Matches / Upcoming / Keyd Stars vs BORRACHEIROS
Prediction
Our model gives Keyd Stars a 61% chance to beat BORRACHEIROS at BetBoom Storm Season 4. Bookmakers price Keyd Stars at 1.3 and BORRACHEIROS at 3.12 (implied 71% vs 29%).
FormatBO3Form39-39 · 1-2PistolsKEY 50%Likely mapsMirage · Ancient · Dust2
Model read: track record · HLTV rank · firepower · form, weighted by sample size. All figures respect the data-range filter.
Recent form
Keyd Stars
BORRACHEIROS
Head-to-head
past meetings & common opponents◂ KEY fared bettervs 6 shared opponentsBOR fared better ▸
ODDIK#1043-31-2
BORRACHEIROS vs ODDIK
Jul 25LAncient10-13Dust213-10Mirage10-13
BESTIA Academy#1273-02-0
BORRACHEIROS vs BESTIA Academy
Jul 21WDust213-7Mirage13-11
ALKA#1494-01-2
BORRACHEIROS vs ALKA
Jul 16LAncient13-2Inferno9-13Nuke10-13
METANOIA Wolves#2054-31-0
Keyd Stars vs METANOIA Wolves
May 22WDust213-9Ancient13-2May 16WAncient1-13Dust213-11Nuke13-11Apr 24LNuke9-13Anubis8-13BORRACHEIROS vs METANOIA Wolves
Jul 19Wseries1-0FAKFake do Biru3-101-0
Keyd Stars vs Fake do Biru
May 14LMirage6-13Dust210-13Apr 24WMirage13-8Apr 9LNuke13-9Dust28-13Mirage7-13+3 earlier meetings
BORRACHEIROS vs Fake do Biru
Jul 24Wseries1-0EX-ex-KRÜ2-01-0
Keyd Stars vs ex-KRÜ
Mar 5WNuke19-15Mirage13-9BORRACHEIROS vs ex-KRÜ
Jul 16Wseries1-0Keyd Stars 19-16combined map recordBORRACHEIROS 7-4edge · BORRACHEIROS
Firepower
roster ratingsKeyd Stars · avg 1.09 · top +0.07
| Player | Mp | K-D | ADR | KAST | HS | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| zede | 108 | 1.05 | 75.8 | 72% | 62% | 1.16 |
| lash | 173 | 1.19 | 73.8 | 73.3% | 36% | 1.14 |
| matios | 164 | 0.97 | 74.1 | 70.5% | 55% | 1.08 |
| ckzao | 32 | 0.94 | 74.9 | 69.4% | 54% | 1.03 |
| xureba | 142 | 0.9 | 69.6 | 71.5% | 53% | 1.03 |
BORRACHEIROS · avg 1.09 · top +0.12
| Player | Mp | K-D | ADR | KAST | HS | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lacerda | 8 | 1.22 | 78.9 | 75.8% | 61% | 1.21 |
| rainny | 8 | 1.19 | 75.7 | 75.1% | 60% | 1.19 |
| zock9 | 8 | 1.23 | 73.2 | 71.7% | 25% | 1.15 |
| neozix | 8 | 0.79 | 61.2 | 70.3% | 67% | 0.95 |
| nolkz | 8 | 0.81 | 65.8 | 68.2% | 64% | 0.94 |
Projected veto
likely picks & bansVeto read
Neither side's habitual bans cleanly remove the other's best maps. The veto is live.
