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Matches / Upcoming / Inner Circle vs Iberian Soul
Inner Circle
★
2026-08-09 09:00 UTC
Esports World Cup 2026 Open Qualifier
Iberian Soul
PredictionHigh confidence
Our model gives Inner Circle a 72% chance to beat Iberian Soul at Esports World Cup 2026 Open Qualifier. Bookmakers price Inner Circle at 1.36 and Iberian Soul at 2.9 (implied 68% vs 32%).
Inner Circle
1.36odds
Iberian Soul
2.9odds
Our read72%
28%
Market68%
32%
median decimal odds · 20 booksBookmakerINNIBEduelbits1.322.91red1.352.9Epicbet1.352.9Stake1.352.9Thunderpick Row1.352.9roobet1.352.96Betify1.363Cs2skin1.363Rainbet1.363Razed1.363bcgame1.363.05betory1.363betpanda1.363Duel.com1.383.151xBit1.432.661xbet1.432.66ColdBet1.432.66Spinbet1.432.66Vivatbet1.432.66betlabel1.432.66
FormatBO3Tier★Form36-25 · 2-1PistolsINN 56%Likely mapsAncient · Mirage · Nuke
Model read: track record · HLTV rank · firepower · form, weighted by sample size. All figures respect the data-range filter.

Recent form

Inner Circle

ASTRAL1d ago2-0NIOPistols4/4Stomp13-01d ago2-0Virtus.proPistols3/428d ago2-0magicPistols3/429d ago2-0GenOne1mo ago2-0Acend1mo ago3-1SharksOvertime1mo ago2-1WalczakiPistols3/41mo ago2-0SashiOvertime1mo ago2-19INEComeback6Overtime1mo ago2-1SharksOvertime2mo ago0-2AMPistols3/4Stomp13-22mo ago2-0Echo2mo ago1-2Spirit AcademyPistols3/4Stomp13-12mo ago2-0FOKUSOvertime3mo ago1-2

Iberian Soul

6666today2-1FKOMARPistols4/4Stomp13-01d ago2-06666Upset1d ago1-2

Head-to-head

past meetings & common opponents
No prior meetings or shared opponents in the sampled window.

Firepower

roster ratings

Inner Circle · avg 1.12 · top +0.09

PlayerMpK-DADRKASTHSRating
Dawy1421.1284.475.2%54%1.21
headtr1ck861.371.976.6%35%1.14
cptkurtka0231420.9772.972.5%61%1.12
zeRRoFIX1421.047473.4%57%1.08
onic1420.9166.871.5%52%1.03

Iberian Soul · avg 1.27 · top +0.11

PlayerMpK-DADRKASTHSRating
dav1g81.2782.381.1%48%1.38
alex81.175.278.7%47%1.3
CRUC1AL81.497875.9%37%1.27
mopoz81.0566.976.9%45%1.22
sausol81.0775.778.8%59%1.19

