Matches / Upcoming / Rooster vs Abyssal
Prediction
Our model gives Rooster a 69% chance to beat Abyssal at DFRAG Open Series 6. Bookmakers price Rooster at 1.53 and Abyssal at 2.29 (implied 60% vs 40%).
FormatBO3Form28-17 · 16-18PistolsABY 59%Likely mapsOverpass · Mirage · Nuke
Model read: track record · HLTV rank · firepower · form, weighted by sample size. All figures respect the data-range filter.
Recent form
Rooster
Head-to-head
past meetings & common opponents22d ago
Abyssal2 : 13
Rooster◆ same lineup2mo ago Abyssal1 : 2 Rooster◆ same lineup4mo ago Rooster1 : 2 Abyssal!4mo ago Abyssal0 : 2 Rooster!4mo ago Rooster2 : 0 Abyssal!6mo ago Rooster0 : 1 Abyssal
Abyssal2 : 13 Rooster◆ same lineup2mo ago Abyssal1 : 2 Rooster◆ same lineup4mo ago Rooster1 : 2 Abyssal!⚠ Different lineup
Abyssal
outdamyo
inblood
Abyssal0 : 2 Rooster!⚠ Different lineup
Abyssal
outdamyo
inblood
Rooster2 : 0 Abyssal!⚠ Different lineup
Abyssal
outKiyo
inblood
Rooster0 : 1 Abyssal◂ ROO fared bettervs 8 shared opponentsABY fared better ▸
THUNDER dOWNUNDER#710-61-4
Rooster vs THUNDER dOWNUNDER
Jul 17LAnubis4-13Nuke0-13Feb 8LOverpass6-13Nuke10-13Jan 31LAnubis4-13Nuke1-13
Ground Zero#856-155-10
Rooster vs Ground Zero
Jun 18WNuke2-13Anubis13-11Mirage13-11Jun 16LMirage10-13Dust213-16Apr 9LDust27-13Inferno4-13+6 earlier meetings
Abyssal vs Ground Zero
Aug 6LMirage0-13Dust211-13May 2LMirage13-11Nuke8-13Inferno4-13Apr 7LOverpass13-8Inferno7-13Nuke16-19+3 earlier meetings
Arcade#1026-18-5
Rooster vs Arcade
Apr 7WDust213-10Nuke11-13Overpass13-10Mar 24WMirage13-8Overpass16-12Mar 21WNuke16-14Overpass16-13Abyssal vs Arcade
Aug 7WMirage13-6Inferno16-14Aug 5WMirage13-10Nuke7-13Cache13-11Apr 11WOverpass13-10Nuke11-13Mirage13-7+2 earlier meetings
Mindfreak#1224-55-10
Rooster vs Mindfreak
Jul 17LNuke9-13Inferno14-16Mar 25WInferno13-11Anubis22-20Feb 8WOverpass13-11Nuke11-13Anubis13-9+1 earlier meeting
Abyssal vs Mindfreak
Jul 17LMirage13-6Inferno9-13Nuke6-13Apr 5WOverpass13-10Inferno13-16Nuke13-2Mar 31Wseries1-0+4 earlier meetings
DXA#1774-14-1
DINDing Cuts#1962-26-0
Skele4-32-1
Rooster vs Skele
Apr 6WMirage13-8Dust213-5Apr 3WDust213-3Overpass13-11Feb 24Lseries0-1+2 earlier meetings
Abyssal vs Skele
Feb 19WMirage7-13Nuke13-10Ancient16-13MARMARKandLARRY2-11-2
Abyssal vs MARKandLARRY
Jun 12LInferno13-7Overpass6-13Mirage8-13Rooster 28-34combined map recordAbyssal 32-33even
Firepower
roster ratingsRooster · avg 1.09 · top +0.21
| Player | Mp | K-D | ADR | KAST | HS | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| chelleos | 99 | 1.31 | 84.5 | 73.1% | 37% | 1.3 |
| ju1ces | 99 | 1.09 | 76.6 | 73.8% | 50% | 1.13 |
| rekonz | 99 | 0.99 | 74.5 | 72.1% | 55% | 1.08 |
| SkulL | 99 | 0.85 | 71 | 70.7% | 46% | 1.01 |
| ADK | 82 | 0.85 | 58.7 | 71.5% | 48% | 0.93 |
Abyssal · avg 1.11 · top +0.03
| Player | Mp | K-D | ADR | KAST | HS | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| dangeR | 78 | 1.08 | 73.8 | 74.6% | 53% | 1.14 |
| gump | 81 | 1.04 | 78.3 | 73.1% | 53% | 1.14 |
| vinhy | 81 | 0.99 | 76.9 | 72.8% | 54% | 1.12 |
| blood | 19 | 1.1 | 74.4 | 70.3% | 37% | 1.1 |
| foggers | 81 | 0.91 | 71.9 | 71.6% | 50% | 1.04 |
Projected veto
likely picks & bansVeto read
Abyssal habitually bans Dust2, Rooster's strongest maps (Overpass, Anubis, Dust2, Mirage all ≥60%).
