037065.8%40%1
chudy130.6865.563.9%68%0.85
darchevile110.76969.4%47%0.85

Projected veto

likely picks & bans
Veto read
Mai Tai habitually bans Inferno, UNiTY's strongest maps (Inferno all ≥60%). That's a standing habit (Inferno 7/7), not an opponent read, so expect UNiTY to fight the veto for Ancient.
Plays: Ancient · Mirage · Dust2  ·  Removed: Nuke · Inferno · Overpass · Anubis every map shows both teams' win% (UNI / MAI)
1UNITY BAN Nukeproj. removed
UNI 0% 0-1
MAI 100% 1-0
2MAI TAI BAN Infernoproj. removed
UNI 64% 14-8
MAI n/a 0g
3UNITY PICK Ancient
UNI 42% 16-22
MAI 50% 1-1
4MAI TAI PICK Mirage
UNI 57% 16-12
MAI 33% 2-4
5UNITY BAN Overpassproj. removed
UNI 30% 3-7
MAI n/a 0g
6MAI TAI BAN Anubisproj. removed
UNI 43% 6-8
MAI n/a 0g
7DECIDER Dust2left over
UNI 36% 8-14
MAI 50% 1-1
Projected from each team's veto habits (BO3), assuming UNiTY vetoes first. Usual first ban: UNiTY Nuke · Mai Tai Inferno.

Map lab

pick the 3 maps · per-map H2H + prediction
layout
Pick 3 maps
Best-case draws · each side’s strongest realistic Bo3 · tap to load
The veto swings it: UNiTY 59% on their maps vs Mai Tai 56% on theirs. Whoever shapes the pool is favoured. Inferno (50%) is the closest to a toss-up.
UNiTY56%to win the seriescoin-flipiMap edgesAncient: Mai Tai 53% toss-up · Mirage: UNiTY 69% clear · Dust2: Mai Tai 54% toss-upWhyMai Tai are favoured on 2 of 3 maps, but only barely: the other maps are near 50/50 (Dust2 & Ancient), so UNiTY just need to steal one (~72% to grab at least one).OutcomesUNiTY 56%: 2-0 33%, 2-1 23%  ·  Mai Tai 44%: 2-1 28%, 2-0 17%
series odds add up every way a team can win, not just one scoreline
UNiTY 56%44% Mai Tai
It’s nearly a coin-flip. UNiTY only lead because their Mirage is strong enough that nicking just one of the close maps wins the series.
AncientUNI v MAI
48%
52%
16-22record1-1
42%win50%
50%CT win42%
49%T win50%
58%pistol25%
80%convert100%
MirageUNI v MAI
69%
31%
16-12record2-4
57%win33%
54%CT win36%
45%T win56%
45%pistol33%
84%convert75%
Dust2UNI v MAI
46%
54%
8-14record1-1
36%win50%
53%CT win58%
43%T win42%
45%pistol0%
85%convert

Pistol, eco & sides

win% · convert if won · eco if lost · CT/T per map
ct / t side win% (Nuke skews CT, Dust2 T)pistol won the opening pistolconv then won round 2eco lost pistol, won round 2
Map
UNIct
UNIt
MAIct
MAIt
UNIpistol
UNIconv
UNIeco
MAIpistol
MAIconv
MAIeco
Ancientpool
50%189/375
49%211/434
42%10/24
50%8/16
58%44/76
80%35/44
13%4/32
25%1/4
100%1/1
33%1/3
Miragepool
54%159/296
45%123/272
36%19/53
56%40/72
45%25/56
84%21/25
30%9/30
33%4/12
75%3/4
13%1/8
Dust2pool
53%133/253
43%87/202
58%14/24
42%10/24
45%20/44
85%17/20
8%2/24
0%0/4
n/a
25%1/4
Nukeban
17%2/12
40%2/5
58%7/12
55%6/11
50%1/2
0%0/1
0%0/1
50%1/2
0%0/1
0%0/1
Infernoban
57%127/223
52%119/231
n/a
n/a
61%27/44
89%24/27
35%6/17
n/a
n/a
n/a
Overpassban
56%65/117
38%33/88
n/a
n/a
55%11/20
91%10/11
0%0/9
n/a
n/a
n/a
Anubisban
49%73/148
44%61/139
n/a
n/a
50%14/28
86%12/14
23%3/13
n/a
n/a
n/a
colour = vs league averagebelowavgabove
Pistols
UNiTY wins more pistol rounds: 51% vs 25%. Winning a pistol usually wins you the next few rounds too, so this is a small head start.
After pistol
Win the pistol → both win the next round about the same (82% vs 80%). Lose the pistol → both fight back about the same (17% vs 20%).

