K27 vs SAW Prediction & Odds · CS2 Match Preview

Matches / Upcoming / K27 vs SAW

K27

★

2026-08-09 09:00 UTC

Esports World Cup 2026 Open Qualifier

SAW

PredictionHigh confidence

Our model gives K27 a 73% chance to beat SAW at Esports World Cup 2026 Open Qualifier. Bookmakers price K27 at 1.26 and SAW at 3.5 (implied 74% vs 26%).

K27

1.26odds

SAW

3.5odds

Our read73%

27%

Market74%

26%

median decimal odds · 22 books

FormatBO3Tier★Form49-29 · 13-25PistolsK27 56%Likely mapsDust2 · Anubis · Ancient

Model read: track record · HLTV rank · firepower · form, weighted by sample size. All figures respect the data-range filter.

Recent form

Head-to-head

past meetings & common opponents

◂ K27 fared bettervs 6 shared opponentsSAW fared better ▸

Ninjas in Pyjamas#272-30-1

K27 vs Ninjas in Pyjamas

Jul 18WMirage19-17Nuke4-13Cache13-9 Jul 15LAncient8-13Nuke8-13

SAW vs Ninjas in Pyjamas

Mar 12LAnubis10-13

HEROIC#300-30-1

K27 vs HEROIC

Jul 18LNuke9-13Mirage11-13Dust211-13

SAW vs HEROIC

Mar 28LMirage4-13

fnatic#511-20-2

K27 vs fnatic

Feb 10LDust213-16Mirage13-0Overpass8-13

SAW vs fnatic

Feb 20LAnubis4-13Inferno10-13

G2 Ares#782-10-1

K27 vs G2 Ares

Mar 19WAncient13-5Dust28-13Mirage13-8

SAW vs G2 Ares

May 1LAncient7-13

CYBERSHOKE#812-10-1

K27 vs CYBERSHOKE

Mar 4WDust213-2Nuke11-13Mirage13-4

SAW vs CYBERSHOKE

Mar 28LAncient5-13

JUSJust Players#991-22-1

K27 vs Just Players

Jul 31LNuke9-13Mirage13-8Ancient6-13

SAW vs Just Players

Jul 1WAnubis9-13Ancient13-9

K27 8-12combined map recordSAW 2-7edge · K27

Firepower

roster ratings

K27 · avg 1.16 · top +0.07

Player	Mp	K-D	ADR	KAST	HS	Rating
clax	9	1.17	77.2	80.6%	62%	1.23
xeedo	194	1.08	80.8	73.7%	55%	1.22
qw1nk1	194	1.03	75.2	73.6%	61%	1.18
kashl1d	194	1.11	66.2	71.8%	35%	1.11
X5G7V	194	0.91	74.6	70.3%	51%	1.05

SAW · avg 1.06 · top +0.12

Player	Mp	K-D	ADR	KAST	HS	Rating
krazy	6	1.22	74.4	76.8%	44%	1.18
MUTiRiS	6	1.13	67.4	73.8%	49%	1.15
story	6	1.18	69.9	68.9%	29%	1.08
ewjerkz	6	0.95	75.3	79.4%	51%	1.05
NOPEEj	6	0.75	59.9	69.8%	56%	0.85

Projected veto

likely picks & bans

Veto read

Neither side's habitual bans cleanly remove the other's best maps. The veto is live.

