Matches / Upcoming / Galorys vs Keyd Stars
Galorys vs Keyd Stars: CS2 match prediction, odds and preview · BetBoom Storm Season 4
Prediction
Our model gives Galorys a 64% chance to beat Keyd Stars at BetBoom Storm Season 4. Bookmakers price Galorys at 1.65 and Keyd Stars at 2.1 (implied 56% vs 44%).
FormatBO3Form33-32 · 40-40PistolsGAL 49%Likely mapsAncient · Mirage · Nuke
Model read: track record · HLTV rank · firepower · form, weighted by sample size. All figures respect the data-range filter.
Recent form
Galorys
Head-to-head
past meetings & common opponents3mo ago
Galorys0 : 2
Keyd Stars!4mo ago
Galorys2 : 0
Keyd Stars!5mo ago
Galorys2 : 0
Keyd Stars!
Galorys0 : 2
Keyd Stars!⚠ Different lineup
Galorys
outk1not1, nython
inPKL, detr0ittJ
Keyd Stars
outCutzMeretz
inckzao
Galorys2 : 0
Keyd Stars!⚠ Different lineup
Galorys
outjnt, nython
inPKL, detr0ittJ
Keyd Stars
outCutzMeretz
inckzao
Galorys2 : 0
Keyd Stars!⚠ Different lineup
Galorys
outdrg, nython
inPKL, detr0ittJ
Keyd Stars
outCutzMeretz, Tuurtle, t9rnay
inckzao, xureba, zede
◂ GAL fared bettervs 8 shared opponentsKEY fared better ▸
9z#70-20-4
Galorys vs 9z
Jan 18LAncient7-13Dust23-13
Legacy#121-20-2
Galorys vs Legacy
Mar 27LOverpass13-8Ancient3-13Mirage5-13Keyd Stars vs Legacy
Apr 24LAncient1-13Mirage7-13
Imperial#555-82-3
Galorys vs Imperial
Aug 8LNuke16-13Anubis10-13Inferno8-13May 1LOverpass2-13Dust211-13Mar 28LDust24-13Overpass13-16+3 earlier meetings
BESTIA#583-30-2
Keyd Stars vs BESTIA
Jul 12LAncient11-13Dust29-13
Fluxo#614-02-6
Keyd Stars vs Fluxo
Jul 25LNuke9-13Mirage6-13Jun 27LMirage7-13Nuke9-13Apr 28WAnubis8-13Nuke16-13Mirage13-9+1 earlier meeting
ShindeN#724-20-3
LPLP#837-110-2
Galorys vs LP
May 30LMirage13-6Overpass8-13Ancient7-13May 27WAncient13-10Overpass13-5May 25LOverpass13-10Nuke11-13Mirage9-13+4 earlier meetings
Keyd Stars vs LP
May 24LDust22-13Nuke4-13
Bounty Hunters#1014-76-15
Galorys vs Bounty Hunters
May 21WNuke2-13Mirage13-8Ancient13-6May 10WMirage13-7Nuke5-13Ancient13-7May 2LNuke10-13Ancient9-13+2 earlier meetings
Keyd Stars vs Bounty Hunters
Jul 15LAncient13-7Nuke11-13Mirage14-16Jul 11WAncient13-11Nuke8-13Mirage13-7Jul 8LAncient14-16Cache9-13+6 earlier meetings
Galorys 28-35combined map recordKeyd Stars 10-37edge · Galorys
Firepower
roster ratingsGalorys · avg 1.06 · top +0.1
| Player | Mp | K-D | ADR | KAST | HS | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| gbb | 150 | 1.06 | 79.6 | 72.9% | 53% | 1.16 |
| tomate | 150 | 1.05 | 73.6 | 73.6% | 52% | 1.11 |
| detr0ittJ | 13 | 1.06 | 63.1 | 71% | 26% | 1.06 |
| destiny | 150 | 0.96 | 70.8 | 71.3% | 52% | 1.05 |
| PKL | 13 | 0.84 | 65.8 | 70.2% | 52% | 0.93 |
Keyd Stars · avg 1.09 · top +0.07
| Player | Mp | K-D | ADR | KAST | HS | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| zede | 113 | 1.06 | 75.8 | 72.1% | 62% | 1.16 |
| lash | 178 | 1.19 | 73.7 | 73.4% | 36% | 1.14 |
| matios | 169 | 0.98 | 74.2 | 70.6% | 54% | 1.09 |
| ckzao | 37 | 0.93 | 76.5 | 69.7% | 54% | 1.04 |
| xureba | 147 | 0.9 | 69.5 | 71.6% | 53% | 1.04 |
Projected veto
likely picks & bansVeto read
Neither side's habitual bans cleanly remove the other's best maps. The veto is live.
