Matches / Upcoming / 9INE vs HOTU
PredictionHigh confidence
Our model gives HOTU a 71% chance to beat 9INE at Esports World Cup 2026 Open Qualifier. Bookmakers price 9INE at 2.4 and HOTU at 1.5 (implied 38% vs 62%).
FormatBO3Tier★Form26-28 · 49-27Pistols9IN 56%Likely mapsAncient · Dust2 · Overpass
Model read: track record · HLTV rank · firepower · form, weighted by sample size. All figures respect the data-range filter.
Recent form
9INE
Head-to-head
past meetings & common opponents6mo ago
9INE0 : 2
HOTU!7mo ago
HOTU2 : 0
9INE!
9INE0 : 2
HOTU!⚠ Different lineup
9INE
outbnox, cej0t, shield
inSt0m4k, b1elany, flayy
HOTU
outdukefissura, kAlash
indwushka, kade0
HOTU2 : 0
9INE!⚠ Different lineup
9INE
outbnox, cej0t, shield
inSt0m4k, b1elany, flayy
HOTU
outdukefissura, kAlash
indwushka, kade0
◂ 9IN fared bettervs 8 shared opponentsHOT fared better ▸
BetBoom#100-45-10
HOTU vs BetBoom
Mar 26LDust23-13Ancient8-13Jan 28LAnubis16-12Dust27-13Mirage10-13Jan 28LAnubis13-7Mirage10-13Nuke11-13+3 earlier meetings
GamerLegion#212-22-0
HOTU vs GamerLegion
Jul 22WDust213-11Ancient13-8
HEROIC#301-22-1
9INE vs HEROIC
Aug 7LAncient13-10Mirage3-13Nuke6-13HOTU vs HEROIC
Jul 21WMirage10-13Cache13-6Dust213-8
Inner Circle#311-32-0
HOTU vs Inner Circle
Mar 25WMirage13-8Dust216-12
Gentle Mates#433-55-3
fnatic#512-02-2
9INE vs fnatic
Mar 7WAnubis13-7Ancient13-6
Sashi#522-22-0
HOTU vs Sashi
May 19WNuke13-7Dust213-6EX-ex-RUBY#601-22-3
9INE vs ex-RUBY
Feb 5LOverpass5-13Nuke13-6Ancient7-139INE 12-20combined map recordHOTU 22-19edge · HOTU
Firepower
roster ratings9INE · avg 1.1 · top +0.07
| Player | Mp | K-D | ADR | KAST | HS | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| flayy | 68 | 1.2 | 74.7 | 72.7% | 37% | 1.17 |
| b1elany | 24 | 1.03 | 74.2 | 73.1% | 55% | 1.11 |
| kraghen | 110 | 0.98 | 73.4 | 72.8% | 48% | 1.1 |
| St0m4k | 24 | 0.99 | 71.2 | 75% | 50% | 1.06 |
| raalz | 118 | 0.94 | 68.8 | 70.5% | 66% | 1.05 |
HOTU · avg 1.15 · top +0.1
| Player | Mp | K-D | ADR | KAST | HS | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| mizu | 181 | 1.15 | 80.1 | 73.6% | 50% | 1.25 |
| n0rb3r7 | 181 | 1.07 | 81.3 | 72.5% | 54% | 1.21 |
| dwushka | 56 | 1.06 | 74.4 | 74.5% | 63% | 1.13 |
| frontales | 157 | 1.18 | 68.2 | 74.4% | 33% | 1.13 |
| kade0 | 69 | 0.89 | 68.4 | 69.7% | 58% | 1.01 |
Projected veto
likely picks & bansVeto read
Neither side's habitual bans cleanly remove the other's best maps. The veto is live.
