Leo vs Inner Circle Academy Prediction & Odds · CS2 Match Preview

Matches / Upcoming / Leo vs Inner Circle Academy

TBD

ESL Challenger League Season 52 Europe Cup 2

Prediction

Our model gives Leo a 61% chance to beat Inner Circle Academy at ESL Challenger League Season 52 Europe Cup 2. Bookmakers price Leo at 1.3 and Inner Circle Academy at 3.1 (implied 70% vs 30%).

Leo

1.3odds

Inner Circle Academy

3.1odds

Our read61%

39%

Market70%

30%

median decimal odds · 7 books

FormatBO3Form34-35 · 19-21PistolsINN 48%Likely mapsDust2 · Anubis · Ancient

Model read: track record · HLTV rank · firepower · form, weighted by sample size. All figures respect the data-range filter.

Recent form

Head-to-head

past meetings & common opponents

◂ LEO fared bettervs 7 shared opponentsINN fared better ▸

BRUTE#1092-01-4

Leo vs BRUTE

Apr 7WNuke13-7Dust213-3

Inner Circle Academy vs BRUTE

Jul 13LDust211-13Nuke9-13 Jul 12LDust222-25Mirage13-5Nuke11-13

BIG Academy#1402-11-2

Leo vs BIG Academy

Apr 25WAncient7-13Nuke13-10Anubis16-12

Inner Circle Academy vs BIG Academy

Jul 13LInferno4-13Dust216-14Ancient2-13

NEW VISION#1662-00-2

Leo vs NEW VISION

Jun 6WDust213-3Anubis13-7

Inner Circle Academy vs NEW VISION

Aug 2LDust211-13Ancient7-13

Lazer Cats#1676-50-1

Leo vs Lazer Cats

May 23WAncient5-13Anubis13-10Dust213-5 Mar 2WInferno13-10Dust216-14 Feb 21LInferno11-13Dust213-5Ancient7-13

+1 earlier meeting

Inner Circle Academy vs Lazer Cats

Jul 25Lseries0-1

ex-MANA#1700-23-2

Leo vs ex-MANA

Aug 2LDust210-13Anubis7-13

Inner Circle Academy vs ex-MANA

Aug 2LMirage11-13Anubis13-5Ancient9-13 Jul 15WDust213-7Ancient13-8

Vexar2-04-1

Leo vs Vexar

Aug 2WAncient13-3Nuke13-6

Inner Circle Academy vs Vexar

Aug 2WAncient13-11Dust22-13Anubis13-9 Jul 12WAncient13-3Dust213-7

ESC1-22-1

Leo vs ESC

Apr 1LAncient7-13Anubis13-8Mirage5-13

Inner Circle Academy vs ESC

Mar 23WDust213-8Nuke9-13Anubis13-10

Leo 15-10combined map recordInner Circle Academy 11-13edge · Leo

Firepower

roster ratings

Leo · avg 1.18 · top +0.37

Player	Mp	K-D	ADR	KAST	HS	Rating
drac	4	1.4	98.3	78%	54%	1.55
aimy	11	1.01	84.1	72.1%	55%	1.19
next1me	11	1.28	71.1	76%	35%	1.19
leen	67	0.96	68.3	71.7%	60%	1.02
Tarkky	4	0.88	57.2	70.5%	56%	0.95

Inner Circle Academy · avg 1.1 · top +0.07

Player	Mp	K-D	ADR	KAST	HS	Rating
L1seYoung	96	1.02	80.6	72.1%	68%	1.17
NaYz	96	1.12	72.8	72.1%	34%	1.12
Tamefear	67	0.98	70.5	71.2%	62%	1.09
3ippoch	96	0.94	73.5	70.3%	60%	1.06
n0rths	96	0.95	71.2	71.1%	52%	1.05

Projected veto

likely picks & bans

Veto read

Neither side's habitual bans cleanly remove the other's best maps. The veto is live.

