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ALKA vs BORRACHEIROS: CS2 match prediction, odds and preview · BetBoom Storm Season 4

ALKA
2026-08-09 14:00 UTC
BetBoom Storm Season 4
BORRACHEIROS
Prediction
Our model gives ALKA a 56% chance to beat BORRACHEIROS at BetBoom Storm Season 4. Bookmakers price ALKA at 1.69 and BORRACHEIROS at 2.06 (implied 55% vs 45%).
ALKA
1.69odds
BORRACHEIROS
2.06odds
Our read56%
44%
Market55%
45%
median decimal odds · 13 booksBookmakerALKBOR1red1.682.05Epicbet1.682.05Stake1.682.05Thunderpick Row1.682.05duelbits1.681.98Betify1.692.06Cs2skin1.692.06Rainbet1.692.06Razed1.692.06betory1.692.06betpanda1.692.06bcgame1.712.1Duel.com1.722.12
FormatBO3Form13-15 · 3-3PistolsBOR 56%Likely mapsDust2 · Ancient · Overpass
Model read: track record · HLTV rank · firepower · form, weighted by sample size. All figures respect the data-range filter.

Recent form

ALKA

paiN AcademyComeback9Overtime1d ago2-0ImperialStomp13-24d ago1-2UNO MILLEUpsetStomp2-135d ago2-1Keyd Stars16d ago0-2ProcyonPistols3/419d ago2-0Grêmio21d ago2-1GameHuntersOvertime23d ago1-2BORRACHEIROSStomp2-1324d ago2-1Imperial1mo ago0-2MAGICOS1mo ago2-0BlitzkriegPistols3/4Stomp13-21mo ago2-0GameHunters1mo ago1-2Red FeetUpsetComeback61mo ago1-2paiN AcademyPistols0/41mo ago2-0UNO MILLE3mo ago0-2

BORRACHEIROS

UNO MILLEUpsetStomp13-21d ago2-1Galorys2d ago0-2Keyd StarsUpsetComeback66d ago2-1ODDIK15d ago1-2BESTIA Academy19d ago2-0ALKAPistols5/6Stomp13-224d ago1-2

Head-to-head

past meetings & common opponents
24d ago ALKA2 : 1 BORRACHEIROS!
⚠ Different lineup
BORRACHEIROS
outrainny
intrindade
CCT 2026 South America Series 4
◂ ALK fared bettervs 5 shared opponentsBOR fared better ▸
Keyd Stars#1080-42-1
ALKA vs Keyd Stars
Jul 24LAncient9-13Dust26-13Mar 30LAnubis11-13Nuke9-13
BORRACHEIROS vs Keyd Stars
Aug 3WAncient16-14Mirage8-13Anubis13-6
UNO MILLE#1362-72-1
ALKA vs UNO MILLE
Aug 4WAncient2-13Cache13-9Dust213-6May 22LAnubis6-13Nuke6-13Apr 18LDust25-13Anubis2-13
+1 earlier meeting
BORRACHEIROS vs UNO MILLE
Aug 8WAncient13-2Inferno10-13Dust213-5
BESTIA Academy#1372-02-0
ALKA vs BESTIA Academy
Apr 2WNuke13-4Ancient13-5
BORRACHEIROS vs BESTIA Academy
Jul 21WDust213-7Mirage13-11
METANOIA Wolves#2090-21-0
ALKA vs METANOIA Wolves
Apr 23LNuke9-13Dust27-13
BORRACHEIROS vs METANOIA Wolves
Jul 19Wseries1-0
ex-KRÜ2-01-0
ALKA vs ex-KRÜ
May 12WOverpass13-9Nuke13-6
BORRACHEIROS vs ex-KRÜ
Jul 16Wseries1-0
ALKA 6-13combined map recordBORRACHEIROS 8-2edge · BORRACHEIROS

