Matches / Upcoming / BESTIA vs METANOIA Wolves
PredictionHigh confidence
Our model gives BESTIA a 83% chance to beat METANOIA Wolves at BetBoom Storm Season 4. Bookmakers price BESTIA at 1.89 and METANOIA Wolves at 1.79 (implied 49% vs 51%).
FormatBO3Form38-23 · 11-24PistolsMET 56%Likely mapsDust2 · Inferno · Ancient
Model read: track record · HLTV rank · firepower · form, weighted by sample size. All figures respect the data-range filter.
Recent form
BESTIA
Head-to-head
past meetings & common opponents◂ BES fared bettervs 7 shared opponentsMET fared better ▸
Imperial#540-40-1
METANOIA Wolves vs Imperial
Apr 24LNuke6-13LPLP#843-20-3
Bounty Hunters#902-14-2
BESTIA vs Bounty Hunters
May 29WDust25-13Nuke13-2Mirage13-4METANOIA Wolves vs Bounty Hunters
May 4LAnubis4-13Ancient7-13Mar 25WDust213-6Mirage13-11Mar 21WDust213-10Nuke19-17
Keyd Stars#1032-03-4
BESTIA vs Keyd Stars
Jul 12WAncient13-11Dust213-9METANOIA Wolves vs Keyd Stars
May 22LDust29-13Ancient2-13May 16LAncient13-1Dust211-13Nuke11-13Apr 24WNuke13-9Anubis13-8
MIBR Academy#1572-01-2
BESTIA vs MIBR Academy
Jul 12WCache13-8Dust213-6METANOIA Wolves vs MIBR Academy
Jul 10LAncient19-17Nuke6-13Cache9-13
RED Canids2-60-2
BESTIA vs RED Canids
Feb 1LNuke9-13Ancient16-13Inferno10-13Jan 24LNuke13-6Ancient6-13Inferno7-13Jan 22LNuke4-13Ancient6-13METANOIA Wolves vs RED Canids
Apr 1LNuke4-13Inferno6-13FAKFake do Biru2-10-1
BESTIA vs Fake do Biru
Mar 6WDust213-10Inferno11-13Mirage13-5METANOIA Wolves vs Fake do Biru
May 11Lseries0-1BESTIA 13-14combined map recordMETANOIA Wolves 8-15edge · BESTIA
Firepower
roster ratingsBESTIA · avg 1.13 · top +0.11
| Player | Mp | K-D | ADR | KAST | HS | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| tomaszin | 120 | 1.13 | 86.7 | 75.1% | 50% | 1.24 |
| cass1n | 120 | 1.2 | 72.2 | 73.9% | 34% | 1.13 |
| buda | 120 | 0.98 | 76.3 | 74.7% | 50% | 1.12 |
| timo | 102 | 0.96 | 71.8 | 73% | 59% | 1.1 |
| nacho | 96 | 0.99 | 69 | 71.4% | 62% | 1.06 |
METANOIA Wolves · avg 1.02 · top +0.06
| Player | Mp | K-D | ADR | KAST | HS | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ALENNNCAR | 51 | 1.02 | 71.4 | 68.1% | 36% | 1.08 |
| Lukita | 5 | 0.77 | 67.7 | 72.8% | 48% | 1.05 |
| spinnie | 80 | 0.91 | 72.1 | 66.2% | 61% | 1.05 |
| ntx | 37 | 0.85 | 62.8 | 66.8% | 63% | 0.99 |
| vzn | 80 | 0.84 | 69.2 | 67.1% | 47% | 0.95 |
Projected veto
likely picks & bansVeto read
METANOIA Wolves habitually bans Mirage, BESTIA's strongest maps (Dust2, Nuke, Overpass, Mirage all ≥60%).
That's a standing habit (Mirage 26/37), not an opponent read, so expect BESTIA to fight the veto for Dust2.