Projected veto

likely picks & bans
Veto read
Iberian Soul habitually bans Dust2 & Anubis, two of Inner Circle's strongest maps (Dust2, Anubis all ≥60%). That's a standing habit (Dust2 3/3, Anubis 2/3), not an opponent read, so expect Inner Circle to fight the veto for Dust2.
Plays: Ancient · Mirage · Nuke  ·  Removed: Inferno · Dust2 · Overpass · Anubis every map shows both teams' win% (INN / IBE)
1INNER CIRCLE BAN Infernoproj. removed
INN n/a 0g
IBE 100% 3-0
Inner Circle on Inferno
no recent maps
Iberian Soul on Inferno
W 6666 13–6 today W FKOMAR 13–0 1d ago W 6666 13–8 1d ago
2IBERIAN SOUL BAN Dust2proj. removed
INN 69% 24-11
IBE n/a 0g
Inner Circle on Dust2
W Virtus.pro 13–9 28d ago W magic 13–4 29d ago W GenOne 13–9 1mo ago W Acend 13–10 1mo ago W Walczaki 13–5 1mo ago W Sashi 16–12 1mo ago L 9INE 10–13 1mo ago W AM 13–2 2mo ago
Iberian Soul on Dust2
no recent maps
3INNER CIRCLE PICK Ancient
INN 59% 19-13
IBE 33% 1-2
Inner Circle on Ancient
W ASTRAL 13–6 1d ago W NIO 13–1 1d ago W magic 13–6 29d ago W GenOne 13–4 1mo ago W Acend 13–8 1mo ago W 9INE 16–13 1mo ago L Echo 8–13 2mo ago L FOKUS 8–13 3mo ago
Iberian Soul on Ancient
L 6666 11–13 today W FKOMAR 13–0 1d ago L 6666 10–13 1d ago
4IBERIAN SOUL PICK Mirage
INN 48% 16-17
IBE 50% 1-1
Inner Circle on Mirage
W ASTRAL 13–6 1d ago W NIO 13–0 1d ago W Virtus.pro 13–9 28d ago L Acend 11–13 1mo ago L Sharks 11–13 1mo ago L Sharks 13–16 2mo ago W Echo 13–6 2mo ago L FOKUS 14–16 3mo ago
Iberian Soul on Mirage
W 6666 13–9 today L 6666 8–13 1d ago
5INNER CIRCLE BAN Overpassproj. removed
INN 54% 7-6
IBE n/a 0g
Inner Circle on Overpass
W Acend 13–8 1mo ago L Sashi 14–16 1mo ago W AM 13–9 2mo ago L Echo 4–13 2mo ago W Sharks 16–14 3mo ago W Gaimin Gladiators 19–15 3mo ago L OG 5–13 3mo ago W Alliance 13–11 4mo ago
Iberian Soul on Overpass
no recent maps
6IBERIAN SOUL BAN Anubisproj. removed
INN 64% 7-4
IBE n/a 0g
Inner Circle on Anubis
W Sharks 19–16 1mo ago W Walczaki 13–9 1mo ago W Sharks 13–4 3mo ago L Alliance 8–13 4mo ago L BASEMENT BOYS 11–13 4mo ago W 9INE 13–7 5mo ago L K27 9–13 5mo ago L Friendly Campers 11–13 5mo ago
Iberian Soul on Anubis
no recent maps
7DECIDER Nukeleft over
INN 50% 9-9
IBE n/a 0g
Inner Circle on Nuke
W Sharks 13–4 1mo ago W Sashi 16–14 1mo ago W 9INE 13–7 1mo ago L Sharks 17–19 2mo ago W Spirit Academy 13–7 2mo ago W FOKUS 13–6 3mo ago L Wildcard 7–13 3mo ago W FaZe 13–9 4mo ago
Iberian Soul on Nuke
no recent maps
Projected from each team's veto habits (BO3), assuming Inner Circle vetoes first. Usual first ban: Inner Circle Inferno · Iberian Soul Dust2.

Map lab

pick the 3 maps · per-map H2H + prediction
layout
Pick 3 maps ✓
Best-case draws · each side’s strongest realistic Bo3 · tap to load
The veto swings it: Inner Circle 55% on their maps vs Iberian Soul 50% on theirs. Whoever shapes the pool is favoured. Inferno (50%) is the closest to a toss-up.
Inner Circle54%to win the seriescoin-flipiMap edgesAncient: Inner Circle 59% · Mirage: Iberian Soul 50% toss-up · Nuke: Inner Circle 50% toss-upWhyInner Circle hold the edge across the maps (2 of 3 lean their way).OutcomesInner Circle 54%: 2-0 29%, 2-1 25%  ·  Iberian Soul 46%: 2-1 25%, 2-0 21%
series odds add up every way a team can win, not just one scoreline
Inner Circle 54%46% Iberian Soul
It’s nearly a coin-flip. Inner Circle only lead because their Ancient is strong enough that nicking just one of the close maps wins the series.
AncientINN v IBE
59%
41%
19-13record1-2
59%win33%
53%CT win69%
50%T win38%
55%pistol50%
80%convert50%
MirageINN v IBE
50%
50%
16-17record1-1
48%win50%
55%CT win63%
53%T win32%
64%pistol50%
85%convert100%
NukeINN v IBE
50%
50%
thin sample, read with caution
9-9record0-0
50%win–
58%CT win–
41%T win–
44%pistol–
44%convert–

