Matches / Upcoming / SINNERS vs EYEBALLERS
Prediction
Our model gives SINNERS a 59% chance to beat EYEBALLERS at Esports World Cup 2026 Open Qualifier. Bookmakers price SINNERS at 2.02 and EYEBALLERS at 1.72 (implied 46% vs 54%).
FormatBO3Tier★Form35-28 · 29-25PistolsSIN 56%Likely mapsMirage · Nuke · Ancient
Model read: track record · HLTV rank · firepower · form, weighted by sample size. All figures respect the data-range filter.
Recent form
SINNERS
Head-to-head
past meetings & common opponents◂ SIN fared bettervs 8 shared opponentsEYE fared better ▸
9z#70-11-0
SINNERS vs 9z
Jul 2LDust25-13EYEBALLERS vs 9z
Jul 1WAncient13-10
FaZe#110-24-5
SINNERS vs FaZe
Jul 3LMirage7-13Ancient2-13EYEBALLERS vs FaZe
Jul 22LMirage12-16Dust28-13Jul 5LAncient22-20Mirage14-16Cache3-13Apr 4Wseries1-0+1 earlier meeting
Astralis#130-21-2
SINNERS vs Astralis
May 13LMirage11-13Inferno8-13EYEBALLERS vs Astralis
Apr 9LMirage13-8Ancient14-16Inferno2-13
FUT#151-22-0
SINNERS vs FUT
Jul 23LDust213-6Ancient3-13Mirage8-13EYEBALLERS vs FUT
Jan 22WAnubis13-10Dust213-5
magic#221-20-2
SINNERS vs magic
Feb 3LAncient10-13Mirage13-7Dust28-13EYEBALLERS vs magic
Feb 5LAncient2-13Mirage5-13
TYLOO#250-20-2
SINNERS vs TYLOO
Jun 3LAncient14-16Inferno10-13EYEBALLERS vs TYLOO
Jul 3LNuke6-13Cache7-13
Alliance#262-25-5
EYEBALLERS vs Alliance
May 24LInferno20-22Overpass13-5Ancient9-13May 23WNuke13-8Dust213-5Mar 28LInferno6-13Dust29-13+1 earlier meeting
Nemesis#322-24-7
EYEBALLERS vs Nemesis
Jul 4LAncient10-13Inferno13-9Dust219-22Apr 9LNuke4-13Mirage4-13Mar 4LNuke13-11Mirage4-13Overpass8-13+1 earlier meeting
SINNERS 6-15combined map recordEYEBALLERS 17-23edge · EYEBALLERS
Firepower
roster ratingsSINNERS · avg 1.11 · top +0.04
| Player | Mp | K-D | ADR | KAST | HS | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MoDo | 132 | 1.26 | 71.5 | 74.9% | 33% | 1.15 |
| kisserek | 132 | 1.02 | 78.4 | 73% | 54% | 1.13 |
| stressarN | 132 | 1.11 | 77 | 74.1% | 53% | 1.13 |
| SHOCK | 132 | 1.03 | 69.2 | 73.5% | 55% | 1.09 |
| beastik | 132 | 0.94 | 72.7 | 72.2% | 56% | 1.06 |
EYEBALLERS · avg 1.08 · top +0.14
| Player | Mp | K-D | ADR | KAST | HS | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| KRIMZ | 17 | 1.1 | 81.2 | 75.2% | 47% | 1.22 |
| maxster | 116 | 1.12 | 72.4 | 72.8% | 60% | 1.16 |
| Ro1f | 117 | 0.94 | 71.3 | 71.7% | 59% | 1.06 |
| dex | 118 | 0.89 | 70.4 | 68.6% | 53% | 0.99 |
| JW | 118 | 0.93 | 67 | 68.4% | 39% | 0.98 |
Projected veto
likely picks & bansVeto read
Neither side's habitual bans cleanly remove the other's best maps. The veto is live.
