Matches / Upcoming / Finishers vs Mindfreak
PredictionHigh confidence
Our model gives Mindfreak a 60% chance to beat Finishers at DFRAG Open Series 6. Limited data on this matchup, so the read stays close to the market.
FormatBO3Form0-1 · 20-20PistolsMIN 54%Likely mapsDust2 · Inferno · Overpass
Model read: track record · HLTV rank · firepower · form, weighted by sample size. All figures respect the data-range filter.
Recent form
Finishers
Head-to-head
past meetings & common opponents◂ FIN fared bettervs 1 shared opponentMIN fared better ▸
Rooster#1180-25-4
Finishers vs Rooster
Aug 3LDust24-13Anubis0-13Mindfreak vs Rooster
Jul 17WNuke13-9Inferno16-14Mar 25LInferno11-13Anubis20-22Feb 8LOverpass11-13Nuke13-11Anubis9-13+1 earlier meeting
Finishers 0-2combined map recordMindfreak 5-4edge · Mindfreak
Firepower
roster ratingsFinishers · avg 0.59 · top +0.21
| Player | Mp | K-D | ADR | KAST | HS | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| bluek1NG | 2 | 0.5 | 55.9 | 50.5% | 80% | 0.8 |
| kasze | 2 | 0.57 | 59.2 | 51.4% | 36% | 0.66 |
| ELFMELK | 2 | 0.41 | 59.2 | 39% | 65% | 0.55 |
| helix | 2 | 0.5 | 54 | 49.5% | 79% | 0.55 |
| 1nstah | 2 | 0.27 | 48.5 | 47.5% | 56% | 0.38 |
Mindfreak · avg 1.04 · top +0.03
| Player | Mp | K-D | ADR | KAST | HS | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| zune | 91 | 1.03 | 72 | 72.9% | 39% | 1.07 |
| lawlkay | 3 | 0.9 | 73.9 | 70.3% | 57% | 1.06 |
| phoebe | 14 | 1 | 72.9 | 73% | 56% | 1.04 |
| void | 14 | 1.12 | 64.5 | 72.5% | 41% | 1.03 |
| kairo | 22 | 1.03 | 71.1 | 69.5% | 48% | 0.99 |
Projected veto
likely picks & bansVeto read
Neither side's habitual bans cleanly remove the other's best maps. The veto is live.
Plays: Dust2 · Inferno · Overpass · Removed: Nuke · Ancient · Anubis · Mirage
every map shows both teams' win% (FIN / MIN)
1FINISHERS BAN
Nukeproj. removed
FIN
n/a
0gMIN
52%
11-10
FIN
n/a
0g
MIN
52%
11-10
Finishers on Nuke
no recent maps
2MINDFREAK BAN
Ancientproj. removed
FIN
n/a
0gMIN
n/a
0g
FIN
n/a
0g
MIN
n/a
0g
Finishers on Ancient
no recent maps
Mindfreak on Ancient
no recent maps
3FINISHERS PICK
Dust2
FIN
0%
0-1MIN
80%
4-1
FIN
0%
0-1
MIN
80%
4-1
Finishers on Dust2
L
Rooster
4–13
today
4MINDFREAK PICK
Inferno
FIN
n/a
0gMIN
57%
12-9
FIN
n/a
0g
MIN
57%
12-9
Finishers on Inferno
no recent maps
5FINISHERS BAN
Anubisproj. removed
FIN
0%
0-1MIN
50%
9-9
FIN
0%
0-1
MIN
50%
9-9
6MINDFREAK BAN
Mirageproj. removed
FIN
n/a
0gMIN
33%
4-8
FIN
n/a
0g
MIN
33%
4-8
Finishers on Mirage
no recent maps
7DECIDER
Overpassleft over
FIN
n/a
0gMIN
54%
7-6
FIN
n/a
0g
MIN
54%
7-6
Finishers on Overpass
no recent maps
Projected from each team's veto habits (BO3), assuming Finishers vetoes first.
Usual first ban: Finishers Cache · Mindfreak Ancient.
Map lab
pick the 3 maps · per-map H2H + predictionlayout
Pick 3 maps ✓
Best-case draws · each side’s strongest realistic Bo3 · tap to load
The veto swings it: Finishers 50% on their maps vs Mindfreak 54% on theirs. Whoever shapes the pool is favoured. Mirage (50%) is the closest to a toss-up.
Mindfreak53%to win the seriescoin-flipiMap edgesDust2: Mindfreak 56% toss-up · Inferno: Mindfreak 50% toss-up · Overpass: Mindfreak 50% toss-upWhyMindfreak hold the edge across the maps (3 of 3 lean their way).OutcomesFinishers 47%: 2-1 25%, 2-0 22% · Mindfreak 53%: 2-0 28%, 2-1 25%
series odds add up every way a team can win, not just one scoreline
series odds add up every way a team can win, not just one scoreline
Finishers 47%53% Mindfreak
It’s nearly a coin-flip. Mindfreak only lead because their pick is strong enough that nicking just one of the close maps wins the series.