Firepower

roster ratings

ALKA · avg 1.08 · top +0.13

PlayerMpK-DADRKASTHSRating
bnc431.0981.572.7%52%1.21
proSHOW641.1573.572.9%34%1.14
cerolzin64173.271.6%48%1.1
vinaabEAST641.0175.769.9%58%1.09
puni640.7761.668.8%57%0.88

BORRACHEIROS · avg 1.13 · top +0.14

PlayerMpK-DADRKASTHSRating
trindade81.1484.875.7%52%1.27
Lacerda161.277.575.5%65%1.24
zock9161.271.873.5%36%1.16
neozix160.9167.474.5%64%1.05
nolkz160.8166.471.1%65%0.95

Projected veto

likely picks & bans
Veto read
Neither side's habitual bans cleanly remove the other's best maps. The veto is live.
Plays: Dust2 · Ancient · Overpass  ·  Removed: Anubis · Nuke · Mirage · Inferno every map shows both teams' win% (ALK / BOR)
1ALKA BAN Anubisproj. removed
ALK 0% 0-6
BOR 50% 1-1
ALKA on Anubis
L UNO MILLE 6–13 3mo ago L UNO MILLE 2–13 4mo ago L Charrados 7–13 4mo ago L Marsborne 4–13 4mo ago L paiN 7–13 4mo ago L Keyd Stars 11–13 4mo ago
BORRACHEIROS on Anubis
L Galorys 8–13 2d ago W Keyd Stars 13–6 6d ago
2BORRACHEIROS BAN Nukeproj. removed
ALK 35% 6-11
BOR 0% 0-1
ALKA on Nuke
W paiN Academy 16–13 1d ago L Imperial 9–13 4d ago L GameHunters 7–13 23d ago W BORRACHEIROS 13–10 24d ago L Imperial 11–13 1mo ago L UNO MILLE 6–13 3mo ago W MIBR Academy 13–6 3mo ago W paiN Academy 13–4 3mo ago
BORRACHEIROS on Nuke
L ALKA 10–13 24d ago
3ALKA PICK Dust2
ALK 53% 8-7
BOR 100% 3-0
ALKA on Dust2
L Imperial 9–13 4d ago W UNO MILLE 13–6 5d ago L Keyd Stars 6–13 16d ago W Procyon 13–11 19d ago W Grêmio 13–5 21d ago W GameHunters 13–7 23d ago W MAGICOS 13–6 1mo ago W Blitzkrieg 13–3 1mo ago
BORRACHEIROS on Dust2
W UNO MILLE 13–5 1d ago W ODDIK 13–10 15d ago W BESTIA Academy 13–7 19d ago
4BORRACHEIROS PICK Ancient
ALK 60% 6-4
BOR 60% 3-2
ALKA on Ancient
L UNO MILLE 2–13 5d ago L Keyd Stars 9–13 16d ago W Procyon 13–5 19d ago W Grêmio 13–11 21d ago L BORRACHEIROS 2–13 24d ago W MAGICOS 13–4 1mo ago W Blitzkrieg 13–2 1mo ago W MIBR Academy 13–11 3mo ago
BORRACHEIROS on Ancient
W UNO MILLE 13–2 1d ago L Galorys 8–13 2d ago W Keyd Stars 16–14 6d ago L ODDIK 10–13 15d ago W ALKA 13–2 24d ago
5ALKA BAN Mirageproj. removed
ALK 63% 5-3
BOR 33% 1-2
ALKA on Mirage
W paiN Academy 19–16 1d ago W Imperial 13–2 4d ago L Imperial 10–13 1mo ago L GameHunters 9–13 1mo ago L Red Feet 7–13 1mo ago W paiN Academy 13–3 1mo ago W paiN Academy 13–11 3mo ago W Charrados 13–5 4mo ago
BORRACHEIROS on Mirage
L Keyd Stars 8–13 6d ago L ODDIK 10–13 15d ago W BESTIA Academy 13–11 19d ago
6BORRACHEIROS BAN Infernoproj. removed
ALK 60% 3-2
BOR 0% 0-2
ALKA on Inferno
L Grêmio 10–13 21d ago W BORRACHEIROS 13–9 24d ago W GameHunters 13–8 1mo ago L Red Feet 7–13 1mo ago W paiN Academy 13–8 1mo ago
BORRACHEIROS on Inferno
L UNO MILLE 10–13 1d ago L ALKA 9–13 24d ago
7DECIDER Overpassleft over
ALK 100% 1-0
BOR n/a 0g
ALKA on Overpass
W ex-KRÜ 13–9 3mo ago
BORRACHEIROS on Overpass
no recent maps
Projected from each team's veto habits (BO3), assuming ALKA vetoes first. Usual first ban: ALKA Anubis · BORRACHEIROS Cache.

