Matches / Upcoming / MOUZ NXT vs Misa
Prediction
Our model gives Misa a 51% chance to beat MOUZ NXT at ESL Challenger League Season 52 Europe Cup 2. Bookmakers price MOUZ NXT at 1.41 and Misa at 2.65 (implied 65% vs 35%).
FormatBO3Form45-48 · 22-33PistolsMOU 52%Likely mapsAnubis · Dust2 · Overpass
Model read: track record · HLTV rank · firepower · form, weighted by sample size. All figures respect the data-range filter.
Recent form
MOUZ NXT
Head-to-head
past meetings & common opponents◂ MOU fared bettervs 8 shared opponentsMIS fared better ▸
magic#262-30-2
Misa vs magic
Feb 13LAnubis1-13Mirage9-13
9INE#571-22-1
MOUZ NXT vs 9INE
Feb 2LAnubis13-11Overpass10-13Nuke10-13Misa vs 9INE
Apr 23WDust29-13Overpass19-17Inferno13-11
fnatic#631-01-2
MOUZ NXT vs fnatic
Mar 24WAnubis13-10Misa vs fnatic
Jul 12LDust211-13Cache19-16Anubis8-13LAVLavked#1172-40-2
Misa vs Lavked
Jun 9LDust25-13Mirage10-13
Bushido Wildcats#1331-22-1
MOUZ NXT vs Bushido Wildcats
Jul 12LDust23-13Nuke13-11Mirage5-13Misa vs Bushido Wildcats
May 24WMirage11-13Anubis16-14Dust213-11
WBT#1441-21-6
BEBBebop#1501-00-6
MOUZ NXT vs Bebop
May 5Wseries1-0
OlyBet#2121-02-0
MOUZ NXT vs OlyBet
Jan 4WMirage13-10Misa vs OlyBet
Jul 17WDust213-8Anubis13-3MOUZ NXT 10-13combined map recordMisa 8-20edge · MOUZ NXT
Firepower
roster ratingsMOUZ NXT · avg 1.08 · top +0.18
| Player | Mp | K-D | ADR | KAST | HS | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| xelex | 159 | 1.19 | 83.3 | 73.8% | 63% | 1.26 |
| Joey | 135 | 1.03 | 76.5 | 73.5% | 49% | 1.11 |
| Nikodeon | 203 | 0.99 | 75.7 | 71.6% | 60% | 1.1 |
| Flierax | 43 | 1.14 | 71.8 | 70.8% | 32% | 1.07 |
| opdust | 203 | 0.85 | 67.6 | 69.8% | 53% | 1 |
| ay0k | 203 | 0.91 | 65.2 | 69% | 45% | 0.97 |
Misa · avg 1.07 · top +0.1
| Player | Mp | K-D | ADR | KAST | HS | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| h0kz | 28 | 1.16 | 74.3 | 71.8% | 50% | 1.17 |
| EMSTAR | 49 | 0.9 | 81.3 | 69.5% | 58% | 1.09 |
| Ckanic | 128 | 1.02 | 71.9 | 72% | 61% | 1.06 |
| Zuedsta | 128 | 0.96 | 69.1 | 70.2% | 58% | 1.04 |
| souv | 116 | 0.92 | 67.7 | 72.1% | 55% | 1.01 |
Projected veto
likely picks & bansVeto read
Neither side's habitual bans cleanly remove the other's best maps. The veto is live.