Mentality & map flow

comebacks, blown leads
Margins
UNiTY average a 5.3-round margin (29 blown, biggest 9); Mai Tai average 4.8 (2 blown, 1 OTs). Hover any ⓘ for the matches behind it.

UNiTY

Comebacks (won from 3+ down)i17/63 (27%)Comebacks (won from 3+ down)Of the 63 maps they won, 17 (27%) were won after trailing by 3+ rounds. So 27% of their wins were comebacks, not 27% of all games.vs ENCE AcademyMiragefrom 6 downvs AllianceAncientfrom 6 downvs PsychoFaceDust2from 6 downvs MOUZ NXTDust2from 5 downvs MINLATEMiragefrom 5 down
Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)i29/72 (40%)Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)Of the 72 maps they lost, 29 (40%) were lost after leading by 3+ rounds: leads they threw away.vs 1winAncientled 9 · lost 11-13vs KOLESIEAncientled 7 · lost 8-13vs LavkedMirageled 7 · lost 10-13vs Fingers CrossedMirageled 6 · lost 10-13vs AllianceOverpassled 6 · lost 10-13
Biggest comebackifrom 6 downBiggest comebackLargest deficit erased to win a map.vs ENCE AcademyMiragefrom 6 down · won 13-9
Biggest lead blowni9 roundsBiggest lead blownLargest lead held and still lost.vs 1winAncientled 9 · lost 11-13
Avg map margini5.3 roundsAvg map marginAverage round difference across maps.
Close maps (≤3) · OTi38% · 15Close maps (≤3) · OT38% of their maps were decided by ≤3 rounds (nailbiters); 15 went to overtime.vs illwillInferno19-16vs illwillMirage19-17vs BetclicMirage16-14vs G2 AresOverpass17-19vs KOLESIEAncient19-17

Mai Tai

Comebacks (won from 3+ down)i3/5 (60%)Comebacks (won from 3+ down)Of the 5 maps they won, 3 (60%) were won after trailing by 3+ rounds. So 60% of their wins were comebacks, not 60% of all games.vs eternal premiumDust2from 5 downvs ROUNDSAncientfrom 3 downvs ROUNDSNukefrom 3 down
Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)i2/7 (29%)Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)Of the 7 maps they lost, 2 (29%) were lost after leading by 3+ rounds: leads they threw away.vs eternal premiumMirageled 5 · lost 13-16vs HonvédDust2led 4 · lost 11-13
Biggest comebackifrom 5 downBiggest comebackLargest deficit erased to win a map.vs eternal premiumDust2from 5 down · won 13-11
Biggest lead blowni5 roundsBiggest lead blownLargest lead held and still lost.vs eternal premiumMirageled 5 · lost 13-16
Avg map margini4.8 roundsAvg map marginAverage round difference across maps.
Close maps (≤3) · OTi33% · 1Close maps (≤3) · OT33% of their maps were decided by ≤3 rounds (nailbiters); 1 went to overtime.vs eternal premiumMirage13-16

UNiTY vs Mai Tai FAQ

Who is favored to win UNiTY vs Mai Tai?

UNiTY are favored with a 60% model win probability.

What are the betting odds for UNiTY vs Mai Tai?

Match odds for UNiTY vs Mai Tai aren't available yet. Check back closer to the match.

When do UNiTY and Mai Tai play?

UNiTY vs Mai Tai is scheduled for 2026-07-27 11:00 UTC at Thunderpick World Championship 2026 Europe Series 2.