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Matches / Upcoming / METANOIA Wolves vs MEIA NOITE

METANOIA Wolves vs MEIA NOITE: CS2 match prediction, odds and preview · BetBoom Storm Season 4

METANOIA Wolves
2026-08-09 21:00 UTC
BetBoom Storm Season 4
MEIA NOITE
Prediction
Our model gives MEIA NOITE a 64% chance to beat METANOIA Wolves at BetBoom Storm Season 4. Limited data on this matchup, so the read stays close to the market. Bookmakers price METANOIA Wolves at 2.9 and MEIA NOITE at 1.38 (implied 32% vs 68%).
METANOIA Wolves
2.9odds
MEIA NOITE
1.38odds
Our read thin36%
64%
Market32%
68%
median decimal odds · 1 bookBookmakerMETMEIBZ bettinglist 2.91.38
FormatBO3Form12-25 · 0-2PistolsMEI 83%Likely mapsDust2 · Inferno · Nuke
Model read: track record · HLTV rank · firepower · form, weighted by sample size. All figures respect the data-range filter.

Recent form

METANOIA Wolves

Procyon3d ago2-1BESTIAPistols3/44d ago0-2Grêmio20d ago0-2GUARA24d ago2-1Patins da FerrariStomp1-1326d ago0-2MIBR AcademyOvertime1mo ago1-2paiN1mo ago0-2Yawara1mo ago0-2MAGICOSUpsetOvertime1mo ago1-2GUARAUpsetBlew lead71mo ago1-2Keyd StarsStomp2-133mo ago0-2R23mo ago2-1paiN Academy3mo ago1-2Keyd StarsPistols5/6Stomp13-13mo ago1-2GUARAPistols3/4Overtime3mo ago2-0

MEIA NOITE

paiN AcademyStomp13-23d ago1-2Galorys5d ago1-2

Head-to-head

past meetings & common opponents
◂ MET fared bettervs 1 shared opponentMEI fared better ▸
paiN Academy#1862-41-2
METANOIA Wolves vs paiN Academy
May 18LDust213-5Inferno10-13Anubis6-13Mar 13LInferno10-13Dust213-7Anubis8-13
MEIA NOITE vs paiN Academy
Aug 6LMirage8-13Inferno13-2Cache11-13
METANOIA Wolves 2-4combined map recordMEIA NOITE 1-2even

Firepower

roster ratings

METANOIA Wolves · avg 1.05 · top +0.06

PlayerMpK-DADRKASTHSRating
Lcs291.1471.267.9%41%1.11
ALENNNCAR561.0371.968.5%35%1.09
spinnie850.9273.366.5%61%1.06
Lukita50.7767.772.8%48%1.05
sakamoto490.916968.3%60%1.02
ntx370.8562.866.8%63%0.99

MEIA NOITE · avg 1.02 · top +0.07

PlayerMpK-DADRKASTHSRating
abr61.017574.4%59%1.09
nyezin60.9979.167.6%52%1.06
BK160.8362.371.1%70%1.05
bsd6173.368%28%1.03
Bruninho60.7156.869.4%56%0.86

