Matches / Upcoming / Bebop vs Falcons Force
Prediction
Our model gives Bebop a 67% chance to beat Falcons Force at Thunderpick World Championship 2026 Europe Series 2. Bookmakers price Bebop at 1.5 and Falcons Force at 2.36 (implied 61% vs 39%).
FormatBO3Form42-38 · 8-15PistolsFAL 68%Likely mapsMirage · Ancient · Anubis
Model read: track record · HLTV rank · firepower · form, weighted by sample size. All figures respect the data-range filter.
Recent form
Bebop
Head-to-head
past meetings & common opponents◂ BEB fared bettervs 5 shared opponentsFAL fared better ▸
QUAZAR#670-20-2
Bebop vs QUAZAR
Feb 3LDust210-13Anubis10-13Falcons Force vs QUAZAR
Jun 3LInferno14-16Nuke8-13
SPARTA#921-00-2
Bebop vs SPARTA
Jun 17Wseries1-0Falcons Force vs SPARTA
May 22LAncient16-19Dust26-13
Misa#1344-02-1
Falcons Force vs Misa
Jun 1WMirage13-5Dust210-13Inferno13-6
MANA2-03-3
Bebop vs MANA
Apr 19WMirage13-8Inferno13-5
AaB1-22-2
Bebop vs AaB
Jan 18LNuke13-5Overpass9-13Ancient10-13Bebop 8-4combined map recordFalcons Force 7-10edge · Bebop
Firepower
roster ratingsBebop · avg 1.09 · top +0.1
| Player | Mp | K-D | ADR | KAST | HS | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| redzed | 9 | 1.1 | 73.3 | 73.7% | 64% | 1.19 |
| lov1kus | 176 | 1.11 | 78 | 73.2% | 54% | 1.14 |
| faydett | 197 | 0.94 | 75.3 | 71.4% | 53% | 1.06 |
| iDISBALANCE | 162 | 1.12 | 68.6 | 71.7% | 34% | 1.06 |
| fozil | 12 | 0.89 | 63.9 | 70.5% | 54% | 0.98 |
Falcons Force · avg 1.03 · top +0.09
| Player | Mp | K-D | ADR | KAST | HS | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| grecu | 46 | 1.1 | 70.1 | 70.5% | 40% | 1.12 |
| NucleonZ | 47 | 0.93 | 73.8 | 67.8% | 62% | 1.07 |
| VENO | 44 | 0.9 | 71.2 | 68.2% | 58% | 1.06 |
| clockzi | 32 | 0.86 | 67.8 | 67.9% | 62% | 0.95 |
| Tapewaare | 47 | 0.78 | 65.8 | 67.2% | 61% | 0.93 |
Projected veto
likely picks & bansVeto read
Neither side's habitual bans cleanly remove the other's best maps. The veto is live.
Plays: Mirage · Ancient · Anubis · Removed: Overpass · Nuke · Inferno · Dust2
every map shows both teams' win% (BEB / FAL)
1BEBOP BAN
Overpassproj. removed
BEB
38%
3-5FAL
n/a
0g
BEB
38%
3-5
FAL
n/a
0g
Bebop on Overpass
W
Oxuji
13–9
1mo ago
L
MINLATE
3–13
4mo ago
L
Lilmix
9–13
4mo ago
W
Metizport
13–3
6mo ago
L
Acend
12–16
6mo ago
L
Ursa
9–13
6mo ago
L
AaB
9–13
6mo ago
W
Ursa
13–8
6mo agoFalcons Force on Overpass
no recent maps
2FALCONS FORCE BAN
Nukeproj. removed
BEB
50%
22-22FAL
0%
0-6
BEB
50%
22-22
FAL
0%
0-6
3BEBOP PICK
Mirage
BEB
63%
39-23FAL
55%
6-5
BEB
63%
39-23
FAL
55%
6-5
4FALCONS FORCE PICK
Ancient
BEB
39%
9-14FAL
33%
4-8
BEB
39%
9-14
FAL
33%
4-8
5BEBOP BAN
Infernoproj. removed
BEB
53%
10-9FAL
33%
3-6
BEB
53%
10-9
FAL
33%
3-6
6FALCONS FORCE BAN
Dust2proj. removed
BEB
47%
17-19FAL
29%
2-5
BEB
47%
17-19
FAL
29%
2-5
7DECIDER
Anubisleft over
BEB
44%
4-5FAL
50%
1-1
BEB
44%
4-5
FAL
50%
1-1
Projected from each team's veto habits (BO3), assuming Bebop vetoes first.
