Phantom vs G2 Ares Prediction & Odds · CS2 Match Preview

Matches / Upcoming / Phantom vs G2 Ares

2026-07-24 11:00 UTC

NODWIN Clutch Series 10

Prediction

Our model gives Phantom a 60% chance to beat G2 Ares at NODWIN Clutch Series 10. Bookmakers price Phantom at 1.41 and G2 Ares at 2.63 (implied 65% vs 35%).

Phantom

1.41odds

G2 Ares

2.63odds

Our read60%

40%

Market65%

35%

median decimal odds · 3 books

FormatBO3Form43-43 · 28-20Likely mapsDust2 · Overpass · Mirage

Model read: track record · HLTV rank · firepower · form, weighted by sample size. All figures respect the data-range filter.

Recent form

Head-to-head

past meetings & common opponents

◂ PHA fared bettervs 8 shared opponentsG2 fared better ▸

K27#380-21-2

Phantom vs K27

Jul 17LNuke9-13Ancient6-13

G2 Ares vs K27

Mar 19LAncient5-13Dust213-8Mirage8-13

Acend#423-32-0

Phantom vs Acend

Jun 7WDust213-6Mirage7-13Overpass13-11 Feb 21LDust24-13Overpass13-7Ancient11-13

G2 Ares vs Acend

Mar 1WAncient13-11Overpass13-4

EX-ex-RUBY#491-40-2

Phantom vs ex-RUBY

May 23LDust28-13Overpass10-13 Apr 14LNuke4-13Mirage16-14Dust26-13

G2 Ares vs ex-RUBY

Jun 12LOverpass11-13Dust29-13

Walczaki#542-00-2

Phantom vs Walczaki

Jun 20WAnubis13-11Dust213-9

G2 Ares vs Walczaki

Jun 15LAnubis6-13Inferno8-13

Omega#752-02-1

Phantom vs Omega

Mar 9WAncient13-10Mirage13-3

G2 Ares vs Omega

Mar 30WOverpass13-3Mirage11-13Ancient13-8

STATE#900-22-0

Phantom vs STATE

Feb 1LOverpass13-16Nuke9-13

G2 Ares vs STATE

Mar 17WMirage13-10Inferno13-8

Atreides#1102-31-2

Phantom vs Atreides

May 28LMirage10-13Nuke9-13 Apr 23WMirage13-8Ancient6-13Dust213-8

G2 Ares vs Atreides

May 31LOverpass16-12Ancient14-16Inferno2-13

MASONIC#1170-23-1

Phantom vs MASONIC

Jan 23LOverpass14-16Nuke14-16

G2 Ares vs MASONIC

May 13WDust213-6Ancient10-13Inferno13-8 Apr 25Wseries1-0

Phantom 10-16combined map recordG2 Ares 11-10edge · G2 Ares

Firepower

roster ratings

Phantom · avg 1.07 · top +0.11

Player	Mp	K-D	ADR	KAST	HS	Rating
Kylar	190	1.08	73.4	73.3%	60%	1.18
KEi	185	1.01	77.1	72.9%	49%	1.1
TMB	49	0.9	73.6	68.6%	53%	1.08
Kunai	190	0.92	73.3	69.8%	59%	1.05
nicoodoz	8	0.91	65.4	71.1%	56%	0.95

G2 Ares · avg 1.09 · top +0.14

Player	Mp	K-D	ADR	KAST	HS	Rating
tAk	107	1.15	84.9	74.8%	48%	1.23
Junyme	107	1.15	73.6	73.2%	38%	1.15
hitori	107	0.98	75.7	71.3%	54%	1.1
yksjupe	107	0.89	68.6	71.4%	52%	1.01
SHiNE	107	0.88	63.2	70.6%	55%	0.96

Projected veto

likely picks & bans

Veto read

Neither side's habitual bans cleanly remove the other's best maps. The veto is live.