Plays: Anubis · Dust2 · Overpass · Removed: Inferno · Ancient · Mirage · Nuke
every map shows both teams' win% (MOU / MIS)
1MOUZ NXT BAN
Infernoproj. removed
MOU
n/a
0gMIS
50%
7-7
MOU
n/a
0g
MIS
50%
7-7
MOUZ NXT on Inferno
no recent maps
2MISA BAN
Ancientproj. removed
MOU
48%
15-16MIS
n/a
0g
MOU
48%
15-16
MIS
n/a
0g
MOUZ NXT on Ancient
W
Noir Verse
13–8
22d ago
W
UNiTY
13–11
3mo ago
L
Lavked
7–13
3mo ago
W
UNiTY
13–9
3mo ago
L
Acend
20–22
3mo ago
L
CYBERSHOKE
7–13
4mo ago
L
EYEBALLERS
7–13
4mo ago
W
megoshort
13–8
5mo agoMisa on Ancient
no recent maps
3MOUZ NXT PICK
Anubis
MOU
45%
13-16MIS
50%
10-10
MOU
45%
13-16
MIS
50%
10-10
4MISA PICK
Dust2
MOU
47%
17-19MIS
53%
19-17
MOU
47%
17-19
MIS
53%
19-17
5MOUZ NXT BAN
Mirageproj. removed
MOU
45%
18-22MIS
39%
9-14
MOU
45%
18-22
MIS
39%
9-14
6MISA BAN
Nukeproj. removed
MOU
49%
17-18MIS
40%
8-12
MOU
49%
17-18
MIS
40%
8-12
7DECIDER
Overpassleft over
MOU
33%
7-14MIS
29%
2-5
MOU
33%
7-14
MIS
29%
2-5
Projected from each team's veto habits (BO3), assuming MOUZ NXT vetoes first.
Usual first ban: MOUZ NXT Inferno · Misa Ancient.
Map lab
pick the 3 maps · per-map H2H + predictionlayout
Pick 3 maps ✓
Best-case draws · each side’s strongest realistic Bo3 · tap to load
The veto swings it: MOUZ NXT 57% on their maps vs Misa 55% on theirs. Whoever shapes the pool is favoured. Inferno (50%) is the closest to a toss-up.
Misa54%to win the seriescoin-flipiMap edgesAnubis: Misa 55% toss-up · Dust2: Misa 55% toss-up · Overpass: MOUZ NXT 52% toss-upWhyMisa hold the edge across the maps (2 of 3 lean their way).OutcomesMOUZ NXT 46%: 2-1 26%, 2-0 20% · Misa 54%: 2-0 30%, 2-1 24%
series odds add up every way a team can win, not just one scoreline
series odds add up every way a team can win, not just one scoreline
MOUZ NXT 46%54% Misa
It’s nearly a coin-flip. Misa only lead because their pick is strong enough that nicking just one of the close maps wins the series.
AnubisMOU v MIS
45%55%
13-16record10-10
45%win50%
50%CT win47%
46%T win49%
41%pistol40%
71%convert94%
Dust2MOU v MIS
45%55%
17-19record19-17
47%win53%
46%CT win50%
47%T win53%
60%pistol54%
72%convert82%
OverpassMOU v MIS
52%48%
7-14record2-5
33%win29%
47%CT win60%
40%T win31%
55%pistol43%
87%convert100%
Pistol, eco & sides
win% · convert if won · eco if lost · CT/T per mapct / t side win% (Nuke skews CT, Dust2 T)pistol won the opening pistolconv then won round 2eco lost pistol, won round 2
Map
MOUct
MOUt
MISct
MISt
MOUpistol
MOUconv
MOUeco
MISpistol
MISconv
MISeco
Anubispool
50%152/306
46%139/301
47%98/207
49%107/220
41%24/58
71%17/24
15%5/34
40%16/40
94%15/16
8%2/24
Dust2pool
46%178/385
47%161/339
50%171/345
53%211/398
60%43/72
72%31/43
21%6/29
54%39/72
82%32/39
18%6/33
Overpasspool
47%114/243
40%71/176
60%43/72
31%23/75
55%23/42
87%20/23
5%1/19
43%6/14
100%6/6
0%0/8
Infernoban
n/a
n/a
48%80/168
52%76/145
n/a
n/a
n/a
39%11/28
82%9/11
24%4/17
Ancientban
50%177/351
51%141/279
n/a
n/a
47%29/62
75%21/28
22%7/32
n/a
n/a
n/a
Mirageban
58%236/408
42%172/405
51%134/263
44%99/224
49%39/80
77%30/39
12%5/41
54%25/46
80%20/25
5%1/21
Nukeban
57%206/361
47%176/377
52%113/217
43%83/192
50%35/70
80%28/35
14%5/35
55%22/40
77%17/22
17%3/18
colour = vs league averagebelowavgabove
Pistols
MOUZ NXT wins more pistol rounds: 52% vs 48%. Winning a pistol usually wins you the next few rounds too, so this is a small head start.