Plays: Mirage · Ancient · Dust2 · Removed: Inferno · Anubis · Overpass · Nuke
every map shows both teams' win% (KEY / BOR)
1KEYD STARS BAN
Infernoproj. removed
KEY
0%
0-2BOR
0%
0-1
KEY
0%
0-2
BOR
0%
0-1
BORRACHEIROS on Inferno
L
ALKA
9–13
18d ago
2BORRACHEIROS BAN
Anubisproj. removed
KEY
60%
6-4BOR
n/a
0g
KEY
60%
6-4
BOR
n/a
0g
Keyd Stars on Anubis
W
Yawara
13–9
25d ago
W
Yawara
13–11
1mo ago
L
paiN Academy
10–13
2mo ago
W
paiN Academy
13–9
3mo ago
W
MIBR Academy
13–8
3mo ago
L
Fluxo
8–13
3mo ago
L
Turma do Pagode
11–13
3mo ago
L
METANOIA Wolves
8–13
3mo agoBORRACHEIROS on Anubis
no recent maps
3KEYD STARS PICK
Mirage
KEY
54%
22-19BOR
50%
1-1
KEY
54%
22-19
BOR
50%
1-1
4BORRACHEIROS PICK
Ancient
KEY
62%
16-10BOR
50%
1-1
KEY
62%
16-10
BOR
50%
1-1
5KEYD STARS BAN
Overpassproj. removed
KEY
33%
4-8BOR
n/a
0g
KEY
33%
4-8
BOR
n/a
0g
Keyd Stars on Overpass
W
Isurus
13–1
2mo ago
L
UNO MILLE
8–13
3mo ago
L
Crashers
9–13
4mo ago
W
ODDIK
13–3
4mo ago
L
DASH
8–13
4mo ago
L
Back to Back
7–13
4mo ago
L
ShindeN
6–13
4mo ago
W
UNO MILLE
13–8
5mo agoBORRACHEIROS on Overpass
no recent maps
6BORRACHEIROS BAN
Nukeproj. removed
KEY
38%
13-21BOR
0%
0-1
KEY
38%
13-21
BOR
0%
0-1
7DECIDER
Dust2left over
KEY
53%
26-23BOR
100%
2-0
KEY
53%
26-23
BOR
100%
2-0
Projected from each team's veto habits (BO3), assuming Keyd Stars vetoes first.
Usual first ban: Keyd Stars Inferno · BORRACHEIROS Cache.
Map lab
pick the 3 maps · per-map H2H + predictionlayout
Pick 3 maps ✓
Best-case draws · each side’s strongest realistic Bo3 · tap to load
The veto swings it: Keyd Stars 53% on their maps vs BORRACHEIROS 55% on theirs. Whoever shapes the pool is favoured. Anubis (50%) is the closest to a toss-up.
BORRACHEIROS51%to win the seriescoin-flipiMap edgesMirage: Keyd Stars 51% toss-up · Ancient: Keyd Stars 54% toss-up · Dust2: BORRACHEIROS 58%WhyKeyd Stars are favoured on 2 of 3 maps, but only barely: the other maps are near 50/50 (Ancient & Mirage), so BORRACHEIROS just need to steal one (~73% to grab at least one).OutcomesKeyd Stars 49%: 2-0 27%, 2-1 21% · BORRACHEIROS 51%: 2-1 29%, 2-0 23%
series odds add up every way a team can win, not just one scoreline
series odds add up every way a team can win, not just one scoreline
Keyd Stars 49%51% BORRACHEIROS
It’s nearly a coin-flip. BORRACHEIROS only lead because their pick is strong enough that nicking just one of the close maps wins the series.
MirageKEY v BOR
51%49%
22-19record1-1
54%win50%
53%CT win38%
49%T win61%
48%pistol0%
87%convert–
AncientKEY v BOR
54%46%
16-10record1-1
62%win50%
57%CT win74%
48%T win40%
48%pistol50%
84%convert50%
Dust2KEY v BOR
42%58%
26-23record2-0
53%win100%
52%CT win71%
51%T win47%
52%pistol75%
82%convert67%
Pistol, eco & sides
win% · convert if won · eco if lost · CT/T per mapct / t side win% (Nuke skews CT, Dust2 T)pistol won the opening pistolconv then won round 2eco lost pistol, won round 2
Map
KEYct
KEYt
BORct
BORt
KEYpistol
KEYconv
KEYeco
BORpistol
BORconv
BOReco
Miragepool
53%211/396
49%208/425
38%9/24
61%14/23
48%39/82
87%34/39
17%7/42
0%0/4
n/a
25%1/4
Ancientpool
57%151/265
48%119/247
74%17/23
40%6/15
48%25/52
84%21/25
19%5/27
50%2/4
50%1/2
50%1/2
Dust2pool
52%248/481
51%269/528
71%17/24
47%9/19
52%51/98
82%42/51
23%11/47
75%3/4
67%2/3
100%1/1
Infernoban
38%9/24
39%7/18
50%5/10
33%4/12
25%1/4
100%1/1
0%0/3
50%1/2
0%0/1
0%0/1
Anubisban
58%65/112
45%50/112
n/a
n/a
50%10/20
90%9/10
20%2/10
n/a
n/a
n/a
Overpassban
57%81/142
29%27/92
n/a
n/a
46%11/24
73%8/11
0%0/13
n/a
n/a
n/a
Nukeban
46%159/346
44%159/364
42%5/12
45%5/11
43%29/68
90%26/29
5%2/39
100%2/2
50%1/2
n/a
colour = vs league averagebelowavgabove
Pistols
Keyd Stars wins more pistol rounds: 50% vs 42%. Winning a pistol usually wins you the next few rounds too, so this is a small head start.