Plays: Dust2 · Inferno · Ancient · Removed: Anubis · Mirage · Overpass · Nuke
every map shows both teams' win% (BES / MET)
1BESTIA BAN
Anubisproj. removed
BES
n/a
0gMET
20%
1-4
BES
n/a
0g
MET
20%
1-4
BESTIA on Anubis
no recent maps
2METANOIA WOLVES BAN
Mirageproj. removed
BES
65%
13-7MET
20%
1-4
BES
65%
13-7
MET
20%
1-4
3BESTIA PICK
Dust2
BES
72%
21-8MET
56%
14-11
BES
72%
21-8
MET
56%
14-11
4METANOIA WOLVES PICK
Inferno
BES
28%
5-13MET
33%
5-10
BES
28%
5-13
MET
33%
5-10
5BESTIA BAN
Overpassproj. removed
BES
60%
3-2MET
0%
0-1
BES
60%
3-2
MET
0%
0-1
BESTIA on Overpass
L
Galorys
8–13
2mo ago
L
Tricked
5–13
4mo ago
W
AaB
13–11
4mo ago
W
Acend
13–11
4mo ago
W
ShindeN
13–10
6mo agoMETANOIA Wolves on Overpass
L
R2
11–13
3mo ago
6METANOIA WOLVES BAN
Nukeproj. removed
BES
69%
11-5MET
38%
5-8
BES
69%
11-5
MET
38%
5-8
7DECIDER
Ancientleft over
BES
52%
14-13MET
36%
5-9
BES
52%
14-13
MET
36%
5-9
Projected from each team's veto habits (BO3), assuming BESTIA vetoes first.
Usual first ban: BESTIA Anubis · METANOIA Wolves Mirage.
Map lab
pick the 3 maps · per-map H2H + predictionlayout
Pick 3 maps ✓
Best-case draws · each side’s strongest realistic Bo3 · tap to load
The veto swings it: BESTIA 82% on their maps vs METANOIA Wolves 51% on theirs. Whoever shapes the pool is favoured. Anubis (50%) is the closest to a toss-up.
BESTIA62%to win the seriesclear pickiMap edgesDust2: BESTIA 66% clear · Inferno: METANOIA Wolves 56% · Ancient: BESTIA 64%WhyBESTIA hold the edge across the maps (2 of 3 lean their way).OutcomesBESTIA 62%: 2-1 33%, 2-0 29% · METANOIA Wolves 38%: 2-0 19%, 2-1 19%
series odds add up every way a team can win, not just one scoreline
series odds add up every way a team can win, not just one scoreline
BESTIA 62%38% METANOIA Wolves
BESTIA are the clearer side here: the most likely result is BESTIA 2-1.
Dust2BES v MET
66%34%
21-8record14-11
72%win56%
58%CT win54%
54%T win54%
38%pistol56%
86%convert82%
InfernoBES v MET
44%56%
5-13record5-10
28%win33%
48%CT win43%
46%T win45%
42%pistol43%
67%convert54%
AncientBES v MET
64%36%
14-13record5-9
52%win36%
54%CT win51%
46%T win40%
57%pistol68%
80%convert68%
Pistol, eco & sides
win% · convert if won · eco if lost · CT/T per mapct / t side win% (Nuke skews CT, Dust2 T)pistol won the opening pistolconv then won round 2eco lost pistol, won round 2
Map
BESct
BESt
METct
METt
BESpistol
BESconv
BESeco
METpistol
METconv
METeco
Dust2pool
58%168/289
54%169/315
54%129/240
54%144/268
38%22/58
86%18/21
36%13/36
56%28/50
82%23/28
9%2/22
Infernopool
48%96/198
46%81/178
43%59/136
45%75/165
42%15/36
67%10/15
29%6/21
43%13/30
54%7/13
29%5/17
Ancientpool
54%146/270
46%135/295
51%70/138
40%56/139
57%31/54
80%24/30
26%6/23
68%19/28
68%13/19
0%0/9
Anubisban
n/a
n/a
33%18/54
47%21/45
n/a
n/a
n/a
40%4/10
50%2/4
0%0/6
Mirageban
60%121/203
53%110/208
37%19/52
33%15/45
63%25/40
80%20/25
20%3/15
20%2/10
50%1/2
0%0/8
Overpassban
47%28/59
47%24/51
58%7/12
33%4/12
50%5/10
80%4/5
0%0/5
0%0/2
n/a
0%0/2
Nukeban
61%115/188
44%62/141
47%73/154
39%45/116
53%17/32
65%11/17
33%5/15
54%14/26
79%11/14
0%0/12
colour = vs league averagebelowavgabove
Pistols
METANOIA Wolves wins more pistol rounds: 56% vs 46%. Winning a pistol usually wins you the next few rounds too, so this is a small head start.
