Yawara vs ex-GUARA Prediction & Odds · CS2 Match Preview

Matches / Upcoming / Yawara vs ex-GUARA

2026-08-04 14:00 UTC

BetBoom Storm Season 4

PredictionHigh confidence

Our model gives Yawara a 85% chance to beat ex-GUARA at BetBoom Storm Season 4. Bookmakers price Yawara at 1.08 and ex-GUARA at 6.33 (implied 85% vs 15%).

Yawara

1.08odds

ex-GUARA

6.33odds

Our read85%

15%

Market85%

15%

median decimal odds · 3 books

FormatBO3Form25-27 · 5-16Likely mapsMirage · Inferno · Ancient

Model read: track record · HLTV rank · firepower · form, weighted by sample size. All figures respect the data-range filter.

Recent form

Head-to-head

past meetings & common opponents

outTineu, alwayz, fnbJESUS, neskk, paqueta

BetBoom Storm Season 3

◂ YAW fared bettervs 8 shared opponentsEX- fared better ▸

Isurus#1052-20-4

Yawara vs Isurus

Jul 7LDust27-13Mirage7-13 May 1WInferno13-8Mirage13-6

ex-GUARA vs Isurus

May 11LDust23-13Nuke8-13 Mar 17LInferno6-13Dust26-13

UNOUNO MILLE#1266-11-6

Yawara vs UNO MILLE

May 30WAncient13-4Overpass13-9Dust25-13Anubis13-9 May 17WMirage13-11Inferno13-8 May 3Wseries1-0

ex-GUARA vs UNO MILLE

May 18LInferno4-13Dust23-13 Mar 24LInferno13-16Dust24-13 Mar 21LInferno9-13Nuke13-9Dust20-13

BESTIA Academy#1272-00-2

Yawara vs BESTIA Academy

May 22WAncient13-7Dust213-10

ex-GUARA vs BESTIA Academy

Jul 14LInferno7-13Nuke4-13

MIBR Academy#1572-20-2

Yawara vs MIBR Academy

Jul 10LCache11-13Mirage11-13 Mar 5WOverpass13-3Mirage13-11

ex-GUARA vs MIBR Academy

Jul 5LNuke1-13Mirage7-13

Procyon#1952-02-3

Yawara vs Procyon

May 7WMirage13-6Dust213-5

ex-GUARA vs Procyon

Jul 3WNuke13-11Inferno11-13Dust213-8 May 12LMirage9-13Inferno6-13

METANOIA Wolves#2052-05-6

Yawara vs METANOIA Wolves

Jul 8WInferno13-7Anubis13-8

ex-GUARA vs METANOIA Wolves

Jul 16LMirage13-6Ancient7-13Dust28-13 Jun 28WDust23-13Cache13-11Mirage13-8 May 14LDust24-13Nuke13-16

+1 earlier meeting

EX-ex-KRÜ2-01-2

Yawara vs ex-KRÜ

May 18WMirage13-3Dust213-4

ex-GUARA vs ex-KRÜ

Jul 18Wseries1-0 May 20LNuke9-13Ancient6-13

FOLFOLHA AMARELA1-21-0

Yawara vs FOLHA AMARELA

Feb 27Wseries1-0 Feb 16LDust210-13Ancient8-13

ex-GUARA vs FOLHA AMARELA

Mar 13Wseries1-0

Yawara 19-7combined map recordex-GUARA 10-25edge · Yawara

Firepower

roster ratings

Yawara · avg 1.1 · top +0.09

Player	Mp	K-D	ADR	KAST	HS	Rating
r3kt	71	1.23	76.9	76.2%	55%	1.19
tele	122	0.98	79.1	70.5%	55%	1.12
deemO	122	0.99	70.9	72.5%	56%	1.09
edv	71	1.08	64.5	72.8%	36%	1.05
j0w	122	0.93	73.3	68.7%	55%	1.05

ex-GUARA · avg 0.98 · top +0.27

Player	Mp	K-D	ADR	KAST	HS	Rating
fakzwall	5	1.37	84.1	73.1%	43%	1.25
paqueta	48	1.09	76	68.5%	38%	1.09
fnbJESUS	43	0.84	65.6	67.3%	51%	0.93
Tineu	48	0.84	67.1	66.1%	55%	0.9
neskk	48	0.74	61.6	64.7%	60%	0.86
Longo	17	0.76	64.9	66.9%	52%	0.86

Projected veto

likely picks & bans

Veto read

Neither side's habitual bans cleanly remove the other's best maps. The veto is live.

