Matches / Upcoming / HEROIC vs FOKUS
Prediction
Our model gives HEROIC a 58% chance to beat FOKUS at StarLadder StarSeries Fall 2026 Europe Closed Qualifier. Bookmakers price HEROIC at 1.29 and FOKUS at 3.33 (implied 72% vs 28%).
FormatBO3Form25-25 · 29-19PistolsFOK 59%Likely mapsNuke · Ancient · Inferno
Model read: track record · HLTV rank · firepower · form, weighted by sample size. All figures respect the data-range filter.
Recent form
HEROIC
Head-to-head
past meetings & common opponents◂ HER fared bettervs 8 shared opponentsFOK fared better ▸
BetBoom#92-42-1
FOKUS vs BetBoom
Feb 26WMirage2-13Nuke13-6Ancient13-8
PARIVISION#143-20-2
FOKUS vs PARIVISION
Apr 5LDust29-13Inferno14-16
Astralis#180-21-2
HEROIC vs Astralis
Mar 2LDust213-16Overpass10-13FOKUS vs Astralis
Jul 21LDust213-10Ancient11-13Nuke1-13
Sharks#290-12-1
HEROIC vs Sharks
Jun 2LNuke10-13FOKUS vs Sharks
May 23WAncient8-13Nuke13-8Overpass13-11
Nemesis#332-01-2
HEROIC vs Nemesis
Apr 2WNuke13-4Mirage13-7FOKUS vs Nemesis
May 31LAncient13-10Mirage5-13Dust29-13
3DMAX#344-13-1
Gentle Mates#390-20-2
HEROIC vs Gentle Mates
May 11LInferno4-13Mirage6-13FOKUS vs Gentle Mates
May 2LAncient11-13Nuke8-13
100 Thieves#602-11-2
HEROIC vs 100 Thieves
Feb 28WInferno10-13Nuke13-10Ancient13-9FOKUS vs 100 Thieves
Mar 9LAncient10-13Inferno16-14Nuke8-13HEROIC 13-13combined map recordFOKUS 10-13edge · HEROIC
Firepower
roster ratingsHEROIC · avg 1.07 · top +0.12
| Player | Mp | K-D | ADR | KAST | HS | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| nilo | 113 | 1.19 | 76.9 | 74% | 58% | 1.19 |
| MartinezSa | 15 | 1.29 | 69.5 | 76.4% | 36% | 1.11 |
| susp | 112 | 0.9 | 68.2 | 72.6% | 55% | 1.04 |
| Brollan | 15 | 0.94 | 69.3 | 72.9% | 61% | 1.03 |
| Chr1zN | 112 | 0.88 | 67.9 | 69.9% | 57% | 1 |
FOKUS · avg 1.09 · top +0.13
| Player | Mp | K-D | ADR | KAST | HS | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| podi | 3 | 1.05 | 67.5 | 66.8% | 39% | 1.22 |
| Banjo | 112 | 1.06 | 75.7 | 74.9% | 52% | 1.16 |
| Matheos | 112 | 1.03 | 77.4 | 71.9% | 61% | 1.12 |
| ztr | 112 | 0.95 | 72.6 | 71.7% | 49% | 1.06 |
| jocab | 3 | 0.84 | 63.8 | 63.5% | 63% | 0.87 |
Projected veto
likely picks & bansVeto read
Neither side's habitual bans cleanly remove the other's best maps. The veto is live.
