Matches / Upcoming / Virtus.pro vs Sashi
Prediction
Our model gives Virtus.pro a 64% chance to beat Sashi at Esports World Cup 2026 Open Qualifier. Bookmakers price Virtus.pro at 1.53 and Sashi at 2.4 (implied 61% vs 39%).
FormatBO3Tier★Form20-11 · 39-29PistolsVIR 48%Likely mapsOverpass · Nuke · Anubis
Model read: track record · HLTV rank · firepower · form, weighted by sample size. All figures respect the data-range filter.
Recent form
Virtus.pro
Head-to-head
past meetings & common opponents◂ VIR fared bettervs 8 shared opponentsSAS fared better ▸
Inner Circle#310-21-2
Virtus.pro vs Inner Circle
Jul 11LMirage9-13Dust29-13Sashi vs Inner Circle
Jun 26LOverpass16-14Dust212-16Nuke14-16
K27#404-20-2
Sashi vs K27
Mar 9LNuke5-13Mirage9-13
Nuclear TigeRES#540-11-2
Virtus.pro vs Nuclear TigeRES
Jan 17LInferno10-13Sashi vs Nuclear TigeRES
Aug 6LNuke7-13Anubis13-11Ancient8-13EX-ex-RUBY#600-20-2
Virtus.pro vs ex-RUBY
Jun 21LMirage14-16Dust25-13Sashi vs ex-RUBY
May 10LDust23-13Nuke9-13
GenOne#674-22-1
Sashi vs GenOne
Aug 5WInferno13-8Anubis11-13Nuke13-4
KOLESIE0-21-3
Virtus.pro vs KOLESIE
Jun 11LAnubis8-13Overpass9-13
Oxuji2-04-0
Virtus.pro vs Oxuji
Jun 9WDust216-13Nuke13-11
illwill1-20-1
Virtus.pro vs illwill
Jun 14LDust213-11Mirage11-13Overpass10-13Sashi vs illwill
Feb 22LNuke6-13Virtus.pro 11-13combined map recordSashi 9-13even
Firepower
roster ratingsVirtus.pro · avg 1.13 · top +0.08
| Player | Mp | K-D | ADR | KAST | HS | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| b1st | 77 | 1.2 | 75.7 | 72.1% | 34% | 1.21 |
| AquaRS | 67 | 0.98 | 75.6 | 71.9% | 64% | 1.15 |
| mir | 68 | 0.99 | 78.4 | 72.4% | 51% | 1.14 |
| F0R3VER | 68 | 0.96 | 70.9 | 72.1% | 62% | 1.08 |
| tO0RO | 77 | 0.98 | 67.7 | 71.4% | 60% | 1.06 |
Sashi · avg 1.13 · top +0.06
| Player | Mp | K-D | ADR | KAST | HS | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zyphon | 92 | 1.06 | 78.4 | 75.1% | 57% | 1.19 |
| Anlelele | 24 | 1.14 | 70.1 | 76.4% | 52% | 1.17 |
| acoR | 137 | 1.17 | 73.9 | 72.8% | 35% | 1.11 |
| MistR | 137 | 0.99 | 72.5 | 74.8% | 55% | 1.1 |
| Cabbi | 137 | 0.97 | 74 | 70.7% | 59% | 1.09 |
Projected veto
likely picks & bansVeto read
Sashi habitually bans Mirage, Virtus.pro's strongest maps (Mirage, Ancient, Nuke, Cache all ≥60%).
That's a standing habit (Mirage 38/68), not an opponent read, so expect Virtus.pro to fight the veto for Overpass.
