Matches / Upcoming / Grêmio vs Procyon
Grêmio vs Procyon: CS2 match prediction, odds and preview · BetBoom Storm Season 4
Prediction
Our model gives Grêmio a 57% chance to beat Procyon at BetBoom Storm Season 4. Bookmakers price Grêmio at 1.9 and Procyon at 1.83 (implied 49% vs 51%).
FormatBO3Form2-5 · 18-35PistolsGRÊ 65%Likely mapsInferno · Dust2 · Nuke
Model read: track record · HLTV rank · firepower · form, weighted by sample size. All figures respect the data-range filter.
Recent form
Head-to-head
past meetings & common opponents◂ GRÊ fared bettervs 4 shared opponentsPRO fared better ▸
ALKA#1591-20-2
Grêmio vs ALKA
Jul 19LInferno13-10Dust25-13Ancient11-13Procyon vs ALKA
Jul 21LAncient5-13Dust211-13
paiN Academy#1863-36-1
Procyon vs paiN Academy
Jul 18WDust213-8Mirage13-7Apr 17WMirage9-13Nuke13-7Dust213-8Mar 7WMirage13-10Dust213-2
METANOIA Wolves#2092-02-4
Grêmio vs METANOIA Wolves
Jul 20WDust213-5Nuke13-3EX-ex-KRÜ1-03-0
Grêmio vs ex-KRÜ
Jul 15Wseries1-0Grêmio 7-5combined map recordProcyon 11-7even
Firepower
roster ratingsGrêmio · avg 1.02 · top +0.11
| Player | Mp | K-D | ADR | KAST | HS | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| balencyy | 17 | 0.99 | 84.1 | 73.3% | 60% | 1.13 |
| souz4h | 17 | 0.97 | 76.2 | 71.5% | 56% | 1.05 |
| yeda | 17 | 0.92 | 67 | 68.6% | 60% | 1.02 |
| s1lent | 17 | 0.95 | 66 | 68.6% | 57% | 0.97 |
| MITHPUTTINI | 17 | 0.96 | 63.8 | 66.9% | 36% | 0.93 |
Procyon · avg 1.06 · top +0.07
| Player | Mp | K-D | ADR | KAST | HS | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| lenci | 121 | 1.06 | 76.8 | 73.3% | 48% | 1.13 |
| MaxOff | 121 | 0.98 | 71 | 72.4% | 60% | 1.07 |
| laser | 19 | 1.03 | 65.5 | 72% | 35% | 1.05 |
| pavv | 121 | 0.92 | 72.4 | 72.9% | 54% | 1.04 |
| next | 121 | 0.95 | 67.4 | 71.8% | 65% | 1.03 |
Projected veto
likely picks & bansVeto read
Neither side's habitual bans cleanly remove the other's best maps. The veto is live.
Plays: Inferno · Dust2 · Nuke · Removed: Anubis · Ancient · Mirage · Overpass
every map shows both teams' win% (GRÊ / PRO)
1GRÊMIO BAN
Anubisproj. removed
GRÊ
n/a
0gPRO
50%
3-3
GRÊ
n/a
0g
PRO
50%
3-3
Grêmio on Anubis
no recent maps
2PROCYON BAN
Ancientproj. removed
GRÊ
0%
0-1PRO
25%
1-3
GRÊ
0%
0-1
PRO
25%
1-3
Grêmio on Ancient
L
ALKA
11–13
21d ago
3GRÊMIO PICK
Inferno
GRÊ
50%
2-2PRO
48%
12-13
GRÊ
50%
2-2
PRO
48%
12-13
4PROCYON PICK
Dust2
GRÊ
50%
2-2PRO
43%
16-21
GRÊ
50%
2-2
PRO
43%
16-21
5GRÊMIO BAN
Mirageproj. removed
GRÊ
0%
0-3PRO
33%
7-14
GRÊ
0%
0-3
PRO
33%
7-14
6PROCYON BAN
Overpassproj. removed
GRÊ
n/a
0gPRO
25%
2-6
GRÊ
n/a
0g
PRO
25%
2-6
Grêmio on Overpass
no recent maps
7DECIDER
Nukeleft over
GRÊ
50%
1-1PRO
35%
7-13
GRÊ
50%
1-1
PRO
35%
7-13
Projected from each team's veto habits (BO3), assuming Grêmio vetoes first.
Usual first ban: Grêmio Anubis · Procyon Ancient.
Map lab
pick the 3 maps · per-map H2H + predictionlayout
Pick 3 maps ✓
Best-case draws · each side’s strongest realistic Bo3 · tap to load
The veto swings it: Grêmio 55% on their maps vs Procyon 55% on theirs. Whoever shapes the pool is favoured. Anubis (50%) is the closest to a toss-up.
Grêmio55%to win the seriescoin-flipiMap edgesInferno: Grêmio 51% toss-up · Dust2: Grêmio 54% toss-up · Nuke: Grêmio 55% toss-upWhyGrêmio hold the edge across the maps (3 of 3 lean their way).OutcomesGrêmio 55%: 2-0 28%, 2-1 27% · Procyon 45%: 2-1 23%, 2-0 22%
series odds add up every way a team can win, not just one scoreline
series odds add up every way a team can win, not just one scoreline
Grêmio 55%45% Procyon
It’s nearly a coin-flip. Grêmio only lead because their pick is strong enough that nicking just one of the close maps wins the series.