Plays: Dust2 · Anubis · Ancient · Removed: Inferno · Overpass · Nuke · Mirage every map shows both teams' win% (K27 / SAW)

1K27 BAN Infernoproj. removed

K27 n/a 0g

SAW 63% 10-6

K27 on Inferno

no recent maps

SAW on Inferno

EAC 13–9 today L

DENDELE 10–13 1d ago W

EAC 13–10 1d ago W Wampirki 13–11 1mo ago W

Entropy 13–7 1mo ago L

Misa 9–13 2mo ago W Subtop De France 13–4 3mo ago W

ex-Zero Tenacity 19–17 3mo ago

2SAW BAN Overpassproj. removed

K27 36% 8-14

SAW n/a 0g

K27 on Overpass

W Echo 13–9 2mo ago W

Virtus.pro 13–10 2mo ago L

Virtus.pro 7–13 2mo ago W

WW 13–2 3mo ago W PsychoFace 13–5 3mo ago L

magic 19–22 3mo ago W

Gentle Mates 13–9 3mo ago L

magic 11–13 4mo ago

SAW on Overpass

no recent maps

3K27 PICK Dust2

K27 60% 27-18

SAW 50% 4-4

K27 on Dust2

SINNERS 13–0 today L

HEROIC 11–13 21d ago W

Wildcard 16–13 23d ago W SHISHKA 13–8 2mo ago W

100 Thieves 13–9 2mo ago W

Walczaki 13–6 2mo ago L

WW 4–13 3mo ago L

Falcons 5–13 3mo ago

SAW on Dust2

Entropy 19–22 1mo ago W Subtop De France 13–6 3mo ago L

Enjoy 11–13 3mo ago W Julie&Cie 13–9 3mo ago W

Project 91 13–8 3mo ago L

OlyBet 4–13 3mo ago L

Rebels 10–13 7mo ago W MINLATE 13–11 7mo ago

4SAW PICK Anubis

K27 56% 10-8

SAW 33% 4-8

K27 on Anubis

W Dark Tigre 13–0 1d ago L

Aurora 8–13 17d ago L

Nuclear TigeRES 9–13 2mo ago W

Walczaki 13–6 2mo ago L

Nuclear TigeRES 8–13 2mo ago L

magic 6–13 4mo ago L

Nemiga 7–13 5mo ago W

BIG 13–8 5mo ago

SAW on Anubis

EAC 13–11 today L

DENDELE 10–13 1d ago L Just Players 9–13 1mo ago L

ASTRAL 16–19 3mo ago L

Enjoy 3–13 3mo ago W

ex-Zero Tenacity 13–8 3mo ago W

Sashi Academy 13–3 4mo ago W

Ølgod Efterskole 13–2 4mo ago

5K27 BAN Nukeproj. removed

K27 49% 18-19

SAW 33% 3-6

K27 on Nuke

L Just Players 9–13 8d ago L

INFINITE 14–16 16d ago L

Aurora 3–13 17d ago L

HEROIC 9–13 21d ago L

Ninjas in Pyjamas 4–13 21d ago W

Phantom 13–9 22d ago L

Ninjas in Pyjamas 8–13 24d ago L

Virtus.pro 17–19 2mo ago

SAW on Nuke

Entropy 13–7 1mo ago L

OlyBet 7–13 3mo ago L

MTX 9–13 3mo ago L

Sashi Academy 8–13 4mo ago L

Ølgod Efterskole 11–13 4mo ago W

WAZABI 13–11 4mo ago W

Rebels 13–11 5mo ago L

Rebels 6–13 7mo ago

6SAW BAN Mirageproj. removed

K27 70% 26-11

SAW 30% 3-7

K27 on Mirage

W Dark Tigre 13–1 1d ago W Just Players 13–8 8d ago L

INFINITE 11–13 16d ago W

Aurora 13–11 17d ago L

HEROIC 11–13 21d ago W

Ninjas in Pyjamas 19–17 21d ago W

Wildcard 13–8 23d ago W Echo 13–9 2mo ago

SAW on Mirage

Entropy 13–9 1mo ago W

WBT 13–3 1mo ago L

Misa 13–16 2mo ago L

Project 91 5–13 3mo ago L

ROUNDS 17–19 3mo ago L

HEROIC 4–13 4mo ago L

Voca 6–13 5mo ago W

Oramond 16–14 6mo ago

7DECIDER Ancientleft over

K27 65% 20-11

SAW 33% 4-8

K27 on Ancient

L Just Players 6–13 8d ago W

3DMAX 13–3 22d ago W

