Matches / Upcoming / FOKUS vs Aurora
Prediction
Our model gives Aurora a 57% chance to beat FOKUS at BLAST Bounty 2026 Season 2. Bookmakers price FOKUS at 5.01 and Aurora at 1.16 (implied 19% vs 81%).
FormatBO3Tier★Form29-19 · 27-20Likely mapsInferno · Dust2 · Overpass
Model read: track record · HLTV rank · firepower · form, weighted by sample size. All figures respect the data-range filter.
Recent form
FOKUS
Head-to-head
past meetings & common opponents◂ FOK fared bettervs 4 shared opponentsAUR fared better ▸
BetBoom#92-12-0
FOKUS vs BetBoom
Feb 26WMirage2-13Nuke13-6Ancient13-8Aurora vs BetBoom
Jun 18WNuke13-6Anubis13-9
PARIVISION#140-23-2
FOKUS vs PARIVISION
Apr 5LDust29-13Inferno14-16
Astralis#181-24-1
FOKUS vs Astralis
Jul 21LDust213-10Ancient11-13Nuke1-13
INFINITE#620-22-0
FOKUS vs INFINITE
Jun 25LNuke4-13Mirage5-13Aurora vs INFINITE
Mar 30WNuke13-10Dust213-5FOKUS 3-7combined map recordAurora 11-3edge · Aurora
Firepower
roster ratingsFOKUS · avg 1.09 · top +0.13
| Player | Mp | K-D | ADR | KAST | HS | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| podi | 3 | 1.05 | 67.5 | 66.8% | 39% | 1.22 |
| Banjo | 112 | 1.06 | 75.7 | 74.9% | 52% | 1.16 |
| Matheos | 112 | 1.03 | 77.4 | 71.9% | 61% | 1.12 |
| ztr | 112 | 0.95 | 72.6 | 71.7% | 49% | 1.06 |
| jocab | 3 | 0.84 | 63.8 | 63.5% | 63% | 0.87 |
Aurora · avg 1.1 · top +0.08
| Player | Mp | K-D | ADR | KAST | HS | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wicadia | 111 | 1.13 | 81.1 | 72.2% | 54% | 1.18 |
| XANTARES | 111 | 1.1 | 81.5 | 74.3% | 58% | 1.15 |
| woxic | 111 | 1.16 | 70.7 | 72.8% | 34% | 1.11 |
| soulfly | 111 | 0.94 | 68.9 | 72.7% | 52% | 1.06 |
| MAJ3R | 111 | 0.86 | 64.3 | 70.5% | 51% | 0.98 |
Projected veto
likely picks & bansVeto read
Aurora habitually bans Ancient, FOKUS's strongest maps (Ancient, Overpass all ≥60%).
That's a standing habit (Ancient 41/47), not an opponent read, so expect FOKUS to fight the veto for Ancient.
Plays: Inferno · Dust2 · Overpass · Removed: Anubis · Ancient · Mirage · Nuke
every map shows both teams' win% (FOK / AUR)
1FOKUS BAN
Anubisproj. removed
FOK
n/a
0gAUR
64%
9-5
FOK
n/a
0g
AUR
64%
9-5
FOKUS on Anubis
no recent maps
2AURORA BAN
Ancientproj. removed
FOK
76%
19-6AUR
0%
0-1
FOK
76%
19-6
AUR
0%
0-1
3FOKUS PICK
Inferno
FOK
59%
10-7AUR
67%
10-5
FOK
59%
10-7
AUR
67%
10-5
4AURORA PICK
Dust2
FOK
48%
11-12AUR
63%
17-10
FOK
48%
11-12
AUR
63%
17-10
5FOKUS BAN
Mirageproj. removed
FOK
47%
8-9AUR
56%
10-8
FOK
47%
8-9
AUR
56%
10-8
6AURORA BAN
Nukeproj. removed
FOK
43%
9-12AUR
39%
7-11
FOK
43%
9-12
AUR
39%
7-11
7DECIDER
Overpassleft over
FOK
78%
7-2AUR
56%
9-7
FOK
78%
7-2
AUR
56%
9-7
Projected from each team's veto habits (BO3), assuming FOKUS vetoes first.
Usual first ban: FOKUS Anubis · Aurora Ancient.
Map lab
pick the 3 maps · per-map H2H + predictionlayout
Pick 3 maps ✓
Best-case draws · each side’s strongest realistic Bo3 · tap to load
The veto swings it: FOKUS 64% on their maps vs Aurora 64% on theirs. Whoever shapes the pool is favoured. Anubis (50%) is the closest to a toss-up.
Aurora52%to win the seriescoin-flipiMap edgesInferno: Aurora 57% · Dust2: Aurora 64% · Overpass: FOKUS 68% clearWhyAurora hold the edge across the maps (2 of 3 lean their way).OutcomesFOKUS 48%: 2-1 33%, 2-0 15% · Aurora 52%: 2-0 37%, 2-1 15%
series odds add up every way a team can win, not just one scoreline
series odds add up every way a team can win, not just one scoreline
FOKUS 48%52% Aurora
It’s nearly a coin-flip. Aurora only lead because their Dust2 is strong enough that nicking just one of the close maps wins the series.
