Matches / Upcoming / ex-RUBY vs Vexar
PredictionHigh confidence
Our model gives ex-RUBY a 76% chance to beat Vexar at NODWIN Clutch Series 10.
FormatBO3Form76-45 · 8-6PistolsEX- 50%Likely mapsDust2 · Ancient · Nuke
Model read: track record · HLTV rank · firepower · form, weighted by sample size. All figures respect the data-range filter.
Recent form
ex-RUBY
Head-to-head
past meetings & common opponents◂ EX- fared bettervs 2 shared opponentsVEX fared better ▸
HOTU#453-20-2
Vexar vs HOTU
Jul 12LAncient3-13Mirage0-13
G2 Ares#942-00-2
ex-RUBY vs G2 Ares
Jun 12WOverpass13-11Dust213-9Vexar vs G2 Ares
May 31LMirage6-13Ancient10-13ex-RUBY 5-2combined map recordVexar 0-4edge · ex-RUBY
Firepower
roster ratingsex-RUBY · avg 1.11 · top +0.06
| Player | Mp | K-D | ADR | KAST | HS | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| fineshine52 | 10 | 1.22 | 69.2 | 76.4% | 35% | 1.17 |
| relaxxie | 111 | 1.08 | 82.6 | 70.7% | 53% | 1.15 |
| H4SAN4TOR | 303 | 0.99 | 78.1 | 73.5% | 49% | 1.11 |
| sh1nejezzz | 302 | 1.04 | 68.9 | 74.1% | 62% | 1.09 |
| 1eeR | 10 | 0.91 | 76.2 | 75.5% | 47% | 1.04 |
Vexar · avg 1.03 · top +0.19
| Player | Mp | K-D | ADR | KAST | HS | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| obsward | 31 | 1.15 | 78.4 | 71% | 63% | 1.22 |
| ADntZ | 31 | 0.96 | 77.1 | 68.9% | 64% | 1.07 |
| KarmaN | 31 | 1.03 | 69.4 | 67.4% | 43% | 1.04 |
| datet | 28 | 0.93 | 72 | 68.1% | 64% | 1.03 |
| KEEMBO | 31 | 0.72 | 56 | 67.5% | 53% | 0.8 |
Projected veto
likely picks & bansVeto read
Neither side's habitual bans cleanly remove the other's best maps. The veto is live.
Plays: Dust2 · Ancient · Nuke · Removed: Inferno · Mirage · Anubis · Overpass
every map shows both teams' win% (EX- / VEX)
1EX-RUBY BAN
Infernoproj. removed
EX-
0%
0-1VEX
80%
4-1
EX-
0%
0-1
VEX
80%
4-1
ex-RUBY on Inferno
L
Nemiga
6–13
3mo ago
2VEXAR BAN
Mirageproj. removed
EX-
60%
44-29VEX
0%
0-3
EX-
60%
44-29
VEX
0%
0-3
3EX-RUBY PICK
Dust2
EX-
63%
45-27VEX
40%
2-3
EX-
63%
45-27
VEX
40%
2-3
4VEXAR PICK
Ancient
EX-
53%
28-25VEX
55%
6-5
EX-
53%
28-25
VEX
55%
6-5
5EX-RUBY BAN
Anubisproj. removed
EX-
54%
7-6VEX
100%
4-0
EX-
54%
7-6
VEX
100%
4-0
6VEXAR BAN
Overpassproj. removed
EX-
59%
19-13VEX
n/a
0g
EX-
59%
19-13
VEX
n/a
0g
ex-RUBY on Overpass
L
TDK
9–13
1mo ago
W
G2 Ares
13–11
1mo ago
W
RUSTEC
13–2
1mo ago
W
Acend
13–3
2mo ago
W
RUSTEC
22–19
2mo ago
L
Nemiga
12–16
2mo ago
W
Rune Eaters
13–8
2mo ago
W
Phantom
13–10
2mo agoVexar on Overpass
no recent maps
7DECIDER
Nukeleft over
EX-
60%
35-23VEX
0%
0-1
EX-
60%
35-23
VEX
0%
0-1
Projected from each team's veto habits (BO3), assuming ex-RUBY vetoes first.
Usual first ban: ex-RUBY Inferno · Vexar Overpass.
Map lab
pick the 3 maps · per-map H2H + predictionlayout
Pick 3 maps ✓
Best-case draws · each side’s strongest realistic Bo3 · tap to load
The veto swings it: ex-RUBY 69% on their maps vs Vexar 64% on theirs. Whoever shapes the pool is favoured. Overpass (50%) is the closest to a toss-up.
ex-RUBY59%to win the seriescoin-flipiMap edgesDust2: ex-RUBY 66% clear · Ancient: Vexar 51% toss-up · Nuke: ex-RUBY 54% toss-upWhyex-RUBY hold the edge across the maps (2 of 3 lean their way).Outcomesex-RUBY 59%: 2-0 32%, 2-1 27% · Vexar 41%: 2-1 23%, 2-0 18%
series odds add up every way a team can win, not just one scoreline
series odds add up every way a team can win, not just one scoreline
ex-RUBY 59%41% Vexar
It’s nearly a coin-flip. ex-RUBY only lead because their Dust2 is strong enough that nicking just one of the close maps wins the series.