Plays: Ancient · Dust2 · Overpass · Removed: Mirage · Inferno · Anubis · Nuke
every map shows both teams' win% (9IN / HOT)
19INE BAN
Mirageproj. removed
9IN
50%
1-1HOT
56%
15-12
9IN
50%
1-1
HOT
56%
15-12
2HOTU BAN
Infernoproj. removed
9IN
27%
4-11HOT
n/a
0g
9IN
27%
4-11
HOT
n/a
0g
9INE on Inferno
W
6666
13–7
6d ago
W
Walczaki
16–13
3mo ago
L
BET-M
11–13
3mo ago
L
Gentle Mates
5–13
3mo ago
L
Dripmen
7–13
4mo ago
L
Misa
11–13
4mo ago
L
GamerLegion
7–13
4mo ago
L
Monte
11–13
5mo agoHOTU on Inferno
no recent maps
39INE PICK
Ancient
9IN
61%
17-11HOT
50%
16-16
9IN
61%
17-11
HOT
50%
16-16
4HOTU PICK
Dust2
9IN
45%
10-12HOT
63%
33-19
9IN
45%
10-12
HOT
63%
33-19
59INE BAN
Anubisproj. removed
9IN
33%
4-8HOT
87%
13-2
9IN
33%
4-8
HOT
87%
13-2
6HOTU BAN
Nukeproj. removed
9IN
64%
14-8HOT
59%
13-9
9IN
64%
14-8
HOT
59%
13-9
7DECIDER
Overpassleft over
9IN
62%
8-5HOT
52%
11-10
9IN
62%
8-5
HOT
52%
11-10
Projected from each team's veto habits (BO3), assuming 9INE vetoes first.
Usual first ban: 9INE Mirage · HOTU Inferno.
Map lab
pick the 3 maps · per-map H2H + predictionlayout
Pick 3 maps ✓
Best-case draws · each side’s strongest realistic Bo3 · tap to load
The veto swings it: 9INE 61% on their maps vs HOTU 79% on theirs. Whoever shapes the pool is favoured. Inferno (50%) is the closest to a toss-up.
9INE51%to win the seriescoin-flipiMap edgesAncient: 9INE 60% · Dust2: HOTU 67% clear · Overpass: 9INE 58%Why9INE hold the edge across the maps (2 of 3 lean their way).Outcomes9INE 51%: 2-1 31%, 2-0 20% · HOTU 49%: 2-0 27%, 2-1 22%
series odds add up every way a team can win, not just one scoreline
series odds add up every way a team can win, not just one scoreline
9INE 51%49% HOTU
It’s nearly a coin-flip. 9INE only lead because their Ancient is strong enough that nicking just one of the close maps wins the series.
Ancient9IN v HOT
60%40%
17-11record16-16
61%win50%
60%CT win53%
48%T win47%
64%pistol53%
83%convert82%
Dust29IN v HOT
33%67%
10-12record33-19
45%win63%
48%CT win51%
47%T win53%
55%pistol50%
71%convert85%
Overpass9IN v HOT
58%42%
8-5record11-10
62%win52%
65%CT win56%
46%T win47%
42%pistol62%
100%convert77%
Pistol, eco & sides
win% · convert if won · eco if lost · CT/T per mapct / t side win% (Nuke skews CT, Dust2 T)pistol won the opening pistolconv then won round 2eco lost pistol, won round 2
Map
9INct
9INt
HOTct
HOTt
9INpistol
9INconv
9INeco
HOTpistol
HOTconv
HOTeco
Ancientpool
60%176/293
48%141/292
53%177/337
47%137/294
64%36/56
83%30/36
15%3/20
53%34/64
82%27/33
7%2/29
Dust2pool
48%124/256
47%100/215
51%260/509
53%294/550
55%24/44
71%17/24
25%5/20
50%52/104
85%44/52
25%13/52
Overpasspool
65%75/116
46%67/145
56%111/199
47%109/233
42%11/26
100%10/10
20%3/15
62%26/42
77%20/26
13%2/16
Mirageban
58%14/24
25%2/8
52%148/283
55%143/259
50%2/4
100%2/2
0%0/2
57%31/54
86%25/29
17%4/23
Infernoban
43%75/175
46%69/151
n/a
n/a
57%17/30
53%9/17
15%2/13
n/a
n/a
n/a
Anubisban
43%48/111
50%64/129
58%85/147
63%102/161
54%13/24
92%12/13
18%2/11
53%16/30
94%15/16
14%2/14
Nukeban
58%130/223
52%120/233
57%117/206
50%116/230
43%19/44
94%17/18
24%6/25
50%22/44
77%17/22
14%3/21
colour = vs league averagebelowavgabove
Pistols
9INE wins more pistol rounds: 56% vs 53%. Winning a pistol usually wins you the next few rounds too, so this is a small head start.
