Matches / Upcoming / Galorys vs Keyd Stars

Galorys vs Keyd Stars: CS2 match prediction, odds and preview · BetBoom Storm Season 4

Galorys
2026-08-09 23:00 UTC
BetBoom Storm Season 4
Keyd Stars
Prediction
Our model gives Galorys a 64% chance to beat Keyd Stars at BetBoom Storm Season 4. Bookmakers price Galorys at 1.65 and Keyd Stars at 2.1 (implied 56% vs 44%).
Galorys
1.65odds
Keyd Stars
2.1odds
Our read64%
36%
Market56%
44%
median decimal odds · 5 booksBookmakerGALKEY1red1.652.1Epicbet1.652.1Stake1.652.1Thunderpick Row1.652.1duelbits1.652.05
FormatBO3Form33-32 · 40-40PistolsGAL 49%Likely mapsAncient · Mirage · Nuke
Model read: track record · HLTV rank · firepower · form, weighted by sample size. All figures respect the data-range filter.

Recent form

Head-to-head

past meetings & common opponents
GAL fared bettervs 8 shared opponentsKEY fared better ▸
9z#70-20-4
Legacy#121-20-2
Imperial#555-82-3
BESTIA#583-30-2
Fluxo#614-02-6
ShindeN#724-20-3
LP#837-110-2
Bounty Hunters#1014-76-15
Galorys 28-35combined map recordKeyd Stars 10-37edge · Galorys

Firepower

roster ratings

Galorys · avg 1.06 · top +0.1

PlayerMpK-DADRKASTHSRating
gbb1501.0679.672.9%53%1.16
tomate1501.0573.673.6%52%1.11
detr0ittJ131.0663.171%26%1.06
destiny1500.9670.871.3%52%1.05
PKL130.8465.870.2%52%0.93

Keyd Stars · avg 1.09 · top +0.07

PlayerMpK-DADRKASTHSRating
zede1131.0675.872.1%62%1.16
lash1781.1973.773.4%36%1.14
matios1690.9874.270.6%54%1.09
ckzao370.9376.569.7%54%1.04
xureba1470.969.571.6%53%1.04

Projected veto

likely picks & bans
Veto read
Neither side's habitual bans cleanly remove the other's best maps. The veto is live.
Plays: Ancient · Mirage · Nuke  ·  Removed: Inferno · Overpass · Dust2 · Anubis every map shows both teams' win% (GAL / KEY)
1GALORYS BAN Infernoproj. removed
GAL 0% 0-2
KEY 33% 1-2
2KEYD STARS BAN Overpassproj. removed
GAL 59% 20-14
KEY 33% 4-8
3GALORYS PICK Ancient
GAL 60% 18-12
KEY 59% 16-11
4KEYD STARS PICK Mirage
GAL 48% 10-11
KEY 56% 24-19
5GALORYS BAN Dust2proj. removed
GAL 36% 9-16
KEY 53% 26-23
6KEYD STARS BAN Anubisproj. removed
GAL 57% 4-3
KEY 55% 6-5
7DECIDER Nukeleft over
GAL 47% 14-16
KEY 38% 13-21
Projected from each team's veto habits (BO3), assuming Galorys vetoes first. Usual first ban: Galorys Inferno · Keyd Stars Inferno.

Map lab

pick the 3 maps · per-map H2H + prediction
layout
Pick 3 maps
Best-case draws · each side’s strongest realistic Bo3 · tap to load
The veto swings it: Galorys 66% on their maps vs Keyd Stars 64% on theirs. Whoever shapes the pool is favoured. Ancient (51%) is the closest to a toss-up.
Galorys51%to win the seriescoin-flipiMap edgesAncient: Galorys 51% toss-up · Mirage: Keyd Stars 58% · Nuke: Galorys 58%WhyGalorys hold the edge across the maps (2 of 3 lean their way).OutcomesGalorys 51%: 2-1 29%, 2-0 21%  ·  Keyd Stars 49%: 2-0 28%, 2-1 21%
series odds add up every way a team can win, not just one scoreline
Galorys 51%49% Keyd Stars
It’s nearly a coin-flip. Galorys only lead because their Nuke is strong enough that nicking just one of the close maps wins the series.
AncientGAL v KEY
51%
49%
18-12record16-11
60%win59%
52%CT win57%
52%T win47%
43%pistol50%
77%convert81%
MirageGAL v KEY
42%
58%
10-11record24-19
48%win56%
58%CT win54%
36%T win49%
55%pistol47%
87%convert85%
NukeGAL v KEY
58%
42%
14-16record13-21
47%win38%
57%CT win46%
43%T win44%
50%pistol43%
87%convert90%

