Matches / Upcoming / ALKA vs paiN Academy
PredictionHigh confidence
Our model gives ALKA a 75% chance to beat paiN Academy at BetBoom Storm Season 4. Bookmakers price ALKA at 1.4 and paiN Academy at 2.7 (implied 66% vs 34%).
FormatBO3Form12-15 · 26-36PistolsPAI 53%Likely mapsDust2 · Mirage · Overpass
Model read: track record · HLTV rank · firepower · form, weighted by sample size. All figures respect the data-range filter.
Recent form
ALKA
Head-to-head
past meetings & common opponents1mo ago
paiN Academy0 : 2
ALKA◆ same lineup3mo ago paiN Academy0 : 2 ALKA!
paiN Academy0 : 2 ALKA◆ same lineup3mo ago paiN Academy0 : 2 ALKA!⚠ Different lineup
paiN Academy
outMarkz
inMisfit
◂ ALK fared bettervs 8 shared opponentsPAI fared better ▸
Keyd Stars#1080-41-8
paiN Academy vs Keyd Stars
May 23LDust22-13Anubis13-10Mirage10-13May 3LAnubis9-13Dust24-13Apr 1LDust210-13Mirage1-13+1 earlier meeting
UNOUNO MILLE#1362-72-9
ALKA vs UNO MILLE
Aug 4WAncient2-13Cache13-9Dust213-6May 22LAnubis6-13Nuke6-13Apr 18LDust25-13Anubis2-13+1 earlier meeting
paiN Academy vs UNO MILLE
Jul 9LAnubis11-13Ancient5-13May 13LMirage11-13Dust211-13Apr 5LMirage14-16Inferno11-13+2 earlier meetings
BESTIA Academy#1372-00-2
ALKA vs BESTIA Academy
Apr 2WNuke13-4Ancient13-5paiN Academy vs BESTIA Academy
Jul 4LInferno7-13Mirage9-13
Red Feet#2011-22-1
ALKA vs Red Feet
Jun 30LInferno7-13Dust213-11Mirage7-13paiN Academy vs Red Feet
Jul 5WInferno19-16Mirage12-16Dust213-10
Grêmio#2042-13-3
ALKA vs Grêmio
Jul 19WInferno10-13Dust213-5Ancient13-11
Procyon#2052-01-6
ALKA vs Procyon
Jul 21WAncient13-5Dust213-11paiN Academy vs Procyon
Jul 18LDust28-13Mirage7-13Apr 17LMirage13-9Nuke7-13Dust28-13Mar 7LMirage10-13Dust22-13
METANOIA Wolves#2090-24-2
ALKA vs METANOIA Wolves
Apr 23LNuke9-13Dust27-13paiN Academy vs METANOIA Wolves
May 18WDust25-13Inferno13-10Anubis13-6Mar 13WInferno13-10Dust27-13Anubis13-8BLIBlitzkrieg#2222-03-0
ALKA vs Blitzkrieg
Jul 4WDust213-3Ancient13-2ALKA 11-16combined map recordpaiN Academy 16-31edge · ALKA
Firepower
roster ratingsALKA · avg 1.08 · top +0.14
| Player | Mp | K-D | ADR | KAST | HS | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| bnc | 41 | 1.11 | 82.2 | 73% | 53% | 1.22 |
| proSHOW | 62 | 1.14 | 73.1 | 72.9% | 34% | 1.12 |
| cerolzin | 62 | 1 | 73.1 | 71.8% | 48% | 1.1 |
| vinaabEAST | 62 | 1 | 75.6 | 69.8% | 58% | 1.08 |
| puni | 62 | 0.76 | 61.5 | 68.6% | 58% | 0.87 |
paiN Academy · avg 1.09 · top +0.15
| Player | Mp | K-D | ADR | KAST | HS | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Misfit | 34 | 1.21 | 82.7 | 73.6% | 39% | 1.24 |
| Rkzinho | 75 | 1.12 | 75.7 | 72.4% | 61% | 1.15 |
| Tatu | 149 | 0.98 | 75.7 | 71% | 63% | 1.11 |
| k9izer | 100 | 0.93 | 71.7 | 70.2% | 54% | 1.03 |
| tsug | 149 | 0.78 | 64.4 | 68.2% | 55% | 0.94 |
Projected veto
likely picks & bansVeto read
paiN Academy habitually bans Ancient, ALKA's strongest maps (Ancient, Inferno all ≥60%).