That's a standing habit (Dust2 33/35), not an opponent read, so expect Rooster to fight the veto for Dust2.
Plays: Overpass · Mirage · Nuke · Removed: Ancient · Dust2 · Inferno · Anubis
every map shows both teams' win% (ROO / ABY)
1ROOSTER BAN
Ancientproj. removed
ROO
n/a
0gABY
75%
3-1
ROO
n/a
0g
ABY
75%
3-1
Rooster on Ancient
no recent maps
2ABYSSAL BAN
Dust2proj. removed
ROO
65%
13-7ABY
0%
0-1
ROO
65%
13-7
ABY
0%
0-1
3ROOSTER PICK
Overpass
ROO
76%
13-4ABY
54%
7-6
ROO
76%
13-4
ABY
54%
7-6
4ABYSSAL PICK
Mirage
ROO
73%
8-3ABY
67%
14-7
ROO
73%
8-3
ABY
67%
14-7
5ROOSTER BAN
Infernoproj. removed
ROO
47%
7-8ABY
38%
6-10
ROO
47%
7-8
ABY
38%
6-10
6ABYSSAL BAN
Anubisproj. removed
ROO
64%
9-5ABY
20%
1-4
ROO
64%
9-5
ABY
20%
1-4
7DECIDER
Nukeleft over
ROO
29%
6-15ABY
40%
8-12
ROO
29%
6-15
ABY
40%
8-12
Projected from each team's veto habits (BO3), assuming Rooster vetoes first.
Usual first ban: Rooster Ancient · Abyssal Dust2.
Map lab
pick the 3 maps · per-map H2H + predictionlayout
Pick 3 maps ✓
Best-case draws · each side’s strongest realistic Bo3 · tap to load
The veto swings it: Rooster 77% on their maps vs Abyssal 53% on theirs. Whoever shapes the pool is favoured. Ancient (50%) is the closest to a toss-up.
Rooster57%to win the seriescoin-flipiMap edgesOverpass: Rooster 71% clear · Mirage: Rooster 55% toss-up · Nuke: Abyssal 61%WhyRooster hold the edge across the maps (2 of 3 lean their way).OutcomesRooster 57%: 2-0 39%, 2-1 19% · Abyssal 43%: 2-1 29%, 2-0 13%
series odds add up every way a team can win, not just one scoreline
series odds add up every way a team can win, not just one scoreline
Rooster 57%43% Abyssal
It’s nearly a coin-flip. Rooster only lead because their Overpass is strong enough that nicking just one of the close maps wins the series.
OverpassROO v ABY
71%29%
13-4record7-6
76%win54%
51%CT win53%
57%T win49%
56%pistol46%
84%convert75%
MirageROO v ABY
55%45%
8-3record14-7
73%win67%
56%CT win57%
54%T win54%
68%pistol74%
87%convert100%
NukeROO v ABY
39%61%
6-15record8-12
29%win40%
45%CT win51%
38%T win51%
36%pistol53%
73%convert95%
Pistol, eco & sides
win% · convert if won · eco if lost · CT/T per mapct / t side win% (Nuke skews CT, Dust2 T)pistol won the opening pistolconv then won round 2eco lost pistol, won round 2
Map
ROOct
ROOt
ABYct
ABYt
ROOpistol
ROOconv
ROOeco
ABYpistol
ABYconv
ABYeco
Overpasspool
51%81/160
57%116/203
53%74/139
49%69/141
56%19/34
84%16/19
13%2/15
46%12/26
75%9/12
14%2/14
Miragepool
56%70/125
54%57/105
57%120/210
54%116/216
68%15/22
87%13/15
0%0/7
74%31/42
100%31/31
30%3/10
Nukepool
45%101/224
38%71/185
51%97/192
51%117/230
36%15/42
73%11/15
15%4/26
53%21/40
95%20/21
11%2/19
Ancientban
n/a
n/a
61%25/41
40%18/45
n/a
n/a
n/a
50%4/8
100%4/4
25%1/4
Dust2ban
60%110/183
53%111/209
33%4/12
58%7/12
53%21/40
76%16/21
16%3/19
50%1/2
100%1/1
0%0/1
Infernoban
41%64/155
55%83/150
49%89/181
43%63/148
53%16/30
75%12/16
7%1/14
41%13/32
54%7/13
42%8/19
Anubisban
54%81/149
46%57/125
47%21/45
40%21/53
43%12/28
100%11/11
0%0/16
50%5/10
20%1/5
0%0/5
colour = vs league averagebelowavgabove
Pistols
Abyssal wins more pistol rounds: 59% vs 50%. Winning a pistol usually wins you the next few rounds too, so this is a small head start.