Plays: Ancient · Mirage · Nuke · Removed: Inferno · Overpass · Dust2 · Anubis
every map shows both teams' win% (GAL / KEY)
1GALORYS BAN
Infernoproj. removed
GAL
0%
0-2KEY
33%
1-2
GAL
0%
0-2
KEY
33%
1-2
2KEYD STARS BAN
Overpassproj. removed
GAL
59%
20-14KEY
33%
4-8
GAL
59%
20-14
KEY
33%
4-8
3GALORYS PICK
Ancient
GAL
60%
18-12KEY
59%
16-11
GAL
60%
18-12
KEY
59%
16-11
4KEYD STARS PICK
Mirage
GAL
48%
10-11KEY
56%
24-19
GAL
48%
10-11
KEY
56%
24-19
5GALORYS BAN
Dust2proj. removed
GAL
36%
9-16KEY
53%
26-23
GAL
36%
9-16
KEY
53%
26-23
6KEYD STARS BAN
Anubisproj. removed
GAL
57%
4-3KEY
55%
6-5
GAL
57%
4-3
KEY
55%
6-5
7DECIDER
Nukeleft over
GAL
47%
14-16KEY
38%
13-21
GAL
47%
14-16
KEY
38%
13-21
Projected from each team's veto habits (BO3), assuming Galorys vetoes first.
Usual first ban: Galorys Inferno · Keyd Stars Inferno.
Map lab
pick the 3 maps · per-map H2H + predictionlayout
Pick 3 maps ✓
Best-case draws · each side’s strongest realistic Bo3 · tap to load
The veto swings it: Galorys 66% on their maps vs Keyd Stars 64% on theirs. Whoever shapes the pool is favoured. Ancient (51%) is the closest to a toss-up.
Galorys51%to win the seriescoin-flipiMap edgesAncient: Galorys 51% toss-up · Mirage: Keyd Stars 58% · Nuke: Galorys 58%WhyGalorys hold the edge across the maps (2 of 3 lean their way).OutcomesGalorys 51%: 2-1 29%, 2-0 21% · Keyd Stars 49%: 2-0 28%, 2-1 21%
series odds add up every way a team can win, not just one scoreline
series odds add up every way a team can win, not just one scoreline
Galorys 51%49% Keyd Stars
It’s nearly a coin-flip. Galorys only lead because their Nuke is strong enough that nicking just one of the close maps wins the series.
AncientGAL v KEY
51%49%
18-12record16-11
60%win59%
52%CT win57%
52%T win47%
43%pistol50%
77%convert81%
MirageGAL v KEY
42%58%
10-11record24-19
48%win56%
58%CT win54%
36%T win49%
55%pistol47%
87%convert85%
NukeGAL v KEY
58%42%
14-16record13-21
47%win38%
57%CT win46%
43%T win44%
50%pistol43%
87%convert90%
Pistol, eco & sides
win% · convert if won · eco if lost · CT/T per mapct / t side win% (Nuke skews CT, Dust2 T)pistol won the opening pistolconv then won round 2eco lost pistol, won round 2
Map
GALct
GALt
KEYct
KEYt
GALpistol
GALconv
GALeco
KEYpistol
KEYconv
KEYeco
Ancientpool
52%138/265
52%170/326
57%159/277
47%123/259
43%26/60
77%20/26
24%8/34
50%27/54
81%22/27
19%5/27
Miragepool
58%135/231
36%73/205
54%226/416
49%219/449
55%23/42
87%20/23
26%5/19
47%40/86
85%34/40
16%7/45
Nukepool
57%177/313
43%134/310
46%159/346
44%159/364
50%30/60
87%26/30
7%2/30
43%29/68
90%26/29
5%2/39
Infernoban
25%6/24
47%7/15
50%18/36
48%11/23
50%2/4
100%2/2
0%0/2
50%3/6
100%3/3
0%0/3
Overpassban
61%181/295
44%180/405
57%81/142
29%27/92
59%40/68
83%33/40
32%9/28
46%11/24
73%8/11
0%0/13
Dust2ban
46%136/295
45%110/243
52%248/481
51%269/528
50%25/50
80%20/25
24%6/25
52%51/98
82%42/51
23%11/47
Anubisban
50%36/72
46%32/70
55%66/119
44%55/124
29%4/14
75%3/4
20%2/10
50%11/22
82%9/11
18%2/11
colour = vs league averagebelowavgabove
Pistols
Galorys wins more pistol rounds: 49% vs 46%. Winning a pistol usually wins you the next few rounds too, so this is a small head start.