Dust2FIN v MIN
44%56%
0-1record4-1
0%win80%
0%CT win47%
33%T win58%
50%pistol50%
100%convert80%
InfernoFIN v MIN
50%50%
thin sample, read with caution
0-0record12-9
–win57%
–CT win53%
–T win48%
–pistol55%
–convert83%
OverpassFIN v MIN
50%50%
thin sample, read with caution
0-0record7-6
–win54%
–CT win50%
–T win51%
–pistol54%
–convert86%
Pistol, eco & sides
win% · convert if won · eco if lost · CT/T per mapct / t side win% (Nuke skews CT, Dust2 T)pistol won the opening pistolconv then won round 2eco lost pistol, won round 2
Map
FINct
FINt
MINct
MINt
FINpistol
FINconv
FINeco
MINpistol
MINconv
MINeco
Dust2pool
0%0/5
33%4/12
47%23/49
58%31/53
50%1/2
100%1/1
0%0/1
50%5/10
80%4/5
20%1/5
Infernopool
n/a
n/a
53%120/225
48%102/212
n/a
n/a
n/a
55%23/42
83%19/23
37%7/19
Overpasspool
n/a
n/a
50%64/129
51%79/154
n/a
n/a
n/a
54%14/26
86%12/14
33%4/12
Nukeban
n/a
n/a
59%130/221
42%88/212
n/a
n/a
n/a
55%23/42
87%20/23
26%5/19
Ancientban
n/a
n/a
n/a
n/a
n/a
n/a
n/a
n/a
n/a
n/a
Anubisban
0%0/1
0%0/12
56%99/177
57%106/187
0%0/2
n/a
0%0/1
58%21/36
95%19/20
27%4/15
Mirageban
n/a
n/a
50%59/117
46%54/118
n/a
n/a
n/a
54%13/24
69%9/13
9%1/11
colour = vs league averagebelowavgabove
Pistols
Mindfreak wins more pistol rounds: 54% vs 50%. Winning a pistol usually wins you the next few rounds too, so this is a small head start.
After pistol
Win the pistol → Finishers usually win the next round too (100% vs 83%). Lose the pistol → Mindfreak fight back to win the next round more often (33% vs 0%).
Mentality & map flow
comebacks, blown leadsMargins
Finishers average a 11-round margin (0 blown, biggest 2); Mindfreak average 5.5 (15 blown, 8 OTs). Hover any ⓘ for the matches behind it.
Finishers
Comebacks (won from 3+ down)i0/0 (0%)Comebacks (won from 3+ down)Of the 0 maps they won, 0 (0%) were won after trailing by 3+ rounds. So 0% of their wins were comebacks, not 0% of all games.none in the sample
Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)i0/2 (0%)Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)Of the 2 maps they lost, 0 (0%) were lost after leading by 3+ rounds: leads they threw away.none in the sample
Biggest comebackifrom 0 downBiggest comebackLargest deficit erased to win a map.none in the sample
Biggest lead blowni2 roundsBiggest lead blownLargest lead held and still lost.none in the sample
Avg map margini11 roundsAvg map marginAverage round difference across maps.
Close maps (≤3) · OTi0% · 0Close maps (≤3) · OT0% of their maps were decided by ≤3 rounds (nailbiters); 0 went to overtime.none in the sample
Mindfreak
Comebacks (won from 3+ down)i13/47 (28%)Comebacks (won from 3+ down)Of the 47 maps they won, 13 (28%) were won after trailing by 3+ rounds. So 28% of their wins were comebacks, not 28% of all games.vs MARKandLARRYDust2from 7 downvs RoosterNukefrom 6 downvs MARKandLARRYNukefrom 6 downvs Ground ZeroInfernofrom 4 downvs AbyssalInfernofrom 4 down
Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)i15/43 (35%)Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)Of the 43 maps they lost, 15 (35%) were lost after leading by 3+ rounds: leads they threw away.vs AbyssalMirageled 7 · lost 6-13vs RoosterAnubisled 6 · lost 20-22vs THUNDER dOWNUNDERInfernoled 5 · lost 9-13vs ArcadeInfernoled 5 · lost 9-13vs FURYInfernoled 5 · lost 8-13
Biggest comebackifrom 7 downBiggest comebackLargest deficit erased to win a map.vs MARKandLARRYDust2from 7 down · won 19-17
Biggest lead blowni7 roundsBiggest lead blownLargest lead held and still lost.vs AbyssalMirageled 7 · lost 6-13
Avg map margini5.5 roundsAvg map marginAverage round difference across maps.
Close maps (≤3) · OTi26% · 8Close maps (≤3) · OT26% of their maps were decided by ≤3 rounds (nailbiters); 8 went to overtime.vs Ground ZeroMirage15-19vs AbyssalOverpass19-17vs ArcadeDust219-16vs MARKandLARRYDust219-17vs RoosterAnubis20-22
Finishers vs Mindfreak FAQ
Who is favored to win Finishers vs Mindfreak?
Mindfreak are favored with a 60% model win probability.
What are the betting odds for Finishers vs Mindfreak?
Match odds for Finishers vs Mindfreak aren't available yet. Check back closer to the match.
When do Finishers and Mindfreak play?
Finishers vs Mindfreak is scheduled for 2026-08-04 10:00 UTC at DFRAG Open Series 6.