Matches / Upcoming / Grêmio vs paiN Academy
Prediction
Our model gives Grêmio a 57% chance to beat paiN Academy at BetBoom Storm Season 4.
Our read57%43%
FormatBO3Form1-3 · 25-35PistolsGRÊ 67%Likely mapsNuke · Mirage · Overpass
Model read: track record · HLTV rank · firepower · form, weighted by sample size. All figures respect the data-range filter.
Recent form
Head-to-head
past meetings & common opponents◂ GRÊ fared bettervs 3 shared opponentsPAI fared better ▸
ALKA#1491-20-4
Grêmio vs ALKA
Jul 19LInferno13-10Dust25-13Ancient11-13
METANOIA Wolves#2052-04-2
Grêmio vs METANOIA Wolves
Jul 20WDust213-5Nuke13-3paiN Academy vs METANOIA Wolves
May 18WDust25-13Inferno13-10Anubis13-6Mar 13WInferno13-10Dust27-13Anubis13-8EX-ex-KRÜ1-04-2
Grêmio vs ex-KRÜ
Jul 15Wseries1-0Grêmio 4-2combined map recordpaiN Academy 8-8edge · Grêmio
Firepower
roster ratingsGrêmio · avg 1.08 · top +0.14
| Player | Mp | K-D | ADR | KAST | HS | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| souz4h | 10 | 1.14 | 84.5 | 76.5% | 56% | 1.22 |
| balencyy | 10 | 1.05 | 87.4 | 74.1% | 64% | 1.18 |
| yeda | 10 | 0.95 | 66.3 | 69.7% | 64% | 1.05 |
| MITHPUTTINI | 10 | 0.99 | 66.3 | 68.8% | 28% | 0.97 |
| s1lent | 10 | 0.95 | 63 | 72.5% | 55% | 0.96 |
paiN Academy · avg 1.1 · top +0.17
| Player | Mp | K-D | ADR | KAST | HS | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Misfit | 28 | 1.23 | 83.9 | 73.4% | 40% | 1.27 |
| Rkzinho | 69 | 1.13 | 76.3 | 72.5% | 61% | 1.15 |
| Tatu | 143 | 0.98 | 76.1 | 71% | 63% | 1.11 |
| k9izer | 94 | 0.93 | 71.9 | 70.4% | 54% | 1.04 |
| tsug | 143 | 0.78 | 64.1 | 68.2% | 55% | 0.94 |
Projected veto
likely picks & bansVeto read
Neither side's habitual bans cleanly remove the other's best maps. The veto is live.
Plays: Nuke · Mirage · Overpass · Removed: Anubis · Ancient · Dust2 · Inferno
every map shows both teams' win% (GRÊ / PAI)
1GRÊMIO BAN
Anubisproj. removed
GRÊ
n/a
0gPAI
63%
12-7
GRÊ
n/a
0g
PAI
63%
12-7
Grêmio on Anubis
no recent maps
2PAIN ACADEMY BAN
Ancientproj. removed
GRÊ
0%
0-1PAI
0%
0-3
GRÊ
0%
0-1
PAI
0%
0-3
Grêmio on Ancient
L
ALKA
11–13
15d ago
3GRÊMIO PICK
Nuke
GRÊ
50%
1-1PAI
31%
5-11
GRÊ
50%
1-1
PAI
31%
5-11
4PAIN ACADEMY PICK
Mirage
GRÊ
0%
0-1PAI
44%
15-19
GRÊ
0%
0-1
PAI
44%
15-19
5GRÊMIO BAN
Dust2proj. removed
GRÊ
67%
2-1PAI
35%
15-28
GRÊ
67%
2-1
PAI
35%
15-28
6PAIN ACADEMY BAN
Infernoproj. removed
GRÊ
100%
1-0PAI
59%
10-7
GRÊ
100%
1-0
PAI
59%
10-7
7DECIDER
Overpassleft over
GRÊ
n/a
0gPAI
25%
2-6
GRÊ
n/a
0g
PAI
25%
2-6
Grêmio on Overpass
no recent maps
Projected from each team's veto habits (BO3), assuming Grêmio vetoes first.
Usual first ban: Grêmio Anubis · paiN Academy Ancient.
Map lab
pick the 3 maps · per-map H2H + predictionlayout
Pick 3 maps ✓
Best-case draws · each side’s strongest realistic Bo3 · tap to load
The veto swings it: Grêmio 60% on their maps vs paiN Academy 51% on theirs. Whoever shapes the pool is favoured. Anubis (50%) is the closest to a toss-up.
Grêmio52%to win the seriescoin-flipiMap edgesNuke: Grêmio 56% toss-up · Mirage: paiN Academy 52% toss-up · Overpass: Grêmio 50% toss-upWhyGrêmio hold the edge across the maps (2 of 3 lean their way).OutcomesGrêmio 52%: 2-0 27%, 2-1 25% · paiN Academy 48%: 2-1 25%, 2-0 23%
series odds add up every way a team can win, not just one scoreline
series odds add up every way a team can win, not just one scoreline
Grêmio 52%48% paiN Academy
It’s nearly a coin-flip. Grêmio only lead because their pick is strong enough that nicking just one of the close maps wins the series.
