Matches / Upcoming / Rune Eaters vs ALTAY
Rune Eaters
2026-07-25 05:00 UTC
KOKONISTER Pavlodar Ertis Cup 2026
ALTAY
PredictionHigh confidence
Our model gives Rune Eaters a 66% chance to beat ALTAY at KOKONISTER Pavlodar Ertis Cup 2026.
Our read66%
34%
FormatBO3Form25-39 · 0-6PistolsRUN 51%Likely mapsDust2 · Inferno · Mirage
Model read: track record · HLTV rank · firepower · form, weighted by sample size. All figures respect the data-range filter.

Recent form

Head-to-head

past meetings & common opponents

Firepower

roster ratings

Rune Eaters · avg 1.1 · top +0.14

PlayerMpK-DADRKASTHSRating
demente811.1981.975.5%53%1.24
her1tage15717571.7%58%1.12
noni1461.0869.970.1%37%1.07
forkyz1590.927570.5%53%1.05
kumao1530.9471.471.5%56%1.03

ALTAY · avg 0.91 · top +0.08

PlayerMpK-DADRKASTHSRating
Di1ka130.980.166.6%58%0.99
Mescadi130.8965.666.8%31%0.94
kamaz1k130.7463.164.7%43%0.9
forzenok90.87159.5%66%0.89
plushax130.7759.661.5%56%0.84

Projected veto

likely picks & bans
Veto read
Neither side's habitual bans cleanly remove the other's best maps. The veto is live.
Plays: Dust2 · Inferno · Mirage  ·  Removed: Overpass · Ancient · Anubis · Nuke every map shows both teams' win% (RUN / ALT)
1RUNE EATERS BAN Overpassproj. removed
RUN 14% 1-6
ALT 50% 1-1
2ALTAY BAN Ancientproj. removed
RUN 34% 12-23
ALT n/a 0g
3RUNE EATERS PICK Dust2
RUN 55% 22-18
ALT 0% 0-4
4ALTAY PICK Inferno
RUN 41% 7-10
ALT 0% 0-2
5RUNE EATERS BAN Anubisproj. removed
RUN 57% 4-3
ALT n/a 0g
6ALTAY BAN Nukeproj. removed
RUN 38% 6-10
ALT 0% 0-3
7DECIDER Mirageleft over
RUN 58% 23-17
ALT 0% 0-1
Projected from each team's veto habits (BO3), assuming Rune Eaters vetoes first. Usual first ban: Rune Eaters Anubis · ALTAY Ancient.

Map lab

pick the 3 maps · per-map H2H + prediction
layout
Pick 3 maps
Best-case draws · each side’s strongest realistic Bo3 · tap to load
The veto swings it: Rune Eaters 70% on their maps vs ALTAY 55% on theirs. Whoever shapes the pool is favoured. Anubis (50%) is the closest to a toss-up.
Rune Eaters67%to win the seriesclear pickiMap edgesDust2: Rune Eaters 74% clear · Inferno: Rune Eaters 56% · Mirage: Rune Eaters 54% toss-upWhyRune Eaters hold the edge across the maps (3 of 3 lean their way).OutcomesRune Eaters 67%: 2-0 42%, 2-1 25%  ·  ALTAY 33%: 2-1 22%, 2-0 11%
series odds add up every way a team can win, not just one scoreline
Rune Eaters 67%33% ALTAY
Rune Eaters are the clearer side here: the most likely result is Rune Eaters 2-0.
Dust2RUN v ALT
74%
26%
22-18record0-4
55%win0%
53%CT win43%
52%T win33%
53%pistol38%
86%convert67%
InfernoRUN v ALT
56%
44%
7-10record0-2
41%win0%
51%CT win63%
50%T win33%
47%pistol25%
81%convert100%
MirageRUN v ALT
54%
46%
23-17record0-1
58%win0%
57%CT win17%
49%T win25%
51%pistol0%
85%convert

