Matches / Upcoming / Fluxo vs fnatic
Prediction
Our model gives fnatic a 62% chance to beat Fluxo at Esports World Cup 2026 Open Qualifier. Bookmakers price Fluxo at 2.49 and fnatic at 1.48 (implied 37% vs 63%).
FormatBO3Tier★Form31-29 · 38-27PistolsFNA 49%Likely mapsDust2 · Anubis · Inferno
Model read: track record · HLTV rank · firepower · form, weighted by sample size. All figures respect the data-range filter.
Recent form
Fluxo
Head-to-head
past meetings & common opponents◂ FLU fared bettervs 1 shared opponentFNA fared better ▸
SAW#2191-02-0
Fluxo vs SAW
Mar 28WAnubis22-20fnatic vs SAW
Feb 20WAnubis13-4Inferno13-10Fluxo 1-0combined map recordfnatic 2-0even
Firepower
roster ratingsFluxo · avg 1.12 · top +0.08
| Player | Mp | K-D | ADR | KAST | HS | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| dav1deuS | 58 | 1.09 | 84.5 | 74% | 58% | 1.2 |
| exit | 135 | 1.1 | 73 | 76.2% | 52% | 1.13 |
| Ltz | 58 | 1 | 74.4 | 72.5% | 58% | 1.11 |
| kye | 127 | 1.04 | 73.1 | 73.2% | 61% | 1.08 |
| zevy | 135 | 1.13 | 69 | 72.7% | 35% | 1.08 |
fnatic · avg 1.19 · top +0.17
| Player | Mp | K-D | ADR | KAST | HS | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| cairne | 25 | 1.27 | 84.2 | 79.6% | 53% | 1.36 |
| mazay | 25 | 1.13 | 80.1 | 74.7% | 58% | 1.22 |
| jackasmo | 147 | 1.13 | 82.1 | 74.7% | 61% | 1.21 |
| jambo | 147 | 1.21 | 76.4 | 73.8% | 40% | 1.2 |
| fEAR | 147 | 0.88 | 69.1 | 71.1% | 50% | 0.97 |
Projected veto
likely picks & bansVeto read
Neither side's habitual bans cleanly remove the other's best maps. The veto is live.
Plays: Dust2 · Anubis · Inferno · Removed: Overpass · Nuke · Ancient · Mirage
every map shows both teams' win% (FLU / FNA)
1FLUXO BAN
Overpassproj. removed
FLU
n/a
0gFNA
40%
6-9
FLU
n/a
0g
FNA
40%
6-9
Fluxo on Overpass
no recent maps
2FNATIC BAN
Nukeproj. removed
FLU
50%
20-20FNA
n/a
0g
FLU
50%
20-20
FNA
n/a
0g
Fluxo on Nuke
W
DUSTY
13–1
1d ago
L
BESTIA
12–16
7d ago
W
Imperial
13–8
8d ago
W
Bounty Hunters
13–4
9d ago
L
MIBR
10–13
11d ago
L
Isurus
4–13
13d ago
W
Keyd Stars
13–9
14d ago
W
paiN Academy
13–6
16d agofnatic on Nuke
no recent maps
3FLUXO PICK
Dust2
FLU
57%
16-12FNA
56%
15-12
FLU
57%
16-12
FNA
56%
15-12
4FNATIC PICK
Anubis
FLU
57%
8-6FNA
60%
18-12
FLU
57%
8-6
FNA
60%
18-12
5FLUXO BAN
Ancientproj. removed
FLU
18%
2-9FNA
55%
17-14
FLU
18%
2-9
FNA
55%
17-14
6FNATIC BAN
Mirageproj. removed
FLU
56%
10-8FNA
62%
13-8
FLU
56%
10-8
FNA
62%
13-8
7DECIDER
Infernoleft over
FLU
53%
10-9FNA
76%
13-4
FLU
53%
10-9
FNA
76%
13-4
Projected from each team's veto habits (BO3), assuming Fluxo vetoes first.
Usual first ban: Fluxo Overpass · fnatic Nuke.
Map lab
pick the 3 maps · per-map H2H + predictionlayout
Pick 3 maps ✓
Best-case draws · each side’s strongest realistic Bo3 · tap to load
The veto swings it: Fluxo 51% on their maps vs fnatic 78% on theirs. Whoever shapes the pool is favoured. Nuke (50%) is the closest to a toss-up.
fnatic62%to win the seriesclear pickiMap edgesDust2: Fluxo 52% toss-up · Anubis: fnatic 53% toss-up · Inferno: fnatic 72% clearWhyfnatic hold the edge across the maps (2 of 3 lean their way).OutcomesFluxo 38%: 2-0 24%, 2-1 14% · fnatic 62%: 2-1 36%, 2-0 26%
series odds add up every way a team can win, not just one scoreline
series odds add up every way a team can win, not just one scoreline
Fluxo 38%62% fnatic
fnatic are the clearer side here: the most likely result is fnatic 2-1.