Plays: Dust2 · Anubis · Ancient · Removed: Mirage · Inferno · Overpass · Nuke every map shows both teams' win% (LEO / INN)

1LEO BAN Mirageproj. removed

LEO 57% 4-3

INN 62% 8-5

Leo on Mirage

ASTRAL 10–13 1mo ago L

SPARTA 8–13 2mo ago W

HYPERSPIRIT 16–14 2mo ago W

Lilmix 13–2 2mo ago W

fnatic 13–10 3mo ago L

ESC 5–13 4mo ago W

CSDIILIT 13–11 4mo ago

Inner Circle Academy on Mirage

ex-MANA 11–13 1d ago W

ex-Young Ninjas 13–9 3d ago L

G2 Ares 11–13 9d ago W

Endless Journey 13–8 14d ago W

Entropy 13–5 18d ago W

BRUTE 13–5 22d ago L

Honvéd 6–13 29d ago W

Honvéd 13–11 3mo ago

2INNER CIRCLE ACADEMY BAN Infernoproj. removed

LEO 46% 6-7

INN 0% 0-1

Leo on Inferno

HAVU 13–8 2mo ago W

megoshort 13–3 4mo ago L

Rebels 9–13 4mo ago L

MANA 11–13 4mo ago W

BIG EQUIPA 13–4 5mo ago W

ex-Zero Tenacity 13–6 5mo ago L

BIG 7–13 5mo ago W

Lazer Cats 13–10 5mo ago

Inner Circle Academy on Inferno

BIG Academy 4–13 21d ago

3LEO PICK Dust2

LEO 62% 29-18

INN 52% 13-12

Leo on Dust2

ex-MANA 10–13 1d ago L

ASTRAL 5–13 1mo ago W

Coalesce 13–11 1mo ago W

Aimhaus 13–8 1mo ago L

100 Thieves 10–13 2mo ago W PsychoFace 13–11 2mo ago W

SPARTA 13–8 2mo ago L

Ursa 8–13 2mo ago

Inner Circle Academy on Dust2

Vexar 2–13 1d ago L

NEW VISION 11–13 1d ago L

ex-Young Ninjas 9–13 3d ago W

G2 Ares 13–6 9d ago L

Endless Journey 8–13 14d ago W

ROUNDS 13–4 15d ago W

Entropy 13–3 18d ago W Subtop De France 13–3 19d ago

4INNER CIRCLE ACADEMY PICK Anubis

LEO 30% 9-21

INN 56% 9-7

Leo on Anubis

ex-MANA 7–13 1d ago L PsychoFace 3–13 2mo ago L

Ursa 10–13 2mo ago W

NEW VISION 13–7 2mo ago L

ASTRAL 11–13 2mo ago L

Oramond 7–13 2mo ago L

Oramond 2–13 2mo ago L

ex-Zero Tenacity 7–13 2mo ago

Inner Circle Academy on Anubis

Vexar 13–9 1d ago W

ex-MANA 13–5 1d ago L Just Players 10–13 4d ago L Just Players 11–13 7d ago W

ex-RUSTEC 19–17 7d ago L

Fortress 11–13 8d ago W

INOX Division 13–10 11d ago L

Endless Journey 9–13 14d ago

5LEO BAN Overpassproj. removed

LEO 60% 3-2

INN 75% 6-2

Leo on Overpass

Rune Eaters 13–5 5mo ago W QWENTRY 13–6 5mo ago L

kONO 8–13 6mo ago L

WHITEBIRD 4–13 6mo ago W

ALGO 13–6 6mo ago

Inner Circle Academy on Overpass

Honvéd 13–7 3mo ago W

Nyxon 13–5 3mo ago L

SINNERS 5–13 3mo ago W bond1e 13–8 4mo ago W rottweilers 16–12 4mo ago L

magic 9–13 4mo ago W M1X KS 13–3 5mo ago W Legends 13–5 6mo ago

6INNER CIRCLE ACADEMY BAN Nukeproj. removed

LEO 44% 11-14

INN 36% 4-7

Leo on Nuke

Vexar 13–6 1d ago W

BERG 13–5 1mo ago W

100 Thieves 13–5 2mo ago W PsychoFace 13–11 2mo ago L

KOLESIE 3–13 2mo ago L

HAVU 4–13 2mo ago L

ex-Zero Tenacity 7–13 2mo ago L

Phantom 9–13 2mo ago

Inner Circle Academy on Nuke

ex-RUSTEC 13–9 7d ago L

INOX Division 5–13 11d ago L

BRUTE 9–13 21d ago L

BRUTE 11–13 22d ago L

Honvéd 10–13 29d ago W

BASEMENT BOYS 13–8 3mo ago L

MASONIC 7–13 3mo ago W

BASEMENT BOYS 13–7 3mo ago

7DECIDER Ancientleft over

LEO 54% 15-13

INN 37% 7-12

Leo on Ancient