Plays: Dust2 · Overpass · Mirage · Removed: Inferno · Nuke · Anubis · Ancient every map shows both teams' win% (PHA / G2 )

1PHANTOM BAN Infernoproj. removed

PHA n/a 0g

G2 50% 10-10

Phantom on Inferno

no recent maps

G2 Ares on Inferno

CYBERSHOKE Prospects 13–10 2d ago L

Misa 11–13 6d ago W

Lilmix 13–6 7d ago L

SPARTA 3–13 1mo ago L

Walczaki 8–13 1mo ago W

aAa 13–3 2mo ago L

Atreides 2–13 2mo ago W

NEW VISION 13–5 2mo ago

2G2 ARES BAN Nukeproj. removed

PHA 56% 28-22

G2 n/a 0g

Phantom on Nuke

K27 9–13 6d ago W

HEROIC 16–14 7d ago W

paiN 13–5 8d ago W

FOKUS 19–16 1mo ago W

Bushido Wildcats 16–14 2mo ago L

Young Ninjas 14–16 2mo ago L

Atreides 9–13 2mo ago L

TNC 11–13 2mo ago

G2 Ares on Nuke

no recent maps

3PHANTOM PICK Dust2

PHA 45% 19-23

G2 65% 11-6

Phantom on Dust2

HEROIC 11–13 7d ago L

paiN 8–13 8d ago L

FOKUS 10–13 1mo ago W

Walczaki 13–9 1mo ago W

Acend 13–6 2mo ago L

100 Thieves 9–13 2mo ago W DragonClaw 13–11 2mo ago W

TNC 13–4 2mo ago

G2 Ares on Dust2

CYBERSHOKE Prospects 16–13 2d ago W

Misa 13–11 6d ago L

SPARTA 14–16 1mo ago L ex-RUBY 9–13 1mo ago W

illwill 19–16 1mo ago W

Young Ninjas 13–11 1mo ago L

Enjoy 11–13 2mo ago L

Lilmix 13–16 2mo ago

4G2 ARES PICK Overpass

PHA 52% 11-10

G2 53% 10-9

Phantom on Overpass

JiJieHao 13–11 1mo ago W

Acend 13–11 2mo ago W Echo 13–11 2mo ago W DragonClaw 13–10 2mo ago W

Young Ninjas 16–12 2mo ago L

Johnny Speeds 4–13 2mo ago L ex-RUBY 10–13 2mo ago W

TNC 13–8 2mo ago

G2 Ares on Overpass

L PsychoFace 11–13 1mo ago L ex-RUBY 11–13 1mo ago L

illwill 4–13 1mo ago L

Young Ninjas 8–13 1mo ago W

aAa 13–3 2mo ago L

Enjoy 9–13 2mo ago W

Atreides 16–12 2mo ago W

Enjoy 13–9 2mo ago

5PHANTOM BAN Anubisproj. removed

PHA 50% 5-5

G2 40% 4-6

Phantom on Anubis

paiN 13–5 8d ago W

Walczaki 13–11 1mo ago L

fnatic 13–16 3mo ago W

ASTRAL 13–8 4mo ago W

ASTRAL 13–5 5mo ago L

Lazer Cats 9–13 5mo ago L

Alliance 10–13 5mo ago W

Lazer Cats 13–10 6mo ago

G2 Ares on Anubis

Walczaki 6–13 1mo ago W

Misa 13–6 2mo ago W

Entropy 13–5 2mo ago W

DONSTU 16–13 2mo ago L

DONSTU 11–13 3mo ago L

UNiTY 10–13 4mo ago W

DONSTU 13–7 4mo ago L eLITenergy 6–13 4mo ago

6G2 ARES BAN Ancientproj. removed

PHA 41% 16-23

G2 47% 8-9

Phantom on Ancient

K27 6–13 6d ago L

HEROIC 11–13 7d ago W

FOKUS 13–7 1mo ago W

JiJieHao 16–14 1mo ago L

100 Thieves 7–13 2mo ago W Echo 13–9 2mo ago L

Leo 8–13 2mo ago W

TNC 13–6 3mo ago

G2 Ares on Ancient

CYBERSHOKE Prospects 8–13 2d ago W

megoshort 13–8 4d ago W

Enjoy 19–15 2mo ago W

Vexar 13–10 2mo ago L

Atreides 14–16 2mo ago L

Enjoy 8–13 2mo ago W

NEW VISION 13–10 2mo ago W

Lilmix 13–9 2mo ago

7DECIDER Mirageleft over

PHA 46% 13-15

G2 61% 14-9

Phantom on Mirage