After pistol
Win the pistol → Abyssal usually win the next round too (94% vs 82%). Lose the pistol → both fight back about the same (13% vs 16%).
Mentality & map flow
comebacks, blown leadsMargins
Rooster average a 5.9-round margin (11 blown, biggest 6); Abyssal average 5.2 (16 blown, 9 OTs). Hover any ⓘ for the matches behind it.
Rooster
Comebacks (won from 3+ down)i16/57 (28%)Comebacks (won from 3+ down)Of the 57 maps they won, 16 (28%) were won after trailing by 3+ rounds. So 28% of their wins were comebacks, not 28% of all games.vs ArcadeOverpassfrom 7 downvs MindfreakAnubisfrom 6 downvs AbyssalMiragefrom 6 downvs FURYCachefrom 6 downvs WYDOInfernofrom 5 down
Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)i11/42 (26%)Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)Of the 42 maps they lost, 11 (26%) were lost after leading by 3+ rounds: leads they threw away.vs MindfreakNukeled 6 · lost 11-13vs ArcadeNukeled 5 · lost 11-13vs Ground ZeroDust2led 4 · lost 10-13vs AbyssalOverpassled 4 · lost 6-13vs Ground ZeroMirageled 4 · lost 10-13
Biggest comebackifrom 7 downBiggest comebackLargest deficit erased to win a map.vs ArcadeOverpassfrom 7 down · won 16-13
Biggest lead blowni6 roundsBiggest lead blownLargest lead held and still lost.vs MindfreakNukeled 6 · lost 11-13
Avg map margini5.9 roundsAvg map marginAverage round difference across maps.
Close maps (≤3) · OTi28% · 8Close maps (≤3) · OT28% of their maps were decided by ≤3 rounds (nailbiters); 8 went to overtime.vs Ground ZeroNuke14-16vs ArcadeNuke16-14vs ArcadeOverpass16-13vs ArcadeOverpass16-12vs MindfreakAnubis22-20
Abyssal
Comebacks (won from 3+ down)i18/40 (45%)Comebacks (won from 3+ down)Of the 40 maps they won, 18 (45%) were won after trailing by 3+ rounds. So 45% of their wins were comebacks, not 45% of all games.vs Ground ZeroOverpassfrom 8 downvs THUNDER dOWNUNDEROverpassfrom 7 downvs MindfreakMiragefrom 7 downvs ArcadeCachefrom 7 downvs MGLBROSNukefrom 5 down
Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)i16/41 (39%)Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)Of the 41 maps they lost, 16 (39%) were lost after leading by 3+ rounds: leads they threw away.vs THUNDER dOWNUNDERNukeled 8 · lost 12-16vs ArcadeNukeled 8 · lost 11-13vs RoosterMirageled 6 · lost 7-13vs THUNDER dOWNUNDERInfernoled 6 · lost 10-13vs MindfreakInfernoled 4 · lost 8-13
Biggest comebackifrom 8 downBiggest comebackLargest deficit erased to win a map.vs Ground ZeroOverpassfrom 8 down · won 13-8
Biggest lead blowni8 roundsBiggest lead blownLargest lead held and still lost.vs THUNDER dOWNUNDERNukeled 8 · lost 12-16
Avg map margini5.2 roundsAvg map marginAverage round difference across maps.
Close maps (≤3) · OTi33% · 9Close maps (≤3) · OT33% of their maps were decided by ≤3 rounds (nailbiters); 9 went to overtime.vs SkeleAncient16-13vs THUNDER dOWNUNDERNuke12-16vs UndergroundMirage19-15vs MindfreakOverpass17-19vs ArcadeMirage13-16
Rooster vs Abyssal FAQ
Who is favored to win Rooster vs Abyssal?
Rooster are favored with a 69% model win probability, and are the bookmakers' favorite too.
What are the betting odds for Rooster vs Abyssal?
Bookmakers price Rooster at 1.53 and Abyssal at 2.29 (implied 60% vs 40%).
When do Rooster and Abyssal play?
Rooster vs Abyssal is scheduled for 2026-08-10 10:00 UTC at DFRAG Open Series 6.