Map lab

pick the 3 maps · per-map H2H + prediction
layout
Pick 3 maps ✓
Best-case draws · each side’s strongest realistic Bo3 · tap to load
The veto swings it: ALKA 60% on their maps vs BORRACHEIROS 63% on theirs. Whoever shapes the pool is favoured. Overpass (50%) is the closest to a toss-up.
BORRACHEIROS57%to win the seriescoin-flipiMap edgesDust2: BORRACHEIROS 64% · Ancient: ALKA 51% toss-up · Overpass: BORRACHEIROS 50% toss-upWhyBORRACHEIROS hold the edge across the maps (2 of 3 lean their way).OutcomesALKA 43%: 2-1 25%, 2-0 18%  ·  BORRACHEIROS 57%: 2-0 31%, 2-1 25%
series odds add up every way a team can win, not just one scoreline
ALKA 43%57% BORRACHEIROS
It’s nearly a coin-flip. BORRACHEIROS only lead because their Dust2 is strong enough that nicking just one of the close maps wins the series.
Dust2ALK v BOR
36%
64%
8-7record3-0
53%win100%
51%CT win67%
51%T win61%
43%pistol67%
69%convert75%
AncientALK v BOR
51%
49%
6-4record3-2
60%win60%
52%CT win70%
52%T win44%
60%pistol50%
75%convert80%
OverpassALK v BOR
50%
50%
thin sample, read with caution
1-0record0-0
100%win–
60%CT win–
58%T win–
100%pistol–
50%convert–

Pistol, eco & sides

win% · convert if won · eco if lost · CT/T per map
ct / t side win% (Nuke skews CT, Dust2 T)pistol won the opening pistolconv then won round 2eco lost pistol, won round 2
Map
ALKct
ALKt
BORct
BORt
ALKpistol
ALKconv
ALKeco
BORpistol
BORconv
BOReco
Dust2pool
51%77/151
51%78/154
67%20/30
61%19/31
43%13/30
69%9/13
24%4/17
67%4/6
75%3/4
50%1/2
Ancientpool
52%48/93
52%49/94
70%35/50
44%21/48
60%12/20
75%9/12
13%1/8
50%5/10
80%4/5
40%2/5
Overpasspool
60%6/10
58%7/12
n/a
n/a
100%2/2
50%1/2
n/a
n/a
n/a
n/a
Anubisban
38%21/56
27%16/59
50%12/24
56%9/16
75%9/12
33%3/9
0%0/3
50%2/4
50%1/2
100%2/2
Nukeban
50%88/175
44%76/174
42%5/12
45%5/11
38%13/34
92%12/13
19%4/21
100%2/2
50%1/2
n/a
Mirageban
62%56/90
47%34/72
42%15/36
50%16/32
50%8/16
88%7/8
25%2/8
33%2/6
100%2/2
25%1/4
Infernoban
61%33/54
43%23/53
41%9/22
43%10/23
40%4/10
75%3/4
50%3/6
25%1/4
0%0/1
0%0/3
colour = vs league averagebelowavgabove
Pistols
BORRACHEIROS wins more pistol rounds: 56% vs 52%. Winning a pistol usually wins you the next few rounds too, so this is a small head start.
After pistol
Win the pistol → BORRACHEIROS usually win the next round too (78% vs 70%). Lose the pistol → BORRACHEIROS fight back to win the next round more often (43% vs 20%).

