Matches / Upcoming / Ground Zero vs Mindfreak
Prediction
Our model gives Ground Zero a 67% chance to beat Mindfreak at DFRAG Open Series 6. Bookmakers price Ground Zero at 1.17 and Mindfreak at 4.33 (implied 79% vs 21%).
FormatBO3Form32-27 · 22-20PistolsMIN 56%Likely mapsNuke · Inferno · Anubis
Model read: track record · HLTV rank · firepower · form, weighted by sample size. All figures respect the data-range filter.
Recent form
Ground Zero
Head-to-head
past meetings & common opponents21d ago
Mindfreak1 : 2
Ground Zero!5mo ago Ground Zero2 : 1 Mindfreak!5mo ago Ground Zero2 : 0 Mindfreak!5mo ago Ground Zero0 : 2 Mindfreak!5mo ago Mindfreak1 : 2 Ground Zero!6mo ago Ground Zero2 : 1 Mindfreak!6mo ago Mindfreak1 : 2 Ground Zero!
Mindfreak1 : 2 Ground Zero!⚠ Different lineup
Ground Zero
outtucks
invision
Mindfreak
outBay
inlawlkay
Ground Zero2 : 1 Mindfreak!⚠ Different lineup
Ground Zero
outdamyo, pz
inhazr, sliimey
Mindfreak
outCrunchy, dpr, sliimey, tucks
inkairo, lawlkay, phoebe, void
Ground Zero2 : 0 Mindfreak!⚠ Different lineup
Ground Zero
outdamyo, pz
inhazr, sliimey
Mindfreak
outCrunchy, Texta, dpr, sliimey, tucks
inkairo, lawlkay, phoebe, void
Ground Zero0 : 2 Mindfreak!⚠ Different lineup
Ground Zero
outdamyo, pz
inhazr, sliimey
Mindfreak
outCrunchy, Texta, dpr, sliimey
inkairo, lawlkay, phoebe, void
Mindfreak1 : 2 Ground Zero!⚠ Different lineup
Ground Zero
outdamyo, pz
inhazr, sliimey
Mindfreak
outCrunchy, Texta, dpr, sliimey
inkairo, lawlkay, phoebe, void
Ground Zero2 : 1 Mindfreak!⚠ Different lineup
Ground Zero
outdamyo, pz, yourwombat
inhazr, sliimey
Mindfreak
outCrunchy, Texta, dpr, sliimey
inkairo, lawlkay, phoebe, void
Mindfreak1 : 2 Ground Zero!⚠ Different lineup
Ground Zero
outdamyo, pz
inhazr, sliimey
Mindfreak
outCrunchy, Texta, dpr, sliimey
inkairo, lawlkay, phoebe, void
◂ GRO fared bettervs 8 shared opponentsMIN fared better ▸
FlyQuest#450-40-2
Mindfreak vs FlyQuest
Jul 18LNuke2-13Inferno3-13
THUNDER dOWNUNDER#717-213-9
Ground Zero vs THUNDER dOWNUNDER
Jul 18WDust28-13Anubis13-10Nuke16-14Jul 18LDust210-13Anubis7-13May 3LDust27-13Anubis5-13+8 earlier meetings
Mindfreak vs THUNDER dOWNUNDER
Jul 17LInferno5-13Mar 14LAnubis10-13Inferno5-13Feb 28Wseries3-0+3 earlier meetings
Arcade#1023-36-5
Ground Zero vs Arcade
Jul 17WMirage10-13Dust213-6Nuke13-7Jul 17WDust213-7Mar 17LAncient9-13Dust216-19Mindfreak vs Arcade
Apr 6LNuke18-22Dust213-7Mirage5-13Mar 16LDust219-16Inferno9-13Overpass10-13Mar 13WNuke13-6Anubis13-0+1 earlier meeting
Rooster#12515-65-4
Ground Zero vs Rooster
Jun 18LNuke13-2Anubis11-13Mirage11-13Jun 16WMirage13-10Dust216-13Apr 9WDust213-7Inferno13-4+6 earlier meetings
Mindfreak vs Rooster
Jul 17WNuke13-9Inferno16-14Mar 25LInferno11-13Anubis20-22Feb 8LOverpass11-13Nuke13-11Anubis9-13+1 earlier meeting
DINDing Cuts#1963-02-0
Mindfreak vs Ding Cuts
Feb 1WMirage13-6Overpass13-11
Abyssal#19810-510-5
Ground Zero vs Abyssal
Aug 6WMirage13-0Dust213-11May 2WMirage11-13Nuke13-8Inferno13-4Apr 7WOverpass8-13Inferno13-7Nuke19-16+3 earlier meetings
Mindfreak vs Abyssal
Jul 17WMirage6-13Inferno13-9Nuke13-6Apr 5LOverpass10-13Inferno16-13Nuke2-13Mar 31Lseries0-1+4 earlier meetings
Underground4-14-1
SemperFi0-50-4
Ground Zero 42-45combined map recordMindfreak 30-30even
Firepower
roster ratingsGround Zero · avg 1.14 · top +0.2
| Player | Mp | K-D | ADR | KAST | HS | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| sliimey | 51 | 1.28 | 84.4 | 77% | 58% | 1.34 |
| hazr | 34 | 1.09 | 75 | 71.9% | 65% | 1.19 |
| apocdud | 136 | 0.97 | 73.8 | 70.6% | 45% | 1.09 |
| vision | 106 | 0.99 | 70.6 | 69.1% | 60% | 1.05 |
| Omichella | 136 | 0.93 | 70.4 | 71.3% | 56% | 1.03 |
Mindfreak · avg 1.06 · top +0.03
| Player | Mp | K-D | ADR | KAST | HS | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| void | 19 | 1.16 | 68.2 | 74.7% | 43% | 1.09 |
| zune | 96 | 1.04 | 73.6 | 73.1% | 40% | 1.09 |
| phoebe | 19 | 1.04 | 74.6 | 73.1% | 56% | 1.08 |
| kairo | 27 | 1.14 | 74.9 | 72.2% | 46% | 1.04 |
| lawlkay | 8 | 0.9 | 64 | 76.8% | 53% | 0.98 |
Projected veto
likely picks & bansVeto read
Neither side's habitual bans cleanly remove the other's best maps. The veto is live.