Plays: Overpass · Nuke · Anubis · Removed: Inferno · Mirage · Ancient · Dust2
every map shows both teams' win% (VIR / SAS)
1VIRTUS.PRO BAN
Infernoproj. removed
VIR
0%
0-2SAS
75%
12-4
VIR
0%
0-2
SAS
75%
12-4
2SASHI BAN
Mirageproj. removed
VIR
63%
10-6SAS
29%
4-10
VIR
63%
10-6
SAS
29%
4-10
3VIRTUS.PRO PICK
Overpass
VIR
55%
6-5SAS
56%
9-7
VIR
55%
6-5
SAS
56%
9-7
4SASHI PICK
Nuke
VIR
80%
8-2SAS
56%
18-14
VIR
80%
8-2
SAS
56%
18-14
5VIRTUS.PRO BAN
Ancientproj. removed
VIR
71%
5-2SAS
50%
11-11
VIR
71%
5-2
SAS
50%
11-11
6SASHI BAN
Dust2proj. removed
VIR
50%
10-10SAS
40%
8-12
VIR
50%
10-10
SAS
40%
8-12
7DECIDER
Anubisleft over
VIR
50%
3-3SAS
56%
5-4
VIR
50%
3-3
SAS
56%
5-4
Projected from each team's veto habits (BO3), assuming Virtus.pro vetoes first.
Usual first ban: Virtus.pro Inferno · Sashi Dust2.
Map lab
pick the 3 maps · per-map H2H + predictionlayout
Pick 3 maps ✓
Best-case draws · each side’s strongest realistic Bo3 · tap to load
The veto swings it: Virtus.pro 80% on their maps vs Sashi 60% on theirs. Whoever shapes the pool is favoured. Overpass (52%) is the closest to a toss-up.
Virtus.pro57%to win the seriescoin-flipiMap edgesOverpass: Sashi 52% toss-up · Nuke: Virtus.pro 70% clear · Anubis: Sashi 55% toss-upWhySashi are favoured on 2 of 3 maps, but only barely: the other maps are near 50/50 (Anubis & Overpass), so Virtus.pro just need to steal one (~72% to grab at least one).OutcomesVirtus.pro 57%: 2-0 34%, 2-1 23% · Sashi 43%: 2-1 28%, 2-0 15%
series odds add up every way a team can win, not just one scoreline
series odds add up every way a team can win, not just one scoreline
Virtus.pro 57%43% Sashi
It’s nearly a coin-flip. Virtus.pro only lead because their Nuke is strong enough that nicking just one of the close maps wins the series.
OverpassVIR v SAS
48%52%
6-5record9-7
55%win56%
61%CT win50%
45%T win43%
45%pistol25%
90%convert75%
NukeVIR v SAS
70%30%
8-2record18-14
80%win56%
62%CT win62%
53%T win45%
45%pistol53%
63%convert68%
AnubisVIR v SAS
45%55%
3-3record5-4
50%win56%
45%CT win45%
52%T win63%
58%pistol28%
57%convert100%
Pistol, eco & sides
win% · convert if won · eco if lost · CT/T per mapct / t side win% (Nuke skews CT, Dust2 T)pistol won the opening pistolconv then won round 2eco lost pistol, won round 2
Map
VIRct
VIRt
SASct
SASt
VIRpistol
VIRconv
VIReco
SASpistol
SASconv
SASeco
Overpasspool
61%70/115
45%57/128
50%76/151
43%72/168
45%10/22
90%9/10
17%2/12
25%8/32
75%6/8
35%8/23
Nukepool
62%63/102
53%59/112
62%204/328
45%156/343
45%9/20
63%5/8
0%0/11
53%34/64
68%23/34
23%7/30
Anubispool
45%29/64
52%35/67
45%48/106
63%58/92
58%7/12
57%4/7
20%1/5
28%5/18
100%5/5
38%5/13
Infernoban
54%13/24
35%8/23
57%75/131
62%108/173
25%1/4
100%1/1
67%2/3
72%23/32
82%18/22
22%2/9
Mirageban
56%92/165
50%86/173
50%77/154
39%56/144
34%11/32
73%8/11
33%7/21
54%15/28
67%10/15
23%3/13
Ancientban
51%40/79
54%37/69
54%129/238
48%108/226
57%8/14
100%8/8
33%2/6
48%21/44
86%18/21
26%6/23
Dust2ban
49%105/215
50%98/195
48%112/233
48%80/166
43%17/40
82%14/17
30%7/23
43%17/40
71%12/17
22%5/23
colour = vs league averagebelowavgabove
Pistols
Virtus.pro wins more pistol rounds: 48% vs 41%. Winning a pistol usually wins you the next few rounds too, so this is a small head start.