Usual first ban: Bebop Overpass · Falcons Force Overpass.
Map lab
pick the 3 maps · per-map H2H + predictionlayout
Pick 3 maps ✓
Best-case draws · each side’s strongest realistic Bo3 · tap to load
Bebop stay favoured even on Falcons Force’s best maps. The veto won’t flip it. Overpass (50%) is the closest to a toss-up.
Bebop56%to win the seriescoin-flipiMap edgesMirage: Bebop 59% · Ancient: Bebop 55% toss-up · Anubis: Falcons Force 52% toss-upWhyBebop hold the edge across the maps (2 of 3 lean their way).OutcomesBebop 56%: 2-0 32%, 2-1 24% · Falcons Force 44%: 2-1 25%, 2-0 19%
series odds add up every way a team can win, not just one scoreline
series odds add up every way a team can win, not just one scoreline
Bebop 56%44% Falcons Force
It’s nearly a coin-flip. Bebop only lead because their Mirage is strong enough that nicking just one of the close maps wins the series.
MirageBEB v FAL
59%41%
39-23record6-5
63%win55%
53%CT win55%
52%T win49%
58%pistol68%
82%convert80%
AncientBEB v FAL
55%45%
9-14record4-8
39%win33%
44%CT win49%
50%T win46%
59%pistol67%
81%convert81%
AnubisBEB v FAL
48%52%
4-5record1-1
44%win50%
47%CT win52%
57%T win58%
44%pistol75%
88%convert100%
Pistol, eco & sides
win% · convert if won · eco if lost · CT/T per mapct / t side win% (Nuke skews CT, Dust2 T)pistol won the opening pistolconv then won round 2eco lost pistol, won round 2
Map
BEBct
BEBt
FALct
FALt
BEBpistol
BEBconv
BEBeco
FALpistol
FALconv
FALeco
Miragepool
53%321/602
52%367/700
55%57/104
49%55/112
58%72/124
82%59/72
12%6/52
68%15/22
80%12/15
0%0/7
Ancientpool
44%112/253
50%121/243
49%59/121
46%63/136
59%27/46
81%22/27
21%4/19
67%16/24
81%13/16
43%3/7
Anubispool
47%51/108
57%48/84
52%11/21
58%14/24
44%8/18
88%7/8
0%0/10
75%3/4
100%3/3
0%0/1
Overpassban
53%46/86
44%35/79
n/a
n/a
38%6/16
67%4/6
20%2/10
n/a
n/a
n/a
Nukeban
55%234/423
47%230/486
44%31/71
27%14/52
51%45/88
82%37/45
9%4/43
42%5/12
60%3/5
0%0/7
Infernoban
51%112/221
47%89/189
60%55/91
39%40/102
55%21/38
81%17/21
12%2/17
39%7/18
57%4/7
36%4/11
Dust2ban
52%203/390
48%172/361
47%33/70
44%32/72
54%39/72
82%32/39
6%2/33
64%9/14
56%5/9
20%1/5
colour = vs league averagebelowavgabove
Pistols
Falcons Force wins more pistol rounds: 68% vs 57%. Winning a pistol usually wins you the next few rounds too, so this is a small head start.