Plays: Mirage · Inferno · Ancient · Removed: Nuke · Overpass · Anubis · Dust2 every map shows both teams' win% (YAW / EX-)

1YAWARA BAN Nukeproj. removed

YAW 20% 2-8

EX- 33% 4-8

Yawara on Nuke

GameHunters 4–13 4mo ago L

Imperial 6–13 4mo ago L

Imperial 17–19 5mo ago W

ODDIK 13–5 5mo ago L LP 9–13 5mo ago W

Keyd Stars 13–4 5mo ago L

Bounty Hunters 11–13 5mo ago L

Keyd Stars 5–13 6mo ago

ex-GUARA on Nuke

BESTIA Academy 4–13 20d ago L

MIBR Academy 1–13 29d ago W

Procyon 13–11 1mo ago L

paiN Academy 8–13 1mo ago L

Patins da Ferrari 10–13 1mo ago L ex-KRÜ 9–13 3mo ago W

MIBR fe 13–10 3mo ago L

METANOIA Wolves 13–16 3mo ago

2EX-GUARA BAN Overpassproj. removed

YAW 38% 3-5

EX- n/a 0g

Yawara on Overpass

W UNO MILLE 13–9 2mo ago W

Turma do Pagode 13–2 3mo ago L

Imperial 4–13 4mo ago L Back to Back 7–13 4mo ago W

MIBR Academy 13–3 5mo ago L

ODDIK 3–13 5mo ago L LP 4–13 5mo ago L Fake do Biru 9–13 6mo ago

ex-GUARA on Overpass

no recent maps

3YAWARA PICK Mirage

YAW 56% 18-14

EX- 40% 2-3

Yawara on Mirage

MIBR Academy 11–13 24d ago W

Sharks 13–8 25d ago L

Keyd Stars 7–13 25d ago L

Isurus 7–13 27d ago W

Red Feet 13–3 1mo ago W

GameHunters 16–14 1mo ago W Blitzkrieg 13–5 1mo ago L

Keyd Stars 5–13 1mo ago

ex-GUARA on Mirage

METANOIA Wolves 13–6 18d ago L

MIBR Academy 7–13 29d ago L

Patins da Ferrari 6–13 1mo ago W

METANOIA Wolves 13–8 1mo ago L

Procyon 9–13 3mo ago

4EX-GUARA PICK Inferno

YAW 50% 5-5

EX- 9% 1-10

Yawara on Inferno

Sharks 11–13 25d ago W

METANOIA Wolves 13–7 26d ago L LP 8–13 2mo ago W UNO MILLE 13–8 3mo ago W

GUARA 13–6 3mo ago L

Imperial 2–13 3mo ago W

Isurus 13–8 3mo ago W ALZON 13–4 3mo ago

ex-GUARA on Inferno

BESTIA Academy 7–13 20d ago L

Procyon 11–13 1mo ago L UNO MILLE 4–13 3mo ago L

Yawara 6–13 3mo ago L

Procyon 6–13 3mo ago L UNO MILLE 13–16 4mo ago L UNO MILLE 9–13 5mo ago L

ShindeN 8–13 5mo ago

5YAWARA BAN Anubisproj. removed

YAW 36% 4-7

EX- n/a 0g

Yawara on Anubis

Keyd Stars 9–13 25d ago W

METANOIA Wolves 13–8 26d ago L

Keyd Stars 11–13 1mo ago W UNO MILLE 13–9 2mo ago L

VEXA 6–13 3mo ago L

Imperial 5–13 3mo ago W

Imperial 13–6 3mo ago L Back to Back 9–13 4mo ago

ex-GUARA on Anubis

no recent maps

6EX-GUARA BAN Dust2proj. removed

YAW 64% 18-10

EX- 20% 3-12

Yawara on Dust2

Isurus 7–13 27d ago W

GameHunters 13–10 1mo ago W Blitzkrieg 13–4 1mo ago L UNO MILLE 5–13 2mo ago L

Bounty Hunters 12–16 2mo ago W LP 13–11 2mo ago W

BESTIA Academy 13–10 2mo ago W ex-KRÜ 13–4 3mo ago

ex-GUARA on Dust2

METANOIA Wolves 8–13 18d ago W

Procyon 13–8 1mo ago L

paiN Academy 6–13 1mo ago L

METANOIA Wolves 3–13 1mo ago L UNO MILLE 3–13 3mo ago W

MIBR fe 13–11 3mo ago L

METANOIA Wolves 4–13 3mo ago L