Dust2FLU v FNA
52%48%
16-12record15-12
57%win56%
50%CT win50%
54%T win51%
41%pistol46%
91%convert92%
AnubisFLU v FNA
47%53%
8-6record18-12
57%win60%
47%CT win50%
52%T win54%
32%pistol53%
89%convert94%
InfernoFLU v FNA
28%72%
10-9record13-4
53%win76%
54%CT win61%
47%T win55%
45%pistol44%
94%convert93%
Pistol, eco & sides
win% · convert if won · eco if lost · CT/T per mapct / t side win% (Nuke skews CT, Dust2 T)pistol won the opening pistolconv then won round 2eco lost pistol, won round 2
Map
FLUct
FLUt
FNAct
FNAt
FLUpistol
FLUconv
FLUeco
FNApistol
FNAconv
FNAeco
Dust2pool
50%142/282
54%164/305
50%154/305
51%134/265
41%23/56
91%21/23
18%6/33
46%25/54
92%23/25
21%6/29
Anubispool
47%66/139
52%76/145
50%157/317
54%162/299
32%9/28
89%8/9
5%1/19
53%32/60
94%30/32
18%5/28
Infernopool
54%101/188
47%88/188
61%94/155
55%105/190
45%17/38
94%16/17
24%5/21
44%15/34
93%14/15
21%4/19
Overpassban
n/a
n/a
51%79/156
42%69/163
n/a
n/a
n/a
57%17/30
88%15/17
8%1/13
Nukeban
57%229/405
48%191/400
n/a
n/a
54%43/80
79%34/43
16%6/37
n/a
n/a
n/a
Ancientban
52%61/117
38%45/120
53%166/316
49%154/312
45%10/22
80%8/10
0%0/12
48%30/62
90%26/29
13%4/32
Mirageban
59%111/189
43%60/138
58%126/218
46%97/211
44%16/36
80%12/15
15%3/20
45%19/42
84%16/19
18%4/22
colour = vs league averagebelowavgabove
Pistols
fnatic wins more pistol rounds: 49% vs 40%. Winning a pistol usually wins you the next few rounds too, so this is a small head start.
After pistol
Win the pistol → both win the next round about the same (92% vs 93%). Lose the pistol → fnatic fight back to win the next round more often (20% vs 16%).
Mentality & map flow
comebacks, blown leadsMargins
Fluxo average a 5.8-round margin (16 blown, biggest 12); fnatic average 5.4 (18 blown, 19 OTs). Hover any ⓘ for the matches behind it.
Fluxo
Comebacks (won from 3+ down)i17/69 (25%)Comebacks (won from 3+ down)Of the 69 maps they won, 17 (25%) were won after trailing by 3+ rounds. So 25% of their wins were comebacks, not 25% of all games.vs paiN AcademyNukefrom 6 downvs MarsborneAncientfrom 5 downvs ODDIKDust2from 5 downvs Keyd StarsMiragefrom 5 downvs MIBR AcademyNukefrom 4 down
Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)i16/66 (24%)Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)Of the 66 maps they lost, 16 (24%) were lost after leading by 3+ rounds: leads they threw away.vs paiN AcademyAnubisled 12 · lost 1-13vs LPInfernoled 7 · lost 11-13vs SharksNukeled 6 · lost 10-13vs GameHuntersMirageled 5 · lost 10-13vs GalorysDust2led 5 · lost 19-22
Biggest comebackifrom 6 downBiggest comebackLargest deficit erased to win a map.vs paiN AcademyNukefrom 6 down · won 13-7
Biggest lead blowni12 roundsBiggest lead blownLargest lead held and still lost.vs paiN AcademyAnubisled 12 · lost 1-13
Avg map margini5.8 roundsAvg map marginAverage round difference across maps.
Close maps (≤3) · OTi24% · 13Close maps (≤3) · OT24% of their maps were decided by ≤3 rounds (nailbiters); 13 went to overtime.vs ShindeNAncient14-16vs ODDIKAncient18-22vs ODDIKDust222-18vs SAWAnubis22-20vs Keyd StarsNuke13-16
fnatic
Comebacks (won from 3+ down)i36/87 (41%)Comebacks (won from 3+ down)Of the 87 maps they won, 36 (41%) were won after trailing by 3+ rounds. So 41% of their wins were comebacks, not 41% of all games.vs ENCEOverpassfrom 10 downvs MonteOverpassfrom 7 downvs BRUTEAnubisfrom 7 downvs LavkedMiragefrom 6 downvs ALGOAnubisfrom 6 down
Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)i18/60 (30%)Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)Of the 60 maps they lost, 18 (30%) were lost after leading by 3+ rounds: leads they threw away.vs AllianceInfernoled 6 · lost 13-16vs illwillDust2led 6 · lost 12-16vs ENCEAncientled 5 · lost 17-19vs MOUZ NXTAnubisled 5 · lost 10-13vs SashiInfernoled 5 · lost 7-13
Biggest comebackifrom 10 downBiggest comebackLargest deficit erased to win a map.vs ENCEOverpassfrom 10 down · won 16-14
Biggest lead blowni6 roundsBiggest lead blownLargest lead held and still lost.vs AllianceInfernoled 6 · lost 13-16
Avg map margini5.4 roundsAvg map marginAverage round difference across maps.
Close maps (≤3) · OTi32% · 19Close maps (≤3) · OT32% of their maps were decided by ≤3 rounds (nailbiters); 19 went to overtime.vs GenOneDust214-16vs AstralisMirage16-12vs K27Dust216-13vs ENCEAncient17-19vs MonteOverpass19-16
Fluxo vs fnatic FAQ
Who is favored to win Fluxo vs fnatic?
fnatic are favored with a 62% model win probability, and are the bookmakers' favorite too.
What are the betting odds for Fluxo vs fnatic?
Bookmakers price Fluxo at 2.49 and fnatic at 1.48 (implied 37% vs 63%).
When do Fluxo and fnatic play?
Fluxo vs fnatic is scheduled for 2026-08-09 09:00 UTC at Esports World Cup 2026 Open Qualifier.