After pistol
Win the pistol → both win the next round about the same (84% vs 85%). Lose the pistol → Galorys fight back to win the next round more often (18% vs 13%).
Mentality & map flow
comebacks, blown leadsMargins
Galorys average a 5.5-round margin (22 blown, biggest 9); Keyd Stars average 5.5 (27 blown, 15 OTs). Hover any ⓘ for the matches behind it.
Galorys
Comebacks (won from 3+ down)i22/75 (29%)Comebacks (won from 3+ down)Of the 75 maps they won, 22 (29%) were won after trailing by 3+ rounds. So 29% of their wins were comebacks, not 29% of all games.vs MEIA NOITEAncientfrom 10 downvs MarsborneOverpassfrom 6 downvs UNO MILLENukefrom 6 downvs RED CanidsOverpassfrom 5 downvs ImperialOverpassfrom 5 down
Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)i22/75 (29%)Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)Of the 75 maps they lost, 22 (29%) were lost after leading by 3+ rounds: leads they threw away.vs MIBRMirageled 9 · lost 10-13vs LPNukeled 9 · lost 11-13vs SharksMirageled 6 · lost 11-13vs SharksNukeled 5 · lost 14-16vs MIBRNukeled 5 · lost 13-16
Biggest comebackifrom 10 downBiggest comebackLargest deficit erased to win a map.vs MEIA NOITEAncientfrom 10 down · won 13-3
Biggest lead blowni9 roundsBiggest lead blownLargest lead held and still lost.vs MIBRMirageled 9 · lost 10-13
Avg map margini5.5 roundsAvg map marginAverage round difference across maps.
Close maps (≤3) · OTi31% · 15Close maps (≤3) · OT31% of their maps were decided by ≤3 rounds (nailbiters); 15 went to overtime.vs LPOverpass15-19vs SharksNuke14-16vs MIBRNuke13-16vs Keyd StarsDust222-19vs MarsborneAncient13-16
Keyd Stars
Comebacks (won from 3+ down)i24/90 (27%)Comebacks (won from 3+ down)Of the 90 maps they won, 24 (27%) were won after trailing by 3+ rounds. So 27% of their wins were comebacks, not 27% of all games.vs ex-KRÜNukefrom 7 downvs Bounty HuntersAncientfrom 6 downvs FOLHA AMARELANukefrom 5 downvs ODDIKNukefrom 5 downvs R2Dust2from 5 down
Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)i27/90 (30%)Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)Of the 90 maps they lost, 27 (30%) were lost after leading by 3+ rounds: leads they threw away.vs YawaraDust2led 6 · lost 9-13vs MIBR AcademyMirageled 6 · lost 11-13vs Fake do BiruDust2led 6 · lost 10-13vs UNO MILLENukeled 6 · lost 9-13vs BORRACHEIROSAncientled 6 · lost 14-16
Biggest comebackifrom 7 downBiggest comebackLargest deficit erased to win a map.vs ex-KRÜNukefrom 7 down · won 19-15
Biggest lead blowni6 roundsBiggest lead blownLargest lead held and still lost.vs YawaraDust2led 6 · lost 9-13
Avg map margini5.5 roundsAvg map marginAverage round difference across maps.
Close maps (≤3) · OTi31% · 15Close maps (≤3) · OT31% of their maps were decided by ≤3 rounds (nailbiters); 15 went to overtime.vs SharksMirage13-16vs 9zDust214-16vs ex-KRÜNuke19-15vs GalorysDust219-22vs MIBR AcademyMirage16-19
Galorys vs Keyd Stars FAQ
Who is favored to win Galorys vs Keyd Stars?
Galorys are favored with a 64% model win probability, and are the bookmakers' favorite too.
What are the betting odds for Galorys vs Keyd Stars?
Bookmakers price Galorys at 1.65 and Keyd Stars at 2.1 (implied 56% vs 44%).
When do Galorys and Keyd Stars play?
Galorys vs Keyd Stars is scheduled for 2026-08-09 23:00 UTC at BetBoom Storm Season 4.