Yawara 4–13 3mo ago

7DECIDER Ancientleft over

YAW 41% 9-13

EX- 25% 1-3

Yawara on Ancient

Sharks 8–13 25d ago W

Keyd Stars 13–4 25d ago W

Red Feet 13–8 1mo ago L

GameHunters 5–13 1mo ago L

Keyd Stars 2–13 1mo ago W

GameHunters 13–0 1mo ago L

Keyd Stars 12–16 1mo ago W UNO MILLE 13–4 2mo ago

ex-GUARA on Ancient

METANOIA Wolves 7–13 18d ago L ex-KRÜ 6–13 3mo ago L

MIBR fe 9–13 3mo ago W

METANOIA Wolves 13–8 5mo ago

Projected from each team's veto habits (BO3), assuming Yawara vetoes first. Usual first ban: Yawara Nuke · ex-GUARA Overpass.

Map lab

pick the 3 maps · per-map H2H + prediction

layout

Pick 3 maps ✓

Best-case draws · each side’s strongest realistic Bo3 · tap to load

The veto swings it: Yawara 88% on their maps vs ex-GUARA 56% on theirs. Whoever shapes the pool is favoured. Anubis (50%) is the closest to a toss-up.

Yawara75%to win the seriesclear pickiMap edgesMirage: Yawara 61% · Inferno: Yawara 85% clear · Ancient: Yawara 56% toss-upWhyYawara hold the edge across the maps (3 of 3 lean their way).OutcomesYawara 75%: 2-0 51%, 2-1 24% · ex-GUARA 25%: 2-1 19%, 2-0 6%
series odds add up every way a team can win, not just one scoreline

Yawara 75%25% ex-GUARA

Yawara are the clearer side here: the most likely result is Yawara 2-0.

MirageYAW v EX-

61%

39%

18-14record2-3

56%win40%

54%CT win60%

48%T win33%

45%pistol40%

79%convert100%

InfernoYAW v EX-

85%

15%

5-5record1-10

50%win9%

57%CT win44%

45%T win39%

50%pistol50%

70%convert73%

AncientYAW v EX-

56%

44%

9-13record1-3

41%win25%

53%CT win43%

46%T win43%

45%pistol50%

89%convert25%

Pistol, eco & sides

win% · convert if won · eco if lost · CT/T per map

ct / t side win% (Nuke skews CT, Dust2 T)pistol won the opening pistolconv then won round 2eco lost pistol, won round 2

Map

YAWct

YAWt

EX-ct

EX-t

YAWpistol

YAWconv

YAWeco

EX-pistol

EX-conv

EX-eco

Miragepool

54%141/262

48%170/355

60%33/55

33%15/46

45%29/64

79%23/29

6%2/35

40%4/10

100%4/4

33%2/6

Infernopool

57%68/120

45%37/83

44%48/110

39%46/119

50%10/20

70%7/10

10%1/10

50%11/22

73%8/11

9%1/11

Ancientpool

53%124/233

46%91/199

43%17/40

43%18/42

45%20/44

89%17/19

17%4/24

50%4/8

25%1/4

0%0/4

Nukeban

47%50/107

39%35/90

55%65/119

34%42/124

50%10/20

90%9/10

0%0/10

38%9/24

67%6/9

20%3/15

Overpassban

49%39/80

42%27/65

n/a

44%7/16

86%6/7

22%2/9

n/a

Anubisban

42%44/105

48%58/121

n/a

50%11/22

91%10/11

9%1/11

n/a

Dust2ban

56%160/286

50%144/286

34%52/151

34%43/125

41%23/56

87%20/23

15%5/33

33%10/30

80%8/10

11%2/19

colour = vs league averagebelowavgabove

Pistols

Pistol rounds are a tie. Both win about the same (Yawara 46%, ex-GUARA 48%). Nobody has an edge.