Plays: Nuke · Ancient · Inferno · Removed: Anubis · Dust2 · Overpass · Mirage
every map shows both teams' win% (HER / FOK)
1HEROIC BAN
Anubisproj. removed
HER
n/a
0gFOK
n/a
0g
HER
n/a
0g
FOK
n/a
0g
HEROIC on Anubis
no recent maps
FOKUS on Anubis
no recent maps
2FOKUS BAN
Dust2proj. removed
HER
56%
14-11FOK
48%
11-12
HER
56%
14-11
FOK
48%
11-12
3HEROIC PICK
Nuke
HER
56%
15-12FOK
43%
9-12
HER
56%
15-12
FOK
43%
9-12
4FOKUS PICK
Ancient
HER
50%
5-5FOK
76%
19-6
HER
50%
5-5
FOK
76%
19-6
5HEROIC BAN
Overpassproj. removed
HER
44%
4-5FOK
78%
7-2
HER
44%
4-5
FOK
78%
7-2
6FOKUS BAN
Mirageproj. removed
HER
55%
11-9FOK
47%
8-9
HER
55%
11-9
FOK
47%
8-9
7DECIDER
Infernoleft over
HER
47%
9-10FOK
59%
10-7
HER
47%
9-10
FOK
59%
10-7
Projected from each team's veto habits (BO3), assuming HEROIC vetoes first.
Usual first ban: HEROIC Anubis · FOKUS Anubis.
Map lab
pick the 3 maps · per-map H2H + predictionlayout
Pick 3 maps ✓
Best-case draws · each side’s strongest realistic Bo3 · tap to load
The veto swings it: HEROIC 63% on their maps vs FOKUS 79% on theirs. Whoever shapes the pool is favoured. Anubis (50%) is the closest to a toss-up.
FOKUS62%to win the seriesclear pickiMap edgesNuke: HEROIC 62% · Ancient: FOKUS 74% clear · Inferno: FOKUS 60%WhyFOKUS hold the edge across the maps (2 of 3 lean their way).OutcomesHEROIC 38%: 2-1 22%, 2-0 16% · FOKUS 62%: 2-1 33%, 2-0 28%
series odds add up every way a team can win, not just one scoreline
series odds add up every way a team can win, not just one scoreline
HEROIC 38%62% FOKUS
FOKUS are the clearer side here: the most likely result is FOKUS 2-1.
NukeHER v FOK
62%38%
15-12record9-12
56%win43%
63%CT win55%
42%T win44%
59%pistol45%
84%convert84%
AncientHER v FOK
26%74%
5-5record19-6
50%win76%
48%CT win58%
49%T win56%
40%pistol68%
88%convert82%
InfernoHER v FOK
40%60%
9-10record10-7
47%win59%
49%CT win49%
54%T win59%
50%pistol62%
89%convert90%
Pistol, eco & sides
win% · convert if won · eco if lost · CT/T per mapct / t side win% (Nuke skews CT, Dust2 T)pistol won the opening pistolconv then won round 2eco lost pistol, won round 2
Map
HERct
HERt
FOKct
FOKt
HERpistol
HERconv
HEReco
FOKpistol
FOKconv
FOKeco
Nukepool
63%160/256
42%124/294
55%121/221
44%84/193
59%32/54
84%27/32
24%5/21
45%19/42
84%16/19
30%7/23
Ancientpool
48%58/120
49%45/92
58%152/262
56%151/271
40%8/20
88%7/8
25%3/12
68%34/50
82%28/34
38%6/16
Infernopool
49%92/187
54%105/195
49%79/160
59%114/193
50%19/38
89%17/19
37%7/19
62%21/34
90%19/21
15%2/13
Anubisban
n/a
n/a
n/a
n/a
n/a
n/a
n/a
n/a
n/a
n/a
Dust2ban
61%162/266
44%122/276
48%126/263
52%118/228
42%21/50
86%18/21
14%4/29
54%25/46
80%20/25
19%4/21
Overpassban
60%61/102
37%30/81
64%63/99
50%41/82
50%9/18
44%4/9
22%2/9
56%10/18
90%9/10
25%2/8
Mirageban
55%104/188
45%100/220
47%84/177
46%76/167
58%23/40
87%20/23
29%5/17
35%12/34
83%10/12
14%3/22
colour = vs league averagebelowavgabove
Pistols
FOKUS wins more pistol rounds: 59% vs 53%. Winning a pistol usually wins you the next few rounds too, so this is a small head start.
