Matches / Upcoming / Black Phoenix vs Misa
Prediction
Our model gives Black Phoenix a 65% chance to beat Misa at Thunderpick World Championship 2026 Europe Series 2. Limited data on this matchup, so the read stays close to the market. Bookmakers price Black Phoenix at 1.36 and Misa at 2.85 (implied 68% vs 32%).
FormatBO3Form1-0 · 19-29PistolsBLA 50%Likely mapsDust2 · Anubis · Overpass
Model read: track record · HLTV rank · firepower · form, weighted by sample size. All figures respect the data-range filter.
Recent form
Black Phoenix
Head-to-head
past meetings & common opponentsNo prior meetings or shared opponents in the sampled window.
Firepower
roster ratingsBlack Phoenix · avg 1.06 · top +0.2
| Player | Mp | K-D | ADR | KAST | HS | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sa1nTy | 3 | 1.29 | 82.3 | 76% | 60% | 1.26 |
| topo | 3 | 1.17 | 68.2 | 65.6% | 37% | 1.08 |
| karnez | 3 | 1.06 | 66.3 | 67.8% | 74% | 1.04 |
| Salazar | 3 | 0.84 | 66.5 | 72.6% | 52% | 1.01 |
| 4X1s | 3 | 0.82 | 59.3 | 76% | 52% | 0.89 |
Misa · avg 1.06 · top +0.06
| Player | Mp | K-D | ADR | KAST | HS | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| h0kz | 13 | 1.17 | 72.1 | 69.9% | 51% | 1.12 |
| Ckanic | 113 | 1.04 | 72 | 72.1% | 60% | 1.07 |
| EMSTAR | 34 | 0.89 | 79.5 | 68.7% | 58% | 1.06 |
| Zuedsta | 113 | 0.96 | 69.3 | 70.8% | 57% | 1.05 |
| souv | 101 | 0.91 | 67.8 | 71.7% | 55% | 1 |
Projected veto
likely picks & bansVeto read
Neither side's habitual bans cleanly remove the other's best maps. The veto is live.
Plays: Dust2 · Anubis · Overpass · Removed: Ancient · Nuke · Mirage · Inferno
every map shows both teams' win% (BLA / MIS)
1BLACK PHOENIX BAN
Ancientproj. removed
BLA
n/a
0gMIS
n/a
0g
BLA
n/a
0g
MIS
n/a
0g
Black Phoenix on Ancient
no recent maps
Misa on Ancient
no recent maps
2MISA BAN
Nukeproj. removed
BLA
n/a
0gMIS
35%
6-11
BLA
n/a
0g
MIS
35%
6-11
Black Phoenix on Nuke
no recent maps
3BLACK PHOENIX PICK
Dust2
BLA
100%
1-0MIS
53%
17-15
BLA
100%
1-0
MIS
53%
17-15
4MISA PICK
Anubis
BLA
n/a
0gMIS
50%
9-9
BLA
n/a
0g
MIS
50%
9-9
Black Phoenix on Anubis
no recent maps
5BLACK PHOENIX BAN
Mirageproj. removed
BLA
0%
0-1MIS
43%
9-12
BLA
0%
0-1
MIS
43%
9-12
6MISA BAN
Infernoproj. removed
BLA
100%
1-0MIS
46%
6-7
BLA
100%
1-0
MIS
46%
6-7
7DECIDER
Overpassleft over
BLA
n/a
0gMIS
29%
2-5
BLA
n/a
0g
MIS
29%
2-5
Black Phoenix on Overpass
no recent maps
Projected from each team's veto habits (BO3), assuming Black Phoenix vetoes first.
Usual first ban: Black Phoenix Ancient · Misa Ancient.
Map lab
pick the 3 maps · per-map H2H + predictionlayout
Pick 3 maps ✓
Best-case draws · each side’s strongest realistic Bo3 · tap to load
The veto swings it: Black Phoenix 53% on their maps vs Misa 51% on theirs. Whoever shapes the pool is favoured. Nuke (50%) is the closest to a toss-up.
Black Phoenix51%to win the seriescoin-flipiMap edgesDust2: Black Phoenix 52% toss-up · Anubis: Black Phoenix 50% toss-up · Overpass: Black Phoenix 50% toss-upWhyBlack Phoenix hold the edge across the maps (3 of 3 lean their way).OutcomesBlack Phoenix 51%: 2-0 26%, 2-1 25% · Misa 49%: 2-1 25%, 2-0 24%
series odds add up every way a team can win, not just one scoreline
series odds add up every way a team can win, not just one scoreline
Black Phoenix 51%49% Misa
It’s nearly a coin-flip. Black Phoenix only lead because their pick is strong enough that nicking just one of the close maps wins the series.