Plays: Nuke · Inferno · Anubis · Removed: Ancient · Dust2 · Overpass · Mirage
every map shows both teams' win% (GRO / MIN)
1GROUND ZERO BAN
Ancientproj. removed
GRO
0%
0-1MIN
n/a
0g
GRO
0%
0-1
MIN
n/a
0g
Ground Zero on Ancient
L
Arcade
9–13
5mo agoMindfreak on Ancient
no recent maps
2MINDFREAK BAN
Dust2proj. removed
GRO
41%
12-17MIN
80%
4-1
GRO
41%
12-17
MIN
80%
4-1
3GROUND ZERO PICK
Nuke
GRO
65%
20-11MIN
50%
11-11
GRO
65%
20-11
MIN
50%
11-11
4MINDFREAK PICK
Inferno
GRO
59%
13-9MIN
61%
14-9
GRO
59%
13-9
MIN
61%
14-9
5GROUND ZERO BAN
Overpassproj. removed
GRO
33%
1-2MIN
54%
7-6
GRO
33%
1-2
MIN
54%
7-6
6MINDFREAK BAN
Mirageproj. removed
GRO
55%
12-10MIN
43%
6-8
GRO
55%
12-10
MIN
43%
6-8
7DECIDER
Anubisleft over
GRO
39%
11-17MIN
50%
9-9
GRO
39%
11-17
MIN
50%
9-9
Projected from each team's veto habits (BO3), assuming Ground Zero vetoes first.
Usual first ban: Ground Zero Ancient · Mindfreak Ancient.
Map lab
pick the 3 maps · per-map H2H + predictionlayout
Pick 3 maps ✓
Best-case draws · each side’s strongest realistic Bo3 · tap to load
The veto swings it: Ground Zero 62% on their maps vs Mindfreak 69% on theirs. Whoever shapes the pool is favoured. Ancient (50%) is the closest to a toss-up.
Ground Zero51%to win the seriescoin-flipiMap edgesNuke: Ground Zero 64% · Inferno: Mindfreak 52% toss-up · Anubis: Mindfreak 60%WhyMindfreak are favoured on 2 of 3 maps, but only barely: the other maps are near 50/50 (Anubis & Inferno), so Ground Zero just need to steal one (~69% to grab at least one).OutcomesGround Zero 51%: 2-0 31%, 2-1 20% · Mindfreak 49%: 2-1 30%, 2-0 19%
series odds add up every way a team can win, not just one scoreline
series odds add up every way a team can win, not just one scoreline
Ground Zero 51%49% Mindfreak
It’s nearly a coin-flip. Ground Zero only lead because their Nuke is strong enough that nicking just one of the close maps wins the series.
NukeGRO v MIN
64%36%
20-11record11-11
65%win50%
61%CT win58%
48%T win42%
52%pistol55%
88%convert88%
InfernoGRO v MIN
48%52%
13-9record14-9
59%win61%
52%CT win55%
49%T win47%
48%pistol54%
81%convert84%
AnubisGRO v MIN
40%60%
11-17record9-9
39%win50%
43%CT win56%
49%T win57%
46%pistol58%
81%convert95%
Pistol, eco & sides
win% · convert if won · eco if lost · CT/T per mapct / t side win% (Nuke skews CT, Dust2 T)pistol won the opening pistolconv then won round 2eco lost pistol, won round 2
Map
GROct
GROt
MINct
MINt
GROpistol
GROconv
GROeco
MINpistol
MINconv
MINeco
Nukepool
61%169/278
48%156/325
58%135/232
42%93/224
52%32/62
88%28/32
17%5/30
55%24/44
88%21/24
25%5/20
Infernopool
52%106/203
49%109/224
55%135/247
47%112/236
48%21/44
81%17/21
18%4/22
54%25/46
84%21/25
33%7/21
Anubispool
43%131/304
49%134/275
56%99/177
57%106/187
46%26/56
81%21/26
17%5/30
58%21/36
95%19/20
27%4/15
Ancientban
33%4/12
50%5/10
n/a
n/a
0%0/2
n/a
0%0/2
n/a
n/a
n/a
Dust2ban
47%141/299
47%145/310
47%23/49
58%31/53
43%25/58
84%21/25
15%5/33
50%5/10
80%4/5
20%1/5
Overpassban
50%18/36
27%7/26
50%64/129
51%79/154
50%3/6
67%2/3
0%0/3
54%14/26
86%12/14
33%4/12
Mirageban
54%130/240
49%100/205
51%72/141
51%67/132
43%19/44
78%14/18
16%4/25
54%15/28
73%11/15
23%3/13
colour = vs league averagebelowavgabove
Pistols
Mindfreak wins more pistol rounds: 56% vs 49%. Winning a pistol usually wins you the next few rounds too, so this is a small head start.