Projected veto

likely picks & bans
Veto read
Neither side's habitual bans cleanly remove the other's best maps. The veto is live.
Plays: Dust2 · Inferno · Nuke  ·  Removed: Mirage · Anubis · Overpass · Ancient every map shows both teams' win% (MET / MEI)
1METANOIA WOLVES BAN Mirageproj. removed
MET 17% 1-5
MEI 0% 0-1
METANOIA Wolves on Mirage
L BESTIA 5–13 4d ago L GUARA 6–13 24d ago L Patins da Ferrari 1–13 26d ago L MAGICOS 6–13 1mo ago L GUARA 8–13 1mo ago W Bounty Hunters 13–11 5mo ago
MEIA NOITE on Mirage
L paiN Academy 8–13 3d ago
2MEIA NOITE BAN Anubisproj. removed
MET 20% 1-4
MEI n/a 0g
METANOIA Wolves on Anubis
L Yawara 8–13 1mo ago L paiN Academy 6–13 3mo ago L Bounty Hunters 4–13 3mo ago W Keyd Stars 13–8 4mo ago L paiN Academy 8–13 5mo ago
MEIA NOITE on Anubis
no recent maps
3METANOIA WOLVES PICK Dust2
MET 56% 15-12
MEI 100% 1-0
METANOIA Wolves on Dust2
W Procyon 13–6 3d ago L BESTIA 8–13 4d ago L Grêmio 5–13 20d ago W GUARA 13–8 24d ago L paiN 4–13 1mo ago L MAGICOS 19–22 1mo ago W GUARA 13–3 1mo ago L Keyd Stars 9–13 3mo ago
MEIA NOITE on Dust2
W Galorys 13–11 5d ago
4MEIA NOITE PICK Inferno
MET 31% 5-11
MEI 100% 1-0
METANOIA Wolves on Inferno
L Procyon 9–13 3d ago L paiN 4–13 1mo ago L Yawara 7–13 1mo ago W MAGICOS 13–6 1mo ago L paiN Academy 10–13 3mo ago L Vasco 9–13 4mo ago W Vasco 13–9 4mo ago L RED Canids 6–13 4mo ago
MEIA NOITE on Inferno
W paiN Academy 13–2 3d ago
5METANOIA WOLVES BAN Overpassproj. removed
MET 0% 0-1
MEI n/a 0g
METANOIA Wolves on Overpass
L R2 11–13 3mo ago
MEIA NOITE on Overpass
no recent maps
6MEIA NOITE BAN Ancientproj. removed
MET 40% 6-9
MEI 0% 0-1
METANOIA Wolves on Ancient
W Procyon 13–8 3d ago W GUARA 13–7 24d ago L Patins da Ferrari 9–13 26d ago W MIBR Academy 19–17 1mo ago L Keyd Stars 2–13 3mo ago W Keyd Stars 13–1 3mo ago W BESTIA Academy 13–4 3mo ago L VEXA 4–13 3mo ago
MEIA NOITE on Ancient
L Galorys 3–13 5d ago
7DECIDER Nukeleft over
MET 38% 5-8
MEI 0% 0-1
METANOIA Wolves on Nuke
L Grêmio 3–13 20d ago L MIBR Academy 6–13 1mo ago W R2 13–6 3mo ago L Keyd Stars 11–13 3mo ago W GUARA 16–13 3mo ago L LP 9–13 4mo ago L Imperial 6–13 4mo ago W Keyd Stars 13–9 4mo ago
MEIA NOITE on Nuke
L Galorys 5–13 5d ago
Projected from each team's veto habits (BO3), assuming METANOIA Wolves vetoes first. Usual first ban: METANOIA Wolves Mirage · MEIA NOITE Anubis.

Map lab

pick the 3 maps · per-map H2H + prediction
layout
Pick 3 maps ✓
Best-case draws · each side’s strongest realistic Bo3 · tap to load
The veto swings it: METANOIA Wolves 51% on their maps vs MEIA NOITE 54% on theirs. Whoever shapes the pool is favoured. Anubis (50%) is the closest to a toss-up.
MEIA NOITE53%to win the seriescoin-flipiMap edgesDust2: MEIA NOITE 52% toss-up · Inferno: MEIA NOITE 55% toss-up · Nuke: METANOIA Wolves 51% toss-upWhyMEIA NOITE hold the edge across the maps (2 of 3 lean their way).OutcomesMETANOIA Wolves 47%: 2-1 25%, 2-0 22%  ·  MEIA NOITE 53%: 2-0 29%, 2-1 24%
series odds add up every way a team can win, not just one scoreline
METANOIA Wolves 47%53% MEIA NOITE
It’s nearly a coin-flip. MEIA NOITE only lead because their pick is strong enough that nicking just one of the close maps wins the series.
Dust2MET v MEI
48%
52%
15-12record1-0
56%win100%
54%CT win25%
54%T win83%
56%pistol100%
80%convert100%
InfernoMET v MEI
45%
55%
5-11record1-0
31%win100%
43%CT win92%
45%T win67%
44%pistol100%
50%convert50%
NukeMET v MEI
51%
49%
5-8record0-1
38%win0%
47%CT win17%
39%T win33%
54%pistol50%
79%convert100%