After pistol
Win the pistol → both win the next round about the same (82% vs 82%). Lose the pistol → Falcons Force fight back to win the next round more often (20% vs 12%).
Mentality & map flow
comebacks, blown leadsMargins
Bebop average a 5.1-round margin (33 blown, biggest 7); Falcons Force average 5.3 (13 blown, 6 OTs). Hover any ⓘ for the matches behind it.
Bebop
Comebacks (won from 3+ down)i29/105 (28%)Comebacks (won from 3+ down)Of the 105 maps they won, 29 (28%) were won after trailing by 3+ rounds. So 28% of their wins were comebacks, not 28% of all games.vs Rune EatersMiragefrom 8 downvs HEROIC AcademyMiragefrom 7 downvs HashirasAncientfrom 6 downvs AcendMiragefrom 5 downvs HOTUAncientfrom 5 down
Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)i33/97 (34%)Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)Of the 97 maps they lost, 33 (34%) were lost after leading by 3+ rounds: leads they threw away.vs HashirasAnubisled 7 · lost 11-13vs ex-RUBYDust2led 6 · lost 12-16vs UrsaDust2led 6 · lost 11-13vs UrsaInfernoled 5 · lost 10-13vs QWENTRYDust2led 5 · lost 8-13
Biggest comebackifrom 8 downBiggest comebackLargest deficit erased to win a map.vs Rune EatersMiragefrom 8 down · won 16-14
Biggest lead blowni7 roundsBiggest lead blownLargest lead held and still lost.vs HashirasAnubisled 7 · lost 11-13
Avg map margini5.1 roundsAvg map marginAverage round difference across maps.
Close maps (≤3) · OTi35% · 29Close maps (≤3) · OT35% of their maps were decided by ≤3 rounds (nailbiters); 29 went to overtime.vs ALLINNERSMirage16-14vs MetizportMirage22-20vs Bushido WildcatsMirage19-15vs AcendOverpass12-16vs AcendMirage16-14
Falcons Force
Comebacks (won from 3+ down)i3/16 (19%)Comebacks (won from 3+ down)Of the 16 maps they won, 3 (19%) were won after trailing by 3+ rounds. So 19% of their wins were comebacks, not 19% of all games.vs B8Miragefrom 3 downvs MANAMiragefrom 3 downvs G2 AresDust2from 3 down
Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)i13/31 (42%)Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)Of the 31 maps they lost, 13 (42%) were lost after leading by 3+ rounds: leads they threw away.vs AaBAncientled 6 · lost 10-13vs SharksAncientled 6 · lost 11-13vs OLDBOYS PLNukeled 6 · lost 10-13vs FamalicãoDust2led 5 · lost 12-16vs fnaticAnubisled 5 · lost 13-16
Biggest comebackifrom 3 downBiggest comebackLargest deficit erased to win a map.vs B8Miragefrom 3 down · won 13-10
Biggest lead blowni6 roundsBiggest lead blownLargest lead held and still lost.vs AaBAncientled 6 · lost 10-13
Avg map margini5.3 roundsAvg map marginAverage round difference across maps.
Close maps (≤3) · OTi40% · 6Close maps (≤3) · OT40% of their maps were decided by ≤3 rounds (nailbiters); 6 went to overtime.vs JiJieHaoInferno20-22vs FamalicãoDust212-16vs fnaticAnubis13-16vs AMAncient13-16vs SPARTAAncient16-19
Bebop vs Falcons Force FAQ
Who is favored to win Bebop vs Falcons Force?
Bebop are favored with a 67% model win probability, and are the bookmakers' favorite too.
What are the betting odds for Bebop vs Falcons Force?
Bookmakers price Bebop at 1.5 and Falcons Force at 2.36 (implied 61% vs 39%).
When do Bebop and Falcons Force play?
Bebop vs Falcons Force is scheduled for 2026-07-27 17:00 UTC at Thunderpick World Championship 2026 Europe Series 2.