After pistol
Win the pistol → both win the next round about the same (86% vs 85%). Lose the pistol → both fight back about the same (29% vs 29%).
Mentality & map flow
comebacks, blown leadsMargins
HEROIC average a 5.4-round margin (14 blown, biggest 7); FOKUS average 5.3 (14 blown, 14 OTs). Hover any ⓘ for the matches behind it.
HEROIC
Comebacks (won from 3+ down)i21/58 (36%)Comebacks (won from 3+ down)Of the 58 maps they won, 21 (36%) were won after trailing by 3+ rounds. So 36% of their wins were comebacks, not 36% of all games.vs BIGDust2from 9 downvs Friendly CampersMiragefrom 4 downvs 3DMAXInfernofrom 4 downvs FlyQuestNukefrom 4 downvs PARIVISIONDust2from 4 down
Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)i14/54 (26%)Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)Of the 54 maps they lost, 14 (26%) were lost after leading by 3+ rounds: leads they threw away.vs PhantomNukeled 7 · lost 14-16vs AcendInfernoled 6 · lost 14-16vs MonteDust2led 5 · lost 9-13vs Lynn VisionDust2led 5 · lost 11-13vs Ninjas in PyjamasNukeled 4 · lost 9-13
Biggest comebackifrom 9 downBiggest comebackLargest deficit erased to win a map.vs BIGDust2from 9 down · won 13-9
Biggest lead blowni7 roundsBiggest lead blownLargest lead held and still lost.vs PhantomNukeled 7 · lost 14-16
Avg map margini5.4 roundsAvg map marginAverage round difference across maps.
Close maps (≤3) · OTi29% · 11Close maps (≤3) · OT29% of their maps were decided by ≤3 rounds (nailbiters); 11 went to overtime.vs paiNMirage16-14vs CYBERSHOKEDust216-13vs AstralisDust213-16vs MonteDust213-16vs MonteNuke20-22
FOKUS
Comebacks (won from 3+ down)i24/64 (38%)Comebacks (won from 3+ down)Of the 64 maps they won, 24 (38%) were won after trailing by 3+ rounds. So 38% of their wins were comebacks, not 38% of all games.vs JiJieHaoAncientfrom 6 downvs 100 ThievesInfernofrom 6 downvs Inner CircleDust2from 5 downvs Friendly CampersNukefrom 5 downvs WildcardDust2from 5 down
Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)i14/48 (29%)Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)Of the 48 maps they lost, 14 (29%) were lost after leading by 3+ rounds: leads they threw away.vs INFINITEMirageled 8 · lost 5-13vs EYEBALLERSInfernoled 6 · lost 13-16vs Gentle MatesNukeled 6 · lost 8-13vs EchoAncientled 6 · lost 11-13vs WildcardNukeled 5 · lost 6-13
Biggest comebackifrom 6 downBiggest comebackLargest deficit erased to win a map.vs JiJieHaoAncientfrom 6 down · won 13-11
Biggest lead blowni8 roundsBiggest lead blownLargest lead held and still lost.vs INFINITEMirageled 8 · lost 5-13
Avg map margini5.3 roundsAvg map marginAverage round difference across maps.
Close maps (≤3) · OTi32% · 14Close maps (≤3) · OT32% of their maps were decided by ≤3 rounds (nailbiters); 14 went to overtime.vs Inner CircleDust216-14vs Inner CircleMirage16-13vs Friendly CampersNuke16-13vs 100 ThievesInferno16-14vs VocaAncient16-12
HEROIC vs FOKUS FAQ
Who is favored to win HEROIC vs FOKUS?
HEROIC are favored with a 58% model win probability, and are the bookmakers' favorite too.
What are the betting odds for HEROIC vs FOKUS?
Bookmakers price HEROIC at 1.29 and FOKUS at 3.33 (implied 72% vs 28%).
When do HEROIC and FOKUS play?
HEROIC vs FOKUS is scheduled for 2026-07-23 16:00 UTC at StarLadder StarSeries Fall 2026 Europe Closed Qualifier.