After pistol
Win the pistol → both win the next round about the same (72% vs 72%). Lose the pistol → Sashi fight back to win the next round more often (30% vs 11%).
Mentality & map flow
comebacks, blown leadsMargins
Virtus.pro average a 4.9-round margin (9 blown, biggest 5); Sashi average 5.5 (16 blown, 13 OTs). Hover any ⓘ for the matches behind it.
Virtus.pro
Comebacks (won from 3+ down)i20/44 (45%)Comebacks (won from 3+ down)Of the 44 maps they won, 20 (45%) were won after trailing by 3+ rounds. So 45% of their wins were comebacks, not 45% of all games.vs CYBERSHOKEDust2from 9 downvs 1winOverpassfrom 6 downvs PsychoFaceMiragefrom 6 downvs WWCachefrom 6 downvs 1winDust2from 5 down
Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)i9/31 (29%)Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)Of the 31 maps they lost, 9 (29%) were lost after leading by 3+ rounds: leads they threw away.vs GenOneDust2led 5 · lost 11-13vs K27Overpassled 5 · lost 10-13vs ex-RUBYMirageled 5 · lost 14-16vs VitalityDust2led 4 · lost 6-13vs Nuclear TigeRESInfernoled 4 · lost 10-13
Biggest comebackifrom 9 downBiggest comebackLargest deficit erased to win a map.vs CYBERSHOKEDust2from 9 down · won 13-4
Biggest lead blowni5 roundsBiggest lead blownLargest lead held and still lost.vs GenOneDust2led 5 · lost 11-13
Avg map margini4.9 roundsAvg map marginAverage round difference across maps.
Close maps (≤3) · OTi39% · 9Close maps (≤3) · OT39% of their maps were decided by ≤3 rounds (nailbiters); 9 went to overtime.vs RUSTECOverpass12-16vs BET-MNuke16-12vs ARCREDAncient22-20vs OxujiDust216-13vs K27Nuke19-17
Sashi
Comebacks (won from 3+ down)i23/72 (32%)Comebacks (won from 3+ down)Of the 72 maps they won, 23 (32%) were won after trailing by 3+ rounds. So 32% of their wins were comebacks, not 32% of all games.vs LiquidNukefrom 6 downvs KOLESIEAncientfrom 6 downvs ECSTATICNukefrom 5 downvs OmegaAncientfrom 5 downvs fnaticInfernofrom 5 down
Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)i16/64 (25%)Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)Of the 64 maps they lost, 16 (25%) were lost after leading by 3+ rounds: leads they threw away.vs AMAncientled 9 · lost 14-16vs WalczakiInfernoled 6 · lost 11-13vs Nuclear TigeRESNukeled 6 · lost 7-13vs OmegaMirageled 5 · lost 8-13vs PhantomMirageled 5 · lost 11-13
Biggest comebackifrom 6 downBiggest comebackLargest deficit erased to win a map.vs LiquidNukefrom 6 down · won 13-10
Biggest lead blowni9 roundsBiggest lead blownLargest lead held and still lost.vs AMAncientled 9 · lost 14-16
Avg map margini5.5 roundsAvg map marginAverage round difference across maps.
Close maps (≤3) · OTi32% · 13Close maps (≤3) · OT32% of their maps were decided by ≤3 rounds (nailbiters); 13 went to overtime.vs MASONICNuke16-12vs ECSTATICMirage13-16vs OmegaAncient19-16vs Lazer CatsNuke13-16vs fnaticAncient14-16
Virtus.pro vs Sashi FAQ
Who is favored to win Virtus.pro vs Sashi?
Virtus.pro are favored with a 64% model win probability, and are the bookmakers' favorite too.
What are the betting odds for Virtus.pro vs Sashi?
Bookmakers price Virtus.pro at 1.53 and Sashi at 2.4 (implied 61% vs 39%).
When do Virtus.pro and Sashi play?
Virtus.pro vs Sashi is scheduled for 2026-08-09 09:00 UTC at Esports World Cup 2026 Open Qualifier.