Acend 7–13 2mo ago L DragonClaw 10–13 2mo ago W

Bushido Wildcats 13–9 2mo ago L

Young Ninjas 8–13 2mo ago L

Atreides 10–13 2mo ago L

TNC 2–13 2mo ago W

BRUTE 13–4 2mo ago L Lavked 11–13 2mo ago

G2 Ares on Mirage

megoshort 13–11 4d ago W

Misa 13–3 6d ago W

Lilmix 13–8 7d ago L PsychoFace 7–13 1mo ago W

illwill 13–4 1mo ago W

Young Ninjas 13–2 1mo ago W

Vexar 13–6 2mo ago L

Enjoy 9–13 2mo ago

Projected from each team's veto habits (BO3), assuming Phantom vetoes first. Usual first ban: Phantom Inferno · G2 Ares Nuke.

Map lab

pick the 3 maps · per-map H2H + prediction

layout

Pick 3 maps ✓

Best-case draws · each side’s strongest realistic Bo3 · tap to load

The veto swings it: Phantom 54% on their maps vs G2 Ares 68% on theirs. Whoever shapes the pool is favoured. Inferno (50%) is the closest to a toss-up.

G2 Ares65%to win the seriesclear pickiMap edgesDust2: G2 Ares 67% clear · Overpass: G2 Ares 50% toss-up · Mirage: G2 Ares 63%WhyG2 Ares hold the edge across the maps (3 of 3 lean their way).OutcomesPhantom 35%: 2-1 18%, 2-0 16% · G2 Ares 65%: 2-0 34%, 2-1 32%
series odds add up every way a team can win, not just one scoreline

Phantom 35%65% G2 Ares

G2 Ares are the clearer side here: the most likely result is G2 Ares 2-0.

Dust2PHA v G2

33%

67%

19-23record11-6

45%win65%

52%CT win53%

46%T win51%

48%pistol62%

80%convert57%

OverpassPHA v G2

50%

11-10record10-9

52%win53%

58%CT win62%

43%T win40%

60%pistol58%

76%convert77%

MiragePHA v G2

37%

63%

13-15record14-9

46%win61%

54%CT win59%

44%T win48%

70%pistol59%

85%convert78%

Pistol, eco & sides

win% · convert if won · eco if lost · CT/T per map

ct / t side win% (Nuke skews CT, Dust2 T)pistol won the opening pistolconv then won round 2eco lost pistol, won round 2

Map

PHAct

PHAt

G2 ct

G2 t

PHApistol

PHAconv

PHAeco

G2 pistol

G2 conv

G2 eco

Dust2pool

52%222/429

46%199/430

53%103/193

51%96/190

48%40/84

80%32/40

18%8/44

62%21/34

57%12/21

23%3/13

Overpasspool

58%139/238

43%103/238

62%113/183

40%87/216

60%25/42

76%19/25

6%1/17

58%22/38

77%17/22

6%1/16

Miragepool

54%171/319

44%120/272

59%121/206

48%126/261

70%39/56

85%33/39

12%2/17

59%27/46

78%21/27

26%5/19

Infernoban

n/a

57%110/194

48%97/203

n/a

53%21/40

71%15/21

32%6/19

Nukeban

55%280/505

47%266/571

n/a

50%50/100

82%41/50

14%7/50

n/a

Anubisban

52%50/96

53%63/119

53%51/97

44%49/111

45%9/20

89%8/9

9%1/11

25%5/20

80%4/5

13%2/15

Ancientban

50%217/430

46%180/390

53%100/187

42%76/180

54%42/78

79%33/42

19%7/36

50%17/34

82%14/17

24%4/17

colour = vs league averagebelowavgabove

Pistols

Pistol rounds are a tie. Both win about the same (Phantom 57%, G2 Ares 59%). Nobody has an edge.