Pistol, eco & sides

win% · convert if won · eco if lost · CT/T per map
ct / t side win% (Nuke skews CT, Dust2 T)pistol won the opening pistolconv then won round 2eco lost pistol, won round 2
Map
RUNct
RUNt
ALTct
ALTt
RUNpistol
RUNconv
RUNeco
ALTpistol
ALTconv
ALTeco
Dust2pool
53%220/412
52%223/430
43%16/37
33%15/45
53%42/80
86%36/42
16%6/38
38%3/8
67%2/3
0%0/5
Infernopool
51%101/197
50%82/164
63%15/24
33%8/24
47%16/34
81%13/16
17%3/18
25%1/4
100%1/1
33%1/3
Miragepool
57%229/402
49%203/415
17%2/12
25%1/4
51%41/80
85%35/41
15%6/39
0%0/2
n/a
0%0/2
Overpassban
47%37/78
28%19/67
67%16/24
32%7/22
64%9/14
89%8/9
0%0/5
25%1/4
100%1/1
0%0/3
Ancientban
48%183/382
49%171/351
n/a
n/a
51%36/70
91%32/35
15%5/34
n/a
n/a
n/a
Anubisban
40%27/68
55%46/84
n/a
n/a
29%4/14
50%2/4
10%1/10
n/a
n/a
n/a
Nukeban
49%92/189
44%64/144
31%11/36
33%7/21
59%19/32
68%13/19
15%2/13
50%3/6
100%3/3
33%1/3
colour = vs league averagebelowavgabove
Pistols
Rune Eaters wins more pistol rounds: 51% vs 29%. Winning a pistol usually wins you the next few rounds too, so this is a small head start.
After pistol
Win the pistol → Rune Eaters usually win the next round too (85% vs 75%). Lose the pistol → Rune Eaters fight back to win the next round more often (16% vs 10%).

Mentality & map flow

comebacks, blown leads
Margins
Rune Eaters average a 5.2-round margin (27 blown, biggest 8); ALTAY average 5.2 (4 blown, 2 OTs). Hover any ⓘ for the matches behind it.

Rune Eaters

Comebacks (won from 3+ down)i20/75 (27%)Comebacks (won from 3+ down)Of the 75 maps they won, 20 (27%) were won after trailing by 3+ rounds. So 27% of their wins were comebacks, not 27% of all games.vs AcendDust2from 6 downvs HashirasDust2from 5 downvs STATEMiragefrom 5 downvs ex-RUBYMiragefrom 5 downvs HashirasNukefrom 4 down
Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)i27/87 (31%)Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)Of the 87 maps they lost, 27 (31%) were lost after leading by 3+ rounds: leads they threw away.vs BebopMirageled 8 · lost 14-16vs MASONICDust2led 8 · lost 12-16vs BRUTEOverpassled 7 · lost 11-13vs LavkedAncientled 7 · lost 11-13vs The Last ResortAncientled 6 · lost 11-13
Biggest comebackifrom 6 downBiggest comebackLargest deficit erased to win a map.vs AcendDust2from 6 down · won 13-11
Biggest lead blowni8 roundsBiggest lead blownLargest lead held and still lost.vs BebopMirageled 8 · lost 14-16
Avg map margini5.2 roundsAvg map marginAverage round difference across maps.
Close maps (≤3) · OTi31% · 26Close maps (≤3) · OT31% of their maps were decided by ≤3 rounds (nailbiters); 26 went to overtime.vs HashirasDust219-17vs zajezdzaczeInferno16-13vs Eternal FireOverpass13-16vs ex-Fingers CrossedNuke16-14vs The Last ResortAnubis16-14

ALTAY

Comebacks (won from 3+ down)i0/1 (0%)Comebacks (won from 3+ down)Of the 1 maps they won, 0 (0%) were won after trailing by 3+ rounds. So 0% of their wins were comebacks, not 0% of all games.none in the sample
Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)i4/12 (33%)Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)Of the 12 maps they lost, 4 (33%) were lost after leading by 3+ rounds: leads they threw away.vs HOTUDust2led 5 · lost 9-13vs HOTUDust2led 4 · lost 14-16vs NOVAQInfernoled 4 · lost 17-19vs HOTUNukeled 3 · lost 7-13
Biggest comebackifrom 0 downBiggest comebackLargest deficit erased to win a map.none in the sample
Biggest lead blowni5 roundsBiggest lead blownLargest lead held and still lost.vs HOTUDust2led 5 · lost 9-13
Avg map margini5.2 roundsAvg map marginAverage round difference across maps.
Close maps (≤3) · OTi38% · 2Close maps (≤3) · OT38% of their maps were decided by ≤3 rounds (nailbiters); 2 went to overtime.vs HOTUDust214-16vs NOVAQInferno17-19

Rune Eaters vs ALTAY FAQ

Who is favored to win Rune Eaters vs ALTAY?

Rune Eaters are favored with a 66% model win probability.

What are the betting odds for Rune Eaters vs ALTAY?

Match odds for Rune Eaters vs ALTAY aren't available yet. Check back closer to the match.

When do Rune Eaters and ALTAY play?

Rune Eaters vs ALTAY is scheduled for 2026-07-25 05:00 UTC at KOKONISTER Pavlodar Ertis Cup 2026.