After pistol
Win the pistol → Mindfreak usually win the next round too (88% vs 84%). Lose the pistol → Mindfreak fight back to win the next round more often (29% vs 17%).
Mentality & map flow
comebacks, blown leadsMargins
Ground Zero average a 5.9-round margin (15 blown, biggest 8); Mindfreak average 5.4 (16 blown, 9 OTs). Hover any ⓘ for the matches behind it.
Ground Zero
Comebacks (won from 3+ down)i22/69 (32%)Comebacks (won from 3+ down)Of the 69 maps they won, 22 (32%) were won after trailing by 3+ rounds. So 32% of their wins were comebacks, not 32% of all games.vs 11minsDust2from 9 downvs THUNDER dOWNUNDERNukefrom 8 downvs THUNDER dOWNUNDERAnubisfrom 6 downvs UndergroundMiragefrom 5 downvs RoosterDust2from 4 down
Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)i15/67 (22%)Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)Of the 67 maps they lost, 15 (22%) were lost after leading by 3+ rounds: leads they threw away.vs AbyssalOverpassled 8 · lost 8-13vs THUNDER dOWNUNDERDust2led 7 · lost 10-13vs THUNDER dOWNUNDERNukeled 5 · lost 20-22vs MindfreakInfernoled 4 · lost 7-13vs THUNDER dOWNUNDERInfernoled 4 · lost 6-13
Biggest comebackifrom 9 downBiggest comebackLargest deficit erased to win a map.vs 11minsDust2from 9 down · won 16-12
Biggest lead blowni8 roundsBiggest lead blownLargest lead held and still lost.vs AbyssalOverpassled 8 · lost 8-13
Avg map margini5.9 roundsAvg map marginAverage round difference across maps.
Close maps (≤3) · OTi26% · 13Close maps (≤3) · OT26% of their maps were decided by ≤3 rounds (nailbiters); 13 went to overtime.vs UndergroundMirage16-13vs MindfreakMirage19-15vs RoosterNuke16-14vs THUNDER dOWNUNDERAnubis19-16vs THUNDER dOWNUNDERNuke20-22
Mindfreak
Comebacks (won from 3+ down)i14/51 (27%)Comebacks (won from 3+ down)Of the 51 maps they won, 14 (27%) were won after trailing by 3+ rounds. So 27% of their wins were comebacks, not 27% of all games.vs MARKandLARRYDust2from 7 downvs RoosterNukefrom 6 downvs MARKandLARRYNukefrom 6 downvs Ground ZeroInfernofrom 4 downvs AbyssalInfernofrom 4 down
Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)i16/44 (36%)Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)Of the 44 maps they lost, 16 (36%) were lost after leading by 3+ rounds: leads they threw away.vs AbyssalMirageled 7 · lost 6-13vs RoosterAnubisled 6 · lost 20-22vs THUNDER dOWNUNDERInfernoled 5 · lost 9-13vs ArcadeInfernoled 5 · lost 9-13vs FURYInfernoled 5 · lost 8-13
Biggest comebackifrom 7 downBiggest comebackLargest deficit erased to win a map.vs MARKandLARRYDust2from 7 down · won 19-17
Biggest lead blowni7 roundsBiggest lead blownLargest lead held and still lost.vs AbyssalMirageled 7 · lost 6-13
Avg map margini5.4 roundsAvg map marginAverage round difference across maps.
Close maps (≤3) · OTi26% · 9Close maps (≤3) · OT26% of their maps were decided by ≤3 rounds (nailbiters); 9 went to overtime.vs Ground ZeroMirage15-19vs AbyssalOverpass19-17vs ArcadeDust219-16vs MARKandLARRYDust219-17vs RoosterAnubis20-22
Ground Zero vs Mindfreak FAQ
Who is favored to win Ground Zero vs Mindfreak?
Ground Zero are favored with a 67% model win probability, and are the bookmakers' favorite too.
What are the betting odds for Ground Zero vs Mindfreak?
Bookmakers price Ground Zero at 1.17 and Mindfreak at 4.33 (implied 79% vs 21%).
When do Ground Zero and Mindfreak play?
Ground Zero vs Mindfreak is scheduled for 2026-08-10 10:00 UTC at DFRAG Open Series 6.