After pistol

Win the pistol → Phantom usually win the next round too (81% vs 71%). Lose the pistol → G2 Ares fight back to win the next round more often (19% vs 14%).

Mentality & map flow

comebacks, blown leads

Margins

Phantom average a 4.9-round margin (36 blown, biggest 9); G2 Ares average 5.1 (11 blown, 15 OTs). Hover any ⓘ for the matches behind it.

Phantom

Comebacks (won from 3+ down)i26/92 (28%)Comebacks (won from 3+ down)Of the 92 maps they won, 26 (28%) were won after trailing by 3+ rounds. So 28% of their wins were comebacks, not 28% of all games.vs aAaDust2from 7 down vs HEROICNukefrom 7 down vs RUSTECMiragefrom 6 down vs Bushido WildcatsNukefrom 6 down vs WashingtonNukefrom 5 down

Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)i36/98 (37%)Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)Of the 98 maps they lost, 36 (37%) were lost after leading by 3+ rounds: leads they threw away.vs FAVBETAncientled 9 · lost 14-16 vs MASONICOverpassled 7 · lost 14-16 vs CYBERSHOKEDust2led 7 · lost 26-28 vs WashingtonOverpassled 6 · lost 11-13 vs B8Mirageled 6 · lost 11-13

Biggest comebackifrom 7 downBiggest comebackLargest deficit erased to win a map.vs aAaDust2from 7 down · won 13-10

Biggest lead blowni9 roundsBiggest lead blownLargest lead held and still lost.vs FAVBETAncientled 9 · lost 14-16

Avg map margini4.9 roundsAvg map marginAverage round difference across maps.

Close maps (≤3) · OTi44% · 31Close maps (≤3) · OT44% of their maps were decided by ≤3 rounds (nailbiters); 31 went to overtime.vs HYPERSPIRITDust212-16 vs FAVBETAnubis13-16 vs MASONICOverpass14-16 vs MASONICNuke14-16 vs STATEOverpass13-16

G2 Ares

Comebacks (won from 3+ down)i19/57 (33%)Comebacks (won from 3+ down)Of the 57 maps they won, 19 (33%) were won after trailing by 3+ rounds. So 33% of their wins were comebacks, not 33% of all games.vs LavkedOverpassfrom 10 down vs DONSTUAnubisfrom 7 down vs LilmixAncientfrom 7 down vs WWDust2from 6 down vs STATEMiragefrom 6 down

Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)i11/50 (22%)Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)Of the 50 maps they lost, 11 (22%) were lost after leading by 3+ rounds: leads they threw away.vs UNiTYInfernoled 5 · lost 11-13 vs OmegaMirageled 5 · lost 11-13 vs LavkedMirageled 5 · lost 10-13 vs ex-RUBYOverpassled 5 · lost 11-13 vs Imperial AcademyInfernoled 4 · lost 11-13

Biggest comebackifrom 10 downBiggest comebackLargest deficit erased to win a map.vs LavkedOverpassfrom 10 down · won 16-13

Biggest lead blowni5 roundsBiggest lead blownLargest lead held and still lost.vs UNiTYInfernoled 5 · lost 11-13

Avg map margini5.1 roundsAvg map marginAverage round difference across maps.

Close maps (≤3) · OTi37% · 15Close maps (≤3) · OT37% of their maps were decided by ≤3 rounds (nailbiters); 15 went to overtime.vs WWDust219-16 vs UNiTYOverpass19-17 vs zajezdzaczeDust216-14 vs LavkedOverpass16-13 vs aAaOverpass19-16

Phantom vs G2 Ares FAQ

Who is favored to win Phantom vs G2 Ares?

Phantom are favored with a 60% model win probability, and are the bookmakers' favorite too.

What are the betting odds for Phantom vs G2 Ares?

Bookmakers price Phantom at 1.41 and G2 Ares at 2.63 (implied 65% vs 35%).

When do Phantom and G2 Ares play?

Phantom vs G2 Ares is scheduled for 2026-07-24 11:00 UTC at NODWIN Clutch Series 10.