After pistol
Win the pistol → BESTIA usually win the next round too (79% vs 72%). Lose the pistol → BESTIA fight back to win the next round more often (31% vs 15%).
Mentality & map flow
comebacks, blown leadsMargins
BESTIA average a 5.3-round margin (16 blown, biggest 7); METANOIA Wolves average 5.8 (13 blown, 6 OTs). Hover any ⓘ for the matches behind it.
BESTIA
Comebacks (won from 3+ down)i21/69 (30%)Comebacks (won from 3+ down)Of the 69 maps they won, 21 (30%) were won after trailing by 3+ rounds. So 30% of their wins were comebacks, not 30% of all games.vs LPAncientfrom 10 downvs 3DMAXDust2from 5 downvs AaBOverpassfrom 5 downvs ShindeNDust2from 5 downvs ODDIKAncientfrom 4 down
Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)i16/50 (32%)Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)Of the 50 maps they lost, 16 (32%) were lost after leading by 3+ rounds: leads they threw away.vs B8Mirageled 7 · lost 14-16vs Fake do BiruInfernoled 6 · lost 11-13vs ImperialDust2led 6 · lost 13-16vs Gaimin GladiatorsAncientled 5 · lost 14-16vs Passion UAMirageled 5 · lost 6-13
Biggest comebackifrom 10 downBiggest comebackLargest deficit erased to win a map.vs LPAncientfrom 10 down · won 13-5
Biggest lead blowni7 roundsBiggest lead blownLargest lead held and still lost.vs B8Mirageled 7 · lost 14-16
Avg map margini5.3 roundsAvg map marginAverage round difference across maps.
Close maps (≤3) · OTi30% · 18Close maps (≤3) · OT30% of their maps were decided by ≤3 rounds (nailbiters); 18 went to overtime.vs ShindeNNuke19-17vs MarsborneAncient19-16vs RED CanidsAncient16-13vs MANAMirage12-16vs Gaimin GladiatorsAncient14-16
METANOIA Wolves
Comebacks (won from 3+ down)i7/31 (23%)Comebacks (won from 3+ down)Of the 31 maps they won, 7 (23%) were won after trailing by 3+ rounds. So 23% of their wins were comebacks, not 23% of all games.vs GUARADust2from 10 downvs GUARANukefrom 5 downvs MAGICOSInfernofrom 4 downvs Bounty HuntersDust2from 3 downvs Bounty HuntersDust2from 3 down
Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)i13/49 (27%)Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)Of the 49 maps they lost, 13 (27%) were lost after leading by 3+ rounds: leads they threw away.vs GUARACacheled 7 · lost 11-13vs LPAncientled 5 · lost 7-13vs Keyd StarsDust2led 5 · lost 9-13vs ImperialNukeled 4 · lost 6-13vs LPNukeled 4 · lost 9-13
Biggest comebackifrom 10 downBiggest comebackLargest deficit erased to win a map.vs GUARADust2from 10 down · won 13-3
Biggest lead blowni7 roundsBiggest lead blownLargest lead held and still lost.vs GUARACacheled 7 · lost 11-13
Avg map margini5.8 roundsAvg map marginAverage round difference across maps.
Close maps (≤3) · OTi23% · 6Close maps (≤3) · OT23% of their maps were decided by ≤3 rounds (nailbiters); 6 went to overtime.vs Bounty HuntersNuke19-17vs VascoAncient13-16vs Turma do PagodeDust219-16vs GUARANuke16-13vs MAGICOSDust219-22
BESTIA vs METANOIA Wolves FAQ
Who is favored to win BESTIA vs METANOIA Wolves?
BESTIA are favored with a 83% model win probability, and are the bookmakers' favorite too.
What are the betting odds for BESTIA vs METANOIA Wolves?
Bookmakers price BESTIA at 1.89 and METANOIA Wolves at 1.79 (implied 49% vs 51%).
When do BESTIA and METANOIA Wolves play?
BESTIA vs METANOIA Wolves is scheduled for 2026-08-04 23:00 UTC at BetBoom Storm Season 4.