Pistol, eco & sides

win% · convert if won · eco if lost · CT/T per map
ct / t side win% (Nuke skews CT, Dust2 T)pistol won the opening pistolconv then won round 2eco lost pistol, won round 2
Map
METct
METt
MEIct
MEIt
METpistol
METconv
METeco
MEIpistol
MEIconv
MEIeco
Dust2pool
54%140/261
54%154/287
25%3/12
83%10/12
56%30/54
80%24/30
8%2/24
100%2/2
100%2/2
n/a
Infernopool
43%64/148
45%79/175
92%11/12
67%2/3
44%14/32
50%7/14
28%5/18
100%2/2
50%1/2
n/a
Nukepool
47%73/154
39%45/116
17%1/6
33%4/12
54%14/26
79%11/14
0%0/12
50%1/2
100%1/1
0%0/1
Mirageban
36%23/64
31%16/51
56%5/9
25%3/12
33%4/12
50%2/4
0%0/8
50%1/2
100%1/1
0%0/1
Anubisban
33%18/54
47%21/45
n/a
n/a
40%4/10
50%2/4
0%0/6
n/a
n/a
n/a
Overpassban
58%7/12
33%4/12
n/a
n/a
0%0/2
n/a
0%0/2
n/a
n/a
n/a
Ancientban
52%76/147
42%63/151
25%3/12
0%0/4
67%20/30
70%14/20
0%0/10
50%1/2
0%0/1
0%0/1
colour = vs league averagebelowavgabove
Pistols
MEIA NOITE wins more pistol rounds: 83% vs 52%. Winning a pistol usually wins you the next few rounds too, so this is a small head start.
After pistol
Win the pistol → MEIA NOITE usually win the next round too (80% vs 72%). Lose the pistol → METANOIA Wolves fight back to win the next round more often (13% vs 0%).

Mentality & map flow

comebacks, blown leads
Margins
METANOIA Wolves average a 5.8-round margin (13 blown, biggest 7); MEIA NOITE average 6.3 (2 blown, 0 OTs). Hover any ⓘ for the matches behind it.

METANOIA Wolves

Comebacks (won from 3+ down)i7/33 (21%)Comebacks (won from 3+ down)Of the 33 maps they won, 7 (21%) were won after trailing by 3+ rounds. So 21% of their wins were comebacks, not 21% of all games.vs GUARADust2from 10 downvs GUARANukefrom 5 downvs MAGICOSInfernofrom 4 downvs Bounty HuntersDust2from 3 downvs Bounty HuntersDust2from 3 down
Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)i13/52 (25%)Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)Of the 52 maps they lost, 13 (25%) were lost after leading by 3+ rounds: leads they threw away.vs GUARACacheled 7 · lost 11-13vs LPAncientled 5 · lost 7-13vs Keyd StarsDust2led 5 · lost 9-13vs ImperialNukeled 4 · lost 6-13vs LPNukeled 4 · lost 9-13
Biggest comebackifrom 10 downBiggest comebackLargest deficit erased to win a map.vs GUARADust2from 10 down · won 13-3
Biggest lead blowni7 roundsBiggest lead blownLargest lead held and still lost.vs GUARACacheled 7 · lost 11-13
Avg map margini5.8 roundsAvg map marginAverage round difference across maps.
Close maps (≤3) · OTi21% · 6Close maps (≤3) · OT21% of their maps were decided by ≤3 rounds (nailbiters); 6 went to overtime.vs Bounty HuntersNuke19-17vs VascoAncient13-16vs Turma do PagodeDust219-16vs GUARANuke16-13vs MAGICOSDust219-22

MEIA NOITE

Comebacks (won from 3+ down)i0/2 (0%)Comebacks (won from 3+ down)Of the 2 maps they won, 0 (0%) were won after trailing by 3+ rounds. So 0% of their wins were comebacks, not 0% of all games.none in the sample
Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)i2/4 (50%)Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)Of the 4 maps they lost, 2 (50%) were lost after leading by 3+ rounds: leads they threw away.vs GalorysAncientled 10 · lost 3-13vs GalorysNukeled 4 · lost 5-13
Biggest comebackifrom 0 downBiggest comebackLargest deficit erased to win a map.none in the sample
Biggest lead blowni10 roundsBiggest lead blownLargest lead held and still lost.vs GalorysAncientled 10 · lost 3-13
Avg map margini6.3 roundsAvg map marginAverage round difference across maps.
Close maps (≤3) · OTi33% · 0Close maps (≤3) · OT33% of their maps were decided by ≤3 rounds (nailbiters); 0 went to overtime.none in the sample

METANOIA Wolves vs MEIA NOITE FAQ

Who is favored to win METANOIA Wolves vs MEIA NOITE?

MEIA NOITE are favored with a 64% model win probability, and are the bookmakers' favorite too.

What are the betting odds for METANOIA Wolves vs MEIA NOITE?

Bookmakers price METANOIA Wolves at 2.9 and MEIA NOITE at 1.38 (implied 32% vs 68%).

When do METANOIA Wolves and MEIA NOITE play?

METANOIA Wolves vs MEIA NOITE is scheduled for 2026-08-09 21:00 UTC at BetBoom Storm Season 4.