After pistol
Win the pistol → Misa usually win the next round too (87% vs 76%). Lose the pistol → both fight back about the same (15% vs 12%).
Mentality & map flow
comebacks, blown leadsMargins
MOUZ NXT average a 5.5-round margin (37 blown, biggest 10); Misa average 5 (21 blown, 16 OTs). Hover any ⓘ for the matches behind it.
MOUZ NXT
Comebacks (won from 3+ down)i32/94 (34%)Comebacks (won from 3+ down)Of the 94 maps they won, 32 (34%) were won after trailing by 3+ rounds. So 34% of their wins were comebacks, not 34% of all games.vs Nuclear TigeRESNukefrom 8 downvs Friendly CampersNukefrom 6 downvs Johnny SpeedsAnubisfrom 6 downvs UNiTYAncientfrom 6 downvs TDKAnubisfrom 5 down
Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)i37/108 (34%)Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)Of the 108 maps they lost, 37 (34%) were lost after leading by 3+ rounds: leads they threw away.vs Bushido WildcatsDust2led 10 · lost 3-13vs AcendAnubisled 8 · lost 13-16vs TDKOverpassled 7 · lost 8-13vs los kogutosMirageled 6 · lost 11-13vs ex-RUBYMirageled 6 · lost 13-16
Biggest comebackifrom 8 downBiggest comebackLargest deficit erased to win a map.vs Nuclear TigeRESNukefrom 8 down · won 19-15
Biggest lead blowni10 roundsBiggest lead blownLargest lead held and still lost.vs Bushido WildcatsDust2led 10 · lost 3-13
Avg map margini5.5 roundsAvg map marginAverage round difference across maps.
Close maps (≤3) · OTi31% · 27Close maps (≤3) · OT31% of their maps were decided by ≤3 rounds (nailbiters); 27 went to overtime.vs Friendly CampersNuke16-13vs Friendly CampersDust216-13vs FAVBETNuke14-16vs AaBAnubis16-14vs FAVBETNuke14-16
Misa
Comebacks (won from 3+ down)i19/57 (33%)Comebacks (won from 3+ down)Of the 57 maps they won, 19 (33%) were won after trailing by 3+ rounds. So 33% of their wins were comebacks, not 33% of all games.vs WBTAnubisfrom 10 downvs ex-MANAInfernofrom 7 downvs WBTAnubisfrom 6 downvs HonvédMiragefrom 6 downvs Young NinjasMiragefrom 5 down
Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)i21/71 (30%)Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)Of the 71 maps they lost, 21 (30%) were lost after leading by 3+ rounds: leads they threw away.vs EntropyCacheled 9 · lost 11-13vs EntropyCacheled 8 · lost 8-13vs ex-MANAMirageled 7 · lost 10-13vs Young NinjasNukeled 6 · lost 17-19vs eternal premiumInfernoled 6 · lost 11-13
Biggest comebackifrom 10 downBiggest comebackLargest deficit erased to win a map.vs WBTAnubisfrom 10 down · won 13-6
Biggest lead blowni9 roundsBiggest lead blownLargest lead held and still lost.vs EntropyCacheled 9 · lost 11-13
Avg map margini5 roundsAvg map marginAverage round difference across maps.
Close maps (≤3) · OTi37% · 16Close maps (≤3) · OT37% of their maps were decided by ≤3 rounds (nailbiters); 16 went to overtime.vs LPHInferno15-19vs LPHNuke13-16vs 9INEOverpass19-17vs Endless JourneyInferno19-15vs Young NinjasNuke17-19
MOUZ NXT vs Misa FAQ
Who is favored to win MOUZ NXT vs Misa?
Misa are favored with a 51% model win probability, and are the bookmakers' favorite too.
What are the betting odds for MOUZ NXT vs Misa?
Bookmakers price MOUZ NXT at 1.41 and Misa at 2.65 (implied 65% vs 35%).
When do MOUZ NXT and Misa play?
MOUZ NXT vs Misa is scheduled for a date to be confirmed at ESL Challenger League Season 52 Europe Cup 2.