After pistol

Win the pistol → Yawara usually win the next round too (81% vs 68%). Lose the pistol → ex-GUARA fight back to win the next round more often (14% vs 10%).

Mentality & map flow

comebacks, blown leads

Margins

Yawara average a 6.1-round margin (11 blown, biggest 8); ex-GUARA average 6.1 (9 blown, 3 OTs). Hover any ⓘ for the matches behind it.

Yawara

Comebacks (won from 3+ down)i12/59 (20%)Comebacks (won from 3+ down)Of the 59 maps they won, 12 (20%) were won after trailing by 3+ rounds. So 20% of their wins were comebacks, not 20% of all games.vs Prison BreakersDust2from 6 down vs Keyd StarsDust2from 6 down vs UNO MILLEMiragefrom 6 down vs ImperialMiragefrom 5 down vs Bounty HuntersMiragefrom 4 down

Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)i11/63 (17%)Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)Of the 63 maps they lost, 11 (17%) were lost after leading by 3+ rounds: leads they threw away.vs Bounty HuntersNukeled 8 · lost 11-13 vs ImperialDust2led 5 · lost 10-13 vs LegacyMirageled 5 · lost 10-13 vs Bounty HuntersAncientled 5 · lost 10-13 vs Fake do BiruOverpassled 4 · lost 9-13

Biggest comebackifrom 6 downBiggest comebackLargest deficit erased to win a map.vs Prison BreakersDust2from 6 down · won 16-14

Biggest lead blowni8 roundsBiggest lead blownLargest lead held and still lost.vs Bounty HuntersNukeled 8 · lost 11-13

Avg map margini6.1 roundsAvg map marginAverage round difference across maps.

Close maps (≤3) · OTi27% · 8Close maps (≤3) · OT27% of their maps were decided by ≤3 rounds (nailbiters); 8 went to overtime.vs Prison BreakersDust216-14 vs Bounty HuntersMirage16-14 vs ImperialMirage14-16 vs ImperialNuke17-19 vs LPAncient14-16

ex-GUARA

Comebacks (won from 3+ down)i3/12 (25%)Comebacks (won from 3+ down)Of the 12 maps they won, 3 (25%) were won after trailing by 3+ rounds. So 25% of their wins were comebacks, not 25% of all games.vs MIBR feNukefrom 7 down vs METANOIA WolvesCachefrom 7 down vs METANOIA WolvesInfernofrom 3 down

Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)i9/36 (25%)Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)Of the 36 maps they lost, 9 (25%) were lost after leading by 3+ rounds: leads they threw away.vs METANOIA WolvesDust2led 10 · lost 3-13 vs MIBR feAncientled 6 · lost 9-13 vs ProcyonMirageled 5 · lost 9-13 vs METANOIA WolvesNukeled 5 · lost 13-16 vs PlayersInfernoled 4 · lost 14-16

Biggest comebackifrom 7 downBiggest comebackLargest deficit erased to win a map.vs MIBR feNukefrom 7 down · won 13-10

Biggest lead blowni10 roundsBiggest lead blownLargest lead held and still lost.vs METANOIA WolvesDust2led 10 · lost 3-13

Avg map margini6.1 roundsAvg map marginAverage round difference across maps.

Close maps (≤3) · OTi19% · 3Close maps (≤3) · OT19% of their maps were decided by ≤3 rounds (nailbiters); 3 went to overtime.vs PlayersInferno14-16 vs UNO MILLEInferno13-16 vs METANOIA WolvesNuke13-16

Yawara vs ex-GUARA FAQ

Who is favored to win Yawara vs ex-GUARA?

Yawara are favored with a 85% model win probability, and are the bookmakers' favorite too.

What are the betting odds for Yawara vs ex-GUARA?

Bookmakers price Yawara at 1.08 and ex-GUARA at 6.33 (implied 85% vs 15%).

When do Yawara and ex-GUARA play?

Yawara vs ex-GUARA is scheduled for 2026-08-04 14:00 UTC at BetBoom Storm Season 4.