Dust2BLA v MIS
52%48%
1-0record17-15
100%win53%
75%CT win50%
58%T win52%
50%pistol53%
100%convert82%
AnubisBLA v MIS
50%50%
thin sample, read with caution
0-0record9-9
–win50%
–CT win47%
–T win48%
–pistol39%
–convert100%
OverpassBLA v MIS
50%50%
thin sample, read with caution
0-0record2-5
–win29%
–CT win60%
–T win31%
–pistol43%
–convert100%
Pistol, eco & sides
win% · convert if won · eco if lost · CT/T per mapct / t side win% (Nuke skews CT, Dust2 T)pistol won the opening pistolconv then won round 2eco lost pistol, won round 2
Map
BLAct
BLAt
MISct
MISt
BLApistol
BLAconv
BLAeco
MISpistol
MISconv
MISeco
Dust2pool
75%6/8
58%7/12
50%151/305
52%189/362
50%1/2
100%1/1
0%0/1
53%34/64
82%28/34
17%5/30
Anubispool
n/a
n/a
47%88/186
48%94/197
n/a
n/a
n/a
39%14/36
100%14/14
5%1/22
Overpasspool
n/a
n/a
60%43/72
31%23/75
n/a
n/a
n/a
43%6/14
100%6/6
0%0/8
Ancientban
n/a
n/a
n/a
n/a
n/a
n/a
n/a
n/a
n/a
n/a
Nukeban
n/a
n/a
51%93/181
41%65/157
n/a
n/a
n/a
56%19/34
74%14/19
13%2/15
Mirageban
8%1/12
71%5/7
51%123/239
45%91/203
50%1/2
100%1/1
0%0/1
52%22/42
82%18/22
0%0/20
Infernoban
88%7/8
50%6/12
46%72/156
51%71/138
50%1/2
100%1/1
0%0/1
38%10/26
80%8/10
19%3/16
colour = vs league averagebelowavgabove
Pistols
Black Phoenix wins more pistol rounds: 50% vs 47%. Winning a pistol usually wins you the next few rounds too, so this is a small head start.
After pistol
Win the pistol → Black Phoenix usually win the next round too (100% vs 89%). Lose the pistol → Misa fight back to win the next round more often (10% vs 0%).
Mentality & map flow
comebacks, blown leadsMargins
Black Phoenix average a 6.3-round margin (0 blown, biggest 0); Misa average 5.1 (18 blown, 15 OTs). Hover any ⓘ for the matches behind it.
Black Phoenix
Comebacks (won from 3+ down)i1/2 (50%)Comebacks (won from 3+ down)Of the 2 maps they won, 1 (50%) were won after trailing by 3+ rounds. So 50% of their wins were comebacks, not 50% of all games.vs Rune EatersInfernofrom 3 down
Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)i0/1 (0%)Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)Of the 1 maps they lost, 0 (0%) were lost after leading by 3+ rounds: leads they threw away.none in the sample
Biggest comebackifrom 3 downBiggest comebackLargest deficit erased to win a map.vs Rune EatersInfernofrom 3 down · won 13-7
Biggest lead blowni0 roundsBiggest lead blownLargest lead held and still lost.none in the sample
Avg map margini6.3 roundsAvg map marginAverage round difference across maps.
Close maps (≤3) · OTi0% · 0Close maps (≤3) · OT0% of their maps were decided by ≤3 rounds (nailbiters); 0 went to overtime.none in the sample
Misa
Comebacks (won from 3+ down)i19/51 (37%)Comebacks (won from 3+ down)Of the 51 maps they won, 19 (37%) were won after trailing by 3+ rounds. So 37% of their wins were comebacks, not 37% of all games.vs WBTAnubisfrom 10 downvs ex-MANAInfernofrom 7 downvs WBTAnubisfrom 6 downvs HonvédMiragefrom 6 downvs Young NinjasMiragefrom 5 down
Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)i18/62 (29%)Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)Of the 62 maps they lost, 18 (29%) were lost after leading by 3+ rounds: leads they threw away.vs EntropyCacheled 9 · lost 11-13vs EntropyCacheled 8 · lost 8-13vs ex-MANAMirageled 7 · lost 10-13vs Young NinjasNukeled 6 · lost 17-19vs eternal premiumInfernoled 6 · lost 11-13
Biggest comebackifrom 10 downBiggest comebackLargest deficit erased to win a map.vs WBTAnubisfrom 10 down · won 13-6
Biggest lead blowni9 roundsBiggest lead blownLargest lead held and still lost.vs EntropyCacheled 9 · lost 11-13
Avg map margini5.1 roundsAvg map marginAverage round difference across maps.
Close maps (≤3) · OTi36% · 15Close maps (≤3) · OT36% of their maps were decided by ≤3 rounds (nailbiters); 15 went to overtime.vs LPHInferno15-19vs LPHNuke13-16vs 9INEOverpass19-17vs Endless JourneyInferno19-15vs Young NinjasNuke17-19
Black Phoenix vs Misa FAQ
Who is favored to win Black Phoenix vs Misa?
Black Phoenix are favored with a 65% model win probability, and are the bookmakers' favorite too.
What are the betting odds for Black Phoenix vs Misa?
Bookmakers price Black Phoenix at 1.36 and Misa at 2.85 (implied 68% vs 32%).
When do Black Phoenix and Misa play?
Black Phoenix vs Misa is scheduled for 2026-07-27 14:00 UTC at Thunderpick World Championship 2026 Europe Series 2.