Pistol, eco & sides

win% · convert if won · eco if lost · CT/T per map
ct / t side win% (Nuke skews CT, Dust2 T)pistol won the opening pistolconv then won round 2eco lost pistol, won round 2
Map
INNct
INNt
IBEct
IBEt
INNpistol
INNconv
INNeco
IBEpistol
IBEconv
IBEeco
Ancientpool
53%171/323
50%171/342
69%25/36
38%9/24
55%35/64
80%28/35
21%6/29
50%3/6
50%1/2
0%0/3
Miragepool
55%181/332
53%195/365
63%15/24
32%6/19
64%42/66
85%35/41
25%6/24
50%2/4
100%2/2
0%0/2
Nukepool
58%119/204
41%72/174
n/a
n/a
44%16/36
44%7/16
20%4/20
n/a
n/a
n/a
Infernoban
n/a
n/a
59%10/17
81%29/36
n/a
n/a
n/a
50%3/6
50%1/2
0%0/3
Dust2ban
56%190/342
57%219/386
n/a
n/a
47%33/70
76%25/33
35%13/37
n/a
n/a
n/a
Overpassban
51%77/150
41%52/128
n/a
n/a
42%11/26
82%9/11
20%3/15
n/a
n/a
n/a
Anubisban
59%66/111
51%63/123
n/a
n/a
64%14/22
79%11/14
0%0/8
n/a
n/a
n/a
colour = vs league averagebelowavgabove
Pistols
Inner Circle wins more pistol rounds: 56% vs 50%. Winning a pistol usually wins you the next few rounds too, so this is a small head start.
After pistol
Win the pistol → both win the next round about the same (76% vs 75%). Lose the pistol → Inner Circle fight back to win the next round more often (22% vs 0%).

Mentality & map flow

comebacks, blown leads
Margins
Inner Circle average a 5.1-round margin (20 blown, biggest 6); Iberian Soul average 6.5 (1 blown, 0 OTs). Hover any ⓘ for the matches behind it.

Inner Circle

Comebacks (won from 3+ down)i24/82 (29%)Comebacks (won from 3+ down)Of the 82 maps they won, 24 (29%) were won after trailing by 3+ rounds. So 29% of their wins were comebacks, not 29% of all games.vs Eternal FireAncientfrom 6 downvs FaZeMiragefrom 6 downvs 9INEAncientfrom 6 downvs CYBERSHOKEMiragefrom 5 downvs 9INEAnubisfrom 5 down
Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)i20/60 (33%)Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)Of the 60 maps they lost, 20 (33%) were lost after leading by 3+ rounds: leads they threw away.vs NemesisMirageled 6 · lost 16-19vs K27Anubisled 6 · lost 9-13vs Friendly CampersAnubisled 6 · lost 11-13vs AcendMirageled 6 · lost 13-16vs FOKUSDust2led 5 · lost 14-16
Biggest comebackifrom 6 downBiggest comebackLargest deficit erased to win a map.vs Eternal FireAncientfrom 6 down · won 16-12
Biggest lead blowni6 roundsBiggest lead blownLargest lead held and still lost.vs NemesisMirageled 6 · lost 16-19
Avg map margini5.1 roundsAvg map marginAverage round difference across maps.
Close maps (≤3) · OTi35% · 24Close maps (≤3) · OT35% of their maps were decided by ≤3 rounds (nailbiters); 24 went to overtime.vs FAVBETNuke17-19vs NemesisMirage16-19vs 3DMAXNuke13-16vs WHITEBIRDOverpass16-13vs WHITEBIRDDust214-16

Iberian Soul

Comebacks (won from 3+ down)i1/5 (20%)Comebacks (won from 3+ down)Of the 5 maps they won, 1 (20%) were won after trailing by 3+ rounds. So 20% of their wins were comebacks, not 20% of all games.vs 6666Infernofrom 3 down
Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)i1/3 (33%)Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)Of the 3 maps they lost, 1 (33%) were lost after leading by 3+ rounds: leads they threw away.vs 6666Ancientled 3 · lost 10-13
Biggest comebackifrom 3 downBiggest comebackLargest deficit erased to win a map.vs 6666Infernofrom 3 down · won 13-8
Biggest lead blowni3 roundsBiggest lead blownLargest lead held and still lost.vs 6666Ancientled 3 · lost 10-13
Avg map margini6.5 roundsAvg map marginAverage round difference across maps.
Close maps (≤3) · OTi25% · 0Close maps (≤3) · OT25% of their maps were decided by ≤3 rounds (nailbiters); 0 went to overtime.none in the sample

Inner Circle vs Iberian Soul FAQ

Who is favored to win Inner Circle vs Iberian Soul?

Inner Circle are favored with a 72% model win probability, and are the bookmakers' favorite too.

What are the betting odds for Inner Circle vs Iberian Soul?

Bookmakers price Inner Circle at 1.36 and Iberian Soul at 2.9 (implied 68% vs 32%).

When do Inner Circle and Iberian Soul play?

Inner Circle vs Iberian Soul is scheduled for 2026-08-09 09:00 UTC at Esports World Cup 2026 Open Qualifier.

Inner Circle vs Iberian Soul Prediction & Odds · CS2 Match Preview · CS2OBSERVER