InfernoGRÊ v PRO
51%49%
2-2record12-13
50%win48%
40%CT win47%
44%T win52%
50%pistol52%
50%convert69%
Dust2GRÊ v PRO
54%46%
2-2record16-21
50%win43%
42%CT win53%
60%T win47%
75%pistol53%
67%convert82%
NukeGRÊ v PRO
55%45%
1-1record7-13
50%win35%
63%CT win48%
63%T win46%
75%pistol50%
100%convert90%
Pistol, eco & sides
win% · convert if won · eco if lost · CT/T per mapct / t side win% (Nuke skews CT, Dust2 T)pistol won the opening pistolconv then won round 2eco lost pistol, won round 2
Map
GRÊct
GRÊt
PROct
PROt
GRÊpistol
GRÊconv
GRÊeco
PROpistol
PROconv
PROeco
Infernopool
40%14/35
44%21/48
47%130/276
52%124/238
50%4/8
50%2/4
25%1/4
52%26/50
69%18/26
25%6/24
Dust2pool
42%20/48
60%18/30
53%173/328
47%187/396
75%6/8
67%4/6
0%0/2
53%39/74
82%32/39
20%7/35
Nukepool
63%10/16
63%15/24
48%106/222
46%89/194
75%3/4
100%3/3
100%1/1
50%20/40
90%18/20
10%2/20
Anubisban
n/a
n/a
55%36/65
47%28/59
n/a
n/a
n/a
67%8/12
88%7/8
75%3/4
Ancientban
33%4/12
58%7/12
55%23/42
27%12/44
50%1/2
100%1/1
0%0/1
50%4/8
100%4/4
25%1/4
Mirageban
47%17/36
29%8/28
49%102/210
45%100/221
50%3/6
67%2/3
33%1/3
50%21/42
76%16/21
14%3/21
Overpassban
n/a
n/a
37%31/84
45%35/78
n/a
n/a
n/a
38%6/16
83%5/6
10%1/10
colour = vs league averagebelowavgabove
Pistols
Grêmio wins more pistol rounds: 65% vs 52%. Winning a pistol usually wins you the next few rounds too, so this is a small head start.
After pistol
Win the pistol → Procyon usually win the next round too (80% vs 69%). Lose the pistol → Grêmio fight back to win the next round more often (29% vs 19%).
Mentality & map flow
comebacks, blown leadsMargins
Grêmio average a 5.4-round margin (5 blown, biggest 5); Procyon average 5.8 (21 blown, 8 OTs). Hover any ⓘ for the matches behind it.
Grêmio
Comebacks (won from 3+ down)i2/6 (33%)Comebacks (won from 3+ down)Of the 6 maps they won, 2 (33%) were won after trailing by 3+ rounds. So 33% of their wins were comebacks, not 33% of all games.vs paiN AcademyInfernofrom 6 downvs paiN AcademyDust2from 4 down
Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)i5/11 (45%)Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)Of the 11 maps they lost, 5 (45%) were lost after leading by 3+ rounds: leads they threw away.vs Patins da FerrariMirageled 5 · lost 8-13vs ALKAAncientled 5 · lost 11-13vs Keyd StarsMirageled 5 · lost 10-13vs Patins da FerrariCacheled 4 · lost 14-16vs paiN AcademyNukeled 4 · lost 13-16
Biggest comebackifrom 6 downBiggest comebackLargest deficit erased to win a map.vs paiN AcademyInfernofrom 6 down · won 22-18
Biggest lead blowni5 roundsBiggest lead blownLargest lead held and still lost.vs Patins da FerrariMirageled 5 · lost 8-13
Avg map margini5.4 roundsAvg map marginAverage round difference across maps.
Close maps (≤3) · OTi35% · 3Close maps (≤3) · OT35% of their maps were decided by ≤3 rounds (nailbiters); 3 went to overtime.vs Patins da FerrariCache14-16vs paiN AcademyNuke13-16vs paiN AcademyInferno22-18
Procyon
Comebacks (won from 3+ down)i10/48 (21%)Comebacks (won from 3+ down)Of the 48 maps they won, 10 (21%) were won after trailing by 3+ rounds. So 21% of their wins were comebacks, not 21% of all games.vs Red FeetAncientfrom 8 downvs LUNADust2from 6 downvs UNO MILLEOverpassfrom 6 downvs ShindeNDust2from 5 downvs GUARAMiragefrom 5 down
Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)i21/73 (29%)Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)Of the 73 maps they lost, 21 (29%) were lost after leading by 3+ rounds: leads they threw away.vs ALKAAncientled 8 · lost 5-13vs FOLHA AMARELADust2led 6 · lost 8-13vs IsurusInfernoled 6 · lost 13-16vs MAGICOSAnubisled 6 · lost 8-13vs GameHuntersNukeled 5 · lost 11-13
Biggest comebackifrom 8 downBiggest comebackLargest deficit erased to win a map.vs Red FeetAncientfrom 8 down · won 16-13
Biggest lead blowni8 roundsBiggest lead blownLargest lead held and still lost.vs ALKAAncientled 8 · lost 5-13
Avg map margini5.8 roundsAvg map marginAverage round difference across maps.
Close maps (≤3) · OTi23% · 8Close maps (≤3) · OT23% of their maps were decided by ≤3 rounds (nailbiters); 8 went to overtime.vs BESTIA AcademyDust212-16vs ex-KRÜNuke19-15vs ShindeNDust214-16vs UNO MILLEDust217-19vs UNO MILLEInferno13-16
Grêmio vs Procyon FAQ
Who is favored to win Grêmio vs Procyon?
Grêmio are favored with a 57% model win probability, and are the bookmakers' favorite too.
What are the betting odds for Grêmio vs Procyon?
Bookmakers price Grêmio at 1.9 and Procyon at 1.83 (implied 49% vs 51%).
When do Grêmio and Procyon play?
Grêmio vs Procyon is scheduled for 2026-08-09 17:00 UTC at BetBoom Storm Season 4.