That's a standing habit (Ancient 45/64), not an opponent read, so expect ALKA to fight the veto for Dust2.
Plays: Dust2 · Mirage · Overpass · Removed: Anubis · Ancient · Inferno · Nuke
every map shows both teams' win% (ALK / PAI)
1ALKA BAN
Anubisproj. removed
ALK
0%
0-6PAI
63%
12-7
ALK
0%
0-6
PAI
63%
12-7
2PAIN ACADEMY BAN
Ancientproj. removed
ALK
60%
6-4PAI
0%
0-3
ALK
60%
6-4
PAI
0%
0-3
3ALKA PICK
Dust2
ALK
53%
8-7PAI
35%
15-28
ALK
53%
8-7
PAI
35%
15-28
4PAIN ACADEMY PICK
Mirage
ALK
57%
4-3PAI
47%
17-19
ALK
57%
4-3
PAI
47%
17-19
5ALKA BAN
Infernoproj. removed
ALK
60%
3-2PAI
53%
10-9
ALK
60%
3-2
PAI
53%
10-9
6PAIN ACADEMY BAN
Nukeproj. removed
ALK
31%
5-11PAI
31%
5-11
ALK
31%
5-11
PAI
31%
5-11
7DECIDER
Overpassleft over
ALK
100%
1-0PAI
25%
2-6
ALK
100%
1-0
PAI
25%
2-6
Projected from each team's veto habits (BO3), assuming ALKA vetoes first.
Usual first ban: ALKA Inferno · paiN Academy Ancient.
Map lab
pick the 3 maps · per-map H2H + predictionlayout
Pick 3 maps ✓
Best-case draws · each side’s strongest realistic Bo3 · tap to load
The veto swings it: ALKA 71% on their maps vs paiN Academy 69% on theirs. Whoever shapes the pool is favoured. Nuke (50%) is the closest to a toss-up.
ALKA65%to win the seriesclear pickiMap edgesDust2: ALKA 67% clear · Mirage: ALKA 58% · Overpass: ALKA 55% toss-upWhyALKA hold the edge across the maps (3 of 3 lean their way).OutcomesALKA 65%: 2-0 39%, 2-1 26% · paiN Academy 35%: 2-1 21%, 2-0 14%
series odds add up every way a team can win, not just one scoreline
series odds add up every way a team can win, not just one scoreline
ALKA 65%35% paiN Academy
ALKA are the clearer side here: the most likely result is ALKA 2-0.
Dust2ALK v PAI
67%33%
8-7record15-28
53%win35%
51%CT win48%
51%T win44%
43%pistol52%
69%convert80%
MirageALK v PAI
58%42%
4-3record17-19
57%win47%
62%CT win57%
50%T win43%
57%pistol54%
88%convert79%
OverpassALK v PAI
55%45%
1-0record2-6
100%win25%
60%CT win52%
58%T win41%
100%pistol56%
50%convert88%
Pistol, eco & sides
win% · convert if won · eco if lost · CT/T per mapct / t side win% (Nuke skews CT, Dust2 T)pistol won the opening pistolconv then won round 2eco lost pistol, won round 2
Map
ALKct
ALKt
PAIct
PAIt
ALKpistol
ALKconv
ALKeco
PAIpistol
PAIconv
PAIeco
Dust2pool
51%77/151
51%78/154
48%183/385
44%186/424
43%13/30
69%9/13
24%4/17
52%45/86
80%36/45
7%3/41
Miragepool
62%48/78
50%30/60
57%196/345
43%171/399
57%8/14
88%7/8
17%1/6
54%39/72
79%31/39
15%5/33
Overpasspool
60%6/10
58%7/12
52%46/89
41%29/70
100%2/2
50%1/2
n/a
56%9/16
88%7/8
0%0/7
Anubisban
38%21/56
27%16/59
50%104/208
61%109/180
75%9/12
33%3/9
0%0/3
53%20/38
90%18/20
17%3/18
Ancientban
52%48/93
52%49/94
40%10/25
8%2/26
60%12/20
75%9/12
13%1/8
17%1/6
0%0/1
0%0/4
Infernoban
61%33/54
43%23/53
51%111/219
47%82/173
40%4/10
75%3/4
50%3/6
53%20/38
70%14/20
28%5/18
Nukeban
48%78/163
46%74/162
44%84/192
35%47/134
38%12/32
92%11/12
20%4/20
41%13/32
77%10/13
16%3/19
colour = vs league averagebelowavgabove
Pistols
paiN Academy wins more pistol rounds: 53% vs 50%. Winning a pistol usually wins you the next few rounds too, so this is a small head start.