InfernoFOK v AUR
43%57%
10-7record10-5
59%win67%
49%CT win66%
59%T win46%
62%pistol50%
90%convert80%
Dust2FOK v AUR
36%64%
11-12record17-10
48%win63%
48%CT win56%
52%T win51%
54%pistol57%
80%convert87%
OverpassFOK v AUR
68%32%
7-2record9-7
78%win56%
64%CT win54%
50%T win52%
56%pistol56%
90%convert78%
Pistol, eco & sides
win% · convert if won · eco if lost · CT/T per mapct / t side win% (Nuke skews CT, Dust2 T)pistol won the opening pistolconv then won round 2eco lost pistol, won round 2
Map
FOKct
FOKt
AURct
AURt
FOKpistol
FOKconv
FOKeco
AURpistol
AURconv
AUReco
Infernopool
49%79/160
59%114/193
66%101/152
46%69/151
62%21/34
90%19/21
15%2/13
50%15/30
80%12/15
53%8/15
Dust2pool
48%126/263
52%118/228
56%149/268
51%147/287
54%25/46
80%20/25
19%4/21
57%31/54
87%27/31
17%4/23
Overpasspool
64%63/99
50%41/82
54%90/166
52%89/171
56%10/18
90%9/10
25%2/8
56%18/32
78%14/18
21%3/14
Anubisban
n/a
n/a
49%81/166
56%75/133
n/a
n/a
n/a
61%17/28
88%15/17
9%1/11
Ancientban
58%152/262
56%151/271
67%8/12
33%4/12
68%34/50
82%28/34
38%6/16
100%2/2
100%2/2
n/a
Mirageban
47%84/177
46%76/167
51%110/216
47%75/159
35%12/34
83%10/12
14%3/22
58%21/36
81%17/21
20%3/15
Nukeban
55%121/221
44%84/193
53%115/216
44%68/154
45%19/42
84%16/19
30%7/23
64%23/36
74%17/23
15%2/13
colour = vs league averagebelowavgabove
Pistols
Pistol rounds are a tie. Both win about the same (FOKUS 57%, Aurora 55%). Nobody has an edge.
After pistol
Win the pistol → both win the next round about the same (86% vs 83%). Lose the pistol → Aurora fight back to win the next round more often (29% vs 19%).
Mentality & map flow
comebacks, blown leadsMargins
FOKUS average a 5.3-round margin (14 blown, biggest 8); Aurora average 5.3 (19 blown, 11 OTs). Hover any ⓘ for the matches behind it.
FOKUS
Comebacks (won from 3+ down)i24/64 (38%)Comebacks (won from 3+ down)Of the 64 maps they won, 24 (38%) were won after trailing by 3+ rounds. So 38% of their wins were comebacks, not 38% of all games.vs JiJieHaoAncientfrom 6 downvs 100 ThievesInfernofrom 6 downvs Inner CircleDust2from 5 downvs Friendly CampersNukefrom 5 downvs WildcardDust2from 5 down
Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)i14/48 (29%)Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)Of the 48 maps they lost, 14 (29%) were lost after leading by 3+ rounds: leads they threw away.vs INFINITEMirageled 8 · lost 5-13vs EYEBALLERSInfernoled 6 · lost 13-16vs Gentle MatesNukeled 6 · lost 8-13vs EchoAncientled 6 · lost 11-13vs WildcardNukeled 5 · lost 6-13
Biggest comebackifrom 6 downBiggest comebackLargest deficit erased to win a map.vs JiJieHaoAncientfrom 6 down · won 13-11
Biggest lead blowni8 roundsBiggest lead blownLargest lead held and still lost.vs INFINITEMirageled 8 · lost 5-13
Avg map margini5.3 roundsAvg map marginAverage round difference across maps.
Close maps (≤3) · OTi32% · 14Close maps (≤3) · OT32% of their maps were decided by ≤3 rounds (nailbiters); 14 went to overtime.vs Inner CircleDust216-14vs Inner CircleMirage16-13vs Friendly CampersNuke16-13vs 100 ThievesInferno16-14vs VocaAncient16-12
Aurora
Comebacks (won from 3+ down)i14/62 (23%)Comebacks (won from 3+ down)Of the 62 maps they won, 14 (23%) were won after trailing by 3+ rounds. So 23% of their wins were comebacks, not 23% of all games.vs AstralisDust2from 8 downvs FUTAnubisfrom 6 downvs FURIADust2from 6 downvs B8Miragefrom 5 downvs The MongolZOverpassfrom 5 down
Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)i19/47 (40%)Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)Of the 47 maps they lost, 19 (40%) were lost after leading by 3+ rounds: leads they threw away.vs LegacyOverpassled 6 · lost 8-13vs MOUZDust2led 6 · lost 11-13vs Natus VincereNukeled 5 · lost 10-13vs M80Anubisled 5 · lost 10-13vs AllianceOverpassled 5 · lost 11-13
Biggest comebackifrom 8 downBiggest comebackLargest deficit erased to win a map.vs AstralisDust2from 8 down · won 13-11
Biggest lead blowni6 roundsBiggest lead blownLargest lead held and still lost.vs LegacyOverpassled 6 · lost 8-13
Avg map margini5.3 roundsAvg map marginAverage round difference across maps.
Close maps (≤3) · OTi31% · 11Close maps (≤3) · OT31% of their maps were decided by ≤3 rounds (nailbiters); 11 went to overtime.vs GamerLegionInferno13-16vs VitalityAncient22-25vs FUTAnubis16-13vs Natus VincereInferno12-16vs B8Mirage16-13
FOKUS vs Aurora FAQ
Who is favored to win FOKUS vs Aurora?
Aurora are favored with a 57% model win probability, and are the bookmakers' favorite too.
What are the betting odds for FOKUS vs Aurora?
Bookmakers price FOKUS at 5.01 and Aurora at 1.16 (implied 19% vs 81%).
When do FOKUS and Aurora play?
FOKUS vs Aurora is scheduled for 2026-07-23 10:00 UTC at BLAST Bounty 2026 Season 2.