Mentality & map flow

comebacks, blown leads
Margins
ALKA average a 5.8-round margin (6 blown, biggest 4); BORRACHEIROS average 5.1 (4 blown, 1 OTs). Hover any ⓘ for the matches behind it.

ALKA

Comebacks (won from 3+ down)i14/30 (47%)Comebacks (won from 3+ down)Of the 30 maps they won, 14 (47%) were won after trailing by 3+ rounds. So 47% of their wins were comebacks, not 47% of all games.vs paiN AcademyNukefrom 9 downvs ProcyonAncientfrom 8 downvs Red FeetDust2from 6 downvs paiN AcademyInfernofrom 5 downvs GrêmioAncientfrom 5 down
Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)i6/34 (18%)Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)Of the 34 maps they lost, 6 (18%) were lost after leading by 3+ rounds: leads they threw away.vs CrashersNukeled 4 · lost 8-13vs Keyd StarsAnubisled 4 · lost 11-13vs 9zDust2led 4 · lost 6-13vs Keyd StarsAncientled 4 · lost 9-13vs MarsborneNukeled 3 · lost 11-13
Biggest comebackifrom 9 downBiggest comebackLargest deficit erased to win a map.vs paiN AcademyNukefrom 9 down · won 16-13
Biggest lead blowni4 roundsBiggest lead blownLargest lead held and still lost.vs CrashersNukeled 4 · lost 8-13
Avg map margini5.8 roundsAvg map marginAverage round difference across maps.
Close maps (≤3) · OTi25% · 3Close maps (≤3) · OT25% of their maps were decided by ≤3 rounds (nailbiters); 3 went to overtime.vs GameHuntersCache13-16vs paiN AcademyNuke16-13vs paiN AcademyMirage19-16

BORRACHEIROS

Comebacks (won from 3+ down)i2/8 (25%)Comebacks (won from 3+ down)Of the 8 maps they won, 2 (25%) were won after trailing by 3+ rounds. So 25% of their wins were comebacks, not 25% of all games.vs Keyd StarsAncientfrom 6 downvs Keyd StarsAnubisfrom 3 down
Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)i4/8 (50%)Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)Of the 8 maps they lost, 4 (50%) were lost after leading by 3+ rounds: leads they threw away.vs ODDIKAncientled 7 · lost 10-13vs ALKANukeled 3 · lost 10-13vs GalorysAnubisled 3 · lost 8-13vs GalorysAncientled 3 · lost 8-13
Biggest comebackifrom 6 downBiggest comebackLargest deficit erased to win a map.vs Keyd StarsAncientfrom 6 down · won 16-14
Biggest lead blowni7 roundsBiggest lead blownLargest lead held and still lost.vs ODDIKAncientled 7 · lost 10-13
Avg map margini5.1 roundsAvg map marginAverage round difference across maps.
Close maps (≤3) · OTi44% · 1Close maps (≤3) · OT44% of their maps were decided by ≤3 rounds (nailbiters); 1 went to overtime.vs Keyd StarsAncient16-14

ALKA vs BORRACHEIROS FAQ

Who is favored to win ALKA vs BORRACHEIROS?

ALKA are favored with a 56% model win probability, and are the bookmakers' favorite too.

What are the betting odds for ALKA vs BORRACHEIROS?

Bookmakers price ALKA at 1.69 and BORRACHEIROS at 2.06 (implied 55% vs 45%).

When do ALKA and BORRACHEIROS play?

ALKA vs BORRACHEIROS is scheduled for 2026-08-09 14:00 UTC at BetBoom Storm Season 4.