After pistol
Win the pistol → paiN Academy usually win the next round too (80% vs 74%). Lose the pistol → ALKA fight back to win the next round more often (22% vs 10%).
Mentality & map flow
comebacks, blown leadsMargins
ALKA average a 5.9-round margin (6 blown, biggest 4); paiN Academy average 6 (22 blown, 11 OTs). Hover any ⓘ for the matches behind it.
ALKA
Comebacks (won from 3+ down)i12/28 (43%)Comebacks (won from 3+ down)Of the 28 maps they won, 12 (43%) were won after trailing by 3+ rounds. So 43% of their wins were comebacks, not 43% of all games.vs ProcyonAncientfrom 8 downvs Red FeetDust2from 6 downvs paiN AcademyInfernofrom 5 downvs GrêmioAncientfrom 5 downvs ex-KRÜNukefrom 4 down
Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)i6/34 (18%)Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)Of the 34 maps they lost, 6 (18%) were lost after leading by 3+ rounds: leads they threw away.vs CrashersNukeled 4 · lost 8-13vs Keyd StarsAnubisled 4 · lost 11-13vs 9zDust2led 4 · lost 6-13vs Keyd StarsAncientled 4 · lost 9-13vs MarsborneNukeled 3 · lost 11-13
Biggest comebackifrom 8 downBiggest comebackLargest deficit erased to win a map.vs ProcyonAncientfrom 8 down · won 13-5
Biggest lead blowni4 roundsBiggest lead blownLargest lead held and still lost.vs CrashersNukeled 4 · lost 8-13
Avg map margini5.9 roundsAvg map marginAverage round difference across maps.
Close maps (≤3) · OTi23% · 1Close maps (≤3) · OT23% of their maps were decided by ≤3 rounds (nailbiters); 1 went to overtime.vs GameHuntersCache13-16
paiN Academy
Comebacks (won from 3+ down)i17/63 (27%)Comebacks (won from 3+ down)Of the 63 maps they won, 17 (27%) were won after trailing by 3+ rounds. So 27% of their wins were comebacks, not 27% of all games.vs FluxoAnubisfrom 12 downvs FURIA feMiragefrom 8 downvs Fake do BiruAnubisfrom 6 downvs Red FeetInfernofrom 6 downvs HereWeGoAgainDust2from 5 down
Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)i22/86 (26%)Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)Of the 86 maps they lost, 22 (26%) were lost after leading by 3+ rounds: leads they threw away.vs R2Nukeled 6 · lost 11-13vs VascoDust2led 6 · lost 10-13vs FluxoNukeled 6 · lost 7-13vs GrêmioInfernoled 6 · lost 18-22vs ALKAInfernoled 5 · lost 8-13
Biggest comebackifrom 12 downBiggest comebackLargest deficit erased to win a map.vs FluxoAnubisfrom 12 down · won 13-1
Biggest lead blowni6 roundsBiggest lead blownLargest lead held and still lost.vs R2Nukeled 6 · lost 11-13
Avg map margini6 roundsAvg map marginAverage round difference across maps.
Close maps (≤3) · OTi26% · 11Close maps (≤3) · OT26% of their maps were decided by ≤3 rounds (nailbiters); 11 went to overtime.vs CharradosInferno13-16vs Bad LuckNuke16-12vs ex-KRÜDust216-13vs UNO MILLEMirage17-19vs UNO MILLEMirage14-16
ALKA vs paiN Academy FAQ
Who is favored to win ALKA vs paiN Academy?
ALKA are favored with a 75% model win probability, and are the bookmakers' favorite too.
What are the betting odds for ALKA vs paiN Academy?
Bookmakers price ALKA at 1.4 and paiN Academy at 2.7 (implied 66% vs 34%).
When do ALKA and paiN Academy play?
ALKA vs paiN Academy is scheduled for 2026-08-08 20:00 UTC at BetBoom Storm Season 4.