Phantom 13–6 22d ago L

Ninjas in Pyjamas 8–13 24d ago W

Acend 13–11 2mo ago W SHISHKA 13–3 2mo ago W

Virtus.pro 13–6 2mo ago W PsychoFace 13–4 3mo ago

SAW on Ancient

W Wampirki 13–5 1mo ago W Just Players 13–9 1mo ago L

WBT 9–13 1mo ago L

Inner Circle Academy 8–13 1mo ago L

ASTRAL 9–13 3mo ago W

Enjoy 13–11 3mo ago L

Project 91 5–13 3mo ago L

G2 Ares 7–13 3mo ago

Projected from each team's veto habits (BO3), assuming K27 vetoes first. Usual first ban: K27 Inferno · SAW Overpass.

Map lab

pick the 3 maps · per-map H2H + prediction

layout

Pick 3 maps ✓

Best-case draws · each side’s strongest realistic Bo3 · tap to load

K27 stay favoured even on SAW’s best maps. The veto won’t flip it. Inferno (50%) is the closest to a toss-up.

K2776%to win the seriesclear pickiMap edgesDust2: K27 60% · Anubis: K27 69% clear · Ancient: K27 76% clearWhyK27 hold the edge across the maps (3 of 3 lean their way).OutcomesK27 76%: 2-0 41%, 2-1 35% · SAW 24%: 2-0 13%, 2-1 11%
series odds add up every way a team can win, not just one scoreline

K27 76%24% SAW

K27 are the clearer side here: the most likely result is K27 2-0.

Dust2K27 v SAW

60%

40%

27-18record4-4

60%win50%

54%CT win52%

54%T win50%

57%pistol56%

84%convert89%

AnubisK27 v SAW

69%

31%

10-8record4-8

56%win33%

52%CT win50%

43%T win49%

47%pistol42%

100%convert100%

AncientK27 v SAW

76%

24%

20-11record4-8

65%win33%

54%CT win42%

54%T win46%

61%pistol46%

79%convert55%

Pistol, eco & sides

win% · convert if won · eco if lost · CT/T per map

ct / t side win% (Nuke skews CT, Dust2 T)pistol won the opening pistolconv then won round 2eco lost pistol, won round 2

Map

K27ct

K27t

SAWct

SAWt

K27pistol

K27conv

K27eco

SAWpistol

SAWconv

SAWeco

Dust2pool

54%243/448

54%262/484

52%48/92

50%41/82

57%51/90

84%42/50

21%8/39

56%9/16

89%8/9

14%1/7

Anubispool

52%84/161

43%83/191

50%57/114

49%66/135

47%17/36

100%16/16

11%2/19

42%10/24

100%10/10

14%2/14

Ancientpool

54%158/292

54%184/340

42%55/132

46%53/115

61%38/62

79%30/38

33%8/24

46%11/24

55%6/11

23%3/13

Infernoban

n/a

48%69/144

58%107/185

n/a

63%20/32

80%16/20

33%4/12

Overpassban

58%127/218

40%94/234

n/a

55%24/44

75%18/24

21%4/19

n/a

Nukeban

56%215/384

42%166/396

52%51/98

35%32/92

53%39/74

77%30/39

20%7/35

22%4/18

100%4/4

14%2/14

Mirageban

62%228/365

49%180/364

49%49/99

39%40/103

66%49/74

79%38/48

36%9/25

55%11/20

73%8/11

44%4/9

colour = vs league averagebelowavgabove

Pistols

K27 wins more pistol rounds: 56% vs 47%. Winning a pistol usually wins you the next few rounds too, so this is a small head start.

After pistol

Win the pistol → K27 usually win the next round too (85% vs 80%). Lose the pistol → K27 fight back to win the next round more often (22% vs 18%).