After pistol
Win the pistol → both win the next round about the same (81% vs 82%). Lose the pistol → both fight back about the same (20% vs 18%).
Mentality & map flow
comebacks, blown leadsMargins
9INE average a 5.4-round margin (21 blown, biggest 8); HOTU average 5.9 (27 blown, 22 OTs). Hover any ⓘ for the matches behind it.
9INE
Comebacks (won from 3+ down)i18/59 (31%)Comebacks (won from 3+ down)Of the 59 maps they won, 18 (31%) were won after trailing by 3+ rounds. So 31% of their wins were comebacks, not 31% of all games.vs AllianceAnubisfrom 8 downvs TrickedNukefrom 7 downvs TrickedAncientfrom 6 downvs WalczakiInfernofrom 5 downvs Gentle MatesOverpassfrom 4 down
Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)i21/59 (36%)Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)Of the 59 maps they lost, 21 (36%) were lost after leading by 3+ rounds: leads they threw away.vs NRGDust2led 8 · lost 23-25vs MonteInfernoled 7 · lost 11-13vs ex-RUBYAncientled 6 · lost 7-13vs OGInfernoled 6 · lost 15-19vs Inner CircleAncientled 6 · lost 13-16
Biggest comebackifrom 8 downBiggest comebackLargest deficit erased to win a map.vs AllianceAnubisfrom 8 down · won 19-15
Biggest lead blowni8 roundsBiggest lead blownLargest lead held and still lost.vs NRGDust2led 8 · lost 23-25
Avg map margini5.4 roundsAvg map marginAverage round difference across maps.
Close maps (≤3) · OTi31% · 14Close maps (≤3) · OT31% of their maps were decided by ≤3 rounds (nailbiters); 14 went to overtime.vs K27Ancient12-16vs BIG AcademyNuke12-16vs BIG AcademyDust228-24vs Gentle MatesAncient14-16vs NRGDust223-25
HOTU
Comebacks (won from 3+ down)i31/108 (29%)Comebacks (won from 3+ down)Of the 108 maps they won, 31 (29%) were won after trailing by 3+ rounds. So 29% of their wins were comebacks, not 29% of all games.vs Gentle MatesAnubisfrom 8 downvs WWDust2from 7 downvs EntropyDust2from 7 downvs BetBoomAnubisfrom 6 downvs MANADust2from 6 down
Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)i27/73 (37%)Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)Of the 73 maps they lost, 27 (37%) were lost after leading by 3+ rounds: leads they threw away.vs WWNukeled 7 · lost 8-13vs NOVAQOverpassled 6 · lost 13-16vs ex-RUBYDust2led 6 · lost 11-13vs BetBoomNukeled 5 · lost 11-13vs BebopAncientled 5 · lost 26-28
Biggest comebackifrom 8 downBiggest comebackLargest deficit erased to win a map.vs Gentle MatesAnubisfrom 8 down · won 16-12
Biggest lead blowni7 roundsBiggest lead blownLargest lead held and still lost.vs WWNukeled 7 · lost 8-13
Avg map margini5.9 roundsAvg map marginAverage round difference across maps.
Close maps (≤3) · OTi29% · 22Close maps (≤3) · OT29% of their maps were decided by ≤3 rounds (nailbiters); 22 went to overtime.vs NOVAQOverpass13-16vs BetBoomAncient23-25vs SangalOverpass16-14vs Gentle MatesAnubis16-12vs ALTAYDust216-14
9INE vs HOTU FAQ
Who is favored to win 9INE vs HOTU?
HOTU are favored with a 71% model win probability, and are the bookmakers' favorite too.
What are the betting odds for 9INE vs HOTU?
Bookmakers price 9INE at 2.4 and HOTU at 1.5 (implied 38% vs 62%).
When do 9INE and HOTU play?
9INE vs HOTU is scheduled for 2026-08-09 09:00 UTC at Esports World Cup 2026 Open Qualifier.