Vexar 13–3 1d ago W

BERG 13–9 1mo ago W

GAMEHARMONY 13–7 1mo ago L

100 Thieves 12–16 2mo ago W

SPARTA 13–5 2mo ago W

KOLESIE 13–6 2mo ago W

ASTRAL 13–3 2mo ago L

Oramond 10–13 2mo ago

Inner Circle Academy on Ancient

Vexar 13–11 1d ago L

ex-MANA 9–13 1d ago L

NEW VISION 7–13 1d ago L

ex-Young Ninjas 8–13 3d ago L Just Players 5–13 4d ago L Just Players 16–19 7d ago L

Fortress 14–16 8d ago L

INOX Division 4–13 11d ago

Projected from each team's veto habits (BO3), assuming Leo vetoes first. Usual first ban: Leo Mirage · Inner Circle Academy Inferno.

Map lab

pick the 3 maps · per-map H2H + prediction

layout

Pick 3 maps ✓

Best-case draws · each side’s strongest realistic Bo3 · tap to load

The veto swings it: Leo 65% on their maps vs Inner Circle Academy 69% on theirs. Whoever shapes the pool is favoured. Inferno (52%) is the closest to a toss-up.

Leo51%to win the seriescoin-flipiMap edgesDust2: Leo 59% · Anubis: Inner Circle Academy 73% clear · Ancient: Leo 65% clearWhyLeo hold the edge across the maps (2 of 3 lean their way).OutcomesLeo 51%: 2-1 35%, 2-0 16% · Inner Circle Academy 49%: 2-0 30%, 2-1 19%
series odds add up every way a team can win, not just one scoreline

Leo 51%49% Inner Circle Academy

It’s nearly a coin-flip. Leo only lead because their Ancient & Dust2 is strong enough that nicking just one of the close maps wins the series.

Dust2LEO v INN

59%

41%

29-18record13-12

62%win52%

52%CT win53%

54%T win50%

50%pistol48%

87%convert92%

AnubisLEO v INN

27%

73%

9-21record9-7

30%win56%

43%CT win43%

49%T win60%

42%pistol44%

76%convert86%

AncientLEO v INN

65%

35%

15-13record7-12

54%win37%

52%CT win43%

49%T win49%

34%pistol53%

95%convert75%

Pistol, eco & sides

win% · convert if won · eco if lost · CT/T per map

ct / t side win% (Nuke skews CT, Dust2 T)pistol won the opening pistolconv then won round 2eco lost pistol, won round 2

Map

LEOct

LEOt

INNct

INNt

LEOpistol

LEOconv

LEOeco

INNpistol

INNconv

INNeco

Dust2pool

52%243/464

54%273/508

53%134/253

50%137/273

50%47/94

87%41/47

19%9/47

48%24/50

92%22/24

12%3/26

Anubispool

43%120/282

49%164/338

43%74/171

60%109/183

42%25/60

76%19/25

20%7/35

44%14/32

86%12/14

0%0/18

Ancientpool

52%150/286

49%141/285

43%86/202

49%92/187

34%19/56

95%18/19

8%3/37

53%20/38

75%15/20

33%6/18

Mirageban

58%48/83

40%26/65

56%87/156

54%66/122

50%7/14

86%6/7

14%1/7

46%12/26

92%11/12

14%2/14

Infernoban

48%74/153

54%61/112

33%4/12

0%0/5

54%14/26

86%12/14

33%4/12

0%0/2

n/a

0%0/2

Overpassban

70%40/57

30%11/37

55%35/64

60%56/93

60%6/10

100%6/6

0%0/4

69%11/16

82%9/11

0%0/5

Nukeban

51%148/288

47%111/235

49%64/131

45%44/98

52%26/50

77%20/26

17%4/24

55%12/22

67%8/12

0%0/10

colour = vs league averagebelowavgabove

Pistols

Inner Circle Academy wins more pistol rounds: 48% vs 43%. Winning a pistol usually wins you the next few rounds too, so this is a small head start.