Plays: Mirage · Nuke · Ancient · Removed: Anubis · Dust2 · Inferno · Overpass
every map shows both teams' win% (SIN / EYE)
1SINNERS BAN
Anubisproj. removed
SIN
n/a
0gEYE
50%
8-8
SIN
n/a
0g
EYE
50%
8-8
SINNERS on Anubis
no recent maps
2EYEBALLERS BAN
Dust2proj. removed
SIN
54%
15-13EYE
42%
5-7
SIN
54%
15-13
EYE
42%
5-7
3SINNERS PICK
Mirage
SIN
61%
17-11EYE
56%
15-12
SIN
61%
17-11
EYE
56%
15-12
4EYEBALLERS PICK
Nuke
SIN
42%
8-11EYE
64%
7-4
SIN
42%
8-11
EYE
64%
7-4
5SINNERS BAN
Infernoproj. removed
SIN
47%
7-8EYE
41%
7-10
SIN
47%
7-8
EYE
41%
7-10
6EYEBALLERS BAN
Overpassproj. removed
SIN
79%
11-3EYE
50%
5-5
SIN
79%
11-3
EYE
50%
5-5
7DECIDER
Ancientleft over
SIN
52%
12-11EYE
52%
12-11
SIN
52%
12-11
EYE
52%
12-11
Projected from each team's veto habits (BO3), assuming SINNERS vetoes first.
Usual first ban: SINNERS Anubis · EYEBALLERS Nuke.
Map lab
pick the 3 maps · per-map H2H + predictionlayout
Pick 3 maps ✓
Best-case draws · each side’s strongest realistic Bo3 · tap to load
The veto swings it: SINNERS 70% on their maps vs EYEBALLERS 59% on theirs. Whoever shapes the pool is favoured. Anubis (50%) is the closest to a toss-up.
EYEBALLERS57%to win the seriescoin-flipiMap edgesMirage: SINNERS 55% toss-up · Nuke: EYEBALLERS 68% clear · Ancient: EYEBALLERS 50% toss-upWhyEYEBALLERS hold the edge across the maps (2 of 3 lean their way).OutcomesSINNERS 43%: 2-1 26%, 2-0 18% · EYEBALLERS 57%: 2-0 31%, 2-1 26%
series odds add up every way a team can win, not just one scoreline
series odds add up every way a team can win, not just one scoreline
SINNERS 43%57% EYEBALLERS
It’s nearly a coin-flip. EYEBALLERS only lead because their Nuke is strong enough that nicking just one of the close maps wins the series.
MirageSIN v EYE
55%45%
17-11record15-12
61%win56%
54%CT win65%
55%T win44%
59%pistol46%
76%convert84%
NukeSIN v EYE
32%68%
8-11record7-4
42%win64%
57%CT win48%
42%T win50%
50%pistol55%
84%convert50%
AncientSIN v EYE
50%50%
12-11record12-11
52%win52%
48%CT win59%
53%T win42%
59%pistol48%
74%convert77%
Pistol, eco & sides
win% · convert if won · eco if lost · CT/T per mapct / t side win% (Nuke skews CT, Dust2 T)pistol won the opening pistolconv then won round 2eco lost pistol, won round 2
Map
SINct
SINt
EYEct
EYEt
SINpistol
SINconv
SINeco
EYEpistol
EYEconv
EYEeco
Miragepool
54%155/285
55%175/321
65%160/248
44%126/287
59%33/56
76%25/33
17%4/23
46%25/54
84%21/25
14%4/29
Nukepool
57%120/209
42%76/183
48%55/115
50%56/112
50%19/38
84%16/19
16%3/19
55%12/22
50%6/12
20%2/10
Ancientpool
48%128/267
53%110/208
59%147/248
42%98/232
59%27/46
74%20/27
16%3/19
48%22/46
77%17/22
4%1/24
Anubisban
n/a
n/a
44%79/181
52%83/161
n/a
n/a
n/a
59%19/32
79%15/19
23%3/13
Dust2ban
52%135/260
51%155/306
53%74/140
50%58/117
46%26/56
77%20/26
17%5/29
38%9/24
89%8/9
20%3/15
Infernoban
57%98/173
47%73/155
48%92/191
47%80/171
60%18/30
76%13/17
8%1/12
44%15/34
93%14/15
21%4/19
Overpassban
64%101/159
53%71/134
60%62/103
47%42/90
54%15/28
87%13/15
8%1/13
55%11/20
70%7/10
33%3/9
colour = vs league averagebelowavgabove
Pistols
SINNERS wins more pistol rounds: 56% vs 48%. Winning a pistol usually wins you the next few rounds too, so this is a small head start.