Mentality & map flow

comebacks, blown leads

Margins

K27 average a 5.5-round margin (30 blown, biggest 8); SAW average 5.3 (15 blown, 8 OTs). Hover any ⓘ for the matches behind it.

K27

Comebacks (won from 3+ down)i38/112 (34%)Comebacks (won from 3+ down)Of the 112 maps they won, 38 (34%) were won after trailing by 3+ rounds. So 34% of their wins were comebacks, not 34% of all games.vs ARCREDDust2from 9 down vs WildcardDust2from 7 down vs WHITEBIRDNukefrom 6 down vs Inner CircleAnubisfrom 6 down vs AcendAncientfrom 6 down

Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)i30/81 (37%)Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)Of the 81 maps they lost, 30 (37%) were lost after leading by 3+ rounds: leads they threw away.vs ex-RUBYDust2led 8 · lost 10-13 vs WWMirageled 8 · lost 11-13 vs 1winOverpassled 7 · lost 11-13 vs INFINITENukeled 7 · lost 14-16 vs magicAncientled 6 · lost 9-13

Biggest comebackifrom 9 downBiggest comebackLargest deficit erased to win a map.vs ARCREDDust2from 9 down · won 16-13

Biggest lead blowni8 roundsBiggest lead blownLargest lead held and still lost.vs ex-RUBYDust2led 8 · lost 10-13

Avg map margini5.5 roundsAvg map marginAverage round difference across maps.

Close maps (≤3) · OTi27% · 23Close maps (≤3) · OT27% of their maps were decided by ≤3 rounds (nailbiters); 23 went to overtime.vs 9INEAncient16-12 vs WATERMELONAncient22-20 vs ARCREDDust216-13 vs NemigaAnubis16-12 vs MOUZ NXTAnubis31-29

SAW

Comebacks (won from 3+ down)i7/29 (24%)Comebacks (won from 3+ down)Of the 29 maps they won, 7 (24%) were won after trailing by 3+ rounds. So 24% of their wins were comebacks, not 24% of all games.vs EnjoyAncientfrom 5 down vs EACAnubisfrom 4 down vs RebelsAncientfrom 3 down vs RebelsNukefrom 3 down vs ex-Zero TenacityAnubisfrom 3 down

Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)i15/39 (38%)Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)Of the 39 maps they lost, 15 (38%) were lost after leading by 3+ rounds: leads they threw away.vs Just PlayersAnubisled 7 · lost 9-13 vs Inner Circle AcademyAncientled 7 · lost 8-13 vs Ølgod EfterskoleNukeled 5 · lost 11-13 vs RebelsDust2led 4 · lost 10-13 vs BetBoomMirageled 4 · lost 9-13

Biggest comebackifrom 5 downBiggest comebackLargest deficit erased to win a map.vs EnjoyAncientfrom 5 down · won 13-11

Biggest lead blowni7 roundsBiggest lead blownLargest lead held and still lost.vs Just PlayersAnubisled 7 · lost 9-13

Avg map margini5.3 roundsAvg map marginAverage round difference across maps.

Close maps (≤3) · OTi34% · 8Close maps (≤3) · OT34% of their maps were decided by ≤3 rounds (nailbiters); 8 went to overtime.vs OramondMirage16-14 vs FluxoAnubis20-22 vs ROUNDSMirage17-19 vs ex-Zero TenacityInferno19-17 vs ASTRALAnubis16-19

K27 vs SAW FAQ

Who is favored to win K27 vs SAW?

K27 are favored with a 73% model win probability, and are the bookmakers' favorite too.

What are the betting odds for K27 vs SAW?

Bookmakers price K27 at 1.26 and SAW at 3.5 (implied 74% vs 26%).

When do K27 and SAW play?

K27 vs SAW is scheduled for 2026-08-09 09:00 UTC at Esports World Cup 2026 Open Qualifier.