Pistol, eco & sides

win% · convert if won · eco if lost · CT/T per map
ct / t side win% (Nuke skews CT, Dust2 T)pistol won the opening pistolconv then won round 2eco lost pistol, won round 2
Map
GALct
GALt
KEYct
KEYt
GALpistol
GALconv
GALeco
KEYpistol
KEYconv
KEYeco
Ancientpool
52%138/265
52%170/326
57%159/277
47%123/259
43%26/60
77%20/26
24%8/34
50%27/54
81%22/27
19%5/27
Miragepool
58%135/231
36%73/205
54%226/416
49%219/449
55%23/42
87%20/23
26%5/19
47%40/86
85%34/40
16%7/45
Nukepool
57%177/313
43%134/310
46%159/346
44%159/364
50%30/60
87%26/30
7%2/30
43%29/68
90%26/29
5%2/39
Infernoban
25%6/24
47%7/15
50%18/36
48%11/23
50%2/4
100%2/2
0%0/2
50%3/6
100%3/3
0%0/3
Overpassban
61%181/295
44%180/405
57%81/142
29%27/92
59%40/68
83%33/40
32%9/28
46%11/24
73%8/11
0%0/13
Dust2ban
46%136/295
45%110/243
52%248/481
51%269/528
50%25/50
80%20/25
24%6/25
52%51/98
82%42/51
23%11/47
Anubisban
50%36/72
46%32/70
55%66/119
44%55/124
29%4/14
75%3/4
20%2/10
50%11/22
82%9/11
18%2/11
colour = vs league averagebelowavgabove
Pistols
Galorys wins more pistol rounds: 49% vs 46%. Winning a pistol usually wins you the next few rounds too, so this is a small head start.
After pistol
Win the pistol → both win the next round about the same (84% vs 85%). Lose the pistol → Galorys fight back to win the next round more often (18% vs 13%).

Mentality & map flow

comebacks, blown leads
Margins
Galorys average a 5.5-round margin (22 blown, biggest 9); Keyd Stars average 5.5 (27 blown, 15 OTs). Hover any ⓘ for the matches behind it.

Galorys

Comebacks (won from 3+ down)i22/75 (29%)Comebacks (won from 3+ down)Of the 75 maps they won, 22 (29%) were won after trailing by 3+ rounds. So 29% of their wins were comebacks, not 29% of all games.vs MEIA NOITEAncientfrom 10 downvs MarsborneOverpassfrom 6 downvs UNO MILLENukefrom 6 downvs RED CanidsOverpassfrom 5 downvs ImperialOverpassfrom 5 down
Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)i22/75 (29%)Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)Of the 75 maps they lost, 22 (29%) were lost after leading by 3+ rounds: leads they threw away.vs MIBRMirageled 9 · lost 10-13vs LPNukeled 9 · lost 11-13vs SharksMirageled 6 · lost 11-13vs SharksNukeled 5 · lost 14-16vs MIBRNukeled 5 · lost 13-16
Biggest comebackifrom 10 downBiggest comebackLargest deficit erased to win a map.vs MEIA NOITEAncientfrom 10 down · won 13-3
Biggest lead blowni9 roundsBiggest lead blownLargest lead held and still lost.vs MIBRMirageled 9 · lost 10-13
Avg map margini5.5 roundsAvg map marginAverage round difference across maps.
Close maps (≤3) · OTi31% · 15Close maps (≤3) · OT31% of their maps were decided by ≤3 rounds (nailbiters); 15 went to overtime.vs LPOverpass15-19vs SharksNuke14-16vs MIBRNuke13-16vs Keyd StarsDust222-19vs MarsborneAncient13-16

Keyd Stars

Comebacks (won from 3+ down)i24/90 (27%)Comebacks (won from 3+ down)Of the 90 maps they won, 24 (27%) were won after trailing by 3+ rounds. So 27% of their wins were comebacks, not 27% of all games.vs ex-KRÜNukefrom 7 downvs Bounty HuntersAncientfrom 6 downvs FOLHA AMARELANukefrom 5 downvs ODDIKNukefrom 5 downvs R2Dust2from 5 down
Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)i27/90 (30%)Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)Of the 90 maps they lost, 27 (30%) were lost after leading by 3+ rounds: leads they threw away.vs YawaraDust2led 6 · lost 9-13vs MIBR AcademyMirageled 6 · lost 11-13vs Fake do BiruDust2led 6 · lost 10-13vs UNO MILLENukeled 6 · lost 9-13vs BORRACHEIROSAncientled 6 · lost 14-16
Biggest comebackifrom 7 downBiggest comebackLargest deficit erased to win a map.vs ex-KRÜNukefrom 7 down · won 19-15
Biggest lead blowni6 roundsBiggest lead blownLargest lead held and still lost.vs YawaraDust2led 6 · lost 9-13
Avg map margini5.5 roundsAvg map marginAverage round difference across maps.
Close maps (≤3) · OTi31% · 15Close maps (≤3) · OT31% of their maps were decided by ≤3 rounds (nailbiters); 15 went to overtime.vs SharksMirage13-16vs 9zDust214-16vs ex-KRÜNuke19-15vs GalorysDust219-22vs MIBR AcademyMirage16-19

Galorys vs Keyd Stars FAQ

Who is favored to win Galorys vs Keyd Stars?

Galorys are favored with a 64% model win probability, and are the bookmakers' favorite too.

What are the betting odds for Galorys vs Keyd Stars?

Bookmakers price Galorys at 1.65 and Keyd Stars at 2.1 (implied 56% vs 44%).

When do Galorys and Keyd Stars play?

Galorys vs Keyd Stars is scheduled for 2026-08-09 23:00 UTC at BetBoom Storm Season 4.

Galorys vs Keyd Stars Prediction & Odds · CS2 Match Preview · CS2OBSERVER