After pistol
Win the pistol → Keyd Stars usually win the next round too (84% vs 60%). Lose the pistol → BORRACHEIROS fight back to win the next round more often (43% vs 20%).
Mentality & map flow
comebacks, blown leadsMargins
Keyd Stars average a 5.6-round margin (25 blown, biggest 6); BORRACHEIROS average 4.4 (2 blown, 0 OTs). Hover any ⓘ for the matches behind it.
Keyd Stars
Comebacks (won from 3+ down)i23/87 (26%)Comebacks (won from 3+ down)Of the 87 maps they won, 23 (26%) were won after trailing by 3+ rounds. So 26% of their wins were comebacks, not 26% of all games.vs ex-KRÜNukefrom 7 downvs Bounty HuntersAncientfrom 6 downvs FOLHA AMARELANukefrom 5 downvs ODDIKNukefrom 5 downvs R2Dust2from 5 down
Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)i25/88 (28%)Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)Of the 88 maps they lost, 25 (28%) were lost after leading by 3+ rounds: leads they threw away.vs YawaraDust2led 6 · lost 9-13vs MIBR AcademyMirageled 6 · lost 11-13vs Fake do BiruDust2led 6 · lost 10-13vs UNO MILLENukeled 6 · lost 9-13vs 9zDust2led 5 · lost 14-16
Biggest comebackifrom 7 downBiggest comebackLargest deficit erased to win a map.vs ex-KRÜNukefrom 7 down · won 19-15
Biggest lead blowni6 roundsBiggest lead blownLargest lead held and still lost.vs YawaraDust2led 6 · lost 9-13
Avg map margini5.6 roundsAvg map marginAverage round difference across maps.
Close maps (≤3) · OTi30% · 14Close maps (≤3) · OT30% of their maps were decided by ≤3 rounds (nailbiters); 14 went to overtime.vs SharksMirage13-16vs 9zDust214-16vs ex-KRÜNuke19-15vs GalorysDust219-22vs MIBR AcademyMirage16-19
BORRACHEIROS
Comebacks (won from 3+ down)i0/4 (0%)Comebacks (won from 3+ down)Of the 4 maps they won, 0 (0%) were won after trailing by 3+ rounds. So 0% of their wins were comebacks, not 0% of all games.none in the sample
Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)i2/4 (50%)Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)Of the 4 maps they lost, 2 (50%) were lost after leading by 3+ rounds: leads they threw away.vs ODDIKAncientled 7 · lost 10-13vs ALKANukeled 3 · lost 10-13
Biggest comebackifrom 1 downBiggest comebackLargest deficit erased to win a map.none in the sample
Biggest lead blowni7 roundsBiggest lead blownLargest lead held and still lost.vs ODDIKAncientled 7 · lost 10-13
Avg map margini4.4 roundsAvg map marginAverage round difference across maps.
Close maps (≤3) · OTi63% · 0Close maps (≤3) · OT63% of their maps were decided by ≤3 rounds (nailbiters); 0 went to overtime.none in the sample
Keyd Stars vs BORRACHEIROS FAQ
Who is favored to win Keyd Stars vs BORRACHEIROS?
Keyd Stars are favored with a 61% model win probability, and are the bookmakers' favorite too.
What are the betting odds for Keyd Stars vs BORRACHEIROS?
Bookmakers price Keyd Stars at 1.3 and BORRACHEIROS at 3.12 (implied 71% vs 29%).
When do Keyd Stars and BORRACHEIROS play?
Keyd Stars vs BORRACHEIROS is scheduled for 2026-08-03 17:00 UTC at BetBoom Storm Season 4.