NukeGRÊ v PAI
56%44%
1-1record5-11
50%win31%
63%CT win44%
63%T win35%
75%pistol41%
100%convert77%
MirageGRÊ v PAI
48%52%
0-1record15-19
0%win44%
58%CT win56%
11%T win42%
50%pistol54%
100%convert78%
OverpassGRÊ v PAI
50%50%
thin sample, read with caution
0-0record2-6
–win25%
–CT win52%
–T win41%
–pistol56%
–convert88%
Pistol, eco & sides
win% · convert if won · eco if lost · CT/T per mapct / t side win% (Nuke skews CT, Dust2 T)pistol won the opening pistolconv then won round 2eco lost pistol, won round 2
Map
GRÊct
GRÊt
PAIct
PAIt
GRÊpistol
GRÊconv
GRÊeco
PAIpistol
PAIconv
PAIeco
Nukepool
63%10/16
63%15/24
44%84/192
35%47/134
75%3/4
100%3/3
100%1/1
41%13/32
77%10/13
16%3/19
Miragepool
58%7/12
11%1/9
56%183/325
42%158/378
50%1/2
100%1/1
0%0/1
54%37/68
78%29/37
13%4/31
Overpasspool
n/a
n/a
52%46/89
41%29/70
n/a
n/a
n/a
56%9/16
88%7/8
0%0/7
Anubisban
n/a
n/a
50%104/208
61%109/180
n/a
n/a
n/a
53%20/38
90%18/20
17%3/18
Ancientban
33%4/12
58%7/12
40%10/25
8%2/26
50%1/2
100%1/1
0%0/1
17%1/6
0%0/1
0%0/4
Dust2ban
47%17/36
64%14/22
48%183/385
44%186/424
83%5/6
80%4/5
0%0/1
52%45/86
80%36/45
7%3/41
Infernoban
73%8/11
42%5/12
52%107/204
48%72/149
100%2/2
100%2/2
n/a
56%19/34
68%13/19
20%3/15
colour = vs league averagebelowavgabove
Pistols
Grêmio wins more pistol rounds: 67% vs 51%. Winning a pistol usually wins you the next few rounds too, so this is a small head start.
After pistol
Win the pistol → Grêmio usually win the next round too (100% vs 79%). Lose the pistol → Grêmio fight back to win the next round more often (50% vs 12%).
Mentality & map flow
comebacks, blown leadsMargins
Grêmio average a 5.4-round margin (4 blown, biggest 5); paiN Academy average 6 (21 blown, 10 OTs). Hover any ⓘ for the matches behind it.
Grêmio
Comebacks (won from 3+ down)i1/4 (25%)Comebacks (won from 3+ down)Of the 4 maps they won, 1 (25%) were won after trailing by 3+ rounds. So 25% of their wins were comebacks, not 25% of all games.vs paiN AcademyDust2from 4 down
Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)i4/6 (67%)Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)Of the 6 maps they lost, 4 (67%) were lost after leading by 3+ rounds: leads they threw away.vs Patins da FerrariMirageled 5 · lost 8-13vs ALKAAncientled 5 · lost 11-13vs Patins da FerrariCacheled 4 · lost 14-16vs paiN AcademyNukeled 4 · lost 13-16
Biggest comebackifrom 4 downBiggest comebackLargest deficit erased to win a map.vs paiN AcademyDust2from 4 down · won 13-9
Biggest lead blowni5 roundsBiggest lead blownLargest lead held and still lost.vs Patins da FerrariMirageled 5 · lost 8-13
Avg map margini5.4 roundsAvg map marginAverage round difference across maps.
Close maps (≤3) · OTi40% · 2Close maps (≤3) · OT40% of their maps were decided by ≤3 rounds (nailbiters); 2 went to overtime.vs Patins da FerrariCache14-16vs paiN AcademyNuke13-16
paiN Academy
Comebacks (won from 3+ down)i17/60 (28%)Comebacks (won from 3+ down)Of the 60 maps they won, 17 (28%) were won after trailing by 3+ rounds. So 28% of their wins were comebacks, not 28% of all games.vs FluxoAnubisfrom 12 downvs FURIA feMiragefrom 8 downvs Fake do BiruAnubisfrom 6 downvs Red FeetInfernofrom 6 downvs HereWeGoAgainDust2from 5 down
Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)i21/83 (25%)Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)Of the 83 maps they lost, 21 (25%) were lost after leading by 3+ rounds: leads they threw away.vs R2Nukeled 6 · lost 11-13vs VascoDust2led 6 · lost 10-13vs FluxoNukeled 6 · lost 7-13vs ALKAInfernoled 5 · lost 8-13vs ProcyonDust2led 5 · lost 8-13
Biggest comebackifrom 12 downBiggest comebackLargest deficit erased to win a map.vs FluxoAnubisfrom 12 down · won 13-1
Biggest lead blowni6 roundsBiggest lead blownLargest lead held and still lost.vs R2Nukeled 6 · lost 11-13
Avg map margini6 roundsAvg map marginAverage round difference across maps.
Close maps (≤3) · OTi26% · 10Close maps (≤3) · OT26% of their maps were decided by ≤3 rounds (nailbiters); 10 went to overtime.vs CharradosInferno13-16vs Bad LuckNuke16-12vs ex-KRÜDust216-13vs UNO MILLEMirage17-19vs UNO MILLEMirage14-16
Grêmio vs paiN Academy FAQ
Who is favored to win Grêmio vs paiN Academy?
Grêmio are favored with a 57% model win probability.
What are the betting odds for Grêmio vs paiN Academy?
Match odds for Grêmio vs paiN Academy aren't available yet. Check back closer to the match.
When do Grêmio and paiN Academy play?
Grêmio vs paiN Academy is scheduled for 2026-08-03 23:00 UTC at BetBoom Storm Season 4.