After pistol

Win the pistol → both win the next round about the same (86% vs 84%). Lose the pistol → both fight back about the same (16% vs 15%).

Mentality & map flow

comebacks, blown leads

Margins

Leo average a 5.5-round margin (26 blown, biggest 6); Inner Circle Academy average 5.1 (17 blown, 12 OTs). Hover any ⓘ for the matches behind it.

Leo

Comebacks (won from 3+ down)i19/77 (25%)Comebacks (won from 3+ down)Of the 77 maps they won, 19 (25%) were won after trailing by 3+ rounds. So 25% of their wins were comebacks, not 25% of all games.vs Lazer CatsInfernofrom 6 down vs QWENTRYDust2from 6 down vs ASTRALDust2from 5 down vs AimhausDust2from 5 down vs ASTRALInfernofrom 4 down

Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)i26/78 (33%)Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)Of the 78 maps they lost, 26 (33%) were lost after leading by 3+ rounds: leads they threw away.vs Lazer CatsInfernoled 6 · lost 11-13 vs WWAnubisled 6 · lost 14-16 vs UrsaAnubisled 6 · lost 10-13 vs WWNukeled 5 · lost 17-19 vs ex-RUBYNukeled 4 · lost 9-13

Biggest comebackifrom 6 downBiggest comebackLargest deficit erased to win a map.vs Lazer CatsInfernofrom 6 down · won 13-10

Biggest lead blowni6 roundsBiggest lead blownLargest lead held and still lost.vs Lazer CatsInfernoled 6 · lost 11-13

Avg map margini5.5 roundsAvg map marginAverage round difference across maps.

Close maps (≤3) · OTi29% · 16Close maps (≤3) · OT29% of their maps were decided by ≤3 rounds (nailbiters); 16 went to overtime.vs Lazer CatsAnubis14-16 vs WWNuke17-19 vs WWAnubis14-16 vs BIGAnubis14-16 vs Bushido WildcatsNuke19-16

Inner Circle Academy

Comebacks (won from 3+ down)i19/49 (39%)Comebacks (won from 3+ down)Of the 49 maps they won, 19 (39%) were won after trailing by 3+ rounds. So 39% of their wins were comebacks, not 39% of all games.vs bond1eDust2from 8 down vs SAWAncientfrom 7 down vs MASONICAnubisfrom 6 down vs FortressCachefrom 6 down vs M1X KSMiragefrom 5 down

Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)i17/47 (36%)Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)Of the 47 maps they lost, 17 (36%) were lost after leading by 3+ rounds: leads they threw away.vs FortressAnubisled 7 · lost 11-13 vs WBTAnubisled 5 · lost 11-13 vs magicOverpassled 5 · lost 9-13 vs NEW VISIONDust2led 5 · lost 11-13 vs LegendsMirageled 4 · lost 10-13

Biggest comebackifrom 8 downBiggest comebackLargest deficit erased to win a map.vs bond1eDust2from 8 down · won 16-12

Biggest lead blowni7 roundsBiggest lead blownLargest lead held and still lost.vs FortressAnubisled 7 · lost 11-13

Avg map margini5.1 roundsAvg map marginAverage round difference across maps.

Close maps (≤3) · OTi32% · 12Close maps (≤3) · OT32% of their maps were decided by ≤3 rounds (nailbiters); 12 went to overtime.vs rottweilersOverpass16-12 vs bond1eDust216-12 vs MASONICAnubis16-13 vs BASEMENT BOYSDust217-19 vs MisaDust219-15

Leo vs Inner Circle Academy FAQ

Who is favored to win Leo vs Inner Circle Academy?

Leo are favored with a 61% model win probability, and are the bookmakers' favorite too.

What are the betting odds for Leo vs Inner Circle Academy?

Bookmakers price Leo at 1.3 and Inner Circle Academy at 3.1 (implied 70% vs 30%).

When do Leo and Inner Circle Academy play?

Leo vs Inner Circle Academy is scheduled for a date to be confirmed at ESL Challenger League Season 52 Europe Cup 2.