Dust2EX- v VEX
66%34%
45-27record2-3
63%win40%
55%CT win50%
51%T win46%
50%pistol70%
79%convert100%
AncientEX- v VEX
49%51%
28-25record6-5
53%win55%
55%CT win57%
49%T win38%
48%pistol32%
78%convert100%
NukeEX- v VEX
54%46%
35-23record0-1
60%win0%
62%CT win0%
44%T win33%
53%pistol50%
80%convert100%
Pistol, eco & sides
win% · convert if won · eco if lost · CT/T per mapct / t side win% (Nuke skews CT, Dust2 T)pistol won the opening pistolconv then won round 2eco lost pistol, won round 2
Map
EX-ct
EX-t
VEXct
VEXt
EX-pistol
EX-conv
EX-eco
VEXpistol
VEXconv
VEXeco
Dust2pool
55%410/749
51%396/777
50%27/54
46%26/56
50%72/144
79%57/72
18%13/72
70%7/10
100%7/7
0%0/3
Ancientpool
55%320/586
49%263/533
57%56/98
38%45/118
48%51/106
78%40/51
25%14/55
32%7/22
100%7/7
7%1/15
Nukepool
62%376/611
44%267/609
0%0/5
33%4/12
53%61/116
80%49/61
15%8/55
50%1/2
100%1/1
0%0/1
Infernoban
33%4/12
29%2/7
63%38/60
50%21/42
0%0/2
n/a
0%0/2
40%4/10
75%3/4
50%3/6
Mirageban
55%387/705
50%406/807
20%7/35
45%9/20
49%72/146
86%62/72
18%13/74
17%1/6
100%1/1
0%0/4
Anubisban
46%60/130
49%69/140
50%22/44
63%29/46
35%9/26
89%8/9
12%2/17
25%2/8
100%2/2
0%0/6
Overpassban
59%222/379
43%126/291
n/a
n/a
53%34/64
88%30/34
23%7/30
n/a
n/a
n/a
colour = vs league averagebelowavgabove
Pistols
ex-RUBY wins more pistol rounds: 50% vs 44%. Winning a pistol usually wins you the next few rounds too, so this is a small head start.
After pistol
Win the pistol → Vexar usually win the next round too (100% vs 79%). Lose the pistol → ex-RUBY fight back to win the next round more often (19% vs 5%).
Mentality & map flow
comebacks, blown leadsMargins
ex-RUBY average a 5.1-round margin (42 blown, biggest 8); Vexar average 5.7 (4 blown, 2 OTs). Hover any ⓘ for the matches behind it.
ex-RUBY
Comebacks (won from 3+ down)i52/179 (29%)Comebacks (won from 3+ down)Of the 179 maps they won, 52 (29%) were won after trailing by 3+ rounds. So 29% of their wins were comebacks, not 29% of all games.vs Nuclear TigeRESMiragefrom 10 downvs los kogutosOverpassfrom 9 downvs K27Dust2from 8 downvs AMAncientfrom 7 downvs STATEAnubisfrom 7 down
Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)i42/124 (34%)Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)Of the 124 maps they lost, 42 (34%) were lost after leading by 3+ rounds: leads they threw away.vs RUSTECOverpassled 8 · lost 13-16vs LavkedNukeled 7 · lost 11-13vs WalczakiAncientled 7 · lost 8-13vs NemigaAncientled 7 · lost 13-16vs INFINITEAncientled 7 · lost 11-13
Biggest comebackifrom 10 downBiggest comebackLargest deficit erased to win a map.vs Nuclear TigeRESMiragefrom 10 down · won 19-16
Biggest lead blowni8 roundsBiggest lead blownLargest lead held and still lost.vs RUSTECOverpassled 8 · lost 13-16
Avg map margini5.1 roundsAvg map marginAverage round difference across maps.
Close maps (≤3) · OTi34% · 47Close maps (≤3) · OT34% of their maps were decided by ≤3 rounds (nailbiters); 47 went to overtime.vs AMMirage16-13vs KOLESIENuke19-17vs Johnny SpeedsOverpass19-17vs FORZE ReloadAncient16-12vs MASONICMirage16-12
Vexar
Comebacks (won from 3+ down)i5/16 (31%)Comebacks (won from 3+ down)Of the 16 maps they won, 5 (31%) were won after trailing by 3+ rounds. So 31% of their wins were comebacks, not 31% of all games.vs Young TigeRESAncientfrom 4 downvs Young TigeRESAnubisfrom 4 downvs ZOTIXAnubisfrom 4 downvs CYBERSHOKE ProspectsAnubisfrom 3 downvs SAW YoungstersInfernofrom 3 down
Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)i4/13 (31%)Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)Of the 13 maps they lost, 4 (31%) were lost after leading by 3+ rounds: leads they threw away.vs Basement BobsMirageled 5 · lost 10-13vs EnjoyDust2led 4 · lost 9-13vs G2 AresMirageled 4 · lost 6-13vs HOTUAncientled 3 · lost 3-13
Biggest comebackifrom 4 downBiggest comebackLargest deficit erased to win a map.vs Young TigeRESAncientfrom 4 down · won 13-10
Biggest lead blowni5 roundsBiggest lead blownLargest lead held and still lost.vs Basement BobsMirageled 5 · lost 10-13
Avg map margini5.7 roundsAvg map marginAverage round difference across maps.
Close maps (≤3) · OTi31% · 2Close maps (≤3) · OT31% of their maps were decided by ≤3 rounds (nailbiters); 2 went to overtime.vs CYBERSHOKE ProspectsAnubis16-14vs NEW VISIONAncient16-13
ex-RUBY vs Vexar FAQ
Who is favored to win ex-RUBY vs Vexar?
ex-RUBY are favored with a 76% model win probability.
What are the betting odds for ex-RUBY vs Vexar?
Match odds for ex-RUBY vs Vexar aren't available yet. Check back closer to the match.
When do ex-RUBY and Vexar play?
ex-RUBY vs Vexar is scheduled for 2026-07-24 14:00 UTC at NODWIN Clutch Series 10.