After pistol
Win the pistol → both win the next round about the same (77% vs 75%). Lose the pistol → SINNERS fight back to win the next round more often (16% vs 11%).
Mentality & map flow
comebacks, blown leadsMargins
SINNERS average a 5.1-round margin (20 blown, biggest 8); EYEBALLERS average 5.5 (17 blown, 19 OTs). Hover any ⓘ for the matches behind it.
SINNERS
Comebacks (won from 3+ down)i23/72 (32%)Comebacks (won from 3+ down)Of the 72 maps they won, 23 (32%) were won after trailing by 3+ rounds. So 32% of their wins were comebacks, not 32% of all games.vs 1winDust2from 6 downvs ECSTATICMiragefrom 6 downvs Rune EatersDust2from 6 downvs Johnny SpeedsMiragefrom 5 downvs KOLESIEOverpassfrom 5 down
Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)i20/60 (33%)Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)Of the 60 maps they lost, 20 (33%) were lost after leading by 3+ rounds: leads they threw away.vs Gentle MatesInfernoled 8 · lost 17-19vs TrickedMirageled 6 · lost 13-16vs SpiritMirageled 5 · lost 11-13vs BetBoomNukeled 5 · lost 7-13vs BET-MAncientled 5 · lost 11-13
Biggest comebackifrom 6 downBiggest comebackLargest deficit erased to win a map.vs 1winDust2from 6 down · won 13-11
Biggest lead blowni8 roundsBiggest lead blownLargest lead held and still lost.vs Gentle MatesInfernoled 8 · lost 17-19
Avg map margini5.1 roundsAvg map marginAverage round difference across maps.
Close maps (≤3) · OTi39% · 17Close maps (≤3) · OT39% of their maps were decided by ≤3 rounds (nailbiters); 17 went to overtime.vs GenOneNuke14-16vs AcendAncient16-14vs GamerLegionMirage19-16vs GamerLegionInferno14-16vs ECSTATICAncient22-20
EYEBALLERS
Comebacks (won from 3+ down)i18/59 (31%)Comebacks (won from 3+ down)Of the 59 maps they won, 18 (31%) were won after trailing by 3+ rounds. So 31% of their wins were comebacks, not 31% of all games.vs FUTAnubisfrom 8 downvs BetclicAnubisfrom 6 downvs FOKUSInfernofrom 6 downvs NemesisInfernofrom 6 downvs AllianceInfernofrom 5 down
Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)i17/59 (29%)Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)Of the 59 maps they lost, 17 (29%) were lost after leading by 3+ rounds: leads they threw away.vs Gentle MatesInfernoled 7 · lost 13-16vs AstralisAncientled 7 · lost 14-16vs BetclicAnubisled 6 · lost 9-13vs CYBERSHOKEDust2led 5 · lost 11-13vs 1winInfernoled 4 · lost 7-13
Biggest comebackifrom 8 downBiggest comebackLargest deficit erased to win a map.vs FUTAnubisfrom 8 down · won 13-10
Biggest lead blowni7 roundsBiggest lead blownLargest lead held and still lost.vs Gentle MatesInfernoled 7 · lost 13-16
Avg map margini5.5 roundsAvg map marginAverage round difference across maps.
Close maps (≤3) · OTi31% · 19Close maps (≤3) · OT31% of their maps were decided by ≤3 rounds (nailbiters); 19 went to overtime.vs NemesisInferno22-18vs UrsaMirage14-16vs VitalityAnubis16-19vs BET-MDust213-16vs TrickedOverpass14-16
SINNERS vs EYEBALLERS FAQ
Who is favored to win SINNERS vs EYEBALLERS?
SINNERS are favored with a 59% model win probability, and are the bookmakers' favorite too.
What are the betting odds for SINNERS vs EYEBALLERS?
Bookmakers price SINNERS at 2.02 and EYEBALLERS at 1.72 (implied 46% vs 54%).
When do SINNERS and EYEBALLERS play?
SINNERS vs EYEBALLERS is scheduled for 2026-08-09 09:00 UTC at Esports World Cup 2026 Open Qualifier.